Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Springvale South is around 13,293. This reflects an increase of 527 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,766. The change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 13,283 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 161 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 2,896 persons per square kilometer, placing Springvale South in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 4.1% growth since census positions it within 2.8 percentage points of the SA3 area (6.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected for Springvale South. By 2041, based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb's population is expected to increase by 684 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 5.1% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Springvale South averaged around 35 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 177 homes. As of FY26, 53 approvals have been recorded. Population decline in recent years suggests new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $457,000, somewhat higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development.

This year, there have also been $2.9 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person and places among the 41st percentile of areas assessed nationally, indicating somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing, currently 86.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and need for diverse, affordable housing options. At around 398 people per approval, Springvale South indicates a mature market.

Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Springvale South to grow by 674 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts local performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects potentially affecting the area. Notable ones are Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3% over the past year. There were 6,534 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation in Springvale South was 61.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Only 12.0% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing employment share is particularly high at 3.0 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.0%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 4.7%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Springvale South's employment should increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Springvale South's median taxpayer income is $39,074 and average is $48,204 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Nationally, median income is higher at $57,688 with an average of $75,164 in Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $42,298 and average $52,181 after considering Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. Census data shows individual incomes are at the 7th percentile ($559 weekly), while household incomes are at the 35th percentile. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 35.1% of Springvale South's community (4,665 individuals). This is consistent with broader regional trends where 32.8% fall within this category. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Springvale South, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 85.8% houses and 14.2% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Springvale South stood at 39.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.9% and rented dwellings at 27.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, below the Melbourne metro average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Springvale South was $351, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.8% of all households, including 40.1% couples with children, 19.5% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 17.5% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 19.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15+. Advanced diplomas make up 8.6% while certificates represent 13.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Springvale South has 49 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 10 different routes, offering a total of 1,098 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is excellent, with residents on average located 191 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outside Springvale South. Car remains the primary mode of transport at 89%, while train accounts for 5%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

Only 12% of residents work from home (2021 Census data). The service frequency averages 156 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale South's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Springvale South. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,114 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and diabetes, impacting 6.4 and 5.9% of residents respectively. A total of 76.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,512 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South has a population where 62.4% were born overseas, with 75.4% speaking languages other than English at home. Buddhism is the predominant religion in Springvale South, comprising 34.8%, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%), and Chinese (17.7%).

These percentages are substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 14.6%, 1.9%, and 6.5%. Notably, Hungarian is overrepresented at 0.4% in Springvale South compared to the regional average of 0.3%. Similarly, Sri Lankan representation stands at 0.7% versus a regional average of 0.8%, while Greek representation is 2.3% compared to 2.7% regionally.

Springvale South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Springvale South is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (10.0%) but fewer individuals aged 35-44 (12.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 5.1% to 6.6%, while those aged 15 to 24 increased from 13.7% to 14.9%. Conversely, the percentage of individuals aged 55 to 64 has declined from 12.5% to 11.5%. By 2041, Springvale South is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 38%, reaching 1,212 people from the current figure of 877. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, who are projected to comprise 68% of the total population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for individuals aged 0-4 and 25-34.