Cranbourne North - East

Cranbourne North - East lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Cranbourne North - East's population is around 13,678 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 906 people (7.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,772 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,678 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 208 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,509 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Cranbourne North - East has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with an 8.6% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 53.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national areas is forecast, with the area expected to grow by 6,077 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 44.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Cranbourne North - East recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Cranbourne North - East has seen approximately 28 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25142 homes were approved, with one more approved in FY-26 so far. On average, this results in about 11.9 new residents each year for every home built during these years.

This supply has been substantially lagging demand, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $181,000, reflecting more affordable housing options in the area compared to regional norms. In this financial year, $4.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating the residential character of the area. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne North - East records significantly lower building activity, at 85.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings usually strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This trend is also evident when compared nationally, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development in the area consists of 15.0% standalone homes and 85.0% attached dwellings.

This shift towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 94.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Cranbourne North - East has approximately 7062 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the location is projected to add 6,077 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Cranbourne North - East has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 44thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified ten projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include WT Business Park, St Peter's College - Clyde North Campus Expansion, Casey Fields Sports and Recreation Complex with City Football Academy, and Hunt Club Village Shopping Centre Expansion. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Cranbourne North - East has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Cranbourne North - East has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.2% as of September 2021, with an estimated employment growth of 3.6% over the past year. As of September 2025, 7440 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 5.2%, 0.5% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation in Cranbourne North - East is 77.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 21.6% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a notable concentration in manufacturing at 1.6 times the regional average. Professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.0%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.6% while labour force increased by 4.9%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cranbourne North - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Cranbourne North - East SA2 is $58,591, with an average of $65,864 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below the national average. Greater Melbourne's median income is $57,688 and average income is $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $63,425 (median) and $71,298 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranks at the 77th percentile ($2,184 weekly), while personal income sits at the 60th percentile. Distribution data shows that 45.9% of the population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. High housing costs consume 18.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 73rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Cranbourne North - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Census data from Cranbourne North - East shows 94.5% of dwellings are houses, with the remaining 5.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cranbourne North - East stands at 9.7%, with mortgages at 62.1% and rentals at 28.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,029, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000 and the national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Cranbourne North - East is $401, above Melbourne metro's $390 and the national figure of $375.

Cranbourne North - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.5% of all households, including 61.4% couples with children, 14.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.5%, with lone person households at 8.8% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Cranbourne North - East exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 32.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 13.5% and certificates for 17.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 38.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.6% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cranbourne North - East has 29 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by seven different routes, offering a total of 1,568 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average being located 226 meters from the nearest stop. In this predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward, primarily by car (91%), while 6% use trains. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 21.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 224 trips daily, equating to roughly 54 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cranbourne North - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cranbourne North - East shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~7,098 people), slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.3% and 4.8% of residents respectively. A total of 81.7% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 6.6% (904 people), compared to 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Cranbourne North - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cranbourne North-East has significant cultural diversity, with 58.3% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 53.5% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Cranbourne North-East, comprising 36.6% of the population, but Islam is notably overrepresented at 16.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 5.6%. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (33.2%), Australian (13.6%), and Indian (12.8%).

Notably, Sri Lankan ancestry is overrepresented at 4.2% in Cranbourne North-East compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Samoan at 1.2% versus 0.3%, and Serbian at 0.7% against 0.4%.

Cranbourne North - East hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 31 years, Cranbourne North-East's median age is notably lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne North-East has a higher concentration of 5-14 residents (18.5%) but fewer 25-34 year-olds (11.9%), with this age group being well above the national average of 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, demographic aging is evident as the median age has advanced from 30 to 31 years. Notable shifts include the 45 to 54 age group growing from 11.9% to 14.3%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 13.4% to 15.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 14.3% to 11.9%, and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 9.3% to 7.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Cranbourne North-East, with the 45 to 54 age cohort projected to increase markedly by 1,479 people (76%), from 1,958 to 3,438.