Carrum - Patterson Lakes

SA2

Greater Melbourne / Kingston

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Statistical Area (SA2) Boundary Analysis

This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.

SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).

Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.

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Sales ActivityProperty Sales Trends in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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DemographicsPopulation Growth in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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Carrum - Patterson Lakes has an estimated 12,516 residents, up from 12,032 at the 2021 Census — a change of 484 people, or 4.0%. That puts 2,151 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.

Detail

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Carrum - Patterson Lakes stands at approximately 12,516 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 484 individuals (4.0%) compared to the 2021 Census, which recorded 12,032 residents. This shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 12,478 from June 2025 and 92 validated new addresses recorded since the Census. The population density is 2,150 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical figure for national locations analyzed. The 4.0% post-census growth rate is within 2.7 percentage points of the wider SA3 region (6.7%), showing competitive development.

Net overseas migration was the primary driver of this growth, accounting for about 77.5% of the total population increase recently. AreaSearch incorporates population projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. For areas where this data is unavailable, projections are sourced from the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA releases, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method to map LGA trends to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these models are extended to cover the period from 2032 to 2041. Future demographic forecasts suggest growth will exceed the national median, with the population projected to rise by 1,634 individuals by 2041 based on recent annual ERP statistics, representing a total increase of 12.8% over the 16 years.

Frequently Asked Questions - Population

What is the latest population estimate for the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Total population for the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 was estimated to be approximately 12,516 as at May 26. This is based upon an estimated resident population of 12,478 from the ABS up to June 2025.
How has the population in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 changed since 2021?
The carrum - patterson lakes sa2 has added approximately 484 people and shown a 4.02% increase from the 12,032 people recorded at the 2021 Census period.
What is the population density in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The population density in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is estimated at 2,150 persons per square kilometer based on the latest population estimate.
How much has the population grown over the past 10 years in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Over the past 10 years, the population in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 has shown a compound annual growth rate of 0.4% per annum.
What are the main drivers of population growth in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Population growth in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is driven by: Overseas migration (77.5%), Natural increase (22.5%), Interstate migration (0.0%). The primary driver is Overseas migration, contributing 77.5% of overall population gains.

Residential SupplyHousing Development & Building Approvals in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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196 new dwellings have been approved in Carrum - Patterson Lakes over the past five years, an average of 39 a year. That is 3.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 30 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 43% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 28, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.

Detail

Approximately 39 new residential dwellings have been approved annually in Carrum - Patterson Lakes, totaling 196 approvals over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 26 approvals have been documented so far. With an average of 1.1 new residents added per year per constructed dwelling between FY-21 and FY-25, residential supply and demand appear balanced, promoting market stability. The average construction cost of new properties is $541,000, indicating developers are focusing on upmarket, premium offerings. Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $29.6 million have been registered during this financial year, pointing to robust commercial development activity.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, the per capita rate of new dwelling approvals in Carrum - Patterson Lakes is approximately two-thirds, placing the area in the 55th percentile of locations assessed nationally. This rate is also below the national average, reflecting the established status of the suburb and implying potential planning constraints. Recently approved building projects consist of 43.0% standalone houses and 57.0% attached dwellings. This orientation toward higher-density options offers more accessible entry points for buyers, appealing to investors, first-time purchasers, and downsizers. The area exhibits low-density characteristics, averaging around 283 people for each dwelling approved. Based on the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch, Carrum - Patterson Lakes is projected to add 1,596 residents by 2041. If building activity remains at its current pace, housing construction may not keep up with population growth, potentially heightening competition among purchasers and supporting upward pressure on prices.

