Tyabb

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tyabb reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Tyabb's estimated population is around 3,704. This reflects an increase of 255 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,449. The change is inferred from AreaSearch validation of new addresses following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 156 persons per square kilometer. Tyabb's growth of 7.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (3.7%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate an increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas, with the area expected to expand by 395 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 5.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tyabb, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Tyabb had around 13 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 66 homes. As of FY26, 1 approval has been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $502,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

This financial year, there have been $4.5 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating Tyabb's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tyabb records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 49th percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings. New development consists of 71.0% detached houses and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Tyabb's low density nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. This marks a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 90.0% houses, potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences.

With around 334 people per dwelling approval, Tyabb shows a developing market. Latest AreaSearch quarterly estimates forecast Tyabb will gain 213 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Tyabb has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that could affect the region. Notable ones are the Tyabb-Somerville Recycled Water Scheme, Mornington Battery Energy Storage System (MBESS), Martha Cove Marina Development, and Lifestyle Communities Tyabb - Residential Village (Refused). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Tyabb maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Tyabb has a balanced workforce with equal representation of white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is particularly prominent.

In the past year, Tyabb's unemployment rate was 4.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.9%. As of September 2025, 1,945 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.7% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is standard at 66.9%. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction employment is high, at 1.9 times the regional level. However, professional & technical jobs are limited, with only 4.4% compared to the regional 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.9%, while unemployment remained flat. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced a 3.0% employment growth and a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data from November 25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts suggest employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tyabb's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 shows Tyabb's median income at $51,444 and average income at $66,541. Greater Melbourne's figures are a median of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,688 (median) and $72,031 (average). Census data indicates Tyabb's household, family, and personal incomes are around the 50th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 35.8% of residents earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, reflecting regional patterns where 32.8% fall within this range. After housing costs, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses. Tyabb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Tyabb is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Tyabb's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tyabb stood at 36.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.7% and rented dwellings at 13.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,824, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,989, while the median weekly rent was $383, slightly higher than Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Tyabb's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Tyabb features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.4% of all households, including 34.6% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Tyabb exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.9% and certificates for 31.6%. Educational participation is high at 26.5%, including 8.5% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.5% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 15 active stops operating in Tyabb, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 3 routes, collectively facilitating 422 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated moderate, with residents typically residing 440 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 60 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tyabb is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Tyabb faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 53%, compared to the average SA2 area at around 57.8% across Greater Melbourne (~1,968 people).

Mental health issues impact 10.1% of residents, while arthritis affects 9.2%. Around 65.1% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.9% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 20.2% of residents aged 65 and over (748 people), lower than the 29.9% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly inline with the general population's health profile.

Tyabb is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tyabb's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.2% of its population born in Australia, 92.7% being citizens, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Tyabb, comprising 43.1% of people. Judaism, however, is overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 0.2%.

The top three ancestry groups in Tyabb are English (34.5%), Australian (29.4%), and Scottish (9.3%). Notably, Dutch ethnicity is overrepresented at 2.9% compared to the regional average of 1.8%, while Hungarian and Maltese remain at their respective regional averages of 0.3% and 0.4%.

Tyabb's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tyabb is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 has a strong representation at 15.0% compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 11.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.4% to 6.4% of Tyabb's population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.4% to 13.2%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Tyabb. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 67%, reaching 395 people from 237, leading the demographic shift. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 85% of total population growth, reflecting Tyabb's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.