Cranbourne North - East

Cranbourne North - East lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Cranbourne North - East's population is around 14,406 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,634 people (12.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,772 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,678 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 208 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,643 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Cranbourne North - East's 12.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (8.9%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 53.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas across the nation is forecast, with the area expected to grow by 6,077 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 37.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Cranbourne North - East recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Cranbourne North - East has averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25142 homes were approved, with one additional approval in FY-26 so far. This results in an average of 11.9 new residents per year arriving for each dwelling constructed during this period.

Consequently, demand significantly exceeds new supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $181,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, $4.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne North - East shows substantially reduced construction, with 85.0% fewer approvals per person than the regional average. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. New building activity in Cranbourne North - East consists of 15.0% detached dwellings and 85.0% medium to high-density housing. This trend towards denser development provides accessible entry options, appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 94.0% houses. The location has approximately 7062 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Future projections estimate Cranbourne North - East will add 5,349 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cranbourne North - East has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include WT Business Park, St Peter's College - Clyde North Campus Expansion, Casey Fields Sports and Recreation Complex with City Football Academy, and Hunt Club Village Shopping Centre Expansion. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Cranbourne North - East remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Cranbourne North - East has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.2% as of September 2021, with an estimated employment growth of 3.6% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 7,440 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.2%, which is 0.5% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Cranbourne North - East is 71.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. The area shows strong specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.0% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.6% while labour force increased by 4.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. As of 25-Nov-22, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cranbourne North - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The median income among taxpayers in Cranbourne North - East SA2 was $55,343 during financial year 2022. The average income stood at $62,742 for the same period. Nationally, these figures were lower than the national averages of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively in Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes are approximately $62,073 and $70,371 based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranks at the 77th percentile ($2,184 weekly), while personal income is at the 60th percentile. The earnings profile shows that 45.9% of locals (6,612 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, similar to the surrounding region where 32.8% occupy this category. High housing costs consume 18.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 73rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Cranbourne North - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Cranbourne North-East, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.5% houses and 5.4% other dwellings. In contrast, Melbourne metro had 91.5% houses and 8.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cranbourne North-East was at 9.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.1% and rented ones at 28.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,029, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,950. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $401, compared to Melbourne metro's $386. Nationally, Cranbourne North-East's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Cranbourne North - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 89.5% of all households, including 61.4% couples with children, 14.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.5%, with lone person households at 8.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

The educational profile of Cranbourne North - East exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 32.0%, higher than the SA3 average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 30.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.5% and certificates at 17.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 38.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.6% in primary, 10.8% in secondary, and 5.4% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cranbourne North - East has 29 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes that together facilitate 2,609 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average being located 226 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there is an average service frequency of 372 trips per day, which equates to approximately 89 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cranbourne North - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cranbourne North-East shows excellent health outcomes with low prevalence rates for common conditions across all ages.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% of the total population (~7,361 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.3% and 4.8% of residents respectively. A higher proportion, 81.7%, report no medical ailments compared to Greater Melbourne's 76.4%. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 6.1% (878 people), lower than the 9.6% in Greater Melbourne. While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they require more attention than those of the broader population.

Cranbourne North - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cranbourne North-East is one of Australia's most culturally diverse areas, with 58.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 53.5% born overseas by the year 2016 census. Christianity was the predominant religion in Cranbourne North-East, comprising 36.6%. However, Islam was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 16.0% of the population.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' was the largest group at 33.2%, followed by Australian at 13.6% and Indian at 12.8%. Notably, Sri Lankan (4.2%) and Serbian (0.7%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Samoan (1.2%) was slightly underrepresented.

Cranbourne North - East hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Cranbourne North - East has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne North - East has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (18.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.3%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between 2021 and now, the population aged 45 to 54 has increased from 11.9% to 13.9%, while those aged 15 to 24 have risen from 13.4% to 15.3%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 14.3% to 12.3%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 9.3% to 7.5%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Cranbourne North - East's age profile. The 45 to 54 age cohort is expected to expand considerably, growing by 1,438 people (72%) from 1,999 to 3,438. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 age group is projected to grow modestly by 9% (98 people).