Langwarrin

Population growth drivers in Langwarrin are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The population of Langwarrin is estimated at around 24,447 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 859 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,588. The change is inferred from the resident population of 24,348 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 209 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 847 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Langwarrin has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.7%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering these projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for the suburb, with an expected growth of 3,606 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 14.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Langwarrin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Langwarrin shows around 55 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 275 homes. As of FY-26, 11 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling adds about 2.2 new residents per year between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating strong demand supporting property values. New homes are built at an average expected construction cost value of $508,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY-26, there have been $13.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin has about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 19th percentile nationally, suggesting limited buyer options while boosting demand for established homes. This is below average nationally, possibly due to planning constraints. New building activity comprises 71% standalone homes and 29% attached dwellings, maintaining Langwarrin's traditional low-density character focused on family homes.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 867 people. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Langwarrin will grow by 3,507 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to meet population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Langwarrin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that may affect the region. Notable ones include the 82 Edward Street Residential Development, Langwarrin Community Centre and Early Years Project, 46-48 Edward Street Townhouses, and Potts Road Subdivision (68-74 Potts Road). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Langwarrin shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Langwarrin has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.3% as of an unspecified past year. Employment growth over that year was estimated at 2.1%.

As of December 2025, there were 13,655 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 1.5%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. Workforce participation in Langwarrin is equal to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Home-based work accounted for 22.1% of jobs based on Census responses. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction employment levels are at 1.8 times the regional average. In contrast, professional & technical services employ only 5.2% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over a 12-month period ending in an unspecified date, employment increased by 2.1%, labour force grew by 2.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Langwarrin's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Langwarrin had a median income among taxpayers of $55,643 with an average income level of $65,885. This is just below the national average for financial year 2023 and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 30, 2023, current estimates would be approximately $60,234 for median income and $71,321 for average income as of September 2025. Census data from 2021 shows that household, family and personal incomes in Langwarrin cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 37.3% of residents (9,118 people). After housing costs, 85.1% of income remains for other expenses and Langwarrin's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Langwarrin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Langwarrin, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.7% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Langwarrin was 30.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.2% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,863, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Langwarrin was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Langwarrin's mortgage repayments were similar to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Langwarrin has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.4% of all households, including 37.2% couples with children, 25.1% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.6%, with lone person households at 22.7% and group households making up 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Langwarrin performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.0%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (30.5%). Educational participation is high at 28.2%, with 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Langwarrin has 86 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These are served by six different routes that together facilitate 964 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents typically located 350 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Langwarrin's primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 137 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Langwarrin is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Langwarrin faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~12,930 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues (9.5%) and asthma (9.4%). Conversely, 66.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.4% of residents aged 65 and over (4,498 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Langwarrin ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Langwarrin, surveyed in 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 83.4% born in Australia, 91.5% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated at 41.4%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Melbourne's 1.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (32.3%), Australian (29.4%), and Scottish (8.5%). Dutch, Hungarian, and Welsh were notably overrepresented.

Langwarrin's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Langwarrin was close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years at the time of the census. It was also similar to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin had a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (12.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.5%). Between the 2021 Census and the previous one, the population aged 75-84 grew from 4.6% to 6.3%, while the percentage of those aged 25-34 decreased from 13.0% to 11.5%. By 2041, Langwarrin's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of people aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 62%, reaching 2,493 from 1,540. This growth will be led by the demographic shift in the aging population, with those aged 65 and above comprising 63% of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the age groups 35-44 and 0-4 years.