Tyabb

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tyabb reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As per ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation for May 2026, the estimated population of Tyabb is around 3503. This figure represents an increase of 54 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3449. The growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation based on the latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2025) and additional 39 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 148 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. Tyabb's population growth rate of 1.6% since the census is within 0.4 percentage points of the SA3 area's 2.0%, demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made through weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is projected to have an above median population growth, expanding by 383 persons and reflecting a total increase of 10.9% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tyabb according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Tyabb has averaged around 13 new dwelling approvals each year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 66 homes were approved, with a further 5 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 0.8 new residents per year are associated with each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current expectations. The average construction value of these properties is $502,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment. In FY-26, Tyabb has registered $4.5 million in commercial approvals, reflecting its primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tyabb records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 49th percentile nationally, suggesting limited buyer options but strong demand for established dwellings.

New building activity in Tyabb comprises 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining its traditional low-density character focused on family homes. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition of 90.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles. With around 337 people per dwelling approval, Tyabb exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tyabb is projected to gain 383 residents by 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Tyabb has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are the Tyabb-Somerville Recycled Water Scheme, Mornington Battery Energy Storage System (MBESS), Martha Cove Marina Development, and Lifestyle Communities Tyabb - Residential Village (Refused). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Tyabb remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Tyabb has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate was 4.6%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.7% over the past year.

There were 1,894 residents in work, with an unemployment rate 0.2% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation was slightly below standard at 67.2%. Approximately 20.0% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading employment industries in Tyabb include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

The area has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share nearly twice the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented, at 4.4% compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Many residents commute outside Tyabb for work opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending December 2025, employment increased by 1.7%, while the labour force grew by 1.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tyabb's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Tyabb's median income among taxpayers is $51,444. The average income in Tyabb is $66,541. Nationally, the median income is higher at $57,688 with an average of $75,164. In Greater Melbourne, the median income is $57,688 and the average is $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2023 to March 2026, estimated incomes in Tyabb would be approximately $56,393 (median) and $72,942 (average). Census data shows that incomes in Tyabb cluster around the national median. Income distribution data reveals that 35.8% of individuals in Tyabb earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, which is similar to the broader area where this cohort represents 32.8%. After accounting for housing costs, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses. Tyabb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Tyabb is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation in Tyabb, dwelling structures comprised 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tyabb was at 36.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.7% and rented ones at 13.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,824, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Tyabb was recorded at $383, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Tyabb's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Tyabb features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.4% of all households, including 34.6% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Tyabb exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 44.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (31.6%). Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.5% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Tyabb indicates 15 operational transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by three distinct routes, offering a total of 422 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated as moderate, with residents typically situated 440 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most Tyabb residents commute outward, primarily using cars at a rate of 94%. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 2.0 per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 20% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 60 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Tyabb are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Tyabb's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,861 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Mental health issues impact 10.1% of residents, while arthritis affects 9.2%. About 65.1% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Tyabb has 21.0% of residents aged 65 and over (735 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Tyabb is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tyabb's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.2% of its population born in Australia, 92.7% being citizens, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 43.1% of Tyabb's population. Judaism was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 0.2% versus 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (34.5%), Australian (29.4%), and Scottish (9.3%), all higher than regional averages. Notably, Dutch (2.9%) and Maltese (0.4%) were overrepresented compared to regional figures of 1.2% and 1.1%, respectively.

Tyabb's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tyabb is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group makes up 14.4% of the population in Tyabb, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Melbourne. Conversely, the 25-34 age group is less prevalent at 11.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.4% to 7.0% of the population. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.4% to 13.1%, and the 25 to 34 group has decreased from 12.2% to 11.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Tyabb, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 58% (141 people), reaching 387 from 245. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 71% of total population growth, reflecting Tyabb's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 35 to 44 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.