Lynbrook

Lynbrook lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Lynbrook is estimated at around 10,637 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,516 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,121. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation based on latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2025) and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,613 persons per square kilometer, placing Lynbrook in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Lynbrook's growth rate of 16.6% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state average (9.3%) and the national average. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the suburb.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of national statistical areas, with Lynbrook expected to increase by 3,468 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 32.6% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Lynbrook among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Lynbrook has averaged approximately 59 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 297 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 12 approvals have been recorded. On average, between FY-21 and FY-25, around 3.9 new residents arrived per year for each dwelling constructed. This indicates that supply is lagging behind demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction value of new properties in Lynbrook is approximately $639,000, suggesting developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26 so far, there have been $65,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook shows substantially reduced construction activity, with 58.0% fewer approvals per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties.

Recent construction comprises approximately 79.0% detached dwellings and 21.0% attached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. The location has approximately 353 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Lynbrook is forecasted to gain around 3,468 residents through to 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Lynbrook has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eleven projects expected to impact the region. Notable projects include the 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, Lynbrook Greens Estate, and the 40 Olive Road Development Site. The following list outlines those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Lynbrook shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Lynbrook has an educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.8% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.6%.

As of December 2025, 5,512 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate matching Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. Workforce participation was lower at 67.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Approximately 19.4% of residents worked from home, factoring in Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade.

Manufacturing shows notable concentration with levels at 1.8 times the regional average. Professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by resident population vs working population counts. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.6% while labour force rose by 5.1%, raising the unemployment rate by 1.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lynbrook's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 shows median income in Lynbrook is $49,266 and average income is $55,850. In Greater Melbourne, median income is $57,688 and average income is $75,164. By March 2026, estimated median income in Lynbrook would be approximately $54,005 and average income $61,223, considering a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year ended June 2023. Census 2021 data shows household income ranks at the 78th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,212, while personal income is at the 45th percentile. In Lynbrook, 43.3% (4,605 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, similar to the broader area's 32.8%. Housing costs consume 16.1% of income, with disposable income ranking at the 77th percentile. Lynbrook's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Lynbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lynbrook's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.2% houses and 7.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook was at 18.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 60.1% and rented ones at 21.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,962, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $401, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lynbrook's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 88.8% of all households, including 59.9% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.2%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households making up 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lynbrook exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Lynbrook's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's regional benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 28.4% hold university degrees compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 29.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (17.0%). Educational participation is notably high, with 34.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lynbrook has 27 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that together facilitate 2,300 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically living within 274 meters of the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most Lynbrook residents commute outward from their homes. Cars remain the primary mode of transport for this purpose at an 87% rate, while trains are used by 8%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling in Lynbrook is 1.9, which exceeds the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 19.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages at 328 trips per day, equating to approximately 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lynbrook's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Lynbrook's health data shows positive outcomes overall, matching national benchmarks for mortality rates and common health conditions. The prevalence of these conditions is low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts compared to national averages. Private health cover stands at approximately 49% (5,210 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and diabetes are the most common conditions, affecting 5.7% and 5.5% respectively, with 78.3% reporting no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Lynbrook has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 10.6% (1,127 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking lower than the broader population nationally.

Lynbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook has one of the highest language diversity rates in the country, with 59.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 56.7% of Lynbrook's population resides there. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 39.4%.

Notably, the 'Other' category comprises 7.7%, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%. In ancestry, 'Other' leads at 34.6%, substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%. Indian ancestry is also prominent at 14.5%, surpassing the regional average of 4.2%. Conversely, Australian ancestry is lower at 11.3% compared to the regional average of 18.4%. Some ethnic groups show significant representation: Sri Lankan at 4.0%, Samoan at 1.4%, and Serbian at 0.5%.

Lynbrook's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 at 16.4%, but fewer residents aged 25-34 at 12.8%. Between the 2021 Census and the current time, the 15-24 age group has increased from 14.7% to 16.4%, while the 55-64 cohort has grown from 9.6% to 10.8%. Conversely, the 0-4 age group has decreased from 7.2% to 5.6%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 15.9% to 14.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Lynbrook. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow by 46%, adding 733 residents to reach a total of 2,318. In contrast, the 0-4 age cohort is expected to show minimal growth of just 6%, adding only 38 people.