Langwarrin

Population growth drivers in Langwarrin are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of November 2025, the Langwarrin statistical area's population is estimated at around 24,407. This reflects an increase of 819 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,588. The change was inferred from the resident population of 24,348 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 195 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 846 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Langwarrin has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.7%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 60% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, the Langwarrin (SA2) is expected to grow by 3,593 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 14.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Langwarrin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Langwarrin shows an average of 54 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 270 homes. In FY-26, so far, 8 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling has supported an average of 2.2 new residents per year between FY-21 and FY-25.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $508,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year, there have been $13.8 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin records about three-quarters the building activity per person. Nationally, it places among the 17th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established homes.

This reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 70.0% standalone homes and 30.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of people in the area per dwelling approval is 933, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Langwarrin will gain 3,533 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Langwarrin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 17 such projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include the 82 Edward Street Residential Development, the Langwarrin Community Centre and Early Years Project, the 46-48 Edward Street Townhouses, and the Potts Road Subdivision (68-74 Potts Road). The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Langwarrin well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Langwarrin has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being notably prominent. The unemployment rate was 3.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4%.

As of September 2025, 13,577 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation was at 68.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries of employment among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level, while professional & technical has limited presence at 5.2% compared to the regional 10.1%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.4% while labour force increased by 2.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment grew by 3.0%, labour force expanded by 3.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from VIC up to 25-Nov-25 shows employment growth of 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Langwarrin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The suburb of Langwarrin has a median taxpayer income of $55,643 and an average income of $65,885, based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is slightly below the national average, compared to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $60,234 (median) and $71,321 (average), accounting for an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since the financial year 2023. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Langwarrin are around the 61st percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 37.3% of the community (9,103 individuals) falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region at 32.8%. After housing costs, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Langwarrin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Langwarrin's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's 79.8% houses and 20.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Langwarrin stood at 30.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.2% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,863, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. Median weekly rent in Langwarrin was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $356. Nationally, Langwarrin's mortgage repayments matched the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Langwarrin has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.4% of all households, including 37.2% couples with children, 25.1% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

Langwarrin performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.6% and certificates for 30.5%. Educational participation is high at 28.2%, including 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Langwarrin shows 86 active public transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six individual routes that together provide 964 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 350 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 137 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Langwarrin is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Langwarrin faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~12,908 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.5% and 9.4% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point two percent of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 65.0% across Greater Melbourne. Seventeen point three percent of residents are aged 65 and over (4,222 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Langwarrin ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Langwarrin, as per the 2016 Census, exhibited lower cultural diversity compared to the average. It had 83.4% of its population born in Australia, with 91.5% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 41.4%.

Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.3%. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.3%), Australian (29.4%), and Scottish (8.5%). Some ethnicities showed notable differences: Dutch were more prevalent at 2.2% in Langwarrin versus 1.8% regionally, Hungarians stood at 0.3% compared to 0.4%, and Welsh remained consistent at 0.6%.

Langwarrin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Langwarrin is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (12.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.9%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 4.6% to 5.7%, while the 25-34 age group has declined from 13.0% to 11.9%. By 2041, Langwarrin's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 77% (1,072 people), reaching 2,464 from 1,391. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 66% of the population growth. Conversely, declines are projected for the 35-44 and 0-4 age groups.