Crib Point

Population growth drivers in Crib Point are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Crib Point's population is estimated at around 3,276 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease of 67 people (2.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,343 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,264, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 499 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is expected, with the suburb expected to expand by 329 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 9.7% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Crib Point is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Crib Point shows around 5 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 27 homes have been approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26.

The population decline during this period suggests that new supply has likely met demand, providing good choices for buyers. In terms of commercial development, $18.0 million in approvals have been registered in the current financial year, indicating moderate levels compared to Greater Melbourne, where activity is 69.0% higher per person. Crib Point's limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, which is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1652 people, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts suggest Crib Point will gain 317 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Crib Point has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may impact the area. Key projects are Mornington Peninsula Residential Development Program, Western Port Marine Infrastructure, HMAS Cerberus Redevelopment, and HMAS Cerberus Minor Building Refurbishments.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Crib Point has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Crib Point has a mixed workforce consisting of both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 6.0% as of December 2025. There was an estimated employment growth of 3.1% in the area over the past year.

As of that date, 1,672 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation in Crib Point was lower at 66.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. According to Census responses, only 12.7% of residents worked from home. The key industries for employment among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Notably, the area specializes in construction employment with a share that is 1.8 times higher than the regional level. However, professional & technical services employ only 3.3% of local workers, which is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 10.1%. Over the past year, from December 2024 to December 2025, employment increased by 3.1% while the labour force grew by 1.7%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4% over the same period, with the labour force growing by 2.8% and unemployment increasing by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Crib Point's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Crib Point's income level is below the national average according to AreaSearch data from the ATO for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Crib Point was $47,715 and the average income stood at $66,507. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Crib Point would be approximately $51,651 (median) and $71,994 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census data, household, family, and personal incomes in Crib Point rank modestly, between the 32nd and 34th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 36.3% of residents (1,189 people), aligning with regional trends where this cohort also represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Crib Point, with only 82.7% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 30th percentile.

Crib Point is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

As per the latest Census evaluation in Crib Point, dwelling structures comprised 81.2% houses and 18.8% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Melbourne metropolitan area's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Crib Point was at 30.7%, similar to Melbourne metro's level, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (50.4%) or rented (18.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,603, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Weekly rent figures were recorded at $340, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Crib Point's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Crib Point has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 70.0% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.0%, with lone person households at 27.7% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Crib Point aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 35.2%. Educational participation is high, with 28.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 11.1% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 13 active transport stops in Crib Point, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two different routes, together offering 443 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents generally located 381 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outwards, primarily using cars at a rate of 96%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 12.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 63 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Crib Point is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Crib Point faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 53% of the total population (~1,740 people), slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 56.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (10.8%) and arthritis (10.1%). Conversely, 62.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age population health presents notable challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.0%, or 687 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors generally align with national rankings.

Crib Point is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Crib Point's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.4% of its population born in Australia and 90.3% being citizens. English is spoken by 97.3% as their primary language at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, comprising 34.1% of Crib Point's population.

Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, with 0.1% of Crib Point's population identifying as such, versus 1.0%. In terms of ancestry, English parents comprise 33.9%, Australian parents 31.8%, and Irish parents 8.4%. These figures are substantially higher than the regional averages of 20.1%, 18.4%, and 5.6% respectively. Additionally, Dutch ancestry is notably overrepresented at 2.0%, compared to the regional average of 1.2%. Hungarian and New Zealand ancestry also show notable divergences, with 0.3% and 0.8% respectively in Crib Point, versus regional averages of 0.3% and 0.5%.

Crib Point's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Crib Point has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Comparing with Greater Melbourne, the 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Crib Point at 11.3%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.9%. From 2021 to present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.8% to 7.7% of the population, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 0.9% to 2.0%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 13.9% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Crib Point's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to expand by 114 people (45%) from 252 to 367. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 68% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 35-44 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.