Frequently Asked Questions - Development

How many dwelling approvals have occurred in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 recently?
Dwelling approval activity in the the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 area has seen 88 residential approvals over the past two financial years, based on AreaSearch's SA2 aggregation method. The Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's current population of 12,516 has been supported by 39 approvals on average over recent years.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's development activity compare to the broader region?
The Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 has seen 0.32 approvals per 100 people in recent years, compared to 0.9 approvals in the broader region. This means that one dwelling has been approved for every 283 people in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, compared to one for every 125 in the broader region.
Is the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 keeping up with housing demand?
With the population expected to increase by 1,596 people by 2041, around 798 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels may be insufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling. This indicates potential housing shortages if current approval trends continue.
What has been the trend in development approvals over the past five years in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Looking at development activity over the past five years, the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's approval levels have been consistent with the yearly average of 39, showing stable development patterns.
How many dwellings will be needed to accommodate future population growth in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The population in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is expected to grow by 1,596 people by 2041, necessitating approximately 798 new dwellings. This calculation is based on the current census average of 2.0 persons per dwelling in the area.
How does recent development compare to population growth in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Over the past five years, the population in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 has grown by approximately 2,200 people, while 196 residential approvals were recorded. This equates to a ratio of 11.2 people added for each new dwelling approval. This high ratio suggests strong population growth relative to housing supply, potentially indicating unmet housing demand.
Are there opportunities for residential developers in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
With dwelling approval activity running at an average of 39 approvals per year and a population of 12,516, there appears to be a supply shortfall relative to projected demand, presenting strong opportunities for residential developers. With the population expected to increase by 1,596 people by 2041, around 798 new dwellings will be necessary. Current approval trends may be insufficient to meet forecast demand, indicating strong development opportunities.
Approvals Pipeline Development applications near Carrum - Patterson Lakes

Development applications around Carrum - Patterson Lakes

Development approvals is a new addition to AreaSearch. We’re actively expanding council coverage and refining the dataset — details and statuses for some councils may be partial. Check back regularly for the latest pipeline.
Application search is not available in Victoria. AreaSearch holds 5 applications for Carrum - Patterson Lakes, but they are a record of past activity rather than a current register. Victoria has no state-wide planning portal and its council coverage is uneven, so we have switched the search off here rather than return partial answers. We are currently investigating a solution. No credits are charged for Victorian applications, and building approvals from the ABS and the major projects we track are unaffected.

SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.

Project PipelineInfrastructure & Major Projects in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Carrum - Patterson Lakes, worth an estimated $138 million. A further 104 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $19.6 billion. 30 are already under construction and 29 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.

Detail

Local planning, infrastructure modifications, and major construction projects are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has tracked 5 projects expected to influence the area. The most relevant projects include The Dell by Stockland, Carrum Level Crossing Removal and Revitalisation, Carrum Foreshore and Patterson River Precinct Improvements, and the Bonbeach Station Precinct Redevelopment & Level Crossing Removal, with details provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure

What are some of the major infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Key infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 include: The Dell by Stockland (Construction); Carrum Level Crossing Removal and Revitalisation (Completed); Carrum Foreshore and Patterson River Precinct Improvements (Completed); Bonbeach Station Precinct Redevelopment & Level Crossing Removal (Completed); and Bonbeach Lifesaving Club Redevelopment (Completed). These projects represent significant developments that will shape the area's future infrastructure landscape.
What types of infrastructure projects are impacting the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Infrastructure development impacting the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 spans multiple sectors including Transport & Logistics, Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal, and Sports & Recreation, among others.
What is the scale of infrastructure investment impacting the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Infrastructure investment analysis indicates substantial capital deployment exceeding $8.5 billion in projects that will impact the extended area.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's infrastructure development compare to other areas?
The Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 shows moderate infrastructure development relative to national averages, with opportunities for future growth and investment.
The Promenade Patterson Lakes
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Planning | Est. Comp: 2028
Source / Links: Link 1   

Proposed medium-density townhouse and apartment development of approximately 120 dwellings within the established canal-front Lakeview precinct of Patterson Lakes. Planning permit reference CPA/2024/112 has been lodged with the City of Kingston. No independent public confirmation of a project named The Promenade at this location, its precise street number, or a named developer could be located through Kingston's planning register or other public sources at time of review.

Residential Development

Harbour Plaza Redevelopment
Category: Retail
Stage: Completed | Est. Comp: 2023
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Major refurbishment and expansion of the existing Harbour Plaza shopping centre, adding new retail tenancies, improved pedestrian access, and a refreshed marina-front dining precinct. The centre is part of the established Patterson Lakes Shopping Centre precinct. The redevelopment involved a full strip-out and rebuild of 26 shops following a fire and included extensive underground works for power resupply and a full rewire to base build, with the project now appearing to be complete and fully leasing retail spaces.

