Tyabb

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tyabb reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area around Tyabb, the estimated population of the suburb as of February 2026 is approximately 3702. This figure reflects an increase of 253 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3449 in Tyabb. The change is inferred from the resident population estimate of 3559 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 156 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Tyabb's growth rate of 7.3% since the 2021 census exceeded that of the SA3 area (3.7%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, making adjustments employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected in Tyabb, with an estimated expansion of 385 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of approximately 6.5% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tyabb, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis indicates Tyabb averaged approximately 13 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY21 and FY25, around 66 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved in FY26 to date. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained relatively balanced with demand, offering good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $502,000, targeting the premium market segment. This financial year, $4.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Tyabb's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tyabb records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 49th percentile nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established dwellings. New building activity comprises 71.0% detached dwellings and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Tyabb's traditional low-density character focused on family homes.

This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 90.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles' need for more diverse housing options. With around 335 people per dwelling approval, Tyabb shows a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 242 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand readily, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Tyabb has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified ten projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Tyabb-Somerville Recycled Water Scheme, Mornington Battery Energy Storage System (MBESS), Martha Cove Marina Development, and Lifestyle Communities Tyabb - Residential Village (Refused). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Tyabb remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Tyabb has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 4.6% and estimated employment growth of 2.5% in the past year. As of December 2025, 1,943 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.8%, 0.2% below Greater Melbourne's rate.

Workforce participation is lower at 67.9%. About 20.0% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading industries include construction, healthcare & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction has a strong presence with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.4%. Many residents commute for work based on Census data. In the year ending December 2025, employment increased by 2.5% and labour force by 2.0%, reducing unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Tyabb's employment could grow by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though these projections are simple extrapolations based on industry-specific growth rates.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data, released for financial year 2023, indicates Tyabb's median income among taxpayers is $51,444 with an average of $66,541. This is slightly lower than the national average and compares to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Tyabb would be approximately $55,688 (median) and $72,031 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Tyabb cluster around the 50th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 35.8% of the community (1,325 individuals), aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. After housing costs, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses and Tyabb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Tyabb is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tyabb's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tyabb was higher at 36.8%, with the rest being mortgaged (49.7%) or rented (13.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,824, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Tyabb was $383, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Tyabb's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Tyabb features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.4% of all households, including 34.6% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Tyabb exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The region's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (31.6%). Educational participation is high at 26.5%, with 8.5% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.5% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Tyabb indicates that there are currently fifteen active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with three individual routes providing a total of 422 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing approximately 440 meters away from their nearest transport stop. As Tyabb is predominantly residential, most residents commute outward to other areas for work or leisure. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation in this region, with a usage rate of 94%. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling in Tyabb, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census data, 20% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages sixty trips per day, equating to approximately twenty-eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Tyabb are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Tyabb's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,967 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Mental health issues impact 10.1% of residents while arthritis affects 9.2%, with 65.1% claiming to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 21.3% of residents aged 65 and over (788 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Tyabb is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tyabb's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.2% of its population born in Australia and 92.7% being citizens. English was the language spoken at home by 96.7% of residents. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 43.1% of Tyabb's population.

However, Judaism was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, with 0.2% versus 1.0%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in Tyabb were English at 34.5%, Australian at 29.4%, and Scottish at 9.3%. These percentages were substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 20.1%, 18.4%, and not specified. Additionally, Dutch representation was notably overrepresented at 2.9% compared to the regional average of 1.2%, while Hungarian remained similar at 0.3%, and Maltese showed a notable divergence with 0.4% versus the regional average of 1.1%.

Tyabb's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tyabb is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group represents 15.0% of Tyabb's population, compared to a lower prevalence of the 25-34 cohort at 10.8%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.4% to 7.1%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.4% to 12.9%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 12.2% to 10.8%. Population forecasts for Tyabb indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 51% (135 people), reaching a total of 398 from 262. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 80% of Tyabb's total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.