Langwarrin

Population growth drivers in Langwarrin are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Langwarrin's population was around 25,849 as of Feb 2026. This showed an increase of 910 people from the 2021 Census figure of 24,939. The change was inferred from ABS' June 2024 estimate of 25,747 and additional validated new addresses since then. This resulted in a population density of 687 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Langwarrin's growth rate was 0.7% annually, outperforming its SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 59.7% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Langwarrin is projected to have an above median population growth, with an expected increase of 3,803 persons from the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 14.3% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Langwarrin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Langwarrin has recorded approximately 59 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 298 homes. In FY-26 so far, 10 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 2.1 new residents per year has been gained for each dwelling built, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $280,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $15.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person, placing it among the 20th percentile nationally, which suggests limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is also below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New development consists of 71.0% detached houses and 29.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 787 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Langwarrin will gain 3,701 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Langwarrin has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects that may affect the region. Notable projects include Langwarrin Community Centre and Early Years Project, 82 Edward Street Residential Development, 46-48 Edward Street Townhouses, and Potts Road Subdivision (68-74 Potts Road). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Langwarrin demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Langwarrin has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 3.0% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.4%.

There were 14,389 residents employed in September 2025, with an unemployment rate of 1.7%, lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation was on par with Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 22.4% of residents worked from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Construction employment share is 1.8 times the regional level. Professional & technical services employ only 5.4% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 2.7%, raising unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Langwarrin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The median income among taxpayers in Langwarrin SA2 was $59,386 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023. The average income stood at $69,805. Nationally, the median and average incomes were $57,688 and $75,164 respectively in Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, current estimates project median and average incomes to be approximately $64,285 and $75,564 respectively, based on an 8.25% growth rate since financial year 2023 as per the Wage Price Index. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Langwarrin are around the 62nd percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 37.0% of individuals (9,564 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, consistent with broader trends across the region where 32.8% fall into this category. After housing expenses, 85.2% of income remains for other expenditures. Langwarrin's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Langwarrin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Langwarrin, as per the latest Census evaluation, 83.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 16.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is in contrast to Melbourne metro's dwelling structure, which was 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Langwarrin stood at 31.2%, closely aligning with Melbourne metro's level. The majority of dwellings were mortgaged (51.3%), with the rest rented (17.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Langwarrin was $1,900, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Weekly rent median stood at $365 compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Langwarrin's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $375.

Langwarrin has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.0% of all households, including 37.9% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 22.2% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Langwarrin exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 18.3%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (30.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.2% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 3.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Langwarrin has 96 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes that together facilitate 971 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents located an average of 364 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuting is outward-bound and cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 95%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.8, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 22.4% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are 138 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately ten weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Langwarrin are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Langwarrin's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat prevalent across younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~13,932 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.4%) and asthma (9.3%). 66.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Langwarrin has 18.0% of residents aged 65 and over (4,657 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Langwarrin ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Langwarrin, as per the 2016 Census, had a population with 83.5% born in Australia and 91.6% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 94.2%. Christianity was the dominant religion at 41.5%.

Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Melbourne's 1.0%. The top three ancestral groups were English (32.2%), Australian (29.3%), and Scottish (8.5%). Notably, Dutch (2.2%) and Welsh (0.6%) were also overrepresented.

Langwarrin's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Langwarrin, as of 2021, is 38 years, closely matching Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Langwarrin has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (12.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.1%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, the population aged 75 to 84 increased from 4.5% to 6.0%, while the 25 to 34 age group decreased from 12.7% to 11.1%. By 2041, Langwarrin's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 65%, from 1,561 people in 2021 to 2,570 people by 2041. This growth will contribute to a significant increase in the proportion of residents aged 65 and above, who are projected to comprise 62% of Langwarrin's population growth between 2021 and 2041. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 35 to 44 age group and the 0 to 4 age cohort.