Retail

Mornington Peninsula Freeway Maintenance Program
Category: Transport & Logistics
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 0
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Maintenance works on the southbound lanes of the Mornington Peninsula Freeway between Patterson River and Eastlink at Patterson Lakes, delivered under the Victorian Government's 964 million dollar road maintenance program. Works include asphalt resurfacing and line marking carried out overnight to restore the road surface, improve safety and reduce disruption to daily traffic.

Transport & Logistics

The Dell by Stockland
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2028
Source / Links: Link 1   

Large masterplanned residential community directly opposite Bonbeach Station featuring townhomes and apartments, with future retail and community amenities planned within the precinct.

Residential Development

Carrum Foreshore and Patterson River Precinct Improvements
Category: Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal
Stage: Completed | Est. Comp: 2025
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Multi-stage public realm upgrades led by the City of Kingston to improve access and amenity across the Carrum foreshore and Patterson River precinct. Stage 1 (Beauty Spot Memorial Park upgrade) is completed. Stage 2 (Carrum Boardwalk extension north to the Patterson River path with handrails, tactile indicators, viewing platform, interpretive signage and solar bollard lighting) commenced in October 2024 and was scheduled to finish by March 2025. Stage 3 (Stephens Street Car Park pavements, new accessible bays, linemarking, signage and solar lighting) targeted completion by mid-2025.As of August 2025, the precinct works are considered completed per the council delivery program.

Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal

Carrum Level Crossing Removal and Revitalisation
Category: Transport & Logistics
Stage: Completed | Est. Comp: 0
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Removal of three dangerous and congested level crossings at Station Street, Eel Race Road, and Mascot Avenue, and the construction of a new, elevated Carrum Station. The project also included a major revitalisation of the area, creating new community spaces, including a foreshore park, a village green, and a town square.

Transport & Logistics

Bondi Road, Bonbeach Level Crossing Removal
Category: Transport & Logistics
Stage: Completed | Est. Comp: 2022
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Completed Victorian Government Level Crossing Removal Project works at Bonbeach removed the Bondi Road level crossing by lowering the Frankston line into a rail trench and rebuilding the road at surface level. The project also delivered the new Bonbeach Station, improved walking and cycling connections, upgraded accessibility, bike facilities, lighting, landscaping, and station precinct improvements as part of the Edithvale, Chelsea and Bonbeach package.

Transport & Logistics

Seaford Level Crossing Removal - Armstrongs Road & Station Street
Category: Transport & Logistics
Stage: Planning | Est. Comp: 2028
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Removal of the Armstrongs Road and Station Street level crossings by constructing two separate rail bridges, together with a new elevated and fully accessible Seaford Station. The project will improve safety, reduce congestion, create new public open space and enhance walking and cycling connections. Early designs were released in 2026, planning approvals are progressing, construction is scheduled to commence in 2027 and completion is expected in 2028.

Transport & Logistics

Jobs & IndustryEmployment Trends in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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6,866 residents of Carrum - Patterson Lakes are employed, from a labour force of 7,256. Unemployment sits at 5.4%, with participation at 68.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 9,911, about 79% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Carrum - Patterson Lakes is home to a qualified workforce, with strong representation in the construction sector. The local unemployment rate stands at 5.4%, and employment grew by an estimated 0.7% over the past year. In March 2026, there were 6,866 employed residents. The unemployment rate is 0.6% higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%, while participation in the labor force aligns closely with the metropolitan average of 70.2%. Census data indicates that 29.0% of the working population operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic-related lockdowns.

The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The local workforce is notably concentrated in construction, representing 1.4 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, professional & technical services are underrepresented at 7.7% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. A comparison of the Census working population against the resident population suggests that this largely residential locality offers a limited number of jobs within its borders. An analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that employment rose by 0.7% over the 12-month period, while the overall labor force shrank by 0.3%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point reduction in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded a 2.1% increase in employment, a 2.3% expansion of the labor force, and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Long-term employment projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context for future demand. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local industry mix to estimate growth. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary by sector. Applying these trends to the local employment structure suggests that employment in Carrum - Patterson Lakes could grow by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation that does not account for localized population dynamics.

