Tyabb

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tyabb reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates for Tyabb, the suburb's population was estimated at around 3,702 as of February 2026. This reflected an increase of 253 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,449 people. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of Tyabb's resident population at 3,559 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 156 persons per square kilometer. Tyabb's population growth rate of 7.3% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA3 area (3.7%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for Tyabb's SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Tyabb is expected to expand by 374 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 5.6% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tyabb, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Tyabb has averaged approximately 13 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 66 homes were approved, with one more in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $502,000, targeting the premium market segment. This financial year, $4.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Tyabb's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tyabb records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 49th percentile nationally, indicating somewhat limited buyer options but strengthening demand for established dwellings. New building activity comprises 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes.

This shift from the existing housing composition of 90.0% houses suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles seeking more diverse, affordable housing options. With around 334 people per dwelling approval, Tyabb shows a developing market. Population forecasts indicate Tyabb will gain approximately 208 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Tyabb has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects potentially influencing this area. Notable ones are the Tyabb-Somerville Recycled Water Scheme, Mornington Battery Energy Storage System (MBESS), Martha Cove Marina Development, and Lifestyle Communities Tyabb - Residential Village (Refused). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Tyabb demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Tyabb has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate was 4.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.8% over the past year.

This rate is 0.4% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Tyabb is slightly below average at 67.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Approximately 20.0% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. Leading industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction employment is particularly strong in Tyabb, with a share 1.9 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Many residents commute for work opportunities outside of Tyabb. Over the past year, employment increased by 2.8% while labour force grew by 2.7%, keeping unemployment steady. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a slight rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 12.9% over ten years for Tyabb's workforce, based on industry-specific projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Tyabb's median income among taxpayers is $51,444. The average income in Tyabb is $66,541. Nationally, the median income is higher at $57,688 with an average of $75,164. In Greater Melbourne, the median is $57,688 and the average is $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tyabb would be approximately $55,688 (median) and $72,031 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Tyabb cluster around the 50th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows 35.8% of Tyabb residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 (1,325 individuals), similar to the broader area where this group represents 32.8%. After housing expenses, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Tyabb is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tyabb's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tyabb stood at 36.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.7% and rented ones at 13.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,824, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Tyabb was $383, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Tyabb's mortgage repayments are below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Tyabb features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.4% of all households, including 34.6% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Tyabb exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (31.6%). Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.5% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 15 active public transport stops in Tyabb, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by three distinct routes, collectively facilitating 422 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically situated 440 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most Tyabb residents commute outward. Cars remain the dominant transport mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, exceeding regional averages.

According to the 2021 Census, 20% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 60 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Tyabb are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Tyabb's health indicators show below-average results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,967 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Mental health issues impact 10.1% of residents, while arthritis affects 9.2%. A total of 65.1% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 21.4% of residents aged 65 and over (792 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Tyabb is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tyabb's population showed low cultural diversity, with 85.2% born in Australia, 92.7% being citizens, and 96.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 43.1%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (34.5%), Australian (29.4%), and Scottish (9.3%). Notably, Dutch (2.9%) and Maltese (0.4%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.2% and 1.1%, respectively.

Tyabb's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tyabb is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group makes up 14.9% of Tyabb's population, compared to a lower prevalence of the 25-34 cohort at 10.8%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group grew from 5.4% to 7.1%, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 10.8% to 11.9%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 14.4% to 12.9%, and the 25 to 34 group decreased from 12.2% to 10.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Tyabb, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 51% (134 people), reaching 397 from 262. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 81% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55 to 64 and 15 to 24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.