Lyndhurst (Vic.)

Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of May 2026, the estimated population of Lyndhurst (Vic.) is around 8,922. This reflects a decrease of 4 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,926. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 8,922 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 958 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Lyndhurst has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.8%, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, AreaSearch forecasts that Lyndhurst will experience significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas analysed, with an expected increase of 2,488 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 27.9% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lyndhurst according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Lyndhurst averaged around 17 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 85 homes were approved, with 2 more so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, an average of 7.8 people moved to the area for each dwelling built.

This suggests demand substantially outstrips supply, likely leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $639,000, indicating developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $69,000, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Development consists of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Lyndhurst's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 3007 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. By 2041, Lyndhurst is projected to grow by 2,488 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Lyndhurst has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include The Promenade Patterson Lakes, Lynbrook Boulevard Development (74S), Endeavour Cove Marina Masterplan Redevelopment (Planning Scheme Amendment C205king), and Marriott Waters Estate & Shopping Centre.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lyndhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Lyndhurst has an educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 4.4% as of December 2025, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.1%.

As of December 2025, 5,489 residents were employed, with a participation rate of 84.8%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Home-based work accounted for 26.0% of jobs due to Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade, with manufacturing showing high specialization at 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training had lower representation at 6.4%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on resident-to-working population ratios. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.1% while unemployment rose by 1.2 percentage points due to labour force growth of 4.4%. In contrast, Greater Melbourne had employment growth of 2.4% with a smaller unemployment rate increase. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lyndhurst's industry mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, the suburb of Lyndhurst had a median income among taxpayers of $60,110 with the average level standing at $68,145. Nationally, this is approximately average, compared to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $65,893 (median) and $74,701 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Lyndhurst, between the 74th and 89th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 44.0% of the community (3,925 individuals), aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Economic strength emerges through 34.0% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 86th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lyndhurst's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lyndhurst stood at 10.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 69.0% and rented ones at 20.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $430, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $430 compared to the national figure of $375.

Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 91.0% of all households, including 64.4% couples with children, 17.5% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 9.0%, with lone person households at 7.3% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally with university qualification rates of 38.4%, exceeding the SA4 region average of 29.8% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with vocational credentials held by 29.3% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (13.9%) and certificates (15.4%).

Educational participation is high at 36.6%, with 14.9% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lyndhurst has 23 active public transport stops, served by 8 routes offering 3,256 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop is 268 meters. Most residents commute outward daily. In 2021, car use dominated at 87%, with train use at 9%. Vehicle ownership averaged 1.8 per dwelling. A high 26.0% of residents worked from home in 2021, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averaged 465 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 141 weekly trips per stop.

Lyndhurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment shows excellent health outcomes in Lyndhurst. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 54% of the total population (~4,797 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (3.9%), with 83.5% reporting no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Lyndhurst has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 7.1% (633 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population nationally.

Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyndhurst has a high level of cultural diversity, with 61.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 55.0% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Lyndhurst, comprising 35.1%. The 'Other' category is substantially higher than average, at 10.4%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is highest at 32.9%, followed by Indian at 16.4% and Australian at 11.1%. Notably, Sri Lankan (3.1%), Filipino (3.7%) and Samoan (1.0%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.8%, 1.3% and 0.3% respectively.

Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lyndhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (21.1%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (1.9%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.3%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, Lyndhurst's median age has increased by 1.1 years to 34 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has grown from 10.8% to 12.5%, while those aged 55-64 have increased from 6.5% to 8.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 0-4 has decreased from 8.9% to 6.9%, and those aged 5-14 have dropped from 18.9% to 17.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Lyndhurst, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 age cohort, expected to grow by 48%, adding 598 residents to reach a total of 1,839.