Lynbrook - Lyndhurst

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's population is 19,545 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,518 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,027. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 19,545 in June 2025 and 111 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,655 persons per square kilometer, placing Lynbrook - Lyndhurst in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.4%, outperforming its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections indicate a significant population increase in the top quartile, with Lynbrook - Lyndhurst expected to increase by 5,957 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 30.5% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst when compared nationally

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst recorded around 76 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25382 homes were approved, with a further 14 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, 4.7 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built during these years.

This substantial lag between supply and demand has led to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $368,000. In FY-26, there have been $7.0 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has significantly less development activity, with 72.0% below the regional average per person.

This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Recent construction comprises 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 607 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst reflects a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate that Lynbrook - Lyndhurst will gain 5,957 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include the 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, Lynbrook Greens Estate, and the 40 Olive Road Development Site. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate as of December 2025 is 4.6%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3% over the past year. This rate is 0.2% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 75.4%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 22.8% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly strong with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Education & training has limited presence at 6.0%, compared to the regional 9.2%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 4.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2023 for financial year 2022-2023, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $56,037. The average income level stood at $64,536. This was below the national average of $68,190 and compared to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% from June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $61,428 for median income and $70,744 for average income as of March 2026. According to Census 2021 data, household incomes rank at the 84th percentile with a weekly income of $2,330. Income distribution shows that 43.8% of residents (8,560 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, aligning with Greater Melbourne's metropolitan region where this cohort represents 32.8%. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 30.6%, indicates strong economic capacity throughout the district. High housing costs consume 17.0% of income, however strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.7% houses and 6.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst was at 14.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 64.5% and rented ones at 20.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,080, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in the area was $416, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,080 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.9 percent of all households, including 62.2 percent couples with children, 17.1 percent couples without children, and 9.5 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.1 percent, with lone person households at 8.3 percent and group households comprising 1.8 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 33.1% for residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 13.0% and certificates at 16.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 13.2% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst has 49 active public transport stops serving buses on 11 routes. These provide 3,891 weekly passenger trips. Residents are typically 271 meters from the nearest stop. Most commute outward, with cars being dominant at 87%. Train use is 8%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling.

In 2021 Census data, 22.8% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 555 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 79 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~10,007 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, impacting 5.7 and 4.7% of residents respectively. 80.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. As of June 20XX (exact year not specified), 8.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,723 people), which is lower than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 60.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 55.9% born overseas. The main religion in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is Christianity, comprising 37.3% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Other, which comprises 9.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Other at 33.8%, Indian at 15.4%, and Australian at 11.2%. Notably, Sri Lankan is overrepresented at 3.6% compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Samoan at 1.2% (vs 0.3%), and Filipino at 3.1% (vs 1.3%).

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

At 34 years, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's median age is somewhat lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (15.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.1%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.7% to 14.6%, while the 55-64 cohort increased from 8.0% to 9.5%. Conversely, the 0-4 cohort has declined from 8.0% to 6.2%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 17.4% to 15.6%. Population forecasts for Lynbrook - Lyndhurst indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow strongly at 46%, adding 1,309 residents to reach 4,145. In contrast, the 0-4 cohort shows minimal growth of just 7% (88 people).