Lynbrook

Lynbrook lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026 the suburb of Lynbrook's population is estimated at around 10,461. This reflects an increase of 1,340 people (14.7%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 9,121 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 10,426 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,570 persons per square kilometer, placing Lynbrook in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Lynbrook's growth rate of 14.7% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas is forecast, with the suburb expected to expand by 3,907 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 32.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Lynbrook among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Lynbrook has seen approximately 59 dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 297 homes were approved, with an additional 9 in FY-26 so far. Each new dwelling attracts about 3.4 people annually over the past five financial years.

This supply lagging behind demand suggests heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers target the premium market segment, with new dwellings valued at around $639,000 on average. In FY-26, there have been $65,000 in commercial development approvals, indicating Lynbrook's residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook has significantly less development activity, which is 58.0% below the regional average per person.

This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. New development consists of 79.0% standalone homes and 21.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Lynbrook's suburban nature with a focus on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 338 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook shows a developing market. Population forecasts indicate Lynbrook will gain 3,369 residents by 2041, keeping pace with building activity despite potential heightened competition as the population grows.

Lynbrook has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified twelve projects likely to affect the region. Notable projects include the 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, Lynbrook Greens Estate, and the 40 Olive Road Development Site. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Lynbrook demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Lynbrook has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 4.4%, and there was an estimated employment growth of 3.9% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 5,427 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.3% lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. A moderate 19.4% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Lynbrook specializes in manufacturing with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level, while professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.2% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.9%, and labour force grew by 5.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.1 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.0%, labour force grew by 3.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Lynbrook's employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment profile.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Lynbrook had an income level below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ending June 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $49,266 and the average income stood at $55,850. These figures compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% projected the median income to be approximately $53,330 and the average income to be around $60,458. The 2021 Census showed household income ranked at the 78th percentile ($2,212 weekly) and personal income at the 45th percentile. In Lynbrook, 43.3% of the population (4,529 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort represented 32.8%. High housing costs consumed 16.1% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 77th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 4th decile.

Lynbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lynbrook's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.2% houses and 7.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook was at 18.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 60.1% and rented ones at 21.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,962, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $401, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lynbrook's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,962 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $401 against the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 88.8% of all households, including 59.9% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.2%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lynbrook exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Lynbrook's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's benchmarks. As of 2016, 28.4% of Lynbrook residents aged 15+ held university degrees, compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. The most common qualification was bachelor degrees at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials were prominent among residents aged 15+, with 29.0% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (17.0%).

Educational participation was high in Lynbrook, with 34.8% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This included primary education (11.5%), secondary education (10.0%), and tertiary education (6.4%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lynbrook has 27 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that together facilitate approximately 2,300 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's location to the nearest transport stop is 274 meters, indicating good accessibility. Most residents commute outwards due to Lynbrook's primarily residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 87%, with train use at 8%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 19.4% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes is approximately 328 trips per day, resulting in about 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lynbrook's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows Lynbrook residents have relatively positive health outcomes. AreaSearch's analysis found mortality rates and health conditions broadly align with national benchmarks. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher in older, at-risk cohorts compared to national averages.

Private health cover is relatively low, with approximately 49% (5,123 people) covered, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Nationally, it stands at 55.7%. The most common conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 5.7% and 5.5% respectively. 78.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Lynbrook has 11.2% (1,171 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Lynbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook has one of the most culturally diverse populations in the country, with 59.4 percent speaking a language other than English at home and 56.7 percent born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lynbrook, making up 39.4 percent of its population. However, the category 'Other' comprises 7.7 percent, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3 percent.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 34.6 percent (compared to regional average of 14.6 percent), Indian at 14.5 percent (compared to regional average of 4.2 percent), and Australian at 11.3 percent (notably lower than the regional average of 18.4 percent). Some other ethnic groups notably overrepresented in Lynbrook include Sri Lankan at 4.0 percent versus regional average of 0.8 percent, Samoan at 1.4 percent versus regional average of 0.3 percent, and Serbian at 0.5 percent versus regional average of 0.4 percent.

Lynbrook's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook's median age in 2021 was 34 years, lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook had a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, residents have aged on average by 1 year, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the percentage of residents aged 15-24 increased from 14.7% to 16.2%, while those aged 55-64 rose from 9.6% to 10.9%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 5-14 decreased from 15.9% to 13.9%, and those aged 35-44 dropped from 15.8% to 13.9%. Population forecasts for Lynbrook in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow by 43%, adding 672 residents to reach a total of 2,221. The 0-4 age cohort is projected to grow by a modest 6% (33 people).