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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Skye (Vic.) has an estimated 8,329 residents, up from 8,088 at the 2021 Census — a change of 241 people, or 3.0%. 209 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 501 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations integrating ABS regional population revisions with 209 validated new addresses recorded following the Census, the suburb of Skye (Vic.) has an estimated headcount of approximately 8,329 as of Aug 2026. This marks an addition of 241 people (3.0%) relative to the 2021 Census tally of 8,088 people. Such movement is derived from an AreaSearch resident estimate of 8,324 after assessing the June 2025 ABS ERP release alongside post-census address additions. With a population density of 500 persons per square kilometer, the locality provides generous space per occupant alongside scope for future expansion.
The local 3.0% expansion rate sits within 0.3 percentage points of the broader SA4 region (3.3%), displaying solid growth momentum. Natural increase served as the primary growth engine, representing roughly 52.0% of total population additions over recent timeframes. SA2-level projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia (2024 release, 2022 base year) are incorporated by AreaSearch, supplemented where necessary by 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA figures adjusted via weighted aggregation from LGA down to SA2 divisions. These aggregations also supply age-cohort expansion rates across all territories for the 2032 to 2041 period. Based on these anticipated demographic transitions, AreaSearch identifies an above median population trajectory across analysed statistical zones, projecting the suburb of Skye (Vic.) to add 1,681 persons by 2041 via aggregated SA2 forecasts—equating to an overall 16-year increase of 20.1%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
92 new dwellings have been approved in Skye (Vic.) over the past five years, an average of 18 a year. That is 4.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 34 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 82% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 101, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch assessment of ABS building approvals across statistical geographies indicates that Skye averages around 18 approved dwellings annually, totaling an estimated 92 residential permits across the previous 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 101 during FY-25 to date. Against a backdrop of population reduction, incoming housing volume appears to have satisfied local requirements, sustaining healthy options for purchasers alongside an average construction value of $424,000 per dwelling, mirroring regional benchmarks. Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $9.8 million this financial year, demonstrating consistent non-residential development. Residential building output in Skye outpaces Greater Melbourne on a per-capita basis, exceeding the regional benchmark by 13.0% across the 5-year span, which preserves ample buyer selection while safeguarding local real estate values.
Detached houses constitute 82.0% of recent residential consents, with townhouses or apartments making up 18.0%, preserving the suburb's low-density profile centered on spacious family dwellings. Indicating a low-density environment, Skye logs approximately 118 people per approval. Longer-term forecasts indicate Skye will gain 1,676 residents leading up to 2041 (benchmarked against the most recent AreaSearch quarterly figure). Should construction persist at prevailing volumes, residential completions could fall short of demographic expansion, potentially intensifying purchaser demand and bolstering property valuations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Skye (Vic.)
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Skye (Vic.), worth an estimated $1.12 billion. A further 91 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $14.7 billion. 23 are already under construction and 25 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Public capital allocation, major urban developments, and municipal planning exert significant influence over local performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 13 key initiatives anticipated to shape the surrounding district, notably Sandhurst Gardens Estate, Aspen Skye, ArenA Skye, and Evolve Skye, which are itemised below based on their potential local impact.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Aspen Skye
Boutique residential land estate of around 180 residential lots located on the corner of Ballarto Road and McCormicks Road in Skye, featuring direct frontage to the planned Skye Activity Centre and wetlands precinct.
Sandhurst Gardens Estate
A master planned residential community in Skye in Melbourne's south east, featuring around 450 residential lots, local parks, wetlands and a future neighbourhood retail precinct, delivered by Frasers Property and Caydon.
ArenA Skye
A completed neighbourhood retail centre in Skye, anchored by a full line Woolworths supermarket and supporting specialty retail, food, medical and childcare services, directly serving the growing residential catchment around McCormicks Road.
Evolve Skye
Evolve Skye is a masterplanned residential community in Melbournes south east, delivering approximately 1,100 homes. The estate features significant public open space, a future primary school site, and proximity to the newly upgraded Ballarto Road intersections which improved local traffic flow in 2025.