Frequently Asked Questions - Employment

What is the employment situation in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
As of March 2026, the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 has approximately 6,866 employed residents with an unemployment rate of 5.4%. The unemployment rate is moderate, indicating some available workforce capacity. Employment indicators are below the national average, suggesting room for improvement.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's unemployment rate compare to the broader region?
As of March 2026, the unemployment rate in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 stands at 5.4%, which is 0.6 percentage points above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. This higher unemployment rate may indicate local labour market challenges. For comparison, the national unemployment rate is 4.2%.
What are the major employment sectors in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The employment landscape in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is dominated by several key sectors. The largest employers are health care & social assistance (14.1% of employment), construction (13.8%), and retail trade (10.0%). Other significant employers include manufacturing and education & training.
How has employment changed recently in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Over the past year to March 2026, the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 has experienced employment growth, with total employment increasing while the labour force decreased. As a result, the unemployment rate has fall. By comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment increased and its unemployment rate rose.
What is the workforce participation rate in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The workforce participation rate in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is 68.8%, which represents the proportion of working-age residents who are either employed or actively seeking work. This healthy participation rate reflects good employment opportunities and workforce engagement. The local rate trailing the Greater Melbourne average of 70.2%, showing similar workforce dynamics to the broader region.
Which industries are over-represented in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's employment market?
The carrum - patterson lakes sa2 shows notable specialization in construction, which employs 13.8% of the local workforce compared to 9.7% regionally. This moderate specialization indicates some local strength in the sector.
What are the employment growth prospects for the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Based on Jobs and Skills Australia projections applied to the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's industry mix, employment is expected to grow by 6.5% over the next five years and 13.4% over ten years. This compares to national growth expectations of 6.6% over five years. Steady growth is anticipated across multiple sectors, providing diverse employment opportunities.
How does the job market in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compare nationally?
The carrum - patterson lakes sa2's employment market shows below-average performance in national comparisons. While employment opportunities exist, the area faces more challenges than many other regions. Recent job advertisement trends show the broader employment region saw a 8.9% decline, ranking 34.0th out of 37 regions nationally.
What employment opportunities exist for skilled workers in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Skilled workers will find good opportunities in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, with skilled sectors accounting for 35.5% of employment. Key sectors for skilled workers include health care & social assistance (14.1%), education & training (8.7%), and professional & technical (7.7%). With projected employment growth of 6.5% over five years, demand for skilled workers is expected to remain strong.

EarningsHousehold Income in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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Median household income in Carrum - Patterson Lakes is $1,853 a week (about $96,000 a year), with median personal income at $890 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,676 a year against an average of $79,652. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.

Detail

Aggregated data from the latest postcode-level ATO statistics released for the 2023 financial year indicates that the median taxpayer income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 was $61,676, while the average income was $79,652. These figures rank among the highest nationally, compared to $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average) across Greater Melbourne. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates suggest incomes reached approximately $67,609 (median) and $87,315 (average) by March 2026. The 2021 Census places household, family, and individual incomes for the area near the 60th percentile nationally.

Income distribution shows that 32.0% of residents (4,005 people) earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is similar to the metropolitan average of 32.8%. While housing costs consume 15.6% of income, solid earnings keep disposable income at the 57th percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 6th decile for income.

Frequently Asked Questions - Income

What is the median taxable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is approximately $67,609. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded a median of $61,676.
What is the average taxable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is approximately $87,315. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded an average of $79,652.
How does the median taxable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is approximately $67,609 compared to $63,238 in Greater Melbourne. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $61,676 and $57,688 respectively.
How does the average taxable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is approximately $87,315 compared to $82,395 in Greater Melbourne. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $79,652 and $75,164 respectively.
What are the main income cohorts in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
As per the 2021 Census, the income bracket containing the largest proportion (~32.0% / 4,005 persons) of the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's population is the $1,500 - 2,999 cohort.
How do the main income cohorts in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compare to the region?
The largest income cohort in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing about 32.0% of the population. In comparison, Greater Melbourne's largest income cohort is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing 32.8% of its population, according to the 2021 Census.
What is the median household income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census data indicates that the median household income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is $1,853/wk.
What is the median family income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
According to the 2021 Census, the median family income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is $2,370/wk.
What is the median personal income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census shows that the median personal income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is $890/wk.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's income rank nationally?
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $61,676 with the average level standing at $79,652. This is among the highest in Australia and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $67,609 (median) and $87,315 (average) as of March 2026.
What is the disposable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The estimated disposable income in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is $6,775 per year according to AreaSearch analysis.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's disposable income compare to the region?
The carrum - patterson lakes sa2's disposable income is $6,775 compared to $6,948 for Greater Melbourne, based on AreaSearch analysis.

