Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

By 2025 Nov, the population of Springvale South statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at approximately 13,293, reflecting a 4.1% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 12,766 people. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population as 13,283, based on analysis of ABS ERP data released in Jun 2024 and validation of 162 new addresses since the census date. The population density stands at 2,896 persons per square kilometer, placing Springvale South (SA2) within the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's growth rate of 4.1% since the census is within 2.7 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 6.8%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Springvale South (SA2) is expected to experience a population increase just below the national median by 2041. The area's projected population in 2041 is 13,962 persons, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 5.0% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Springvale South averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 177 homes. As of FY26, 47 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $457,000, which is somewhat higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development.

This financial year has seen $2.9 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. When compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person. Nationally, it places among the 41st percentile of areas assessed, indicating somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition of 86.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options.

At around 398 people per approval, Springvale South indicates a mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 659 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nine projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the area, with key ones including Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 5.8%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.8% over the past year.

As of September 2025, there are 6,488 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. The workforce participation rate is 56.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing has a particularly strong representation with an employment share of 3.0 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.0% versus the regional average of 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.8%, while labour force increased by 5.0%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% during this period. State-level data from November 25 shows that Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Springvale South's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Springvale South's median taxpayer income is $39,074 and average is $48,204 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $42,298 (median) and $52,181 (average), adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. Census data indicates individual incomes at the 7th percentile ($559 weekly) and household incomes at the 35th percentile. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 35.1% of Springvale South's community (4,665 individuals), consistent with broader regional trends showing 32.8%. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Springvale South, as recorded in the latest Census, 85.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 14.2% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Melbourne's metropolitan area where 72.1% of dwellings are houses and 28.0% are other types. The home ownership rate in Springvale South was 39.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.9% and rented ones at 27.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,600, lower than Melbourne's metro average of $1,800. The median weekly rent figure for Springvale South was $351, similar to Melbourne's metro average of $350. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were slightly below the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 78.8% of all households, including 40.1% couples with children, 19.5% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 17.5% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 19.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 13.7%. Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 49 active transport stops in Springvale South, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 10 individual routes, offering a total of 1,098 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 156 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 22 weekly trips per stop.

Springvale South's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics reveals robust performance throughout Springvale South, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,114 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and diabetes, affecting 6.4% and 5.9% of residents respectively. A majority, 76.9%, declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 75.1%. The area has 18.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,406 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 62.4% of its population born overseas and 75.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Springvale South is Buddhism, accounting for 34.8% of the population, which is significantly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 15.2%. The top three ancestry groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%), and Chinese (17.7%).

Compared to regional averages, Vietnamese and Chinese populations are notably higher in Springvale South. There are also significant differences in the representation of Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.4%), Sri Lankan (0.7% vs 1.8%), and Greek (2.3% vs 3.8%) ethnic groups.

Springvale South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Springvale South is close to Greater Melbourne's average at 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (10.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 13.7% to 14.8%. Conversely, the age group of 55-64 has decreased from 12.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, Springvale South's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 51%, reaching 1,204 people from 797. This growth will contribute significantly to the overall increase in those aged 65 and above, who are projected to comprise 68% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the age groups of 25-34 and 0-4 years.