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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Mornington - West has an estimated 10,904 residents, up from 10,581 at the 2021 Census — a change of 323 people, or 3.1%. That puts 1,704 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the latest data analyzed by AreaSearch, the population of Mornington - West stands at approximately 10,904 in May 2026. This represents a growth of 323 residents (3.1%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 10,581 individuals. This trend is calculated based on the ABS Estimated Resident Population of 10,900 in June 2025 alongside 76 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The density of the area reaches 1,703 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the typical average across the country. Mornington - West outpaced the broader SA3 region's 2.0% growth rate with its 3.1% increase, positioning it as a local growth leader.
Overseas migration was the primary driver of this expansion, accounting for roughly 51.1% of the total population gains recently. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia, issued in 2024 using 2022 as a baseline, are utilized for SA2 regions. For locations where this data is unavailable, figures are derived from the 2023 Victorian State Government projections, adjusted by aggregating growth patterns from the LGA level to the SA2 level. The age structure growth patterns from these calculations are projected forward to cover 2032 through 2041. Future demographic trends indicate that population growth will exceed the national median, with the community projected to add 1,720 residents by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP data, representing a total increase of 15.7% over 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
315 new dwellings have been approved in Mornington - West over the past five years, an average of 63 a year. That is 5.9 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 49 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 41% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 52, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Mornington - West average around 63 new home approvals yearly, amounting to 315 residential units over the preceding 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 48 building approvals have been logged. Given that only 0.6 individuals moved to the area for every finished dwelling during the financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, new builds are keeping pace with or running ahead of demand. This gives prospective purchasers more choices and supports population expansion beyond current forecasts. Newly built homes carry an average construction value of $586,000, showing that developers are prioritizing the higher-end market with premium housing.
Additionally, commercial building approvals have reached $13.7 million this financial year, showing ongoing commercial investment. Compared to the broader Greater Melbourne area, Mornington - West has seen slightly higher construction rates, running 13.0% above the regional average per capita over the 5 year span. This helps maintain choice for buyers while supporting existing home values, even though building volumes have declined recently. The mix of recent housing starts consists of 41.0% detached houses and 59.0% medium to high-density options. Concentrating on denser housing formats offers more affordable entry points and caters to downsizers, property investors, and first-time buyers. This is a clear shift from the current housing stock, which is 66.0% detached houses, pointing to a decrease in buildable land and changing lifestyle options and affordability constraints. The ratio of approximately 232 people per approved dwelling indicates the area maintains low-density characteristics. Long-term projections indicate that Mornington - West will gain 1,716 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. The current pace of residential development seems well aligned with this future demand, encouraging balanced market dynamics without major upward pressure on prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Mornington - West
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 3 current infrastructure and development projects inside Mornington - West, worth an estimated $198 million. A further 134 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $14.4 billion. 29 are already under construction and 56 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major works, and urban planning decisions are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 7 projects expected to influence the local area. Notable projects include Neue Space Mornington, the redevelopment of the Mornington Village Shopping Centre, roof and cladding renewals at the Civic Reserve Recreation Centre Stadium, and the Woodbyne Estate, with details on the most significant developments listed below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Mornington Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment
A $150 million major redevelopment of the Mornington Village Shopping Centre into a modern, neighbourhood-based retail precinct. The project by Angelo Property Group and Rathstation Group includes upgraded facilities, a new Dan Murphy's, and refreshed tenancies alongside existing anchors like ALDI and The Reject Shop. Works are currently underway.
The Deal Mornington
Mixed-use proposal in central Mornington with retail, commercial and residential components intended to complement township character while adding contemporary amenities and housing options.
Neue Space Mornington
An architecturally designed multi-level work and leisure precinct comprising 110 warehouse and storage spaces. Features 52 premium two-storey Neue Warehouse spaces, 58 flexible Neue Storage spaces, 4 restricted retail showrooms, and an on-site cafe. Designed for innovative businesses with 7.5m internal heights, 7m wide driveways, car and boat wash facilities, and 24/7 CCTV security.
Woodbyne Estate
Proposed 250-home residential estate near Mornington racecourse covering 13 hectares. Comprises two subdivisions (Permit P23/2400 by Tango and Permit P23/2402 by BFF) with a retarding basin and new public open spaces. Requires rezoning from Low Density Residential Zone to Neighbourhood Residential Zone under Amendment C247morn. Currently referred to an independent planning panel for review.