Housing StockHousing & Dwellings in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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Carrum - Patterson Lakes had 4,877 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 55% detached houses and 14% apartments. 41% are owned with a mortgage, 22% rented and 37% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $420 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,100 a month. Rent absorbs 22.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.

Detail

According to the latest Census, the housing mix in Carrum - Patterson Lakes consisted of 54.5% standalone houses and 45.5% semi-detached dwellings, apartments, or other structures, compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings across metro Melbourne. Home ownership rates were higher than the metropolitan average at 37.4%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 41.0% and rented properties making up 21.6%. The median monthly mortgage payment was higher than the Melbourne metro average of $2,000 at $2,100, while the median weekly rent was $420, compared to $390 in the metro region.

On a national level, mortgage repayments in Carrum - Patterson Lakes are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent levels exceed the national average of $375.

Frequently Asked Questions - Housing

What percentage of homes are owned vs rented in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
In the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, 37.4% of homes are owned outright, 41.0% are owned with a mortgage, and 21.6% are rented.
What percentage of dwellings in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 are houses?
According to the latest data, 54.5% of dwellings in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 are houses.
What percentage of dwellings in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 are apartments or units?
In the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, 14.3% of dwellings are apartments or units, with an additional 31.1% being semi-detached dwellings.
What is the level of outright home ownership in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Outright home ownership in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 stands at 37.4%, compared to 30.7% in Greater Melbourne.
What is the median monthly mortgage repayment in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The median monthly mortgage repayment in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is $2,100, compared to $2,000 in Greater Melbourne.
What is the median weekly rent in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The median weekly rent in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is $420, compared to $390 in Greater Melbourne.
What is the distribution of rental prices in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
In the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, 5.4% of rentals are $0-149/week, 17.3% are $150-349/week, 68.4% are $350-649/week, 7.6% are $650-949/week, and 1.3% are $950+/week.
What is the average monthly housing cost in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The aggregate monthly housing cost in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is $1,254, which represents the average monthly cost across all housing types.
What percentage of income do residents spend on housing in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
In the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, households with mortgages typically spend 26.2% of their income on mortgage repayments, while renters spend 22.7% of their income on rent.
How crowded are homes in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The average persons per bedroom ratio in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is 0.8, indicating the level of household density.
How does housing affordability in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compare to the region?
Housing affordability in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 shows mortgage holders spending 26.2% of income on repayments (vs 24.3% regionally), while renters spend 22.7% of income on rent (vs 20.5% regionally).
What types of dwellings are most common in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The dwelling mix in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 consists of 54.5% detached houses, 31.1% semi-detached dwellings, 14.3% apartments, and 0.1% other dwelling types.
What is the weighted average housing cost based on tenure mix in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Based on the area's tenure composition, the weighted average monthly housing cost is approximately $1,254. This accounts for outright owners paying no housing costs, mortgage holders paying $2,100/month, and renters paying $1,819/month.
How affordable is housing in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 relative to local incomes?
Housing in Carrum - Patterson Lakes consumes approximately 15.6% of median household income ($8,023 monthly), indicating costs are highly affordable. The generally accepted benchmark is that housing should not exceed 30% of household income.
How do proposed developments compare to existing housing types in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Recent development applications in Carrum - Patterson Lakes show attached dwellings contributing 55% of approvals compared to 46% of existing stock, while detached houses represent 45% of applications versus 54% of current dwellings. This suggests increasing densification. This area is seeing substantial increases in dwelling density compared to most Australian locations.

