Langwarrin

Population growth drivers in Langwarrin are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Langwarrin is around 24,375. This reflects an increase of 787 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,588. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 24,338 based on ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 845 persons per square kilometer. Langwarrin's growth rate of 3.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's 3.1%. Natural growth contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, they utilise VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Langwarrin is expected to expand by 3,596 persons to 2041, reflecting a 14.6% increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Langwarrin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Between FY21-FY25, Langwarrin averaged approximately 53 new dwelling approvals annually. In total, around 265 homes were approved during these five financial years, with an additional four approved in FY26 so far. Each year, roughly 2.2 new residents per dwelling have been added due to robust demand, supporting property values.

The average construction cost value of new homes was approximately $508,000. In the current financial year, commercial approvals totaled $15.6 million, indicating moderate levels of commercial development compared to Greater Melbourne. Langwarrin records about three-quarters the building activity per person nationally and ranks in the 19th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting limited buyer options but strong demand for established dwellings. New developments consist of 69% detached houses and 31% townhouses or apartments, offering choices across price ranges.

As of now, Langwarrin has an estimated 822 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet development environment. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by approximately 3568 residents. Given current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Langwarrin has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include the 82 Edward Street Residential Development, Langwarrin Community Centre and Early Years Project, 46-48 Edward Street Townhouses, and Potts Road Subdivision (68-74 Potts Road). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Langwarrin well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Langwarrin has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.3% as of June 2025, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.5%. As of June 2025, 13,595 residents were in work and workforce participation was 68.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for employment among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction is particularly specialized with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services have limited presence at 5.2% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.5%, labour force by 4.6%, resulting in a 1.0 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Langwarrin. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Langwarrin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Langwarrin has a median income of $55,643 and an average income of $65,885. This is slightly above the national average. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Langwarrin would be approximately $62,409 (median) and $73,897 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates that incomes in Langwarrin cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 37.3% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with 9,091 residents falling into this category. This pattern is similar to regional levels where 32.8% of residents earn within this range. After housing expenses, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Langwarrin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Langwarrin, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Melbourne metro had 79.8% houses and 20.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Langwarrin stood at 30.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.2% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,863, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent in Langwarrin was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $356. Nationally, Langwarrin's mortgage repayments were similar to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $365 than the national figure of $375.

Langwarrin has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.4% of all households, including 37.2% couples with children, 25.1% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

Langwarrin performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area has university qualification rates at 18.0%, significantly lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 13.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 43.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (30.5%).

Educational participation is high at 28.2%, including primary education (10.2%), secondary education (8.1%), and tertiary education (3.3%). Langwarrin's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 3,965 students, serving distinct age groups with balanced educational opportunities typical of Australian schools (ICSEA: 1027).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Langwarrin shows that there are 87 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a mix of bus services. Six individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 1,469 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 349 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 209 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Langwarrin is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Langwarrin faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent among both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~12,891 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues impact 9.5% of residents, while asthma affects 9.4%. About 66.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.0% across Greater Melbourne. In Langwarrin, 17.3% of residents are aged 65 and over (4,216 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Langwarrin ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Langwarrin's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 83.4% of its population born in Australia, 91.5% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion in Langwarrin is Christianity, comprising 41.4% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Langwarrin compared to Greater Melbourne, with 0.1% versus 0.3%.

Regarding ancestry, the top three represented groups are English (32.3%), Australian (29.4%), and Scottish (8.5%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Dutch is overrepresented at 2.2% compared to the regional average of 1.8%, Hungarian at 0.3% versus 0.4%, and Welsh at 0.6% matching the regional figure of 0.6%.

Langwarrin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Langwarrin is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin has a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (12.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.9%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 4.6% to 5.7%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25 to 34 decreased from 13.0% to 11.9%. By 2041, Langwarrin's age composition is expected to change significantly. The population aged 75 to 84 is projected to grow by 77%, reaching 2,463 people from 1,389. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 65% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for residents aged 0-4 and 35-44 years old.