Lyndhurst (Vic.)

Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Lyndhurst (Vic.) statistical area (SA2) is around 9,066. This figure reflects an increase of 140 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,926. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 9,024 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of 20 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 973 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Lyndhurst (Vic.) has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.6%, outperforming its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Lyndhurst (Vic.) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Lyndhurst (Vic.) area is forecasted to increase by 2,687 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 34.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lyndhurst according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Lyndhurst averaged approximately 17 new dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 85 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY26. On average, 9.3 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built during this period, indicating substantial demand outpacing supply and likely heightened buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $639,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $69,000 in commercial approvals registered, predominantly residential-focused.

The new development consists of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Lyndhurst's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes. As of FY25, the location had approximately 3151 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Lyndhurst is expected to grow by 3152 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Lyndhurst has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects that could affect the region. Notable ones include Casey Central Town Centre Development, The Promenade Patterson Lakes, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, and Endeavour Cove Marina Masterplan Redevelopment (Planning Scheme Amendment C205king).

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Lyndhurst ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Lyndhurst has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.1% in September 2025, below Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.6%. Workforce participation in Lyndhurst is high at 74.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

However, education & training is under-represented at 6.4% compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.6%, labour force grew by 4.8%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% with a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. State-level data from November 25 shows Victoria's employment growth was 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts project total employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lyndhurst's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.4% in five years and 13.5% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

In financial year 2023, Lyndhurst had a median income among taxpayers of $60,110 and an average level of $68,145. Nationally, these figures were approximately average, with Greater Melbourne recording levels of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. As of September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% suggest median and average incomes of approximately $65,069 and $73,767 in Lyndhurst. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Lyndhurst ranked highly nationally, between the 74th and 89th percentiles. Income distribution data shows that 44.0% of locals (3,989 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the metropolitan region's 32.8%. Economic strength is evident with 34.0% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile

Lyndhurst's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. Home ownership in Lyndhurst stood at 10.8%, with 69.0% of dwellings mortgaged and 20.2% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was $430. Compared nationally, Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.5 people

Family households account for 91.0% of all households, including 64.4% couples with children, 17.5% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 9.0%, with lone person households at 7.3% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.5 people.

The educational profile of Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 38.4% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 29.8% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 24.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.4% and graduate diplomas at 2.2%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 13.9% and certificates at 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.9% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lyndhurst has 22 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 8 individual routes, offering a total of 3,256 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 268 meters, indicating good transport accessibility.

Service frequency averages 465 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 148 weekly trips per stop.

Lyndhurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Lyndhurst shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Its private health cover rate is approximately 54% (~4874 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (3.9%), while 83.5% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Melbourne. Lyndhurst has 6.7% (607 people) of residents aged 65 and over. Senior health outcomes align with those of the general population.

Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyndhurst has a high level of cultural diversity, with 61.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 55.0% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lyndhurst, accounting for 35.1% of its population. However, the category 'Other' is significantly overrepresented in Lyndhurst compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 10.4% of the population.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (32.9%), Indian (16.4%), and Australian (11.1%). Notably, Sri Lankan (3.1%), Filipino (3.7%), and Samoan (1.0%) ethnic groups are overrepresented in Lyndhurst compared to their regional counterparts.

Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lyndhurst has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (22.0%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (1.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the percentage of Lyndhurst's population aged 15-24 has increased from 10.8% to 12.2%, while the percentage of those aged 55-64 has risen from 6.5% to 7.7%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 14.5% to 13.2%, and the percentage of children aged 0-4 has dropped from 8.9% to 7.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Lyndhurst, with the 45-54 age group projected to grow by 61%, adding 758 residents and reaching a total of 2,010.