Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The estimated population of the suburb of Springvale South is around 13,293 as of February 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 527 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,766. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 13,283 following examination of ABS data released in June 2024 and an additional 161 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,896 persons per square kilometer, placing Springvale South in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth rate of 4.1% since the census compares favorably with its SA3 area's growth rate of 6.9%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains in recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas and Victorian State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted to SA2 levels using weighted aggregation. Considering these projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 666 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 4.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Springvale South averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 177 homes. As of FY26, 47 approvals have been recorded. Population decline in recent years suggests demand has likely been met by new supply, offering buyers good choice. Average construction value is $457,000, higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development.

This financial year saw $2.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters of building activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, indicating limited buyer options but strengthening demand for established properties. Recent construction comprises 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium-high density housing, promoting affordability and suitability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift from existing housing (86.0% houses) suggests decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles. With around 398 people per approval, Springvale South shows a mature market. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates an increase of 657 residents.

Current development rates should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current projections.

Springvale South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects expected to influence the region. Notable initiatives include Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled workforce with prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.8%. As of September 2025, 6,488 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 1.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

The workforce participation rate was 61.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Only 12.0% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. The area has a strong specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share three times the regional level, but professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.0% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.8%, while labour force grew by 5.0%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 1.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had employment growth of 3.0% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Springvale South's employment should increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The suburb of Springvale South had a median taxpayer income of $39,074 and an average of $48,204 in the financial year 2023. This was lower than national averages, with Greater Melbourne having a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $42,298 (median) and $52,181 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. Census data showed individual incomes at the 7th percentile were $559 weekly, while household incomes were at the 35th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band included 35.1% of Springvale South's community (4,665 individuals), similar to regional levels at 32.8%. After housing costs, 85.4% of income remained for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Springvale South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.8% houses and 14.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Springvale South stood at 39.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.9% and rented ones at 27.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Springvale South was $351, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.8% of all households, consisting of 40.1% couples with children, 19.5% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 17.5% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average, at 19.0% compared to 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common type of university qualification in the area, with a rate of 14.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.5% and graduate diplomas at 1.3%. Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 8.6% and certificates accounting for 13.7%. Educational participation is high in the area, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 49 active transport stops operating in Springvale South. These are served by a mix of buses along 10 individual routes, providing a total of 1,098 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains dominant at 89%, with train use at 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, above regional average.

Only 12% of residents work from home (2021 Census). Service frequency averages 156 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 22 weekly trips per stop.

Springvale South's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates robust performance across Springvale South. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were assessed by AreaSearch, showing low prevalence among both young and elderly cohorts. Private health cover was found to be relatively low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,114 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions were asthma (6.4%) and diabetes (5.9%). A significant majority, 76.9%, reported being completely free from medical ailments, higher than the 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents exhibited low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.6% (2,472 people), compared to 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors were notably strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South, one of Australia's most culturally diverse areas, has 62.4% of its population born overseas and 75.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Buddhism is the predominant religion in Springvale South, with 34.8%, compared to just 4.2% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%), and Chinese (17.7%), all significantly higher than their respective regional averages of 14.6%, 1.9%, and 6.5%.

Some other ethnic groups show notable differences: Hungarian is slightly overrepresented at 0.4% in Springvale South compared to the regional average of 0.3%, Sri Lankan is relatively balanced at 0.7% versus 0.8%, and Greek is somewhat underrepresented at 2.3% compared to the regional average of 2.7%.

Springvale South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Springvale South was close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years at the time of the census, also matching the Australian median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South had a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the previous census, the percentage of residents aged 75 to 84 increased from 5.1% to 6.4%, while those aged 15 to 24 rose from 13.7% to 14.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 55 to 64 decreased from 12.5% to 11.4%. By the year 2041, Springvale South is projected to experience significant changes in its age composition. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 42%, adding 353 people and reaching a total of 1,204 residents. This growth will be predominantly driven by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 67% of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the age groups 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 years old.