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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Keysborough has an estimated 32,010 residents, up from 30,018 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,992 people, or 6.6%. Growth has averaged 1.1% a year over five years. 323 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 75.0% of that increase. That puts 1,475 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Keysborough has an estimated population of approximately 32,010, determined through AreaSearch's evaluation of regional ABS updates alongside validated new addresses recorded following the Census. Compared to the 30,018 individuals counted in the 2021 Census, this indicates an expansion of 1,992 people (6.6%). This trend is drawn from an estimated resident base of 31,977 identified by AreaSearch after reviewing the ABS ERP release from June 2025, combined with 323 validated new addresses added post-Census. Population density stands at 1,475 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national benchmark averages monitored by AreaSearch.
Over the preceding ten-year timeframe, the suburb of Keysborough sustained solid demographic expansion, recording a 2.3% compound annual growth rate that surpassed the wider SA3 area. Recent gains were largely supported by overseas arrivals, accounting for roughly 75.0% of net additions. SA2-level projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia (published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline) form the foundation of AreaSearch's forward estimates, while areas lacking coverage rely on 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections converted via weighted aggregation to SA2 boundaries. Age-specific expansion rates derived from these models are incorporated across all geographies between 2032 and 2041. Projected demographic trajectories position the suburb of Keysborough within the nation's top growth quartile, with total numbers expected to climb by 7,501 persons to 2041 under aggregated SA2 projections, representing an overall expansion of 23.3% across the 16-year horizon.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
676 new dwellings have been approved in Keysborough over the past five years, an average of 135 a year. That places the area in the 55th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 4 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 113 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 37% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 37, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals mapped by AreaSearch indicates that Keysborough has maintained a rate of roughly 135 residential dwellings approved annually, generating an aggregate of 676 homes throughout the prior 5 financial years. Within FY-25 to date, 37 approvals have been logged. Across the 5 financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 2.9 new residents per dwelling each year highlights steady demand favorable to home equity, with newly constructed residences averaging $559,000 in value—a moderate premium over regional averages that reflects higher-spec building standards. Meanwhile, non-residential approvals stand at $3.5 million this financial year, underscoring the locality's predominantly domestic character.
Per-capita building volumes in Keysborough align with Greater Melbourne averages to sustain balanced conditions across the market, even as construction rates have moderated lately. Medium and high-density formats comprise 63.0% of recent construction while detached houses represent 37.0%. This emphasis on higher-density living creates accessible price points attractive to first-home buyers, downsizers, and property investors alike. Marking a sharp pivot from the prevailing structural footprint of 90.0% houses, this transition responds to tighter land availability alongside evolving lifestyle choices and budgeting considerations. A ratio of roughly 1062 people per approval reinforces the district's established suburban standing. Moving forward, projections from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly release indicate Keysborough will add 7,466 residents through to 2041. Although current residential output matches expected population expansion, prospective buyers might encounter increased competition as the local community expands.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Keysborough
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 11 current infrastructure and development projects inside Keysborough, worth an estimated $2.25 billion. A further 56 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $13.6 billion. 17 are already under construction and 20 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Public works, strategic planning, and civil infrastructure exert a profound influence on suburban growth and performance. A total of 22 key initiatives with local impact have been tracked by AreaSearch. Notable developments include the Keysborough Gardens Primary School Upgrade and Modernisation, Perry Road Construction and Widening - Stage 3, Keysborough Townhouses, and Keys Estate Keysborough, with primary undertakings outlined below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Perry Road Construction and Widening - Stage 3
Third and final stage of multi-stage road upgrade project including road widening, pavement reconstruction, drainage upgrades, installation of guardrails and streetlights, and a new shared user path along Perry Road between Atlantic Road and Pillars Road. Earlier stages between Greens Road and Atlantic Drive have been completed. The project aims to reduce congestion, enhance safety, and support commercial traffic in the Dandenong Industrial Area.
Keysborough Gardens Primary School Upgrade and Modernisation
The original upgrade and modernisation project has substantially completed, expanding the school by capacity for around 150 additional students with new learning spaces, Indigenous Friendship Garden, playground, sports facilities, canteen and car park upgrades. A further Stage 2 project is now under construction following 2026-27 State Budget funding of $8.064 million to deliver a new library, science and technology facilities and a synthetic turf oval, with completion forecast for Q1 2029.
Aspire Keysborough
A boutique collection of 32 generous townhouses and 14 luxury apartments overlooking the parklands of Keysborough. The development features 3-5 bedroom townhouses with sleek finishes, open plan living spaces rich in natural light, and private outdoor spaces. Located in Melbourne's south-east, the project offers proximity to schools, shopping centres, golf courses, and Mordialloc Beach.
Keys Estate Keysborough
Collection of 34 thoughtfully-crafted townhomes designed by Peddle Thorp Architects. Features 2, 3 and 4-bedroom homes with up to 232sqm of private outdoor space. Developed by Paragon Development Group with Creation Homes as builder, offering 10-year builders guarantee. Features spacious open-plan living areas flooded with natural light in the sought-after suburb of Keysborough, with easy access to transport links and local amenities.
Keysborough Townhouses
A completed $50 million development featuring 116 architecturally designed townhouses by Bruce Henderson Architects, each with private gardens and garages. The development includes communal outdoor spaces designed by Tract Consultants, creating a village-like feel. Located on 2.9 hectares, this was the last major infill residential development site in Keysborough with settlements completed in early 2025.
Monash Freeway Upgrade Stage 2
A $1.08 billion major infrastructure project that added 36km of new lanes to the Monash and Princes Freeways. Key features include the transformation of the Beaconsfield interchange into a full diamond configuration, a new outbound entry ramp at Police Road, and a direct link from Jacksons Road to EastLink. The project also extended O'Shea Road to three lanes in each direction, integrated smart lane management technology, and delivered new shared cycling and walking paths to improve safety and travel times for 470,000 daily users.
