Lynbrook - Lyndhurst

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's population was 19,512 as of February 2026, an increase of 8.2% since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 18,027. This change is inferred from ABS estimates and validated new addresses between June 2024 and the Census date. The population density was 2,651 persons per square kilometer, placing Lynbrook - Lyndhurst in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending February 2026, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst had a compound annual growth rate of 2.8%, driven primarily by overseas migration contributing approximately 64.6% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projects a significant population increase in the area, expecting it to rise by 33.4% from February 2026 to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reaching a total of 26,093 persons.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas is forecast, with the area expected to increase by 6,591 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting recording a gain of 33.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst when compared nationally

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has seen approximately 76 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 382 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 4.7 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed each year during this period.

This supply lagging demand typically results in heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $368,000. In FY-26, around $7.0 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 73.0% fewer new dwellings per person on average.

This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. The majority of new building activity consists of detached houses (82.0%), with medium and high-density housing making up the remainder (18.0%), maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 607 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst reflects a highly mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is projected to grow by approximately 6,514 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified twenty projects likely to influence the area. Notable projects include Casey Central Town Centre Development, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, and Lynbrook Greens Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a highly skilled workforce with prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.2% as of the latest figures, with an estimated employment growth of 3.8% over the past year. As of September 2025, 10,926 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, 0.4% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate.

Workforce participation was 75.5%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Approximately 22.8% of residents worked from home according to Census responses. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing showed strong specialization with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, education & training had lower representation at 6.0% compared to the regional average of 9.2%. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 3.8%, while labour force grew by 5.0%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 1.1 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment grew by 3.0%, labour force expanded by 3.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Lynbrook - Lyndhurst SA2's median income among taxpayers was $56,037 and average income stood at $64,536 in financial year 2023. These figures are lower than Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth suggest the median income will be approximately $60,660 and the average will be around $69,860. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 84th percentile with a weekly income of $2,330. The income distribution shows that 43.8% of residents (8,546 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket. A significant 30.6% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 17.0% of income but strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.7% houses and 6.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst stood at 14.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 64.5% and rented ones at 20.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,080, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in the area was $416, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,080 vs Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.9% of all households, including 62.2% couples with children, 17.1% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.1%, consisting of 8.3% lone person households and 1.8% group households. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational qualifications exceed the regional average, with 33.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to the SA3 area average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (13.0%) and certificates (16.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 35.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows that Lynbrook-Lyndhurst has 49 active transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 11 different routes, providing a total of 3891 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living within 271 meters from the nearest stop. As it is predominantly residential, most residents commute outwards, primarily by car (87%), followed by train (8%). On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 22.8% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 555 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 79 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (around 9,990 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and diabetes, impacting 5.7 and 4.7% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 80.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. As of September 2021, 9.3% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,808 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 60.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 55.9% born overseas. The main religion in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is Christianity, comprising 37.3% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Other religions, which comprises 9.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst are Other (33.8%), Indian (15.4%), and Australian (11.2%). Notably, Other ancestry is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, while Australian ancestry is notably lower at 11.2% compared to the regional average of 18.4%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan (3.6%), Samoan (1.2%), and Filipino (3.1%) are overrepresented in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst compared to their respective regional averages of 0.8%, 0.3%, and 1.3%.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.4%). Between the 2021 Census and now, residents have aged on average by 1.1 years, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. The 15-24 age group has increased from 12.7% to 14.5%, while the 55-64 cohort has risen from 8.0% to 9.6%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 14.1% to 12.4%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 17.4% to 15.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Lynbrook - Lyndhurst. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow by 49%, adding 1,389 residents to reach a total of 4,225. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age cohort is expected to grow by a modest 9% (adding 119 people).