Crib Point

Population growth drivers in Crib Point are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Crib Point is around 3,333 people. This reflects a decrease since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,343 people. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of resident population data from June 2025 ABS ERP release. This level of population results in a density ratio of 508 persons per square kilometer. While Crib Point experienced a 0.3% decline since the census, the broader SA3 area achieved 2.0% growth, indicating divergent trends. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55.00000000000001% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch projections for Crib Point, based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, suggest a population increase just below the median statistical area projection by 2041. The suburb is expected to expand by 332 persons by that year, reflecting a gain of 9.7% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Crib Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Crib Point shows around 5 residential properties granted approval annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 27 homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26.

The population decline over this period suggests that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. In the current financial year, $18.0 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Crib Point has significantly less development activity, 69.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, which is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1638 people. Population forecasts indicate Crib Point will gain 324 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Crib Point has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely impacting the region: Mornington Peninsula Residential Development Program, Western Port Marine Infrastructure, HMAS Cerberus Redevelopment, and HMAS Cerberus Minor Building Refurbishments. Relevant details are provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Crib Point has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Crib Point has a balanced workforce across white and blue collar jobs. Construction is prominent with an unemployment rate of 5.9% and estimated growth of 2.7% in the past year (AreaSearch data). As of December 2025, 1,651 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.2% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation lags at 64.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Only 12.7% of residents work from home (Census data). Key industries are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction employs 1.8 times the regional average.

Professional & technical jobs account for just 3.3%, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities may be limited locally, as working population is lower than resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 2.7% and labour force by 1.3%, reducing unemployment by 1.2 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 2.4%, labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Crib Point's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (simple weighting extrapolation).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Crib Point's income level is below the national average based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Crib Point is $47,715 and the average income stands at $66,507. In comparison, Greater Melbourne's figures are $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. By March 2026, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $52,305 and average income $72,905, considering a 9.62% growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Crib Point rank modestly, between the 32nd and 34th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 36.3% of residents (1,209 people), aligning with regional trends where this cohort represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Crib Point, with only 82.7% of income remaining, ranking at the 30th percentile.

Crib Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Crib Point, as per the latest Census evaluation, 81.2% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 18.8% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Crib Point stood at 30.7%, similar to Melbourne metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented ones at 18.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,603, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Crib Point was $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Crib Point's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Crib Point has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.0% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.0%, comprising 27.7% lone person households and 1.9% group households. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Crib Point aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 8.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent among residents aged 15+, with 47.7% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (35.2%). Educational participation is high, with 28.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (11.1%), secondary education (8.2%), and tertiary education (2.7%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Crib Point has 13 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two different routes that together facilitate 443 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is considered good, with residents typically residing 381 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents in this primarily residential area commute outwards, with cars being the dominant mode of transportation at 96%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 12.7% of residents work from home, a figure that might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 63 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Crib Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Crib Point, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is higher than average at approximately 53% of the total population (~1,770 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 10.8% and 10.1% of residents respectively. However, 62.3% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than the 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to higher chronic condition rates. Crib Point has a higher proportion of seniors, with 20.9% of residents aged 65 and over (696 people), compared to 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Crib Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Crib Point, as per data from the 2016 Census, showed lower cultural diversity with 87.4% of residents born in Australia and 90.3% being Australian citizens. English was spoken at home by 97.3%. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 34.1% of the population.

Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%. In terms of ancestry, English (33.9%) and Australian (31.8%) were significantly higher than regional averages of 20.1% and 18.4% respectively. Irish ancestry stood at 8.4%. Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Dutch (2.0%, vs regional 1.2%), Hungarian (0.3%, same as regionally), and New Zealand (0.8%, vs regional 0.5%).

Crib Point's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Crib Point has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Crib Point at 11.3%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 11.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.8% to 7.5% of the population, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 0.9% to 2.1%. Conversely, the 25-34 age cohort has declined from 13.9% to 11.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Crib Point's age profile will significantly change. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand by 124 people (50%) from 249 to 374. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 69% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.