Lynbrook - Lyndhurst
Statistical Area - sa2

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's population is 19,505 as of August 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,478 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,027. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 19,435 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since then. This results in a density ratio of 2,650 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally. Over the past decade, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 2.8%, outpacing its SA4 region. Overseas migration drove recent population gains, contributing approximately 64.6%.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate a significant increase in the top quartile of statistical areas analysed, with Lynbrook - Lyndhurst expected to increase by 6,591 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, an increase of 33.4% over 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Lynbrook - Lyndhurst when compared nationally

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst has recorded approximately 76 residential properties granted approval each year. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, with 382 homes approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, and 2 so far in FY-26. An average of 4.7 new residents has arrived per dwelling constructed each year over these five years. This demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers.

New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $639,000, somewhat higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. There have been $7.0 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook-Lyndhurst shows substantially reduced construction levels, with 73.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes.

New building activity comprises 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 607 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook-Lyndhurst reflects a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate that Lynbrook-Lyndhurst will gain approximately 6,521 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Casey Central Town Centre Development, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, and Lynbrook Greens Estate. The following list provides details on projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a well-educated workforce with strong manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.2%, and employment growth over the past year is estimated at 3.1%.

As of June 2025, there are 10,800 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.1%, which is 0.5% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is higher at 69.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade, with a notable concentration in manufacturing at 1.8 times the regional average. However, education & training is under-represented, with only 6.0% of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.2%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, while labour force grew by 4.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 1.3 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment rose by 3.5%, labour force grew by 4.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's employment mix indicates potential local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst has a median taxpayer income of $54,363 and an average of $61,628 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is below the national average, with Greater Melbourne having a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,859 (median) and $67,859 (average) as of March 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 85th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,330. The largest income segment comprises 43.8% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (8,543 residents). High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 30.6% of households, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 17.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 82nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 93.7% houses and 6.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 91.5% houses and 8.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst was 14.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 64.5% and rented ones at 20.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,080, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,950. Median weekly rent in Lynbrook-Lyndhurst was $416, compared to Melbourne metro's $386. Nationally, Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,080 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents stood substantially higher at $416 compared to the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 89.9% of all households, including 62.2% couples with children, 17.1% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than Greater Melbourne's average of 3.2.

The educational profile of Lynbrook - Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 33.1% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA3 area average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.0% and certificates at 16.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education. Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's three schools have a combined enrollment of 2,107 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1022) offering balanced educational opportunities. The three schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. School places per 100 residents are 10.8, below the regional average of 15.4, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Lynbrook-Lyndhurst has 47 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 11 individual routes operating in total.

Collectively, these routes provide 5,711 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 272 meters from their nearest stop. On average, there are 815 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 121 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst's health outcomes show notable results, with common conditions present in both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~9,869 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (4.7%), while 80.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 76.4% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 8.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,687 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook-Lyndhurst, as of the 2016 Census, had a population where 60.4% spoke languages other than English at home and 55.9% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 37.3%. Notably, the 'Other' category comprised 9.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 6.5%.

Ancestry-wise, Lynbrook-Lyndhurst had higher percentages than regional averages for Other (33.8% vs 25.5%), Indian (15.4% vs 9.2%), and lower for Australian (11.2% vs 17.7%). There were notable differences in Sri Lankan (3.6% vs 2.2%), Samoan (1.2% vs 1.3%), and Filipino (3.1% vs 2.6%) representation.

Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

At 34 years, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst's median age is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and considerably younger than Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook - Lyndhurst has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.7%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15 to 24 grew from 12.7% to 14.1%, while those aged 55 to 64 increased from 8.0% to 9.1%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25 to 34 decreased from 14.1% to 12.7%, and those aged 0 to 4 dropped from 8.0% to 6.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Lynbrook - Lyndhurst, with the 45 to 54 cohort showing the strongest projected growth of 53%, adding 1,455 residents to reach 4,225. In contrast, the 0 to 4 cohort shows minimal growth of just 6% (81 people).