Lynbrook

Lynbrook lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of the Lynbrook statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 10,461 people. This reflects an increase of 1,340 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,121 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 10,426, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,570 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Lynbrook's growth rate of 14.7% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.7%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, the Lynbrook (SA2) is expected to expand by 3,911 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 32.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Lynbrook among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Lynbrook has experienced around 59 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Approximately 297 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional nine approved so far in FY-26. On average, 3.4 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years, indicating substantial demand outpacing supply, which often results in heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

Developers target the premium market segment, with new dwellings valued at an average of $639,000. In FY-26, $65,000 worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Lynbrook's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook has significantly less development activity, 58.0% below the regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. New development consists of 79.0% standalone homes and 21.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Lynbrook's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of around 338 people per dwelling approval.

Population forecasts indicate Lynbrook will gain approximately 3,369 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though heightened competition among buyers can be expected as the population grows.

Lynbrook has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified twelve projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include the 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, Lynbrook Greens Estate, and the 40 Olive Road Development Site. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Lynbrook demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Lynbrook has an educated workforce with strong manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.4% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 4%.

As of September 2025, 5,448 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, 0.3% below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing employment is high at 1.8 times the regional level, while professional & technical services are lower at 6.2%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.0% and labour force grew by 5.3%, raising unemployment by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts suggest employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lynbrook's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Lynbrook had an income level below the national average based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Lynbrook was $49,266 and the average income stood at $55,850, compared to Greater Melbourne's figures of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Using Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Lynbrook would be approximately $53,330 (median) and $60,458 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household income ranked at the 78th percentile ($2,212 weekly), while personal income was at the 45th percentile. The data showed that 43.3% of Lynbrook's population (4,529 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort represented 32.8%. High housing costs consumed 16.1% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 77th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 4th decile.

Lynbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Lynbrook's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.2% houses and 7.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 91.5% houses and 8.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook was at 18.8%, similar to Melbourne metro's level. Dwellings were either mortgaged (60.1%) or rented (21.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,962, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,950. The median weekly rent figure was $401, compared to Melbourne metro's $386. Nationally, Lynbrook's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 88.8% of all households, including 59.9% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.2%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

The educational profile of Lynbrook exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Lynbrook's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's benchmarks, with 28.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding university degrees compared to the regional average of 37.0%. This disparity suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement in Lynbrook. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.0%, while certificates make up 17.0%.

Educational participation is notably high in Lynbrook, with 34.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lynbrook's public transport analysis indicates 26 active stops operating within the area, consisting of a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 8 individual routes, collectively facilitating 2,300 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 274 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 328 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 88 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lynbrook's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Lynbrook, with younger age groups experiencing particularly low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 49% (~5,123 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 5.7 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 78.3% report no medical ailments, compared to 76.4% in Greater Melbourne. In Lynbrook, 10.5% (~1,098 people) are aged 65 and over. While health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population, they present some challenges.

Lynbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook has one of the most culturally diverse populations in the country, with 59.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 56.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lynbrook, comprising 39.4% of its population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprises 7.7%, higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 6.5%.

In terms of ancestry, Lynbrook's top groups are Other (34.6%), Indian (14.5%), and Australian (11.3%). The percentage for Other is substantially higher than the regional average of 25.5%, while Indian is also higher at 14.5% compared to 9.2%. Conversely, Australian ancestry is notably lower in Lynbrook at 11.3%, compared to the regional average of 17.7%. Additionally, certain ethnic groups show notable differences: Sri Lankan (4.0% vs 2.2%), Samoan (1.4% vs 1.3%), and Serbian (0.5% vs 0.5%).

Lynbrook's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (15.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.2%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 14.7% to 15.9%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 15.9% to 14.4%, and the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has fallen from 13.7% to 12.2%. By 2041, Lynbrook's population is projected to undergo significant demographic changes. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 46%, adding 700 residents and reaching a total of 2,217. In contrast, the number of residents aged 35-44 is forecasted to decrease by 23%.