Lynbrook

Lynbrook lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, Lynbrook's estimated population is around 10,461 as of February 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,340 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,121. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 10,426 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. Lynbrook's density ratio is 2,570 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 14.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.9%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Lynbrook is forecasted to have a significant population increase, with an expected expansion of 3,878 persons, reflecting a gain of 36.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Lynbrook among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Lynbrook has seen approximately 59 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 297 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY-26. Each year, about 3.4 people move to the area for each dwelling built during these five financial years.

This indicates substantial demand outstripping supply, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers target the premium market segment, with new dwellings valued at an average of $639,000. In FY-26, $65,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Lynbrook's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook has significantly less development activity, which is 59.0% below the regional average per person.

This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. New development comprises 79.0% standalone homes and 21.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Lynbrook's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 338 people per dwelling approval, Lynbrook exhibits a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain approximately 3,843 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Lynbrook has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Area performance is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of twelve projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include the 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, Banksia of Lynbrook Estate Residences, Lynbrook Greens Estate, and the 40 Olive Road Development Site, with the following list providing details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Lynbrook remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Lynbrook has an educated workforce with prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.7% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 3.4%. As of December 2025, 5,461 residents were employed, aligning with Greater Melbourne's 4.8% unemployment rate but having lower workforce participation at 68.8%.

About 19.4% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly specialized with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.2%.

The area seems to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.4% and labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a 1.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force increase by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, suggest Lynbrook's employment could increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Lynbrook had an income level below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ending June 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Lynbrook was $49,266 and the average income stood at $55,850. This compares to figures for Greater Melbourne of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $53,330 (median) and $60,458 (average). According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household income ranked at the 78th percentile ($2,212 weekly), while personal income was at the 45th percentile. The data showed that 43.3% of Lynbrook's population (4,529 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represented 32.8%. High housing costs consumed 16.1% of income in Lynbrook, though strong earnings still placed disposable income at the 77th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 4th decile.

Lynbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lynbrook's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.2% houses and 7.8% other dwellings. Compared to Melbourne metro's figures, Lynbrook had a higher proportion of houses (67.9%) and a lower proportion of other dwellings (32.1%). Home ownership in Lynbrook stood at 18.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 60.1% and rented ones at 21.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,962, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Weekly rent median was $401 in Lynbrook, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lynbrook's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Lynbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 88.8% of all households, including 59.9% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.2%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lynbrook exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Lynbrook's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's benchmarks, with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 37.0%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 29.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (17.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.5% in primary, 10.0% in secondary, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lynbrook has 27 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that collectively facilitate 2,300 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is considered good, with residents typically located approximately 274 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most Lynbrook residents commute outward. The car remains the primary mode of transportation for these outward-bound journeys, used by 87% of residents. Train usage accounts for 8%.

On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling in Lynbrook, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 19.4% of Lynbrook residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 328 trips per day, equating to around 85 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lynbrook's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Lynbrook residents, with AreaSearch's analysis indicating mortality rates and health conditions align with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 49% of the total population (~5,123 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (5.5%), with 78.3% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Lynbrook has 11.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,182 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Lynbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lynbrook's population is culturally diverse, with 59.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 56.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 39.4%. The category 'Other' is overrepresented at 7.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other', Indian, and Australian are the top three groups, at 34.6%, 14.5%, and 11.3% respectively. Notably, Sri Lankan (4.0%), Samoan (1.4%), and Serbian (0.5%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.8%, 0.3%, and 0.4% respectively.

Lynbrook's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lynbrook's median age is 34 years, lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lynbrook has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 years (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 years (12.1%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the percentage of residents aged 15-24 years has increased from 14.7% to 16.2%, while those aged 55-64 have grown from 9.6% to 10.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has declined from 15.9% to 14.3%, and those aged 25-34 have decreased from 13.7% to 12.1%. By 2041, Lynbrook's population is forecasted to experience significant demographic changes. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 49%, adding 766 residents to reach a total of 2,336. In contrast, the 0-4 age cohort is expected to show minimal growth of just 8% (48 people).