Mount Eliza

An assessment of population growth drivers in Mount Eliza reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Mount Eliza's population is around 19,053 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 319 people (1.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,734 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,009 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 60 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 820 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mount Eliza's 1.7% growth since the census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is expected, with the area expected to grow by 1,849 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 9.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mount Eliza according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Mount Eliza has recorded around 51 residential properties granted approval per year, with 256 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 48 so far in FY-26. As the area has experienced population decline, new supply has likely been keeping up with demand, offering good choice to buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $822,000, showing that developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, $45.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating strong commercial development momentum.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mount Eliza has around half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person, placing it among the 38th percentile of areas assessed nationally. This means more limited choices for buyers, supporting demand for existing dwellings. This activity is similarly below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 465 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Future projections show Mount Eliza adding 1,805 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Mount Eliza has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 6 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Mount Eliza: Canadian Bay Carpark, Mount Eliza Landfill Capping Rehabilitation Works, Mount Eliza: Emil Madsen Reserve - East Pavilion, and Moondah Mansion Retirement Village, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Mount Eliza rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Eliza has a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 1.2%, and 1.9% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 9,748 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 3.6% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation lags significantly (64.3% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a high 39.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. In contrast, transport, postal & warehousing employs just 2.2% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.9% and the labour force increased by 1.9%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Mount Eliza. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Mount Eliza's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Mount Eliza SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $62,743 with the average level standing at $104,226. This is exceptionally high nationally and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $67,919 (median) and $112,825 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes rank exceptionally at the 91st percentile ($2,547 weekly). Distribution data shows 29.2% of the population (5,563 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.8%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 42.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 87.6% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Mount Eliza is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Mount Eliza, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 91.8% houses and 8.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Mount Eliza was well beyond that of Melbourne metro, at 46.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (45.2%) or rented (8.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Melbourne metro average at $2,600, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $512, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Mount Eliza's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mount Eliza features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 82.2% of all households, comprising 44.0% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.8%, with lone person households at 16.9% and group households comprising 1.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Mount Eliza demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Mount Eliza significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 23.5% in the SA4 region and 25.0% in the SA3 area. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 25.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.6%) and certificates (16.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 31 active transport stops operating within Mount Eliza, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 5 individual routes, collectively providing 771 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 669 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 39.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 110 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mount Eliza's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Mount Eliza, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 73% of the total population (13,927 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.8% and 7.0% of residents, respectively, while 71.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 24.4% of residents aged 65 and over (4,643 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Mount Eliza ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Eliza is below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 77.0% of its population born in Australia, 90.9% being citizens, and 93.5% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Mount Eliza is Christianity, which makes up 46.6% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.3% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Mount Eliza are English, comprising 33.8% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian, comprising 25.3% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 18.4%, and Irish, comprising 9.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of other ethnic groups: Scottish is overrepresented at 9.1% in Mount Eliza (vs 5.6% regionally), Dutch at 1.7% (vs 1.2%), and Welsh at 0.7% (vs 0.4%).

Mount Eliza hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The 45-year median age in Mount Eliza is significantly above Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and similarly considerably older than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Mount Eliza has a higher concentration of 75 - 84 residents (9.4%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (3.4%). Following the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.8% to 13.7% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 7.7% to 9.4%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 4.9% to 3.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Mount Eliza's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 85+ group will grow by 106% (663 people), reaching 1,290 from 626. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 69% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups will see reduced numbers.