Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Springvale South is around 13,398. This reflects a growth of 632 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,766. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 13,282 based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with an additional 162 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,919 persons per square kilometer, placing Springvale South in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 5.0% growth since the census is within 1.8 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 6.8%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.0% of Springvale South's population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Springvale South are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and adjustments made using the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023. Considering these projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 669 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 4.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Springvale South shows an average of approximately 35 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 176 homes. As of FY26, there have been 39 approvals recorded. The population has declined recently, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $460,000, aligning with broader regional development.

In FY26, there have been approximately $2.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person and places among the 41st percentile of areas assessed nationally. This suggests somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. The current level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises approximately 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium to high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition of around 86.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. At approximately 404 people per approval, Springvale South indicates a mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by around 554 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.7% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.2%.

As of June 2025, 6431 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Springvale South lags at 56.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance, with a particularly strong specialization in manufacturing at three times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.0% versus the regional average of 10.1%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force grew by 4.4%, resulting in a rise of 1.1 percentage points in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, and an unemployment increase of 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Springvale South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Springvale South had a median taxpayer income of $39,073 and an average of $48,204 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than national averages, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% suggest a median income of approximately $43,824 and an average income of $54,066. Census data shows individual incomes at the 7th percentile ($559 weekly) and household incomes at the 35th percentile. The $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band captures 35.1% of the community (4,702 individuals), similar to broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Springvale South, as per the latest Census, 85.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 14.2% being semi-detached homes, apartments or other types. This contrasts with Melbourne's metropolitan area where 72.1% of dwellings are houses and 28.0% are other types. Home ownership in Springvale South stood at 39.3%, with mortgaged properties at 32.9% and rented ones at 27.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Melbourne's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent in Springvale South was $351, similar to Melbourne's figure of $350. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments are below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are lower than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.8% of all households, including 40.1% couples with children, 19.5% couples without children, and 17.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 17.5% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates at 19.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common (14.2%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 13.7%. Educational participation is high, with 29.1% currently enrolled in formal education: 8.6% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 5.8% in tertiary education.

Springvale South has 5 schools with a combined enrollment of 2,968 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 965) with balanced educational opportunities. There are 4 primary and 1 secondary school, providing balanced education provision. School capacity exceeds residential needs, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 49 active transport stops in Springvale South, served by a mix of bus routes. There are 10 individual routes operating, providing a total of 1,941 weekly passenger trips. Residential accessibility to transport is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 191 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 277 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale South's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Springvale South. Prevalence of common health conditions is very low across all age groups.

Private health cover rate is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,163 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and diabetes, impacting 6.4 and 5.9% of residents respectively. 76.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.1% across Greater Melbourne. As of Springvale South's population structure, 18.1% are aged 65 and over (2,425 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South has a population where 62.4% were born overseas and 75.4% speak a language other than English at home. Buddhism is the predominant religion, comprising 34.8% of the population, compared to 15.2% in Greater Melbourne. For ancestry, the top three groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%, significantly higher than the regional average of 8.5%), and Chinese (17.7%, also significantly higher than the regional average of 10.9%).

Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Hungarian is overrepresented at 0.4% compared to the regional average, Sri Lankan is lower at 0.7% versus 1.8%, and Greek is also lower at 2.3% compared to 3.8%.

Springvale South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Springvale South is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (10.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 13.7% to 14.8%, while the population aged 55-64 has declined from 12.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, Springvale South's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 50%, reaching 1,204 people from 803. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 70% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 25-34 and 0-4 years.