Cranbourne East - North

Cranbourne East - North lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Cranbourne East - North's population is around 25,155 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,740 people (7.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,415 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 25,149 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,280 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Cranbourne East - North has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 6.9% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 50.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of national statistical areas, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to increase by 13,432 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 53.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Cranbourne East - North when compared nationally

Cranbourne East - North has averaged around 67 new dwelling approvals per year, with 337 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 49 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 7 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new dwellings are developed at an average construction cost of $84,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. There have also been $1.4 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne East - North has significantly less development activity (81.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This level is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New development consists of 95.0% standalone homes and 5.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. At around 1727 people per approval, Cranbourne East - North shows a mature, established area.

Looking ahead, Cranbourne East - North is expected to grow by 13,426 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cranbourne East - North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 46 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include WILMAC Clyde North, Pavilion Casey Fields, Orana Village Town Centre, and Clyde North Fire Station, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Cranbourne East - North shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Cranbourne East - North possesses a skilled workforce, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 5.4%, and 3.4% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 13,291 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.7% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (73.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 16.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. The area shows particularly strong specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.3% versus the regional average of 10.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.4% and the labour force increased by 4.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Cranbourne East - North. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Cranbourne East - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Cranbourne East - North SA2's median income among taxpayers is $55,761, with an average of $62,423. This is below the national average, and compares to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,361 (median) and $67,573 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Cranbourne East - North cluster around the 54th percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the largest segment comprises 44.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (11,244 residents), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 19.6% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 56th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Cranbourne East - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Cranbourne East - North, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 90.7% houses and 9.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Cranbourne East - North was lagging that of Melbourne metro, at 14.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (58.9%) or rented (26.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was in line with the Melbourne metro average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Cranbourne East - North's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Cranbourne East - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 84.8% of all households, comprising 53.3% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 15.2%, with lone person households at 13.0% and group households comprising 2.2% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Cranbourne East - North exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (26.2%) substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 17.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 34.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (14.0%) and certificates (20.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.1% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 65 active transport stops operating within Cranbourne East - North, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 8 individual routes, collectively providing 1,737 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 268 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 89%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 16.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 248 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cranbourne East - North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Cranbourne East - North, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~12,678 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 6.8 and 5.7% of residents, respectively, while 78.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 10.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,704 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Cranbourne East - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cranbourne East - North scores highly on cultural diversity, with 49.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 48.1% born overseas. The main religion in Cranbourne East - North is Christianity, which makes up 38.6% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Other, which comprises 10.1% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Cranbourne East - North are Other, comprising 26.4% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, English, comprising 16.5% of the population, and Australian, comprising 16.4% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Indian is notably overrepresented at 13.0% of Cranbourne East - North (vs 4.2% regionally), Sri Lankan at 1.9% (vs 0.8%) and Filipino at 4.2% (vs 1.3%).

Cranbourne East - North hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 32 years, Cranbourne East - North's median age is materially younger than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and also significantly lower than the 38-year national average. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne East - North has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (16.6%) but fewer 55 - 64 year-olds (7.3%). Post-2021 Census data shows demographic aging is evident, with the median age advancing from 31 to 32 years. Key changes show the 55 to 64 age group has grown from 5.8% to 7.3% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 12.6% to 14.0%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 15.7% to 13.8% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 18.3% to 16.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Cranbourne East - North's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 81%, adding 2,346 residents to reach 5,242.