Lyndhurst (Vic.)

Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the suburb of Lyndhurst (Vic.) is estimated to be around 9,066 as of Feb 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 140 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,926. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 9,024 residents following examination of ABS data released in June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 973 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Lyndhurst has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.6%, outperforming its SA4 region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecast for the suburb of Lyndhurst (Vic.), with an expected growth of 2,691 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 34.8% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lyndhurst according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Lyndhurst had approximately 17 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 85 homes. In FY-26 so far, two approvals have been recorded. Historically, each new dwelling has brought in around nine residents annually between FY-21 and FY-25.

However, supply is lagging demand, indicating heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers focus on the premium segment with an average construction cost of $639,000 per dwelling.

This financial year, $69,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Lyndhurst's residential nature. New developments consist of 88% detached dwellings and 12% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban character. There are approximately 3151 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an established market. Population forecasts indicate Lyndhurst will gain another 3,151 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Lyndhurst has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 24 such projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Casey Central Town Centre Development, The Promenade Patterson Lakes, 74S Lynbrook Boulevard Development, and Endeavour Cove Marina Masterplan Redevelopment (Planning Scheme Amendment C205king). The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lyndhurst exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Lyndhurst has an educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.1% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Employment grew by 3.7% over the past year.

Resident participation in the workforce is high at 83%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71%. According to Census data, 26% of residents work from home. Key industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing employment is particularly strong, with a share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 6.4% versus the regional average of 9.2%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.7%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 1 percentage point. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Lyndhurst. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Lyndhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Lyndhurst had a median income among taxpayers of $60,110 and an average level of $68,145. Nationally, the median was $62,947 and the average was $78,972. By September 2025, estimates suggest Lyndhurst's median income will be approximately $65,069 and the average will be around $73,767, based on an 8.25% growth rate since June 2023. Census data from 2021 shows incomes in Lyndhurst rank between the 74th and 89th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution indicates that 44.0% of residents (3,989 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, which is similar to the broader area where this group represents 32.8%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 34.0% of households, suggesting strong consumer spending power. Housing costs consume approximately 17.7% of income, but despite this, disposable income ranks at the 86th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lyndhurst's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lyndhurst was at 10.8%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (69.0%) or rented (20.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, above Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $430, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 91.0% of all households, including 64.4% couples with children, 17.5% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 9.0%, with lone person households at 7.3% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 38.4%, higher than the SA4 region average of 29.8% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 29.3% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.9% and certificates at 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% currently enrolled in formal education: 14.9% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 5.7% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lyndhurst has 23 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that together facilitate 3,256 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 268 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential region, most Lyndhurst residents commute outwards. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 87% of residents, while trains are used by 9%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.8, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 26.0% of Lyndhurst residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 465 trips per day, equating to approximately 141 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lyndhurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Lyndhurst's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 54% of Lyndhurst's total population (~4874 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (3.9%), with 83.5% of residents reporting no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Lyndhurst has 7.3% of residents aged 65 and over (661 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyndhurst has one of the highest language diversity rates in Australia, with 61.3% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 55.0% of Lyndhurst's population contributes to its cultural richness. Christianity is the predominant religion, practised by 35.1% of people.

Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprises 10.4%, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%. In terms of ancestry, 'Other' tops at 32.9%, Indian follows at 16.4%, and Australian is present at 11.1%. Compared to regional averages, Lyndhurst has notably higher percentages for Sri Lankan (3.1% vs 0.8%), Filipino (3.7% vs 1.3%), and Samoan (1.0% vs 0.3%) ethnic groups.

Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lyndhurst has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (17.7%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (1.8%). The 5-14 age group is significantly higher than the national average of 12.1%. Between the 2021 Census and now, Lyndhurst's residents have aged by an average of 1 year, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the 15-24 age group has grown from 10.8% to 12.7%, while the 45-54 cohort increased from 12.7% to 14.3%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 14.5% to 12.9%, and the 0-4 age group dropped from 8.9% to 7.5%. Population forecasts for Lyndhurst in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow by 55%, adding 709 residents to reach a total of 2,006.