Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of the suburb of Springvale South is around 13,433 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 667 people (5.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,766 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,431 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 165 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,926 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 5.2% growth since census positions it within 1.8 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the suburb expected to increase by 657 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.9% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Springvale South averaged around 35 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years to June 2021, totalling an estimated 177 homes. As of June 2026, 63 approvals have been recorded. The average construction value is $457,000. This financial year, there have also been $2.9 million in commercial approvals.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person and places among the 41st percentile of areas assessed nationally. Recent construction comprises 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium and high-density housing. AreaSearch estimates Springvale South will grow by 655 residents through to 2041, with current development rates expected to comfortably meet demand.

Looking ahead, Springvale South is expected to grow by 655 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of a region can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements. The following list provides details on those likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of a past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3%. As of December 2025, 6,539 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.2% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation in Springvale South lags at 61.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Only 12.0% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing has a particularly strong presence, with an employment share three times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.0% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the working population count versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, while labour force grew by 4.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4% and a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment over the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Springvale South's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

The suburb of Springvale South had a median taxpayer income of $39,074 and an average income of $48,204 in the financial year 2023. These figures are lower than national averages, with Greater Melbourne having a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2023 to March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $42,833 (median) and $52,841 (average). Census data shows individual incomes at the 7th percentile were $559 weekly, while household incomes were at the 35th percentile. The income band of $1,500 - $2,999 captured 35.1% of the community in Springvale South, similar to broader regional trends of 32.8%. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remained for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Springvale South, as per the latest Census data, 85.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 14.2% being semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. In contrast, Melbourne metropolitan area had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Springvale South stood at 39.3%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 32.9% and rented ones making up 27.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Melbourne's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Springvale South was $351, compared to Melbourne's $390. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.8% of all households, including 40.1% couples with children, 19.5% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 17.5% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6 people.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 19.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 13.7%. Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Springvale South has 49 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that together facilitate 1,098 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located 191 meters from the nearest transport stop. Most residents commute outward due to Springvale South being primarily residential. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 89%, while train usage stands at 5%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 12% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages at 156 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale South's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Springvale South. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,179 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and diabetes, impacting 6.4 and 5.9% of residents respectively. 76.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents had notably healthy outcomes with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,458 people), which is higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South has a population where 62.4% were born overseas, with 75.4% speaking languages other than English at home. The predominant religion is Buddhism, practiced by 34.8%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%. Regarding ancestry, the top groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%), and Chinese (17.7%).

These percentages are substantially higher than the regional averages of 14.6%, 1.9%, and 6.5% respectively. Some other ethnicities also have notable differences: Hungarian is at 0.4% in Springvale South compared to 0.3% regionally, Sri Lankan is at 0.7% (vs 0.8%), and Greek is at 2.3% (vs 2.7%).

Springvale South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Springvale South is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (9.9%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.9%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 increased from 13.7% to 15.1%, while those aged 75-84 grew from 5.1% to 6.2%. Conversely, the cohort aged 55-64 decreased from 12.5% to 11.4%. By 2041, Springvale South's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 39%, reaching 1,159 people from 832. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 66% of the population growth. Meanwhile, declines are projected for the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups.