Lynbrook - Lyndhurst

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's population was 18,027 as of 2021 Census. By Nov 2025, it is around 19,512, a rise of 1,485 people (8.2%). This increase is inferred from ABS' June 2024 estimate of 19,435 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density as of Nov 2025 is approximately 2,651 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade (2011-2021), Lynbrook - Lyndhurst had a compound annual growth rate of 2.8%, outpacing its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed about 64.6% of population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is projected to increase by 6,591 persons, reflecting a total increase of 33.4% over the 17-year period from 2024 to 2041.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst when compared nationally

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has recorded approximately 76 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 382 homes were approved, with an additional 9 approved so far in FY26. On average, 4.7 people have moved to the area each year for every dwelling built over these five years.

This substantial lag between supply and demand has led to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $368,000. In FY26, there have been $7.0 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has significantly less development activity, with 73.0% below the regional average per person.

This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Recent construction comprises 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 607 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst reflects a highly mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 6,514 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match this population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include Casey Central Town Centre Development, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, and Lynbrook Greens Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has an educated workforce with strong manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.2% in September 2025, below Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.8%. As of September 2025, 10,926 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 69.7%, above Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Education & training has limited presence at 6.0% compared to the regional 9.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.8% while labour force grew by 5.0%, raising unemployment by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts from May-25 project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's employment could increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $54,363. The average income stood at $61,628. This was below the national average and compared to levels of $54,892 and $73,761 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $60,974 (median) and $69,122 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank at the 84th percentile with $2,330 weekly. Distribution data indicates that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 43.8% of residents (8,546 people), aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 30.6%, indicates strong economic capacity throughout the district. High housing costs consume 17.0% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 82nd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 93.7% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 91.5% houses and 8.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst was 14.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 64.5% and rented dwellings at 20.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,080, higher than Melbourne metro's $1,950. Median weekly rent in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst was $416, compared to Melbourne metro's $386. Nationally, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,080 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.9% of all households, including 62.2% couples with children, 17.1% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.1%, comprising 8.3% lone person households and 1.8% group households. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

The educational profile of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is distinctive regionally, with university qualification rates at 33.1% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas at 13.0% and certificates at 16.2%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst has 47 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 11 routes, facilitating 5,711 weekly passenger trips in total. Residential accessibility to these stops is rated good, with residents located an average of 272 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 815 trips per day, resulting in approximately 121 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's health outcomes show notable results with common conditions affecting both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 9,873 individuals, or 51%, have private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (impacting 5.7% of residents) and diabetes (4.7%), while 80.9% report no medical ailments compared to Melbourne's 76.4%. The area has 8.7% seniors aged 65 and over, totaling 1,687 people. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is one of the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 60.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 55.9% born overseas. The predominant religion in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is Christianity, comprising 37.3% of people. However, the category 'Other' is notably overrepresented, making up 9.0% compared to Greater Melbourne's 6.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (33.8%), Indian (15.4%), and Australian (11.2%). Notably, Sri Lankan (3.6%), Samoan (1.2%), and Filipino (3.1%) ethnicities show significant representation compared to regional averages.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.7% to 14.1%, while those aged 55-64 have increased from 8.0% to 9.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 14.1% to 12.7%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 8.0% to 6.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst, with the 45-54 cohort projected to grow by 52%, adding 1,454 residents to reach 4,225. In contrast, the 0-4 cohort is projected to grow minimally by just 6% (80 people).