Mordialloc - Parkdale

Population growth drivers in Mordialloc - Parkdale are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Mordialloc - Parkdale's population is around 22,371 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,172 people (5.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 21,199 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 22,229 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 333 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,806 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Mordialloc - Parkdale's 5.5% growth since the census positions it within 0.1 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.6%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 89.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above-median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to expand by 3,143 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 13.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Mordialloc - Parkdale when compared nationally

Mordialloc - Parkdale has recorded around 117 residential properties granted approval annually, with 585 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 108 so far in FY-26. With an average of only 0.9 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth that could exceed current expectations, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $446,000—somewhat higher than regional norms—reflecting quality-focused development. Additionally, $80.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mordialloc - Parkdale has similar development levels (per person), maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. New building activity shows 26.0% detached dwellings and 74.0% medium and high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 48.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. At around 264 people per approval, Mordialloc - Parkdale reflects a low density area.

Population forecasts indicate Mordialloc - Parkdale will gain 3,001 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Mordialloc - Parkdale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 42ndth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 14 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Mordi Aquatic Centre, Elanora Place, Kallara House, and OTIUM, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Mordialloc - Parkdale has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Mordialloc - Parkdale has a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation and an unemployment rate of 4.4%. As of December 2025, 12,709 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.4% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is on par with Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Based on Census responses, a high 39.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. Meanwhile, transport, postal & warehousing has a limited presence with 2.7% employment compared to 5.2% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.3% while employment declined by 0.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Mordialloc - Parkdale. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Mordialloc - Parkdale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Mordialloc - Parkdale SA2 is extremely high nationally, with the median assessed at $66,449 while the average income stands at $87,689. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $71,931 (median) and $94,923 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Mordialloc - Parkdale cluster around the 73rd percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 28.2% of the community (6,308 individuals), consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 32.8% in the same category. Economic strength is evident as 34.2% of households achieve high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.9% of income, while strong earnings rank residents within the 73rd percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Mordialloc - Parkdale displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Mordialloc - Parkdale, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 48.4% houses and 51.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Mordialloc - Parkdale was well beyond that of Melbourne metro, at 34.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (40.0%) or rented (25.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Melbourne metro average at $2,253, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Mordialloc - Parkdale's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Mordialloc - Parkdale has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 69.4% of all households, comprising 34.6% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.6%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Mordialloc - Parkdale places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational qualifications in Mordialloc - Parkdale trail regional benchmarks, with 37.6% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 46.0% in the SA4 region. This gap highlights the potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 24.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 29.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (17.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 88 active transport stops operating within Mordialloc - Parkdale, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 17 individual routes, collectively providing 4,225 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 211 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 87%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. A high 39.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 603 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 48 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mordialloc - Parkdale's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Mordialloc - Parkdale residents. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions shows results broadly in line with national benchmarks, with the prevalence of common health conditions remaining low across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (14,160 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.7% and 7.5% of residents, respectively, while 71.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (4,181 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mordialloc - Parkdale was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mordialloc - Parkdale was found to be above average in terms of cultural diversity, with 25.1% of its population born overseas and 15.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Mordialloc - Parkdale is Christianity, which makes up 48.3% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.7% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Mordialloc - Parkdale are English, comprising 27.3% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian, comprising 23.1% of the population, and Irish, comprising 10.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Russian is notably overrepresented at 0.7% of the population (vs 0.4% regionally), Greek at 3.2% (vs 2.7%) and Serbian at 0.5% (vs 0.4%).

Mordialloc - Parkdale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 42-year median age in Mordialloc - Parkdale is significantly above Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and similarly considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The 55 - 64 age group shows strong representation at 13.3% compared to Greater Melbourne, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 9.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.6% to 14.5% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 5.1% to 6.2%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 11.6% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 16.3% to 14.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Mordialloc - Parkdale. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 61% (849 people), reaching 2,243 from 1,393. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 58% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.