42-50 Hall Road Townhouses
Prime residential development site with permit approval for 59 townhouses, sold by Catholic Archdiocese of Melbourne in 2021. Located on 1.8 hectares with General Residential (R1Z) zoning, featuring efficient site configuration and extensive frontage onto Hall Road. Adjoining St Joachim's Catholic Primary School with proximity to Seaford Train Station, Eastlink (M3), Carrum Downs Shopping Centre and Sandhurst Golf Club.
Ballarto Road Upgrade
A $36.5 million upgrade of four major intersections along Ballarto Road (Lyrebird Drive, Greenwood Drive/Flinders Christian Community College entrance, McCormicks Road, and Potts Road), including new traffic lights, additional turning lanes, road widening, safety improvements at Dion Drive, and drainage works at Boggy Creek. The project improves safety and traffic flow for ~18,000 vehicles daily on this key east-west arterial in Melbourne's south-east. All works completed in June 2025.
Harli
Harli is a 7 Star, all-electric, zero-carbon master planned community in Cranbourne West by Resolution Property Group. The project delivers 181 residential lots with a 2 hectare wetland, staged civil works (Stages 1 and 2 titled in 2024) and final stages targeting titles in Q1 2026.
21 Mccormicks Road Townhouses
A boutique development of 7 contemporary townhouses currently under construction in Carrum Downs. The two-storey townhouses offer modern family living in a convenient location close to Carrum Downs Shopping Centre, schools, and public transport. Construction commenced in 2024 with completion scheduled for early 2025.
4,869 residents of Skye (Vic.) are employed, from a labour force of 5,010. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 73.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 6,515, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce exhibits a well-distributed mix across professional and trade disciplines, highlighted by strong representation in construction, an unemployment level of only 2.8%, and annual employment gains estimated at 0.7% via AreaSearch statistical area aggregations. As of March 2026, employed residents number 4,869, while local unemployment sits 2.0% lower than the 4.8% recorded across Greater Melbourne, accompanied by a 73.8% participation rate compared to 70.1% regionally. Census returns also indicated that 17.9% of workers conducted their duties from home, an outcome potentially influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. Resident jobs are heavily concentrated across health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
Construction displays marked local importance, capturing a workforce proportion 1.5 times the regional norm. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 4.1% of local employment versus 10.1% across the broader region. Discrepancies between Census resident workers and local employment figures suggest that on-site commercial job opportunities within the immediate area remain relatively sparse. AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM metrics indicates that in the year leading to March 2026, local employment expanded by 0.7% as the labor pool grew by 0.4%, driving a 0.4 percentage point reduction in the jobless rate. In comparison, Greater Melbourne registered job growth of 2.1% alongside a 2.3% workforce increase, with unemployment rising 0.2 percentage points. National outlooks published by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future workforce requirements in Skye. When applying national industry projections—which forecast overall growth of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over ten years—to Skye's specific industry distribution, local employment is modeled to rise by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (calculated via simple weighting for illustrative purposes, excluding localized population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Skye (Vic.) is $2,004 a week (about $104,000 a year), with median personal income at $844 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $54,567 a year against an average of $61,862. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode ATO figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 record a median taxable income of $54,567 and a mean of $61,862 in Skye, trailing nationwide benchmarks as well as Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Factoring in a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach roughly $59,816 (median) and $67,813 (average) as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household tiers, Census figures place local earnings near the 61st percentile nationally. A notable 44.9% of residents (3,739 individuals) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, higher than the 32.8% observed regionally.
While residential accommodation accounts for 15.3% of income, disposable earnings hold at the 67th percentile, with Skye positioned in the 4th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Skye (Vic.) had 2,704 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 89% detached houses and 0% apartments. 58% are owned with a mortgage, 18% rented and 24% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $410 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 20.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing stock consisted of 89.3% separate houses and 10.7% other dwellings including apartments and semi-detached properties, whereas Greater Melbourne recorded 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwelling formats. Outright home ownership stood at 23.8%, falling behind the metropolitan rate, while 58.3% of properties were held under a mortgage and 18.0% were rented. Skye registered a median monthly mortgage payment of $1,733 (below the metropolitan benchmark of $2,000 and the national figure of $1,863) and a median weekly rent of $410 (exceeding the Melbourne metro figure of $390 and the Australian average of $375).
