Botanic Ridge

Botanic Ridge lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of Botanic Ridge was estimated at around 8,673 as of February 2026, based on an analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch. This figure represents a growth of 1,934 people (28.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,739 people in the suburb. The change was inferred from the resident population of 7,206 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 159 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,408 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Botanic Ridge's growth rate of 28.7% since the 2021 census exceeded both the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period, placing Botanic Ridge in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation. The area is expected to expand by 12,279 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 152.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Botanic Ridge was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Botanic Ridge had around 83 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 416 homes. In FY26 so far, 54 approvals have been recorded. This indicates an average of 11.3 people moving to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. Commercial approvals this financial year totalled $17.6 million.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Botanic Ridge has 18.0% less building activity per person but ranks in the 72nd percentile nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence. New building activity consists of 95.0% detached dwellings and 5.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban character focused on family homes. With around 169 people per dwelling approval, Botanic Ridge is classified as a growth area. AreaSearch projects Botanic Ridge will add 13,252 residents by 2041, potentially outpacing housing supply and heightening buyer competition at current development rates.

Future projections show Botanic Ridge adding 13,252 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Botanic Ridge has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects expected to impact the area. Notable ones are Cranbourne West Precinct Structure Plan, Brompton Estate, Botanic Ridge Secondary College, and Brompton Lodge Precinct Structure Plan. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Botanic Ridge rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Botanic Ridge has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate is 1.9% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 6.2% over the past year. As of September 2025, there are 5,592 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.8%, lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation in Botanic Ridge is high at 112.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 22.6% of residents work from home, with Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. Leading employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Botanic Ridge has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level, but professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.9% compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%.

The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Botanic Ridge saw employment increase by 6.2% and labour force increase by 6.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a similar unemployment rate change. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Botanic Ridge's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Botanic Ridge is slightly above average nationally. The median income is $61,127 and the average income stands at $68,646. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Botanic Ridge would be approximately $66,170 (median) and $74,309 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Botanic Ridge rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 91st percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 44.5% of locals (3,859 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the area showing 32.8% in the same category. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 36.4%, indicates strong economic capacity throughout Botanic Ridge. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Botanic Ridge is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Botanic Ridge's dwellings, as per the latest Census report, were 95.9% houses and 4.1% other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This is compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Botanic Ridge was at 17.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 70.6% and rented ones at 12.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,200, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Botanic Ridge was $404, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Botanic Ridge's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Botanic Ridge features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 91.2% of all households, including 54.5% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 8.8%, with lone person households at 7.6% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Botanic Ridge exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 20.1%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (15.2%) and certificates (29.5%). Educational participation is high at 31.4%, comprising primary education (13.3%), secondary education (6.7%), and tertiary education (3.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.3% in primary education, 6.7% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Botanic Ridge has 13 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two different routes that together facilitate 186 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing 416 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most inhabitants commute outward, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 96%. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling in Botanic Ridge, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 22.6% of residents work from home, a figure that may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 26 trips per day, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Botanic Ridge's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Botanic Ridge. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low for both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover was found to be high at approximately 54% of the total population (~4680 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma (9.1%) and mental health issues (7.7%). 75.8% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrated better than average health outcomes. The area had 5.3% of residents aged 65 and over (459 people), lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Botanic Ridge ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Botanic Ridge, surveyed in 2016, had a predominantly Australian-born population with 82.8% born there and 91.7% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 90.0%. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 39.8%.

Judaism, at 0.3%, was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%. In terms of ancestry, Australian (30.9%) and English (29.0%) were significantly higher than regional averages of 18.4% and 20.1% respectively. Other ancestry made up 6.8%, lower than the regional average of 14.6%. Hungarian (0.6%), Dutch (2.3%), and New Zealand (0.9%) ethnicities were notably overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Botanic Ridge hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Botanic Ridge's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Botanic Ridge has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (19.2%), but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4.0%). This 5-14 concentration is significantly above the national average of 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 35 to 44 has grown from 17.2% to 21.1%, while the 5 to 14 age group increased from 17.2% to 19.2%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group declined from 18.1% to 14.6%, and the 0 to 4 age group decreased from 10.9% to 9.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Botanic Ridge's age profile. The 35 to 44 age cohort is expected to expand substantially, growing by 2,632 people (144%) from 1,830 to 4,463. Meanwhile, the 85+ age group is projected to grow by a modest 0%, adding only 16 people.