HouseholdsHousehold Composition in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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Carrum - Patterson Lakes counted 4,877 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 30% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 29% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Families represent the majority of local households at 69.3%, consisting of couples with children at 30.1%, couples without children at 26.6%, and single parents at 12.1%. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.7%, with single-person households representing 28.5% and group living situations comprising 2.2%. The median household size of 2.4 residents is below the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Frequently Asked Questions - Households

How many households are in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
As of the 2021 Census, the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 had 4,877 households. Based on population growth patterns, this has grown by approximately 4.0% to an estimated 5,073 households today.
What is the typical household size?
The median household size in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is 2.4 people. This compares to 2.6 in Greater Melbourne and reflects the area's household composition mix.
What types of households are most common?
Family households dominate at 69.3% of all households. The remaining households consist of lone person households (28.5%), group households (2.2%), and other household types (0.0%).
How are families structured in the area?
Among the 3,379 family households, 30.1% are couples with children, 26.6% are couples without children at home, and 12.1% are single parent families. This mix shapes local demand for schools, family services, and housing types.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compare to regional household patterns?
Compared to Greater Melbourne, the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 shows distinct household patterns. This higher proportion of single-person households drives demand for smaller dwellings and different community services.
What is the average family size?
Families in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 have an average of 1.6 children, slightly above the Greater Melbourne average of 1.4. This influences local demand for child-related services and larger family homes.
What are the marriage patterns in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Marriage patterns reveal 47.0% of the adult population are currently married, while 32.1% have never married. This compares to 47.0% married and 38.0% never married across Greater Melbourne.
How significant are single-person households?
Single-person households represent 28.5% of all households in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, similar to the regional average of 24.8%. This affects demand for smaller dwellings and single-person accommodation.
Are shared living arrangements common?
Group households (unrelated people sharing) account for 2.2% of households, well below the Greater Melbourne average of 4.3%. This low rate suggests limited student or young professional shared accommodation.
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EducationSchools & Education in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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26.3% of adults in Carrum - Patterson Lakes hold a university qualification, including 18.0% with a bachelor degree and 5.2% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 24.1% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 882 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,063 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.

Detail

The locality presents educational disparities, with university graduation rates at 26.3%, which is lower than the SA4 regional average of 46.0%. This highlights a potential area for targeted educational strategies. Bachelor degrees represent the most common higher qualification at 18.0%, with postgraduate degrees at 5.2% and graduate diplomas at 3.1%. Vocational and technical training is common, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (24.1%). A high proportion of the population is engaged in learning, with 25.1% of residents enrolled in an educational program.

This student body is composed of 7.9% in primary school, 7.1% in high school, and 4.1% in higher education.

Frequently Asked Questions - Education

What percentage of people in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 have university qualifications?
26.3% of people aged 15 and over in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 have university qualifications, compared to 37.0% in the broader region.
What percentage of people in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 have no formal qualifications?
37.2% of people aged 15 and over in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 have no formal qualifications, compared to 35.2% regionally.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's education level compare to national averages?
The carrum - patterson lakes sa2 ranks in the 69th percentile nationally for education based on AreaSearch's analysis of qualification and performance metrics.
What types of qualifications are most common in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The most common qualifications in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 are: Certificate (24.1%), Bachelor Degree (18.0%), Advanced Diploma (12.5%).
What proportion of the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's population is currently attending educational institutions?
25.1% of the population in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is currently engaged in formal education, with 7.9% in primary school, 7.1% in secondary school, 4.1% at university.
What is the ICSEA score for schools in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The average ICSEA (Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage) score for schools in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is 1063, indicating average socio-educational advantage (national average is 1000).
How many schools are located within the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
There are 2 schools within the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, with a combined enrollment of approximately 882 students.
What types of schools are available in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The carrum - patterson lakes sa2 includes 2 primary schools.

Schools Detail

AmenitiesServices & Amenities in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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Getting AroundTransport & Commuting in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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Public transport in Carrum - Patterson Lakes reaches 59 stops on 8 routes, timetabled for about 2,800 services a week. The typical home sits about 200 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

The local public transport network contains 59 active stops within Carrum - Patterson Lakes, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 8 separate routes, providing 2,817 passenger journeys weekly. Accessibility is favorable, with residents living an average of 204 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential profile, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 91%, followed by train travel at 5%. Registered vehicles average 1.4 per household. Additionally, 29.0% of employed residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

Services run at an average of 402 trips daily across the routing network, representing approximately 47 weekly trips for each transport stop.

