Lynbrook

Lynbrook lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Lynbrook's population is estimated at around 9,941, reflecting an increase of 820 people since the 2021 Census. The suburb had a population of 9,121 in 2021. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population as 9,908 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, combined with an additional 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. Lynbrook's population density is approximately 2,442 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 9.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 8.9%. Overseas migration contributed about 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Lynbrook is projected to increase by 3,900 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of approximately 39.0% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Lynbrook when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Lynbrook has experienced around 57 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 288 homes between FY-21 and FY-25. So far in FY-26, three approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.5 new residents are associated with every home built during this period.

This demand outpaces supply, which typically influences prices upwards and increases competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $639,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In FY-26, $5.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to residential. Lynbrook records markedly lower building activity than Greater Melbourne, with 59.0% fewer approvals per person. This constrained new construction reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings.

New building activity shows 76.0% standalone homes and 24.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This marks a significant departure from the current housing pattern of 92.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Lynbrook shows a developed market with around 502 people per dwelling approval. Looking ahead, Lynbrook is expected to grow by 3,878 residents through to 2041 according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Lynbrook has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Eleven projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include the 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, Lynbrook Greens Estate, and 40 Olive Road Development Site. The following list details those expected to have significant relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lynbrook has been broadly consistent with national averages

Lynbrook has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3% over the past year.

As of June 2025, 5,388 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%, 0.3% below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing has notable concentration, with levels at 1.8 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.2% versus the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, labour force by 4.7%, leading to a 1.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. In Greater Melbourne, employment rose by 3.5%, labour force grew by 4.0%, with unemployment rising by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lynbrook's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Lynbrook had a median taxpayer income of $49,266 and an average income of $55,850 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. This was below the national average, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $55,257 (median) and $62,641 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranked at the 78th percentile ($2,212 weekly), while personal income was at the 45th percentile. Distribution data showed that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominated with 43.3% of residents (4,304 people), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. High housing costs consumed 16.1% of income, though strong earnings still placed disposable income at the 77th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Lynbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Lynbrook's housing structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.2% houses and 7.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 91.5% houses and 8.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lynbrook was 18.8%, similar to Melbourne metro's rate. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (60.1%) or rented (21.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Lynbrook was $1,962, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,950 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Lynbrook was $401, compared to Melbourne metro's $386 and the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 88.8% of all households, including 59.9% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.2%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 3.2.

The educational profile of Lynbrook exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Lynbrook trail Greater Melbourne benchmarks, with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the regional average of 37.0%. This indicates potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.0% and certificates for 17.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary, 10.0% in secondary, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. Lynbrook has two primary schools - St Francis De Sales Catholic Primary School and Lynbrook Primary School - serving a total of 1,181 students. These schools have typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1033) with balanced educational opportunities. Both focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. The area has 11.9 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 15.4, suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lynbrook has 26 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 8 different routes, collectively facilitating 3,033 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is good, with residents generally located 277 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 433 trips per day across all routes, equating to around 116 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lynbrook's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Lynbrook, with younger age groups particularly experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 49% (~4,869 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (5.5%). A total of 78.3% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 76.4%. Lynbrook has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 10.6% (1,053 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.6%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Lynbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook has one of the most culturally diverse populations in the country, with 59.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 56.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lynbrook, comprising 39.4% of its population. However, the category 'Other' is notably overrepresented, making up 7.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 6.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (34.6%), Indian (14.5%), and Australian (11.3%). Lynbrook has notable divergences in certain ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is overrepresented at 4.0%, Samoan at 1.4%, and Serbian at 0.5%.

Lynbrook's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 at 15.9%, but fewer residents aged 25-34 at 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 14.7% to 15.9%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 15.9% to 14.4%, and the proportion aged 25-34 has dropped from 13.7% to 12.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Lynbrook. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 54%, adding 773 residents to reach a total of 2,215. In contrast, the 0-4 age group is expected to grow by only 7%, with an increase of 38 people.