Langwarrin

Population growth drivers in Langwarrin are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Langwarrin's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 25,809. This figure represents an increase of 870 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 24,939. The growth from June 2024 to November 2025 is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 25,747 and an additional 218 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 686 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Langwarrin has shown consistent growth with a compound annual growth rate of 0.7%, outperforming its SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 59.7% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Langwarrin is projected to have an above median population growth of Australian statistical areas, with an expected expansion of 3,803 persons, reflecting a total increase of 14.5% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Langwarrin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Langwarrin has granted approximately 59 residential approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 298 homes. In FY26 so far, 10 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 2.1 new residents per dwelling is gained, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are constructed at an average cost of $280,000, below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options.

Commercial approvals this financial year amount to $15.6 million, demonstrating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin shows around 75% of construction activity per person and ranks in the 20th percentile nationally for buyer options, suggesting limited new housing supply while demand for established properties strengthens. New development consists mainly of detached houses (71.0%) and attached dwellings (29.0%), maintaining the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 787 people.

Population forecasts indicate Langwarrin will gain approximately 3,741 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Langwarrin has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Langwarrin Community Centre and Early Years Project, 82 Edward Street Residential Development, 46-48 Edward Street Townhouses, and Potts Road Subdivision (68-74 Potts Road). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Langwarrin demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Langwarrin has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 3.0% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.4%.

As of that date, 14,389 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Langwarrin was on par with Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 22.4% of residents worked from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

The area has a high employment specialization in construction, with a share 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services employ only 5.4% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 2.7%, causing a slight rise in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Langwarrin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 2023 financial year, Langwarrin SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $59,386 and an average income of $69,805. This is slightly above the national average, compared to Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $64,285 (median) and $75,564 (average). Census data shows Langwarrin's household, family, and personal incomes are around the 62nd percentile nationally. Income distribution reveals that 37.0% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, consistent with broader regional trends at 32.8%. After housing expenses, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. Langwarrin's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Langwarrin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Langwarrin's dwelling structure in the latest Census showed 83.4% houses and 16.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Langwarrin was 31.2%, similar to Melbourne metro, with the rest either mortgaged (51.3%) or rented (17.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,900, below Melbourne metro's $2,000 average. Median weekly rent in Langwarrin was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Langwarrin's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Langwarrin has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.0% of all households, including 37.9% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 22.2% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Langwarrin exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 18.3%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (30.3%). Educational participation is high at 28.2%, with 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Langwarrin has 96 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes that together facilitate 971 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average living 364 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential region, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 22.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 138 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly ten weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Langwarrin are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Langwarrin's health indicators show below-average outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence data. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is at approximately 54% of the total population (~13,911 people), slightly leading the average SA2 area but trailing Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.4%) and asthma (9.3%). 66.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Langwarrin has 17.2% of residents aged 65 and over (4,446 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 14.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings generally in line with the broader population.

Langwarrin ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Langwarrin, as per data from 2016 Census, had low cultural diversity with 83.5% born in Australia and 91.6% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 94.2%. Christianity was the main religion at 41.5%.

Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Melbourne's 1.0%. Top ancestral groups were English (32.2%), Australian (29.3%), and Scottish (8.5%). Dutch, Welsh, and Sri Lankan groups showed notable divergences: Dutch at 2.2% vs regional 1.2%, Welsh at 0.6% vs 0.4%, Sri Lankan at 0.3% vs 0.8%.

Langwarrin's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Langwarrin was close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years at the time of reporting, and equivalent to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin had a higher concentration of residents aged 55-64, with 12.4%, but fewer residents aged 25-34, with 11.5%. From the 2021 Census data, the population of those aged 75 to 84 grew from 4.5% to 5.7%, while the 25 to 34 age group declined from 12.7% to 11.5%. By the year 2041, Langwarrin's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 76%, adding 1,106 people and reaching a total of 2,570 from the previous figure of 1,463. This growth is part of an overall aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above comprising 66% of projected population growth. Meanwhile, declines are projected for the age groups 35 to 44 and 0 to 4 years old.