Frankston North

Frankston North is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Frankston North's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 5,849 people. This reflects an increase of 138 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,711. AreaSearch validated this estimate using ABS ERP data from June 2024 and additional new addresses found since the Census date. The suburb's population density is approximately 1,142 persons per square kilometer. Frankston North's growth rate of 2.4% since the Census is within 0.7 percentage points of its SA4 region's growth rate of 3.1%. This growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing around 72.0% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest a median growth rate, with an expected increase of 506 persons in Frankston North by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 7.8% over 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Frankston North, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Frankston North averaged approximately 14 new dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 71 homes were approved, with a further 5 approved in FY-26. Despite population decline during this period, the housing supply remained adequate relative to demand, indicating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value of new properties was $387,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, $104.1 million in commercial approvals were registered, reflecting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Frankston North had around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranked among the 45th percentile nationally, offering limited buyer choices and supporting demand for existing homes. New building activity comprised 62.0% detached dwellings and 38.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and providing a mix of housing opportunities across price brackets. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, marking a considerable change from the current housing mix of 93.0% houses.

With around 374 people per dwelling approval, Frankston North demonstrates a developed market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Frankston North is projected to grow by 457 residents through to 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Frankston North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include the Frankston to Baxter Rail Upgrade, Compass Business Park, Frankston Basketball and Gymnastics Stadium Redevelopment, and 8A Klauer Street Industrial Development. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Frankston North face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Frankston North has a diverse workforce with both white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 12.8% and estimated employment growth of 1.1% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of June 2025, there are 2,282 employed residents, while the unemployment rate stands at 8.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%. Workforce participation is lower at 47.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and manufacturing. Manufacturing has a notable concentration with levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services have limited presence at 3.1%, lower than the regional average of 10.1%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparison of working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1% while labour force grew by 3.8%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 2.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5%, labour force increase by 4.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Frankston North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Frankston North's median income among taxpayers was $43,608 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $51,964 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. By September 2025, estimates suggest that Frankston North's median income will be approximately $48,911 and the average income will be around $58,283, based on a 12.16% growth in wages since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Frankston North rank between the 8th and 9th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The dominant income bracket in Frankston North is $800 - $1,499, with 30.6% of locals (1,789 people) falling into this category. This differs from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket is most prevalent at 32.8%. Housing affordability is a significant issue in Frankston North, with only 78.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Frankston North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Frankston North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.3% houses and 6.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 79.8% houses and 20.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Frankston North stood at 25.5%, with mortgaged properties at 28.2% and rented dwellings at 46.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,408, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. Median weekly rent in Frankston North was $315, compared to Melbourne metro's $356. Nationally, Frankston North's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Frankston North features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 60.1% of all households, including 19.3% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 20.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 39.9%, with lone person households at 34.4% and group households comprising 5.6%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

Frankston North faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.5%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.9%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (31.5%).

Educational participation is high at 31.1%, including primary education (11.3%), secondary education (7.7%), and tertiary education (3.0%). Frankston North's four schools have a combined enrollment of 765 students, with varied educational conditions (ICSEA: 921). Education provision is balanced, serving distinct age groups with three primary and one secondary school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Frankston North has 38 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by five different routes which together facilitate 1,870 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent with residents on average being located 159 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency across all routes averages 267 trips per day, translating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Frankston North is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Frankston North faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (~2,775 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 51.2% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 14.4% and 10.1% of residents respectively.

Conversely, 55.2% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 65.0%. The area has 17.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,041 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with the overall population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Frankston North was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Frankston North had a higher than average cultural diversity, with 21.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Frankston North, accounting for 37.8% of people. However, Judaism showed an overrepresentation, comprising 0.2% of the population compared to 0.3% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.3%), Australian (27.6%), and Other (7.5%). Notable divergences included Hungarian at 0.6% (vs regional 0.4%), Maori at 1.6% (vs regional 0.7%), and Serbian at 0.5% (vs regional 0.3%).

Frankston North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Frankston North's median age is 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group comprises 11.8% of Frankston North's population, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort makes up 13.9%, lower than Greater Melbourne's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 12.4% to 13.9%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 16.9% to 16.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Frankston North's age structure. Notably, the 85+ group is projected to grow by 101%, reaching 388 people from a starting point of 193. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 63% of projected growth. Conversely, both the 35-44 and 0-4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.