Lynbrook - Lyndhurst
Statistical Area - sa2

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's population is 19,512 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,485 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,027. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,435 in June 2024 and an additional 111 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,651 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.8%, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 64.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, making adjustments employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is forecast to increase by 6,591 persons to 2041, with an increase of 33.4% in total over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst when compared nationally

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has recorded approximately 76 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25382 homes have been approved, with an additional 6 approved so far in FY26. On average, 4.7 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these five financial years.

This substantial lag between supply and demand has led to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $368,000. In FY26, there have been $7.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has significantly less development activity, with 73.0% below the regional average per person.

This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Recent construction comprises 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 607 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst reflects a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate that Lynbrook - Lyndhurst will gain 6,514 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Casey Central Town Centre Development, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, and Lynbrook Greens Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a well-educated workforce with strong manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 4.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.1% over the past year as of June 2025.

There are 10,800 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 0.5% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is higher at 69.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade are the dominant employment sectors among residents. The area has a particularly strong specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level.

Education & training has limited presence at 6.0% compared to the regional average of 9.2%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, while labour force grew by 4.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.5%, labour force grow by 4.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst had a median income among taxpayers of $54,363. The average income stood at $61,628. This was below the national average. In Greater Melbourne, the median income was $54,892 and the average was $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $60,974 (median) and $69,122 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank at the 85th percentile ($2,330 weekly). Distribution data shows that 43.8% of residents (8,546 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 32.8%. A substantial proportion, 30.6%, earns above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the district. High housing costs consume 17.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 93.7% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 91.5% houses and 8.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst was at 14.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 64.5% and rented ones at 20.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,080, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,950. Median weekly rent in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst was $416, compared to Melbourne metro's $386. Nationally, Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,080 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher at $416 compared to the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.9% of all households, including 62.2% couples with children, 17.1% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households at 1.8%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

The educational profile of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 33.1% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 13.0% and certificates at 16.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 13.2% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education. Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's three schools have a combined enrollment of 2,107 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1022) and balanced educational opportunities. The three schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 10.8, below the regional average of 15.4, indicating some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 47 active transport stops operating within Lynbrook-Lyndhurst. These include a mix of train and bus services. They are serviced by 11 individual routes, collectively providing 5,711 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 272 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 815 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 121 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst shows excellent health outcomes with common conditions affecting both younger and older age groups somewhat equally.

Approximately 51% (~9,873 people) have private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (4.7%), while 80.9% of residents report no medical ailments compared to 76.4% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 8.7% (1,687 people) aged 65 and over, with seniors presenting some health challenges requiring additional attention.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 60.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 55.9% born overseas by June 2016. Christianity was the main religion in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst, comprising 37.3%. However, Other religions were overrepresented at 9.0%, compared to 6.5% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, Other groups made up 33.8%, Indian groups 15.4%, and Australian groups 11.2% by the 2016 Census. These figures differ significantly from regional averages: Other (25.5%), Indian (9.2%), and Australian (17.7%). Notably, Sri Lankan groups were overrepresented at 3.6%, Samoan at 1.2%, and Filipino at 3.1%.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population of those aged 15-24 has grown from 12.7% to 14.1%, while the 55-64 age group has increased from 8.0% to 9.1%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 14.1% to 12.7%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 8.0% to 6.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow by 52%, adding 1,454 residents to reach 4,225. In contrast, the 0-4 age group is projected to have minimal growth of just 6% (80 people).