Cranbourne North - East
Statistical Area - sa2

Cranbourne North - East lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Cranbourne North - East's population was around 14,406 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 1,634 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,772. The change is inferred from ABS estimates showing an estimated resident population of 13,678 in June 2024 and an additional 208 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,643 persons per square kilometer, placing Cranbourne North - East in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate of 12.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages, indicating it as a growth leader regionally. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.4% of overall population gains during recent periods in Cranbourne North - East.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 adjusted via weighted aggregation for areas not covered by ABS data. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections indicate exceptional growth, placing Cranbourne North - East in the top 10 percent of statistical areas analyzed by AreaSearch. The area is expected to grow by 6,077 persons by 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting an increase of 37.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Cranbourne North - East recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Cranbourne North - East averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 142 homes were approved, with an additional one approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 11.9 new residents arriving per year for each dwelling constructed during this period.

The demand significantly exceeds the supply, which typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $181,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, $4.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating the area's residential character. When compared to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne North - East shows substantially reduced construction levels, with 85.0% fewer new dwellings approved per person than the regional average. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. The area also has a lower level of construction activity when measured against national averages, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. The new building activity in Cranbourne North - East consists of 15.0% detached dwellings and 85.0% medium and high-density housing.

This shift towards denser development provides accessible entry options, appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 94.0% houses. This trend may indicate decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. With approximately 7062 people per dwelling approval, Cranbourne North - East demonstrates an established market. Future projections suggest that by 2041, the area will add around 5349 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cranbourne North - East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are St Peter's College - Clyde North Campus Expansion, WT Business Park, Casey Fields Sports and Recreation Complex with City Football Academy, and Hunt Club Village Shopping Centre Expansion. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Cranbourne North - East remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Cranbourne North - East has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.9% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.2%. In June 2025, 7,432 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Cranbourne North - East was 71.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing.

The area shows strong specialization in manufacturing with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.0% versus the regional average of 10.1%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force grew by 4.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and a 0.5 percentage point increase in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cranbourne North - East's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch reports that Cranbourne North - East had a median taxpayer income of $55,343 and an average income of $62,742 in financial year 2022. These figures are slightly lower than the national averages of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively for Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, adjusted for a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since FY2022, median income is estimated at approximately $62,073 and average income at $70,371. According to Census 2021 data, household income ranks at the 77th percentile ($2,184 weekly), while personal income is at the 60th percentile. The earnings profile shows that 45.9% of locals (6,612 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket. High housing costs consume 18.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 74th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Cranbourne North - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Census data shows that in Cranbourne North-East, 94.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.4% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Melbourne's metropolitan area, where 91.5% of dwellings are houses and 8.5% are other types. Home ownership in Cranbourne North-East was at 9.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.1% and rented ones at 28.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,029, higher than Melbourne's average of $1,950. The median weekly rent figure for Cranbourne North-East was $401, compared to Melbourne's $386. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375 per week.

Cranbourne North - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 89.5% of all households, including 61.4% couples with children, 14.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.5%, with lone person households at 8.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

The educational profile of Cranbourne North - East exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 32.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas comprise 13.5% and certificates make up 17.4%.

Educational participation is high at 38.9%, including 14.6% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education. Cranbourne North - East's 3 schools have combined enrollment reaching 3,432 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1017) offering balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 2 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups. The area serves as an education hub with 24.1 school places per 100 residents – significantly above the regional average of 15.4 – attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows 29 active public transport stops in Cranbourne North - East, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 2,609 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport is considered good, with residents on average being located 226 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 372 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 89 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cranbourne North - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cranbourne North-East shows excellent health outcomes with low prevalence of common conditions across all ages.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51%, slightly below the average SA2 area's rate (~7,361 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.3% and 4.8% of residents respectively. A total of 81.7% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 76.4%. Only 6.1% of residents are aged 65 or over (878 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 9.6%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being strong overall.

Cranbourne North - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cranbourne North-East has one of the most culturally diverse populations in Australia, with 58.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 53.5% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Cranbourne North-East, making up 36.6% of its population. However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented, comprising 8.4% compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 5.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 33.2%, Australian at 13.6%, and Indian at 12.8%. Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Sri Lankan is overrepresented at 4.2% compared to the regional average of 2.2%, Samoan is slightly underrepresented at 1.2% versus 1.3%, and Serbian is also overrepresented at 0.7% compared to 0.5%.

Cranbourne North - East hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Cranbourne North-East's median age is 31, lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. It has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (18.9%) compared to Greater Melbourne (16.2%) and Australia (12.2%). The population aged 25-34 is lower than Greater Melbourne's average, at 12.3%. From 2021 to present, the 45-54 age group has increased from 11.9% to 13.9%, while the 15-24 cohort rose from 13.4% to 15.3%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 14.3% to 12.3%, and the 0-4 group dropped from 9.3% to 7.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Cranbourne North-East's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is expected to grow by 72% (1,438 people), increasing from 1,999 to 3,438. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 9%, adding 98 people.