Lynbrook - Lyndhurst

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's population is around 19,512 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,485 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,027. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,435 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 111 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,651 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.8%, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 64.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is forecasted to increase by 6,591 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 33.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst when compared nationally

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has granted approximately 76 residential property approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, a total of 382 homes received approval, with an additional 11 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, around 4.7 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over the past five financial years.

This supply lagging behind demand has led to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, with new homes constructed at an average value of $368,000. In FY-26, there have been $7.0 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has significantly less development activity, approximately 73.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes.

Recent construction comprises 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 607 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst reflects a highly mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 6,514 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 20 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Casey Central Town Centre Development, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, and Lynbrook Greens Estate. The following list details those projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has an educated workforce with strong manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.2% in September 2025, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.8%.

As of September 2025, 10,926 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.4% below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation was 76.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Approximately 22.8% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade, with manufacturing particularly strong at 1.8 times the regional level.

Education & training has limited presence at 6.0%, compared to 9.2% regionally. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.8% while labour force grew by 5.0%, raising unemployment by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,037 and an average income of $64,536. These figures are below the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 30, 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $60,660, with average income around $69,860. Census 2021 data shows household incomes rank at the 84th percentile ($2,330 weekly). Income distribution indicates that 43.8% of residents (8,546 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, similar to Greater Melbourne's 32.8%. High earners comprise 30.6%, suggesting strong economic capacity. Housing costs consume 17.0% of income, but disposable income ranks at the 82nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.7% houses and 6.3% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This differs from Melbourne metro's composition which was 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst stood at 14.9%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (64.5%) or rented (20.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,080, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $416, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 89.9% of all households, including 62.2% couples with children, 17.1% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 33.1%, exceeding the SA3 area average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (13.0%) and certificates (16.2%).

Educational participation is high at 35.7%, with 13.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst has 49 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by 11 routes, offering 3891 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 271 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 87%, while train usage stands at 8%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.8, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.8% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 555 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 79 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~9,990 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and diabetes, impacting 5.7 and 4.7% of residents respectively. 80.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 8.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,687 people), which is lower than the 14.9% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 60.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 55.9% born overseas. The main religion in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst is Christianity, comprising 37.3% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other religions, which comprises 9.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst are Other (33.8%), Indian (15.4%), and Australian (11.2%). Notably, there is an overrepresentation of Sri Lankan ancestry at 3.6%, Samoan at 1.2%, and Filipino at 3.1%.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population of those aged 15-24 has increased from 12.7% to 14.1%, while the 55-64 age group has grown from 8.0% to 9.1%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 14.1% to 12.7%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 8.0% to 6.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow by 52%, adding 1,454 residents to reach a total of 4,225. In contrast, the 0-4 age cohort is expected to grow minimally by just 6% (80 people).