Crib Point

Population growth drivers in Crib Point are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Crib Point is around 3,276, a decrease of 67 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,343. This decrease reflects an inferred resident population of 3,264 as per AreaSearch's estimation following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 499 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, the suburb of Crib Point is expected to increase its population by just below the median statistical area analysed by AreaSearch, reaching 3,593 persons by 2041, reflecting a gain of approximately 10% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Crib Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Crib Point shows around 5 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 28 homes have been approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26.

The population decline during this period suggests that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. In terms of commercial development, $18.0 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating moderate levels compared to Greater Melbourne, where Crib Point has significantly less development activity (68.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% attached dwellings, expanding medium-density options across various price brackets. The estimated population density is 1321 people per dwelling approval, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts suggest Crib Point will gain 333 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Crib Point has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely to impact the area: Mornington Peninsula Residential Development Program, Western Port Marine Infrastructure, HMAS Cerberus Redevelopment, and HMAS Cerberus Minor Building Refurbishments. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Crib Point remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Crib Point has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 5.7% and employment growth of 3.0% in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, 1,666 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Workforce participation is lower at 64.2%. Home-based work is low at 12.7% (Census data). Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction employment is high at 1.8 times the regional level, while professional & technical jobs are lower at 3.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited based on resident vs working population counts. In the past year (AreaSearch data), employment increased by 3.0% and labour force grew by 2.3%, reducing unemployment by 0.6 percentage points, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Crib Point's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.1% in five years and 12.9% in ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Crib Point's income level is below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Crib Point is $47,715 and the average income stands at $66,507. In Greater Melbourne, these figures are $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $51,651 (median) and $71,994 (average). The 2021 Census ranks household, family and personal incomes in Crib Point between the 32nd and 34th percentiles. Income analysis shows that 36.3% of residents (1,189 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to the regional figure of 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 30th percentile.

Crib Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Crib Point, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 81.2% houses and 18.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Crib Point was 30.7%, similar to Melbourne metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (50.4%) or rented (18.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,603, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000 and Australia's national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Crib Point was $340, lower than Melbourne metro's $390 and Australia's national average of $375.

Crib Point has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 70.0% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 30.0%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Crib Point aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (35.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.4% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 13 active transport stops operating in Crib Point, consisting of buses. These stops are served by two individual routes, collectively offering 443 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 381 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 96%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 12.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 63 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Crib Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Crib Point faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is higher than average at approximately 53% of the total population (~1740 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent conditions are mental health issues (10.8%) and arthritis (10.1%). However, 62.3% report being free from medical ailments, lower than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Crib Point has a higher proportion of seniors at 21.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly in line with the general population, presenting some challenges.

Crib Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Crib Point, surveyed in 2016, had low cultural diversity with 87.4% born in Australia, 90.3% being citizens, and 97.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion at 34.1%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

In ancestry, English (33.9%) and Australian (31.8%) groups were significantly higher than regional averages of 20.1% and 18.4% respectively. Irish ancestry stood at 8.4%. Notable divergences included Dutch at 2.0% (regional: 1.2%), Hungarian at 0.3% (same as regional), and New Zealand at 0.8% (regional: 0.5%).

Crib Point's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Crib Point has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, Crib Point has a notably higher proportion of people aged 65-74 (11.8% locally), while those aged 25-34 are under-represented (12.0%). Between 2021 and present, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 4.8% to 7.7%, and the 65 to 74 cohort has increased from 10.4% to 11.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 13.9% to 12.0%. Demographic projections suggest that by 2041, Crib Point's age profile will significantly evolve. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow significantly, increasing by 134 people (53%) from 252 to 387. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are expected to account for 68% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 and 35 to 44 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.