Langwarrin

Population growth drivers in Langwarrin are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Langwarrin is estimated at around 24,447. This reflects an increase of 859 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,588. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 24,348 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 209 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 847 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Langwarrin has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.7%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase its population by 3,594 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 14.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Langwarrin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Langwarrin has seen approximately 54 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 270 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved in FY-26 to date. Each dwelling built over the past five financial years has resulted in an average of 2.2 new residents per year, reflecting robust demand that supports property values.

Developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties, as evidenced by the average construction value of $508,000 for new homes. This financial year has seen $13.8 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 17th percentile nationally, suggesting limited housing choices that support demand for existing properties. New development consists of 70.0% detached houses and 30.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes.

The estimated population density is 933 people per dwelling approval, reflecting a quiet, low-activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Langwarrin is expected to grow by 3,499 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Langwarrin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 17 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include the 82 Edward Street Residential Development, Langwarrin Community Centre and Early Years Project, 46-48 Edward Street Townhouses, and Potts Road Subdivision (68-74 Potts Road). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Langwarrin shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Langwarrin has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 3.1% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4% over the past year. This is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

As of that date, 13,577 residents were in work, and the unemployment rate was 1.6% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation was at par with Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 22.1% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment among residents were construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Langwarrin showed strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employed only 5.2% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4%, labour force increased by 2.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment grew by 3.0%, labour force expanded by 3.3%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Langwarrin's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Langwarrin had a median income among taxpayers of $55,643. The average income stood at $65,885 in this period. Nationally, the median income was $57,688 and the average was $75,164 during the same year. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Langwarrin would be approximately $60,234 (median) and $71,321 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Langwarrin cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 9,118 people, representing 37.3% of locals, and falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 category. After housing costs, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses. Langwarrin's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Langwarrin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Langwarrin's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Langwarrin was at 30.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.2% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,863, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Langwarrin was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Langwarrin's mortgage repayments are similar to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Langwarrin has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.4% of all households, including 37.2% couples with children, 25.1% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Langwarrin performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (30.5%). Educational participation is high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (10.2%), secondary education (8.1%), and tertiary education (3.3%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Langwarrin has 86 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes that together facilitate 964 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 350 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most Langwarrin residents commute outward. Car remains the primary mode of transportation, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 137 trips per day, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Langwarrin is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Langwarrin faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~12,930 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.5% and 9.4% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.1% of residents aged 65 and over (4,424 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Langwarrin ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Langwarrin's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 83.4% of its population born in Australia and 91.5% being citizens. English is spoken at home by 94.2%. Christianity was the dominant religion in Langwarrin, comprising 41.4%, but Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.3%), Australian (29.4%), and Scottish (8.5%). Notably, Dutch (2.2%) and Welsh (0.6%) were also overrepresented in Langwarrin compared to regional averages of 1.2% and 0.4%, respectively.

Langwarrin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Langwarrin is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.5%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 4.6% to 6.1%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 13.0% to 11.5%. By 2041, Langwarrin's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 65%, reaching 2,463 from 1,491. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 62% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 0-4 and 35-44.