Mornington - West
Statistical Area - sa2

Mornington - West lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Mornington - West's population is approximately 10,847, reflecting a growth of 266 people since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 10,581. This increase represents a 2.5% rise from the 2021 figure. The estimated resident population as of June 2024 was 10,843, with an additional 76 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 1,694 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mornington - West's growth rate of 2.5% since the 2021 census surpassed that of the SA3 area (2.3%), positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 54.3% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

AreaSearch's projections for Mornington - West are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead with demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected for Mornington - West. Based on the latest population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 1,861 persons by 2041, recording a total gain of 17.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mornington - West recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Mornington - West has seen approximately 63 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 315 homes. As of FY-26, 22 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were observed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average value of new homes being built is $586,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

In this financial year, $13.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, showing balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mornington - West has seen moderately higher new home approvals, around 13.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. The current new development mix consists of 41.0% standalone homes and 59.0% attached dwellings, reflecting a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This change represents a significant departure from the current housing mix, which is currently 66.0% houses. This shift can be attributed to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With approximately 231 people per dwelling approval, Mornington - West shows characteristics of a low density area. Future projections estimate that Mornington - West will add around 1,857 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Mornington - West has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that may impact this area. Notable ones include Neue Space Mornington, Mornington Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Mornington Fishermans Jetty Rebuild Project, and Civic Reserve Recreation Centre Stadium Roof and Cladding Renewal. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Mornington - West demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Mornington-West has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.5%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%. As of June 2025, 4,966 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2% and workforce participation at 48.6%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Health care & social assistance is particularly specialized, employing 1.2 times the regional average, while transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.6% of local workers compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%.

The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.6, indicating above-average employment opportunities locally. Over the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force grew by 4.8%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment to 3.7%. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with similar unemployment changes. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mornington-West's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 indicates that Mornington - West has a median income of $52,310 and an average income of $74,899. This is higher than Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% from financial year ending June 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $58,671 (median) and $84,007 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, personal income ranks at the 45th percentile with weekly earnings of $780, while household income is at the 28th percentile. Income distribution shows that 25.9% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,809 people). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 28th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Mornington - West displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mornington - West's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 65.5% houses and 34.5% other dwellings. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures of 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mornington - West stood at 49.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.0% and rented ones at 26.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,100, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,989. The median weekly rent in Mornington - West was $410, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Mornington - West's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Mornington - West features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.9 percent of all households, including 17.2 percent couples with children, 35.6 percent couples without children, and 9.5 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.1 percent, with lone person households at 35.5 percent and group households making up 1.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Mornington - West exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 30.7% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA4 region average of 23.5%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.9%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 15.0% and certificates at 21.1%.

A total of 22.1% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 6.9% in primary, 6.3% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary education. Mornington - West has 4 schools with a combined enrollment of 1,350 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1035). Educational provision is split between 1 primary and 3 secondary institutions.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 69 active transport stops operating within Mornington - West. These stops serve a mix of bus routes. There are 4 individual routes collectively providing 1,557 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 201 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 222 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Mornington - West is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Mornington - West faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 57%, covering around 6,193 people. The most common conditions are arthritis (affecting 12.1% of residents) and mental health issues (7.7%). Notably, 61.3% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 63.9%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 42.1% (4,562 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 29.9%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Mornington - West are strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Mornington - West ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mornington-West had a below-average cultural diversity, with 76.6% born in Australia, 88.2% being citizens, and 94.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 50.8%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.2%.

Top ancestry groups were English (34.6%), Australian (24.7%), and Irish (10.6%). Scottish (10.2%) and Welsh (0.9%) were notably overrepresented, while Dutch was equally represented at 1.8%.

Mornington - West ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Mornington-West's median age is 57 years, which is significantly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 years and older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mornington-West has a notably over-represented 75-84 year-old cohort at 17.5%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 5.8%. The 75-84 age group's concentration is well above the national average of 6.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has grown from 13.8% to 17.5%, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 7.2% to 5.8%. The 65-74 age group also dropped from 19.3% to 18.2%. By 2041, Mornington-West is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. Leading this shift, the 85+ age group will grow by 139%, reaching 1,647 people from 688. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 93% of projected growth. Conversely, both the 15-24 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.