Cranbourne East - North

Cranbourne East - North lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Cranbourne East - North's population is around 25,155 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,740 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,415. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 25,149 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,280 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Cranbourne East - North has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 6.9%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 50.4% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year for each SA2 area, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 for areas not covered by this data. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas until 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period, with the area expected to increase by 13,432 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 53.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Cranbourne East - North when compared nationally

Cranbourne East - North averaged approximately 67 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 337 homes approved during this period. In FY26 up to the present, there have been 27 approvals. Each year, on average, around 7 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed in this area over the past five financial years.

This significant demand outpaces new supply, typically driving price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost of new dwellings is $84,000, which is below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options for purchasers. Commercial approvals this year totalled $1.4 million, reflecting the residential nature of the area. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne East - North has significantly less development activity, with 81.0% fewer approvals per person than the regional average. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings.

The area's development level is also lower than the national average, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New developments primarily consist of standalone homes (95.0%) with a minority of townhouses or apartments (5.0%), preserving Cranbourne East - North's suburban character and attracting space-seeking buyers. With approximately 1727 people per approval, the area displays signs of maturity and established status. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Cranbourne East - North is projected to grow by 13,426 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cranbourne East - North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 46 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are WILMAC Clyde North, Pavilion Casey Fields, Orana Village Town Centre, and Clyde North Fire Station. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

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The employment landscape in Cranbourne East - North shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Cranbourne East - North has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.2% as of September 2025. This is 0.5% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was 73.0%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 16.2% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 4.3%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of working population to resident population. In the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.6% and labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. For comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cranbourne East - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not consider localised population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Cranbourne East - North SA2 had a median income of $55,761 and an average income of $62,423 among taxpayers. This is below the national average. Greater Melbourne had a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $60,361 (median) and $67,573 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Cranbourne East - North cluster around the 54th percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, 44.7% of residents earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 32.8% similarly fall within this range. High housing costs consume 19.6% of income in the area. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 56th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Cranbourne East - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Cranbourne East - North's dwellings were 90.7% houses and 9.4% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other') at the latest Census, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% others. Home ownership in Cranbourne East - North was 14.4%, with mortgages at 58.9% and rentals at 26.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, matching Melbourne metro's average, while median weekly rent was $400 compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Cranbourne East - North's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Cranbourne East - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.8% of all households, including 53.3% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.2%, with lone person households at 13.0% and group households comprising 2.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Cranbourne East - North exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 34.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (14.0%) and certificates (20.9%). Educational participation is high, with 36.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising primary (14.1%), secondary (8.8%), and tertiary (4.3%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.1% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cranbourne East - North has 65 active public transport stops serving buses along eight routes. These routes facilitate 1,737 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 268 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with outward commuting being common. Car use dominates at 89%, while train usage stands at 6%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, surpassing the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 16.2% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 248 trips daily, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cranbourne East - North's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Cranbourne East - North shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, particularly among younger cohorts who have a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 50% (~12,678 people) of the total population has private health cover, which is relatively low compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Nationally, the average is 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma (6.8%) and mental health issues (5.7%), while 78.2% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 10.8% (2,704 people) than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Cranbourne East - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cranbourne East-North has high cultural diversity, with 49.9% speaking a language other than English at home and 48.1% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 38.6%. The 'Other' category is overrepresented at 10.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 2.3%.

In ancestry, 'Other' is highest at 26.4%, followed by English (16.5%) and Australian (16.4%). Notably, Indian (13.0%), Sri Lankan (1.9%), and Filipino (4.2%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 4.2%, 0.8%, and 1.3% respectively.

Cranbourne East - North hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Cranbourne East-North has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Cranbourne East-North has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.6%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (7.3%). According to data from the post-2021 Census, demographic aging is evident with the median age increasing from 31 to 32 years. Key changes show that the proportion of residents aged 55-64 has grown from 5.8% to 7.3%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 12.6% to 14.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 declined from 15.7% to 13.8%, and the proportion of residents aged 5-14 dropped from 18.3% to 16.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Cranbourne East-North's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 45-54 cohort, which is expected to grow by 81%, adding 2,346 residents to reach a total of 5,242.