Frankston North

Frankston North is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Frankston North's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 5856 people. This figure reflects an increase of 145 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5711 people in Frankston North statistical area (Lv2). The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population at 5840 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1143 persons per square kilometer, comparable with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Frankston North's growth of 2.5% since census positions it within 1.5 percentage points of the SA4 region (4.0%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in this area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median of national areas. The Frankston North (SA2) is expected to expand by 508 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of approximately 7.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Frankston North, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Frankston North averaged approximately 14 new dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY21-FY25, around 74 homes were approved, with an additional 10 approved in FY26. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has been adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value of new properties is $387,000. This financial year saw $52.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Frankston North has 19.0% less new development per person and ranks among the 40th percentile nationally, suggesting more limited buyer choices and supporting demand for existing homes. New building activity comprises 54.0% detached dwellings and 46.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and offering a mix of housing types at varying price points. Frankston North currently has around 414 people per dwelling approval, indicating a developed market.

By 2041, the population is projected to grow by 452 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though heightened competition may arise as the population increases.

Frankston North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of a local area is significantly influenced by changes to its infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified six projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the Frankston to Baxter Rail Upgrade, Compass Business Park, Frankston Basketball and Gymnastics Stadium Redevelopment, and 8A Klauer Street Industrial Development. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Frankston North are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Frankston North has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 12.0% as of September 2025.

Employment growth in the past year was estimated at 2.3%. Compared to Greater Melbourne's unemployment rate of 4.7%, Frankston North has a higher rate of 7.4%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation is lower, at 47.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and manufacturing.

Manufacturing stands out with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services have limited presence, with only 3.1% of employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3%, while the labour force grew by 1.6%. This resulted in a decrease in unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows that Victoria's employment grew by 1.13%, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Frankston North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for local population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Frankston North's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2023 was $43,608. The average income stood at $51,964 during the same period. These figures are below Greater Melbourne's median and average incomes of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median and average incomes in Frankston North would be approximately $47,206 and $56,251 based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Frankston North rank between the 8th and 9th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 30.6% of locals (1,791 people) earning $800 - 1,499 annually, differing from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Frankston North, with only 78.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Frankston North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Frankston North's dwelling structure in its latest Census comprised 93.3% houses and 6.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 79.8% houses and 20.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Frankston North was at 25.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.2% and rented ones at 46.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,408, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent figure was $315, compared to Melbourne metro's $356. Nationally, Frankston North's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Frankston North features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 60.1% of all households, including 19.3% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 20.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 39.9%, with lone person households at 34.4% and group households making up 5.6%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

Frankston North faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.5%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.9%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.9%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.7%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 41.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 31.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.3% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Frankston North has 38 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by five different routes that together facilitate 1,063 weekly passenger trips. The average distance residents live from the nearest transport stop is 159 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 151 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Frankston North is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Frankston North faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (~2,779 people), compared to 52.3% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 14.4% and 10.1% of residents respectively.

However, 55.2% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 65.0% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 17.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,042 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly consistent with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Frankston North records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Frankston North has a cultural diversity level above the average, with 21.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Frankston North, accounting for 37.8% of the population. However, Judaism is notably overrepresented, comprising 0.2% of the population compared to 0.3% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups are English (29.3%), Australian (27.6%), and Other (7.5%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Hungarian is overrepresented at 0.6% (vs regional 0.4%), Maori at 1.6% (vs regional 0.7%), and Serbian at 0.5% (vs regional 0.3%).

Frankston North's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Frankston North has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group makes up 11.8% of Frankston North's population, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. Meanwhile, the 35-44 cohort represents 13.9%, which is lower compared to Greater Melbourne. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 12.4% to 13.9%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 16.9% to 16.0%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Frankston North's age structure. Notably, the 85+ group is projected to grow by 101%, adding 195 people and reaching a total of 389 from its current figure of 193. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 63% of the projected growth. Conversely, the 35-44 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.