Crib Point

Population growth drivers in Crib Point are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Crib Point is around 3,336 people. This figure reflects a decrease of 7 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,343 people in the suburb. The current estimate is inferred from AreaSearch's validation of resident population data, which stands at 3,301 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 508 persons per square kilometer in Crib Point. In comparison to the broader area, which experienced a 2.3% growth since the census, Crib Point's population has decreased by 0.2%. The primary driver for growth in the wider area was overseas migration, contributing around 55.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is employing ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, the suburb of Crib Point is expected to experience a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. By 2041, the area's population is projected to expand by 309 persons, reflecting a gain of approximately 7.9% in total over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Crib Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Crib Point approved around 6 residential properties annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 32 homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26.

The population decline during this period suggests new supply has been meeting demand, offering buyers good choice. The average construction cost value of new homes is $729,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Crib Point has significantly less development activity (64.0% below regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. This limited supply is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Crib Point's traditional low density character focused on family homes.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1651 people. Population forecasts indicate Crib Point will gain 264 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Crib Point has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely to impact the area. Major projects include Mornington Peninsula Residential Development Program, Western Port Marine Infrastructure, HMAS Cerberus Redevelopment, and HMAS Cerberus Minor Building Refurbishments. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Crib Point has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Crib Point's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector stands out with a high representation rate.

The unemployment rate was 6.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.5%. As of June 2025, 1,671 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.3%, which is 1.7% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's at 64.1%. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction employment share is 1.8 times the regional level, while professional & technical jobs are lower at 3.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, with Census working population lower than resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 2.5% and labour force grew by 4.1%, raising unemployment rate by 1.5 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.5%, labour force grew by 4.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Crib Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Crib Point's median income among taxpayers was $47,715 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $66,507 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median and average incomes of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated median income for Crib Point is approximately $53,517 as of September 2025, with the average income estimated to be around $74,594 during the same period. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Crib Point rank modestly, between the 32nd and 34th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the majority of residents (36.3%, or 1,210 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, which is also prevalent in the region with 32.8% representation. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Crib Point, with only 82.7% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 30th percentile nationally.

Crib Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Crib Point, evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 81.2% houses and 18.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Crib Point was 30.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented dwellings at 18.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,603, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,989. Median weekly rent in Crib Point was $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Crib Point's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Crib Point has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.0% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.0%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Crib Point aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (35.2%). Educational participation is high at 28.4%, with 11.1% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

The area has two schools: Crib Point Primary School and St Joseph's School, serving a total of 435 students. These schools cater to primary education only, with secondary options available nearby. The area's ICSEA score is 1008, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 13 operational transit points within Crib Point, offering a blend of train and bus services. These points are served by two distinct routes, cumulatively facilitating 504 weekly passenger journeys. Transport access is deemed satisfactory, with residents situated on average 381 metres from the nearest transport point.

Service frequency averages 72 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 38 weekly trips per individual point.

Health performance in Crib Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Crib Point faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have a notable prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,772 people), which is higher than the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Melbourne's 57.9%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in Crib Point, affecting 10.8% and 10.1% of residents respectively. However, 62.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.9% across Greater Melbourne. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.3%, with 677 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 29.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Crib Point are broadly similar to those of the general population.

Crib Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Crib Point's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.4% of its population born in Australia, 90.3% being citizens, and 97.3% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion was Christianity, comprising 34.1% of Crib Point's population. Judaism was overrepresented, making up 0.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (33.9%), Australian (31.8%), and Irish (8.4%). Notably, Dutch ethnicity was slightly overrepresented at 2.0%, compared to the regional average of 1.8%, while Hungarian and New Zealand ethnicities were also present in higher proportions than regionally reported.

Crib Point's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Crib Point is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Crib Point has a notably higher proportion of individuals aged 65-74 (11.3% locally) but a lower proportion of those aged 25-34 (12.5%). Post-2021 Census data shows the 75 to 84 age group grew from 4.8% to 7.1%, while the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 13.9% to 12.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Crib Point. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 59% (139 people), reaching 376 from 236. This growth will be led by individuals aged 65 and older, who are anticipated to represent 72% of the population growth. Conversely, the 35 to 44 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.