Mornington Fishermans Jetty Rebuild Project
Replacement of the historic Mornington Fishermans Jetty delivered by Parks Victoria following demolition of the unsafe structure in 2024. The completed jetty reopened in late 2025 and provides timber decking, solar lighting, seating, improved universal access, safety ladders and berthing for up to 27 vessels, supporting commercial operators, recreational boating and tourism.
Martha's Point Retirement Village Expansion
Keyton has lodged an amendment to an existing approved development at Martha's Point Retirement Village. The proposal replaces a previously approved 180-bed aged care facility with a 32-villa retirement village extension, including a community building, landscaped open space, pedestrian links and supporting amenities. The amendment is currently under assessment by Mornington Peninsula Shire following public exhibition.
Civic Reserve Recreation Centre Stadium Roof and Cladding Renewal
Renewal of the David Collings Stadium roof and external cladding at Civic Reserve Recreation Centre to improve the durability, weather protection and long-term operation of the indoor multi-sport venue. The works were completed in 2026 and the stadium has reopened to users including Mornington Youth Club Gymnastics, Mornington Peninsula Table Tennis Association and Mornington Tennis Club.
Mornington: Community Animal Shelter Refurbishment
Completed Stage 1 upgrade of Mornington Peninsula Shire's Community Animal Shelter and Pound, delivering a modern animal welfare facility with 20 new kennels, a dedicated veterinary room, cat isolation and pocket pet areas, meet and greet adoption spaces, improved security, laundry and pet bath facilities, solar panels, rainwater harvesting and sustainable landscaping.
5,004 residents of Mornington - West are employed, from a labour force of 5,130. Unemployment sits at 2.5%, with participation at 52.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 11,825, about 108% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is highly educated, with strong representation in critical public service sectors, an unemployment rate sitting at just 2.5%, and an annual employment growth rate estimated at 0.7%. As of March 2026, 5,004 local residents are employed. The unemployment level is 2.3% below the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%, while the participation rate of 52.0% is much lower than the 70.2% recorded across Greater Melbourne. Census details show that 31.3% of the working population worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic restrictions. The major employment industries for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.
The community shows a high concentration in health care & social assistance, which employs a share 1.2 times greater than the regional benchmark. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing represents just 2.6% of local jobs compared to 5.2% across the region. A ratio of 0.6 local workers for every resident at the time of the Census indicates a higher level of local job opportunities than is typical. According to AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics, the 12 months leading up to March 2026 saw employment rise by 0.7% and the labor force grow by 0.5%, leading to a 0.1 percentage point reduction in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment expand by 2.1% and its labor force grow by 2.3%, with its unemployment rate increasing by 0.2 percentage points. The May-25 national employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia help illustrate potential future demand patterns in Mornington - West. These five and ten-year forecasts are applied to the local workforce structure to model future growth. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Applying these national projections to the industry distribution in Mornington - West suggests local jobs could grow by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, assuming a basic weighted calculation that does not factor in local population adjustments.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Mornington - West is $1,389 a week (about $72,000 a year), with median personal income at $780 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $55,000 a year against an average of $75,997. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Data from the ATO for financial year 2023, compiled by AreaSearch, shows that the Mornington - West SA2 has a very high income profile on a national scale. Taxpayers in this SA2 recorded a median income of $55,000 and an average income of $75,997, compared to the Greater Melbourne figures of $57,688 and $75,164. Adjusting for a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, current figures are estimated at roughly $60,291 for the median and $83,308 for the average as of March 2026. The Census indicates that individual income is in the 44th percentile ($780 weekly), while household income is at the 27th percentile.
Looking at income distributions, the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket contains 25.9% of the population, which represents 2,824 people, compared to 32.8% for the wider metropolitan area. Affordability pressures are high, leaving residents with only 83.9% of their income after housing costs, placing the area in the 27th percentile, while the SEIFA index for income places the area in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Mornington - West had 4,773 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 66% detached houses and 19% apartments. 24% are owned with a mortgage, 26% rented and 50% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $410 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,100 a month. Rent absorbs 29.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 34.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the last Census, the housing mix in Mornington - West was 65.5% separate houses and 34.5% semi-detached properties, townhouses, apartments, or other structures. This compares to Melbourne's metropolitan average of 67.9% separate houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings. Outright home ownership in Mornington - West reached 49.9%, which is significantly higher than the metropolitan average, with the remaining households split between mortgaged properties (24.0%) and rented homes (26.1%). Monthly mortgage payments averaged $2,100, which is higher than the Melbourne metropolitan average of $2,000, while the median weekly rent was $410, compared to $390 metro-wide.