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Skye (Vic.) counted 2,704 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 43% are couples with children, more than in 85% of areas nationally, against 22% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 80.9%, comprising couples with children (42.6%), couples without children (22.3%), and single parent households (15.0%). Non-family residences account for 19.1%, made up of single-person dwellings at 16.8% and share houses at 2.1%. The area records an average of 2.9 people per household, exceeding Greater Melbourne's figure of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.9% of adults in Skye (Vic.) hold a university qualification, including 11.3% with a bachelor degree and 2.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.0% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 487 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 992 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in the locality presents a developmental opportunity, with 15.9% of residents holding university degrees compared to 37.0% across Greater Melbourne. Bachelor degrees represent 11.3% of credentials, followed by postgraduate awards at 2.8% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Conversely, vocational and technical training is widespread, with 41.2% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, comprising certificates (29.0%) and advanced diplomas (12.2%). Student participation is substantial, with 30.6% of the local population actively undertaking structured study. This total includes 10.8% attending primary school, 8.5% in secondary education, and 3.7% enrolled in tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Skye (Vic.) reaches 12 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 890 services a week. The typical home sits about 350 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local public transport comprises 12 operational bus stops across Skye, connected by 2 distinct routes generating 892 passenger services each week. Proximity to transit is favorable, with residents situated an average of 353 meters from their nearest stop. Given the suburb's commuter nature, private vehicles dominate travel at 96%, with vehicle availability averaging 1.8 cars per household (above the regional norm). In addition, 17.9% of workers operated from home at the 2021 Census, subject to pandemic restrictions. Bus services run at an average rate of 127 daily departures across all routes, delivering approximately 74 services per week at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.6% of residents in Skye (Vic.) report no long-term health condition. 5.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of chronic illnesses and mortality indicate notable health considerations locally, with common conditions present across demographics and slightly elevated among mature residents. Private health insurance coverage extends to approximately 51% of the population (~4,274 people), sitting below the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 56.7%. Asthma (9.6%) and mental health conditions (9.3%) stand as the most prevalent diagnosed ailments, while 68.6% of residents reported having no medical conditions, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Chronic ailments are higher than average among working-age individuals. Residents aged 65 and over represent 14.1% of the locality (1,174 people), compared with 15.1% across Greater Melbourne, showing some senior health challenges despite ranking more favorably nationally than the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Skye (Vic.) is largely Australian-born, at 77.9% of residents, with 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.8%) and Australian (27.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural background indicators place Skye above average in diversity, with overseas-born individuals comprising 22.1% of the population and 13.9% utilizing a non-English language at home. Christianity forms the largest faith group at 42.8%, while Judaism accounts for 0.2% locally compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Regarding parental ancestry, the primary reported backgrounds in Skye include English at 27.8% (above Greater Melbourne's 20.1%), Australian at 27.2% (surpassing the regional 18.4%), and Other ancestries at 8.2% (below the metropolitan 14.6%). Other distinct ancestral representations include Dutch at 1.8% (vs 1.2% regionally), Sri Lankan at 0.7% (vs 0.8%), and Hungarian at 0.5% (vs 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Skye (Vic.) is 37. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 26.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Skye's demographic structure skews somewhat younger than Greater Melbourne at the upper age spectrum. As at August 2026, middle-aged persons and early retirees aged 45 - 64 represent 27.0% of the community versus 22.3% regionally, while young to middle-aged adults aged 25 - 44 account for 26.0% compared to 32.1% across the metropolis. The median age stands at an estimated 37 as at August 2026, rising from 36 at the 2021 Census to match Greater Melbourne's Census figure of 37. Retirees and senior citizens (65+) have increased from 9.9% at Census to an estimated 14.1%, with this cohort projected to experience the highest growth by 2041, increasing by 821 residents (70%) to reach 1,995.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Skye (Vic.)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 209 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (8,088 at the 2021 Census → 8,329 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22291). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.