Lyndhurst (Vic.)

Lyndhurst lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the suburb of Lyndhurst (Vic.) is estimated at around 9,066 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 140 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,926 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 9,024 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 973 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Lyndhurst has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 3.5%, outpacing the SA4 region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, AreaSearch forecasts a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas analysed, with the area expected to increase by 2,718 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 29.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lyndhurst according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Lyndhurst has averaged approximately 17 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25, around 85 homes were approved, with a further 2 approved in FY26 to date. Each year, an average of 9.3 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built during this period.

This indicates substantial demand outstripping supply, likely leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost value of new properties is $639,000, reflecting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY26, $69,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. New development consists of 88% detached houses and 12% medium to high-density housing, maintaining Lyndhurst's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes. The area has approximately 3149 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Lyndhurst is projected to grow by 2676 residents by 2041. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Lyndhurst has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 24 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Casey Central Town Centre Development, The Promenade Patterson Lakes, Lynbrook Boulevard Development (74S), and Endeavour Cove Marina Masterplan Redevelopment (Planning Scheme Amendment C205king). Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Lyndhurst maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Lyndhurst has an educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.4% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.2%.

In comparison to Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, Lyndhurst's unemployment rate is 0.3% lower, with workforce participation at 85.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. A significant portion of residents work from home, with 26.0% reporting this arrangement according to Census responses. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly strong in Lyndhurst, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, education & training is under-represented, with only 6.4% of Lyndhurst's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population counts. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.2%, labour force grew by 4.6%, and unemployment rose by 1.3 percentage points in Lyndhurst. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate potential future demand within Lyndhurst. Over five years to May-30, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%. Over ten years to May-35, this growth rate increases to 13.7%. Applying these projections to Lyndhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over the next five years and 13.5% over the subsequent five years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Lyndhurst had a median taxpayer income of $60,110 and an average income of $68,145. Nationally, these figures were approximately average, with Greater Melbourne reporting $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%, estimated median and average incomes in Lyndhurst would be around $65,069 and $73,767. In the 2021 Census, Lyndhurst's household, family, and personal incomes ranked between the 74th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income distribution showed that 44.0% (3,989 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to Melbourne's 32.8%. Economic strength was evident with 34.0% of households earning over $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consumed 17.7% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 86th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Lyndhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Lyndhurst's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lyndhurst was at 10.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 69.0% and rented ones at 20.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Lyndhurst was $430, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lyndhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lyndhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 91.0% of all households, including 64.4% couples with children, 17.5% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 9.0%, with lone person households at 7.3% and group households at 2.0%. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lyndhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 38.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing both the SA4 region average of 29.8% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 24.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 13.9% and certificates for 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.9% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lyndhurst has 23 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight different routes that together facilitate 3,256 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is deemed good, with residents typically residing 268 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most Lyndhurst residents commute outwards. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 87% of residents, while trains are used by 9%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling in Lyndhurst, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 26.0% of Lyndhurst residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 465 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 141 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lyndhurst's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Lyndhurst's health outcomes show excellent results according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 54% of the total population (~4,874 people), slightly leading the average SA2 area rate of 56.7% in Greater Melbourne. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and diabetes (3.9%), while 83.5% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Lyndhurst has a lower percentage of seniors aged 65 and over at 7.2% (652 people) than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, aligning with national rankings similar to those of the general population.

Lyndhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyndhurst's population is diverse, with 61.3% speaking languages other than English at home and 55.0% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion at 35.1%. Notably, 10.4% identify as Other, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%.

In ancestry, Other (32.9%) and Indian (16.4%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 14.6% and 4.2%, respectively. Australian ancestry is underrepresented at 11.1%. Sri Lankan (3.1%), Filipino (3.7%), and Samoan (1.0%) ethnicities are notably higher than regional averages.

Lyndhurst's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Lyndhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lyndhurst has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (17.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.6%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.1%. Between the 2021 Census and now, Lyndhurst's residents have aged by an average of 1.1 years, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the 15-24 age group has grown from 10.8% to 12.4%, while the 55-64 cohort increased from 6.5% to 8.0%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group has declined from 14.5% to 12.6% and the 0-4 age group dropped from 8.9% to 7.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Lyndhurst, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow by 49%, adding 620 residents to reach a total of 1,890.