Crib Point

Population growth drivers in Crib Point are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The Crib Point statistical area's population was estimated at around 3,270 as of November 2025. This reflected a decrease of 73 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,343. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,263 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of nine new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 498 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 55% during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections adjusted using weighted aggregation for areas not covered by this data. Considering these projections, the Crib Point (SA2) is expected to increase by 309 persons to reach around 3,579 by 2041, reflecting a gain of approximately 10% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Crib Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Crib Point shows approximately 5 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 28 homes were approved.

No residential approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. Commercial approvals totaled $18.0 million this financial year. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Crib Point has significantly less development activity, 68.0% below the regional average per person. New supply is likely keeping up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. The area's limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes.

New development consists of 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% attached dwellings, providing a mix of medium-density options across price brackets. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1321 people. Population forecasts indicate Crib Point will gain 330 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Crib Point has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to impact the region. Key initiatives are Mornington Peninsula Residential Development Program, Western Port Marine Infrastructure, HMAS Cerberus Redevelopment, and HMAS Cerberus Minor Building Refurbishments. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Crib Point remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Crib Point has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 5.7% and estimated employment growth of 2.7% in the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 1,658 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.0% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for employment among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction employs 1.8 times more locals than the regional average, while professional & technical services employ only 3.3% of local workers, lower than Greater Melbourne's 10.1%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 2.7% alongside labour force growth of 2.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows Victorian employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Crib Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, assuming population projections remain constant for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Crib Point had a median income among taxpayers of $47,715 and an average income of $66,507 in the financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures are below Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 for the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $51,651 (median) and $71,994 (average), based on an 8.25% growth rate since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census showed that household, family, and personal incomes in Crib Point ranked modestly, between the 32nd and 34th percentiles. Income analysis revealed that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominated with 36.3% of residents (1,187 people), a figure similar to the regional average of 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 82.7% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 30th percentile.

Crib Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Crib Point, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 81.2% houses and 18.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Crib Point was 30.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented dwellings at 18.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,603, compared to Melbourne metro's $1,989. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Crib Point's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Crib Point has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 70.0% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.0%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Crib Point aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (35.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 13 active stops operating in Crib Point. These include both train and bus services. Two routes serve these stops, offering a total of 443 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 381 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 63 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Crib Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Crib Point faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. Both younger and older age groups have a notable prevalence of common health conditions.

The area has private health cover at approximately 53% (~1737 people), which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Melbourne's 57.8%. Mental health issues affect 10.8% of residents, while arthritis impacts 10.1%. Notably, 62.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.9% in Greater Melbourne. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.2% (660 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 29.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges largely consistent with the general population's health profile.

Crib Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Crib Point's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.4% of its population born in Australia, 90.3% being citizens, and 97.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Crib Point, comprising 34.1% of people there, compared to Greater Melbourne's figure of 0.2%. The most notable overrepresentation was seen in Judaism, which comprises 0.1% of Crib Point's population, higher than Greater Melbourne's 0.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups represented in Crib Point are English (33.9%), Australian (31.8%), and Irish (8.4%). Notably, Dutch ethnicity is overrepresented at 2.0% compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.8%, while Hungarian and New Zealand ethnicities show similar representation at 0.3% and 0.8% respectively.

Crib Point's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Crib Point is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Crib Point has a notably higher proportion of individuals aged 65-74 (11.2% locally) but a lower proportion of those aged 25-34 (12.5%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 4.8% to 7.1%, while the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 13.9% to 12.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Crib Point. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 62% (143 people), reaching 376 from 232. This growth will result in residents aged 65 and older representing 69% of the total population increase. Conversely, the 35 to 44 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.