Langwarrin
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Langwarrin are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Langwarrin's population was approximately 25,774 as of August 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 835 people from the 2021 Census count of 24,939, which is a growth rate of 3.3%. The estimated resident population in June 2024 was 25,747, with an additional 214 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this increase. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 685 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively consistent with averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Langwarrin's growth rate exceeded that of its SA4 region (3.2%), positioning it as a growth leader within the area. Natural growth contributed around 59.7% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest population numbers, Langwarrin is projected to have an above median population growth, with an expected increase of approximately 3,803 persons by 2041, representing a total increase of around 14.7% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Langwarrin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Langwarrin has recorded approximately 59 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 298 homes. As of FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 accommodates about 2.1 new residents per year, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are constructed at an average cost of $508,000.

This financial year has seen $15.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 20th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This level is also below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Langwarrin's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 787 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections indicate Langwarrin adding 3,776 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Langwarrin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 27 projects that may affect the area. Key projects include Sierra Estate, Langwarrin Community Centre and Early Years Project, 82 Edward Street Residential Development, and 144 Cranbourne-Frankston Road Townhouses and Units. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market in Langwarrin shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Langwarrin has a skilled labor force with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.6%.

As of June 2025, 14,407 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation was at 68.7%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The leading employment industries among residents were construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction had a strong representation with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 5.4% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.6%, while the labor force grew by 4.6%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.5% and unemployment increase by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project an increase of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Langwarrin's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4%% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022, Langwarrin had a median income among taxpayers of $55,643. The average income was $65,885. This is slightly above the national average of $54,892 and compares to levels of $54,892 and $73,761 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% from financial year ending June 2022 to March 2025, current estimates would be approximately $61,269 (median) and $72,546 (average). According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Langwarrin cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 37.0% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with 9,536 residents falling into this category. This pattern is similar to the broader area where 32.8% of residents earn within this range. After housing expenses, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile based on the most recent available data.

Langwarrin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Langwarrin's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.4% houses and 16.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 79.8% houses and 20.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Langwarrin was higher at 31.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (51.3%) or rented (17.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,900, above Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. Median weekly rent in Langwarrin was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $356. Nationally, Langwarrin's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,900 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $365 than the national figure of $375.

Langwarrin has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 76.0% of all households, including 37.9% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 22.2% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5 people.

The educational profile of Langwarrin exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is substantially lower than the Greater Melbourne average, at 18.3% compared to 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent among residents with higher education qualifications, at 13.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 42.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (30.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education. There are seven schools operating within Langwarrin, educating approximately 5,475 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1047) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes four primary, one secondary, and two K-12 schools. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 21.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 14.8, indicating that the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Langwarrin has 97 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. Six different routes service these stops, together offering 1,480 weekly passenger trips. The transport system is deemed accessible, with residents on average located 363 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 211 trips per day, which translates to about 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Langwarrin are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Langwarrin has below-average health indicators.

Common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52%, slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.4% and 9.3% of residents respectively. About 66.5% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 65.0% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 17.2% of residents aged 65 and over (4,440 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly inline with the general population's health profile.

Langwarrin ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Langwarrin, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, exhibited below-average cultural diversity. It had 83.5% of its population born in Australia, with 91.6% being citizens and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 41.5%.

Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.3%. Ancestry-wise, the top three groups were English (32.2%), Australian (29.3%), and Scottish (8.5%). Notably, Dutch (2.2% vs regional 1.8%), Welsh (0.6% vs 0.6%), and Maltese (0.5% vs 0.5%) were also overrepresented.

Langwarrin's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Langwarrin was close to Greater Melbourne's average at 38 years as of a certain date. It is also equivalent to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin had a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (12.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.5%). Between the 2021 Census and a certain date, the population aged 75-84 increased from 4.5% to 5.7%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 12.7% to 11.5%. By a certain date in 2041, Langwarrin's population is projected to experience significant shifts in age composition. The group aged 75-84 is expected to grow by 76%, reaching 2,570 from 1,461. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, comprising 65% of the projected population increase. Meanwhile, declines are projected for the populations aged 35-44 and 0-4 years.