Frequently Asked Questions - Transport

How many public transport stops are in Carrum - Patterson Lakes?
There are 59 public transport stops within the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2.
How frequent are the transport services in Carrum - Patterson Lakes?
the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 has 2,817 weekly trips across 8 routes, averaging 402 trips per day.
How far are residents from public transport in Carrum - Patterson Lakes?
On average, residential properties are 204 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Transport Stops Detail

HealthcareHealth Services in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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69.9% of residents in Carrum - Patterson Lakes report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 80% of areas nationally. 4.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 58.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.

Detail

Local health data shows favorable trends in Carrum - Patterson Lakes, based on an analysis of mortality rates and chronic disease indicators by AreaSearch. Both younger and older demographics exhibit low rates of common medical conditions, and private health insurance coverage is high at approximately 58% of the population, representing about 7,309 individuals. The most prevalent chronic conditions in the locality are arthritis and asthma, each affecting 7.4% of residents. Meanwhile, 69.9% of the population reported no chronic health issues, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health measures for residents under 65 are better than average.

Residents aged 65 and over make up 23.6% of the population (2,952 people), which is higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 15.0%. The health status of these senior residents is positive, with national comparisons aligning with the broader population trends.

Frequently Asked Questions - Health

How many people in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 have private health insurance?
Around 58.4% of people in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 are covered by private health insurance, which compares to 56.7% in the broader region of Greater Melbourne.
What percentage of the population requires ongoing medical assistance in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
In the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, 4.8% of the population is identified as requiring ongoing medical assistance. This figure is slightly different from the regional average, where 5.5% of people in Greater Melbourne require similar assistance.
How prevalent is asthma in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
7.4% of people in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 are diagnosed with asthma. In comparison, 7.3% of the population across Greater Melbourne is affected by asthma.
What percentage of people have diabetes in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Diabetes affects 4.2% of the the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 population, while in the surrounding region, 4.1% of people are diagnosed with diabetes.
What is the percentage of people with heart disease in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
3.8% of people in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 have heart disease. Across the region of Greater Melbourne, 3.1% of the population is affected by heart disease.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compare to the region in terms of overall private health coverage?
In the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2, 58.4% of the population are estimated to have private health insurance. Comparatively, Greater Melbourne sees an estimated private health coverage rate of 56.7%.

Ancestry & LanguageCultural Diversity in Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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25.6% of Carrum - Patterson Lakes residents were born overseas and 16.1% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.9%) and Australian (23.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Carrum - Patterson Lakes exhibits a higher level of cultural diversity than most markets, with 25.6% of the population born outside Australia and 16.1% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 47.5% of the population. The most prominent religious variance is in Judaism, which accounts for 0.3% of local residents, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Regarding parental birthplace, the three most common ancestries in Carrum - Patterson Lakes are English at 27.9% (exceeding the regional average of 20.1%), Australian at 23.5% (exceeding the regional average of 18.4%), and Irish at 8.6%.

There are also distinct differences in other ancestries, with Hungarian backgrounds represented at 0.5% (compared to 0.3% regionally), Russian at 0.7% (compared to 0.4%), and Greek at 2.6% (compared to 2.7%).

Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity

What is the level of cultural diversity in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
Carrum - Patterson Lakes was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 25.6% of its population born overseas and 16.1% speaking a language other than English at home.
What is the most common religion in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The main religion in Carrum - Patterson Lakes was found to be Christianity, which makes up 47.5% of people in Carrum - Patterson Lakes. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.3% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.
What are the top countries of origin in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Carrum - Patterson Lakes are English, comprising 27.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian, comprising 23.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 18.4%, and Irish, comprising 8.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Hungarian is notably overrepresented at 0.5% of Carrum - Patterson Lakes (vs 0.3% regionally), Russian at 0.7% (vs 0.4%) and Greek at 2.6% (vs 2.7%).
How does the percentage of people born overseas compare to the regional average?
25.6% of the the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 population was born overseas, compared to 37.3% regionally.
What percentage of the the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 population speaks a language other than English at home?
16.1% of the population in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 speaks a language other than English at home, compared to 35.9% in the wider region.
How many people in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 identify as Australian Aboriginal?
0.5% of the the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 population identifies as Australian Aboriginal, compared to 0.5% in the region.
What is the citizenship status of the population in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
89.5% of the the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 population holds citizenship, compared to 81.1% in the wider region.

