Lyndhurst (Vic.)

Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Lyndhurst's population is estimated at around 9,585, reflecting an increase of 659 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 7.4% change from the previous population count of 8,926. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and ABS ERP data released in Jun 2024, with an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,029 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Lyndhurst has demonstrated a compound annual growth rate of 2.6%, outpacing its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase by 2,698 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 27.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Lyndhurst recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval data indicates Lyndhurst averaged around 18 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 94 homes were approved, with an additional 3 approved so far in FY-26. Each dwelling built attracted an average of 8.4 people over the past five financial years.

This supply lagging demand suggests heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $639,000, moderately above regional levels, indicating a focus on quality construction.

Commercial approvals this year totalled $1.3 million, predominantly reflecting residential development. Recent building activity comprises entirely detached dwellings, preserving Lyndhurst's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The area has approximately 756 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. By 2041, Lyndhurst is projected to grow by 2,644 residents. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Lyndhurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include Casey Central Town Centre Development, The Promenade Patterson Lakes, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, and Endeavour Cove Marina Masterplan Redevelopment (Planning Scheme Amendment C205king).

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lyndhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Lyndhurst has an educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 4.0% as of June 2025, which is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.8%. Residents' participation in the workforce is high at 74.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, education & training has lower representation at 6.4% versus the regional average of 9.2%. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.8%, while the labour force grew by 4.1%. This resulted in an unemployment rate rise of 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and a 0.5 percentage point rise in its unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lyndhurst's employment mix indicates local employment growth of 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Lyndhurst had a median taxpayer income of $60,107 and an average income of $68,142. These figures are higher than the national averages of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively in Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, estimated incomes based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $67,416 (median) and $76,428 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Lyndhurst's household, family, and personal incomes between the 74th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 44.0% of individuals in Lyndhurst earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is higher than the broader area where this cohort represents 32.8%. Economic strength is evident with 34.0% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Lyndhurst's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings. In contrast, Melbourne metro had 0% houses and 0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lyndhurst stood at 10.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 69.0% and rented ones at 20.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was $430, unlike Melbourne metro's $0. Nationally, Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Lyndhurst were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.5 people

Family households comprise 91.0% of all households, including 64.4% couples with children, 17.5% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.0%, with lone person households at 7.3% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.5 people.

The educational profile of Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 38.4% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA4 region average of 29.8% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 29.3% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.9% and certificates at 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 14.9% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 5.7% in tertiary education. Lyndhurst Primary School serves the local community with an enrollment of 926 students as of a certain date. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, while secondary options are available in surrounding areas. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1001) with balanced educational opportunities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lyndhurst's public transport analysis shows 22 operational stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 8 unique routes, facilitating 4,832 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 268 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 690 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 219 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lyndhurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Lyndhurst shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 54% (~5,153 people) have private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (3.9%), while 83.5% report no medical ailments. This compares to 0% in Greater Melbourne. In Lyndhurst, 6.7% (~642 people) are aged 65 and over. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyndhurst has a high level of cultural diversity, with 61.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 55.0% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lyndhurst, making up 35.1% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprises 10.4%, significantly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of None%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (32.9%), Indian (16.4%), and Australian (11.1%). Some ethnic groups have notable representation in Lyndhurst compared to broader regional averages: Sri Lankan at 3.1% vs None%, Filipino at 3.7% vs None%, and Samoan at 1.0% vs None%.

Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lyndhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (22.0%), but fewer residents aged 75-84 (1.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of Lyndhurst's population aged 15-24 has increased from 10.8% to 12.2%, while the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has grown from 12.7% to 13.9%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 14.5% to 13.2%, and the proportion of those aged 0-4 has dropped from 8.9% to 7.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Lyndhurst, with the 45-54 age group projected to grow by 51%, adding 679 residents to reach a total of 2,012.