Nationally, the mortgage costs in Mornington - West are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents also exceed the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Mornington - West counted 4,773 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.0 people each. 17% are couples with children, fewer than in 92% of areas nationally, against 36% couples without children. 36% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up the majority of homes at 62.9%, consisting of couples with children at 17.2%, couples without children at 35.6%, and single parent households at 9.5%. Non-family households account for 37.1% of the total, with lone person households representing 35.5% and group households at 1.4%. The average household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
30.7% of adults in Mornington - West hold a university qualification, including 20.5% with a bachelor degree and 5.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 21.1% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 1,350 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,035 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The educational profile of the area is distinct, with 30.7% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to the SA4 regional average of 23.5%. Bachelor degrees are held by 20.5% of residents, while 5.9% have postgraduate qualifications and 4.3% hold graduate diplomas. Technical and vocational qualifications are also common, with 36.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational certificates, split between advanced diplomas (15.0%) and certificates (21.1%). A significant 22.1% of local residents are enrolled in formal study. This includes 6.9% of the population in primary school, 6.3% in secondary school, and 4.0% in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Mornington - West reaches 69 stops on 4 routes, timetabled for about 930 services a week. The typical home sits about 200 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of the local transit network shows 69 active public transport stops operating in Mornington - West, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 4 separate routes, which together accommodate 926 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 201 meters from the nearest stop. Because this is a mostly residential area, the majority of workers commute out of the district, with private vehicles remaining the main mode of travel at 92%, and 4% of residents walking. Households own an average of 1.2 cars.
A high proportion of residents, 31.3%, work from home, based on the 2021 Census, which may reflect the influence of lockdown conditions. Services run at an average frequency of 132 trips per day across all routes, which equates to roughly 13 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
61.3% of residents in Mornington - West report no long-term health condition. 6.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Mornington - West records positive health trends, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic illnesses. The data shows low rates of common health conditions across both younger and older demographic segments, and private health insurance coverage is high at roughly 57% of the population, which represents about 6,171 people. The most common medical diagnoses among local residents are arthritis, affecting 12.1% of the population, and mental health conditions, affecting 7.7%. In addition, 61.3% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne.
Health measures for the working-age population are close to regional averages. The area has a high concentration of seniors, with 42.9% of the population aged 65 and over, representing 4,676 individuals, compared to 15.0% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes for these older residents are very strong, ranking higher nationally than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Mornington - West is largely Australian-born, at 76.6% of residents, with 5.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (34.6%) and Australian (24.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Mornington - West is lower than average, with 76.6% of residents born in Australia, 88.2% holding citizenship, and 94.4% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 50.8% of the local population. The most distinct religious overrepresentation is among those identifying as Jewish, who make up 0.3% of the community compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Looking at ancestry lines, the top three backgrounds reported in Mornington - West are English at 34.6%, which is much higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian at 24.7%, also well above the regional average of 18.4%, and Irish at 10.6%.
Other notable variations in ancestry include Scottish at 10.2% of the population compared to 5.6% across the wider region, Welsh at 0.9% compared to 0.4%, and Dutch at 1.8% compared to 1.2%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Mornington - West is 58, older than 98% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 14.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 58 years in Mornington - West is much higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the national average of 38. The 75 - 84 age bracket is highly represented at 17.9% locally compared to Greater Melbourne's average, while the 25 - 34 age group is underrepresented at 6.2%. The concentration of residents aged 75 - 84 is also higher than the national average of 6.1%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 13.8% to 17.9% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 11.7% to 10.4%.
By 2041, population projections show significant changes, with the 85 and over cohort expected to grow by 122%, adding 876 people to reach 1,593. Older residents aged 65 and over will account for 92% of all population growth, emphasizing the aging trend, while the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age brackets will decrease in size.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Mornington - West
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 3 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 76 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (10,581 at the 2021 Census → 10,904 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (214021592). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.