Lynbrook - Lyndhurst

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's population is around 19,512 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,485 people (8.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,027 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,435 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 111 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,651 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 2.8% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 64.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas is forecast, with the area expected to increase by 6,591 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 33.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst when compared nationally

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has seen around 76 new homes approved each year, with 382 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 10 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 4.7 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is substantially lagging demand, which generally means heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $368,000. Additionally, $7.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

Relative to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst shows substantially reduced construction (73.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. New building activity consists of 82.0% detached houses and 18.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes. With around 607 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst reflects a highly mature market.

Looking ahead, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is expected to grow by 6,514 residents through to 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 20 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Casey Central Town Centre Development, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, and Lynbrook Greens Estate, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a well-educated workforce, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 4.6%, and 3.3% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 10,994 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.2% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (76.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 22.8% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. The area shows particularly strong specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 6.0% versus the regional average of 9.2%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 3.3% alongside labour force increasing by 4.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.3 percentage points. This compares to Greater Melbourne, where employment grew by 2.4%, labour force expanded by 2.8%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Lynbrook - Lyndhurst SA2's income level is lower than average on a national basis according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Lynbrook - Lyndhurst SA2's median income among taxpayers is $56,037 and the average income stands at $64,536, which compares to figures for Greater Melbourne's of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,660 (median) and $69,860 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 84th percentile ($2,330 weekly). Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 43.8% of residents (8,546 people), consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.8% in the same category. A significant 30.6% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting pockets of prosperity that drive robust local economic activity. High housing costs consume 17.0% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 82nd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 93.7% houses and 6.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst was lagging that of Melbourne metro, at 14.9%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (64.5%) or rented (20.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Melbourne metro average at $2,080, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $416, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 89.9% of all households, comprising 62.2% couples with children, 17.1% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households comprising 1.8% of the total. The median household size of 3.5 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (33.1% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the SA3 area average of 24.6%, reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.0%) and certificates (16.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 49 active transport stops operating within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 11 individual routes, collectively providing 3,891 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 271 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 87%, with 8% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 22.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 555 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 79 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~9,990 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be asthma and diabetes, impacting 5.7 and 4.7% of residents, respectively, while 80.9% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 9.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,808 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 60.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 55.9% born overseas. The main religion in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is Christianity, which makes up 37.3% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Other, which comprises 9.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst are Other, comprising 33.8% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Indian, comprising 15.4% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 4.2%, and Australian, comprising 11.2% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 18.4%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is notably overrepresented at 3.6% of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst (vs 0.8% regionally), Samoan at 1.2% (vs 0.3%), and Filipino at 3.1% (vs 1.3%).

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

At 34 years, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's median age is somewhat lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and similarly considerably younger than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (15.7%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (12.4%). Since the 2021 Census, residents have aged by 1.1 years on average, with the median rising from 33 to 34. Specifically, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.7% to 14.5% of the population, while the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 8.0% to 9.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 14.1% to 12.4% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 17.4% to 15.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Lynbrook - Lyndhurst. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 49%, adding 1,389 residents to reach 4,225. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort grows by a modest 9% (119 people).