Langwarrin

Population growth drivers in Langwarrin are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Langwarrin is around 24,422, reflecting an increase of 834 people since the 2021 Census. The previous census recorded a population of 23,588 in the suburb. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 24,375 residents following examination of ABS data released in June 2025 and an additional 180 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 846 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively inline with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Langwarrin's growth rate of 3.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's growth rate of 3.2%. Natural growth contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the suburb.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 3,347 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 13.5% in total over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Langwarrin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Langwarrin has seen approximately 55 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, around 275 homes were approved, with a further 61 approved in FY26 as of current figures. Each dwelling built over these five years has resulted in an average of 2.1 new residents per year, suggesting healthy demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $508,000, indicating developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Commercial approvals this financial year totalled $13.8 million, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin shows approximately 75% of construction activity per person, placing it among the 19th percentile nationally in terms of assessed areas. This suggests limited choices for buyers, supporting demand for existing homes.

The area's low density nature is preserved with 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% attached dwellings. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 866 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Langwarrin is expected to grow by 3,300 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Langwarrin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include the 82 Edward Street Residential Development, Langwarrin Community Centre and Early Years Project, 46-48 Edward Street Townhouses, and Potts Road Subdivision (68-74 Potts Road). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Langwarrin exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Langwarrin has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 3.3% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.1%.

This is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 13,643 residents were in work. The unemployment rate was 1.5% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%.

According to Census responses, a moderate 22.1% of residents worked from home. However, Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction has particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average. In contrast, professional & technical employs just 5.2% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, aggregated from broader statistical areas, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1% and labour force increased by 2.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 2.4%, the labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer further insight into potential future demand within Langwarrin. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Langwarrin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2023 for financial year 2023, the suburb of Langwarrin's median income among taxpayers is $55,643. The average income in Langwarrin during this period was $65,885. This places Langwarrin below the national average. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Langwarrin would be approximately $60,996 (median) and $72,223 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Langwarrin cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 37.3% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a total of 9,109 residents falling into this bracket. This is similar to the surrounding region where 32.8% of residents earn within this range. After housing costs, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Langwarrin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Langwarrin's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Langwarrin was at 30.7%, similar to Melbourne metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (51.2%) or rented (18.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Langwarrin was $1,863, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Langwarrin was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Langwarrin's mortgage repayments were similar to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $365 than the national figure of $375.

Langwarrin has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 75.4% of all households, including 37.2% couples with children, 25.1% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households making up 22.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Langwarrin performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 13.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 43.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 30.5%. Educational participation is high, with 28.2% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.2% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 3.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates 86 active stops in Langwarrin, all of which are bus services. These stops are covered by six routes that facilitate a total of 964 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good with the average resident located approximately 350 meters from their nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commuters travel outward, with cars being the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 22.1% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 137 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Langwarrin is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Langwarrin faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~12,916 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues impacting 9.5% of residents and asthma impacting 9.4%. A total of 66.2% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 17.9% of residents aged 65 and over (4,371 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Langwarrin ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Langwarrin's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 83.4% of its population born in Australia, 91.5% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Langwarrin, comprising 41.4% of people. However, Judaism was overrepresented, making up 0.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.3%), Australian (29.4%), and Scottish (8.5%), all substantially higher than regional averages. Notably, Dutch (2.2%) and Welsh (0.6%) were overrepresented, while Hungarian remained similar to the regional average at 0.3%.

Langwarrin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Langwarrin is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (12.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.6%). Between the 2021 Census and 2026, the percentage of Langwarrin's population aged 75-84 increased from 4.6% to 6.2%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 13.0% to 11.6%. By 2041, Langwarrin is projected to experience significant changes in its age composition. The number of residents aged 75-84 is expected to grow by 63%, reaching 2,464 from 1,514. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 62% of projected growth. However, population declines are projected for the age groups 0-4 and 35-44.