Age StructureAge Profile of Carrum - Patterson Lakes

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The median resident of Carrum - Patterson Lakes is 44. 20.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.

Detail

With a median age of 44, the population of Carrum - Patterson Lakes is older than the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age group is well represented at 12.8% relative to Greater Melbourne, while the 25 - 34 bracket is less common at 8.9%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 6.0% to 7.8%, and the 15 to 24 group has grown from 9.9% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 group has decreased from 15.4% to 13.1%, and the 25 - 34 group has fallen from 10.8% to 8.9%.

Long-term modeling indicates significant shifts by 2041, led by a 61% expansion of the 75 to 84 bracket, growing from 981 to 1,583 people. This demographic aging is highlighted by the fact that individuals aged 65+ represent 77% of the projected growth, while the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to experience declines.

Frequently Asked Questions - Age

What is the median age in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
According to the latest data, the median age in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is 44 years.
How does the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2's median age compare to broader areas?
At 44 years, Carrum - Patterson Lakes is 7 years older than the Greater Melbourne average (37 years) and 6 years older than the national average (38 years).
What age groups are over-represented in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The most over-represented age group in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compared to the Greater Melbourne region is the 65 - 74 group, making up 12.8% of the population.
What age groups are under-represented in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The most under-represented age group in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 compared to the Greater Melbourne region is the 25 - 34 group, making up 8.9% of the population.
Are there age groups with notable population variances?
Yes, certain age groups in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 show significant variance compared to the Greater Melbourne region. The most over-represented age groups are 65-74 year-olds (12.8% vs 7.9%) and 75-84 year-olds (7.8% vs 5.1%). The most under-represented age group is 25-34 year-olds (8.9% vs 16.5%).
What is the percentage of children (0-14 years) in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The percentage of children aged 0-14 years in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is 15.5%.
What is the percentage of older people (65+ years) in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2?
The percentage of people aged 65 and over in the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 is 23.6%.

Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Carrum - Patterson Lakes

Data currency Refreshed

9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.

Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.

The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section

Section Source & update cycle Currency
Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections
Population ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline.
Age profile ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate.
Development & approvals ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline
Property sales & rents Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures
Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026.
Infrastructure projects Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily Aug 2026 this month all 5 projects tracked here
Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026.
Employment ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census.
Education ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Transport ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Services & amenities Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures
Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections
Income ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail.
Health ABS, ATO Annual 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current.
Housing ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures
Households ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures
Cultural diversity ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures

"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.

How the numbers are built

Population

The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 92 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (12,032 at the 2021 Census → 12,516 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.

Age profile

Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".

Property sales

Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.

Rents

Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.

Development & infrastructure

Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.

Employment & income

Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.

Education, transport & amenities

School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.

Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.

Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.

Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (208031185). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.

Common questions about this page

Why can the Carrum - Patterson Lakes SA2 boundary differ from the suburb boundary?
This page uses ABS Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) boundaries for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP). SA2 areas can differ materially from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, even when they share similar names, because they are defined for different purposes and often use different geographic boundaries.
Where does the data on this Carrum - Patterson Lakes page come from?
AreaSearch compiles this page from official and industry sources — including ABS, Geoscience Australia, Valuer General, Provider directories, DEWR, JSA, State Transport Departments and ACARA — then aggregates them to the boundary shown and calculates the rankings, growth rates and benchmarks itself. Property sales come from the state valuation authority, rents from state rental bond lodgements, development applications from council and state planning portals, school data from ACARA, and public transport from state transport departments.
Is the Carrum - Patterson Lakes data on this page just from the 2021 Census?
No. Most of this page is maintained well beyond the Census. Sourced entirely from current releases: development & approvals (Jun 2026), property sales & rents (Aug 2026), infrastructure projects (Aug 2026) and services & amenities (Jul 2026). Built on a Census baseline but carrying newer measures on top: population (to May 2026), age profile (to May 2026), employment (to Mar 2026), income (to FY 2023), education (to Aug 2026), transport (to Jul 2026) and health (to 2024). Population and age cohorts in particular are re-based to the latest ABS Estimated Resident Population rather than left at 2021 counts. Only housing, households and cultural diversity remain wholly Census-based, because no more current small-area dataset exists for those measures.

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