Keysborough South Community Hub
$22 million integrated community hub featuring early years services (132 places), kindergarten, long day care, maternal and child health services, multi-purpose meeting rooms, a library lounge, playground, basketball court, and amphitheatre. The facility has a 5 Star Green Star sustainability rating with solar panels, rainwater harvesting, and underground stormwater management.
Springvale Road/Cheltenham Road Commercial Gateway
Commercial gateway development at the intersection of Springvale Road and Cheltenham Road to enhance business and commercial opportunities.
17,477 residents of Keysborough are employed, from a labour force of 18,136. Unemployment sits at 3.6%, with participation at 68.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.8% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Keysborough features a highly educated labor pool with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial fields, an unemployment rate of 3.6%, and an estimated employment growth of 4.6% over the previous year, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 17,477 residents were employed while the local unemployment rate stood at 1.1% below the Greater Melbourne rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation remained broadly similar to Greater Melbourne's 70.1%. According to Census responses, a moderate 21.0% of residents were found to work from home, though the impact of Covid-19 lockdowns should be taken into account.
Local workers are predominantly engaged across manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing shows marked concentration, holding an employment footprint 2.2 times above the broader metropolitan benchmark. Conversely, education & training accounts for only 5.9% of workers, trailing the 9.2% recorded for Greater Melbourne. The balance between resident worker counts and local job locations suggests substantial outbound commuting among the workforce. According to combined SALM and ABS figures compiled by AreaSearch, the 12 months to March 2026 saw employment climb 4.6% and the total workforce grow 4.5%, keeping unemployment essentially unchanged. In comparison, Greater Melbourne registered 2.1% job growth and a 2.3% rise in the labor pool, alongside a 0.2 percentage points increase in unemployment. Future requirements can be gauged from Jobs and Skills Australia's national projections from Mar-26, mapped over Keysborough's industry structure. While nationwide employment is modeled to rise 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, sector-level momentum varies widely. Weighting these projections against Keysborough's workforce indicates local employment growth of 5.8% over five years and 12.6% over ten years (note that this represents a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localized population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Keysborough is $1,991 a week (about $104,000 a year), with median personal income at $728 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $51,155 a year against an average of $61,282. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxpayer records at postcode level for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch show Keysborough recording a median income of $51,155 and an average income of $61,282. These metrics place behind national benchmarks as well as Greater Melbourne's corresponding figures of $57,688 and $75,164. Adjusting for 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023 produces estimated levels of $56,076 (median) and $67,177 (average) as of March 2026. From 2021 Census metrics, household earnings place in the 64th percentile ($1,991 weekly) compared to the 34th percentile for individual earnings. The largest income bracket contains 36.0% of residents (11,523 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional proportion of 32.8%.
Residential housing outlays absorb 16.1% of income, while overall household earnings position disposable income in the 65th percentile and establish a SEIFA income standing in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Keysborough had 9,102 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 90% detached houses and 1% apartments. 48% are owned with a mortgage, 19% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $421 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 21.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records indicate that Keysborough's housing stock consists of 89.5% separate houses and 10.5% alternative dwelling styles (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative types across Melbourne metro. Outright property ownership stands higher than metropolitan norms at 32.7%, while 48.1% carry a mortgage and 19.2% are rental properties. Typical housing finance outlays reach a median of $2,167 monthly, with weekly rental rates averaging $421, exceeding Melbourne metro figures of $2,000 and $390 respectively. Compared to national benchmarks of $1,863 for mortgages and $375 for rent, local housing expenses remain significantly elevated.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Keysborough counted 9,102 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 9,706 today, averaging 3.2 people each. 49% are couples with children, more than in 94% of areas nationally, against 22% couples without children. 13% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Households in the area are heavily family-oriented, representing 84.7% of all residences. This includes 48.8% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family setups make up 15.3%, consisting of 13.0% single-person occupants and 2.4% shared group arrangements. The typical household size of 3.2 people exceeds the 2.6 figure recorded for Greater Melbourne.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
28.9% of adults in Keysborough hold a university qualification, including 20.0% with a bachelor degree and 6.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 14.1% hold a vocational qualification. 12 schools serve the area, with 7,774 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,061 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education attainment across Keysborough sits below the wider regional pattern, with 28.9% of those aged 15+ possessing tertiary degrees against 37.0% across Greater Melbourne. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications represent 20.0%, followed by 6.9% with postgraduate credentials and 2.0% holding graduate diplomas. Technical and vocational qualifications encompass 24.3% of the cohort aged 15+, divided between certificates (14.1%) and advanced diplomas (10.2%). A substantial 30.5% of the local population is engaged in formal studies. This cohort comprises 9.8% attending primary school, 8.1% enrolled in secondary education, and 6.0% undertaking tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Keysborough reaches 117 stops on 16 routes, timetabled for about 7,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit across Keysborough includes 117 active transit stops offering bus connections across 16 designated routes, delivering 7,287 weekly passenger trips. Network coverage provides convenient access, with an average distance of 224 meters to the closest stop. Because the suburb is primarily residential, outward travel dominates, and private vehicles remain the primary transit mode at 91%. Vehicle availability stands at 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding metropolitan norms, while 21.0% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census under prevailing COVID-19 settings. Transit schedules average 1,041 trips daily across the network, representing roughly 62 weekly trips for each stop.
The provided diagram outlines the 100 closest stops relative to the geographic center.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
77.5% of residents in Keysborough report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 79% of areas nationally. 5.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators compiled by AreaSearch reveal positive outcomes across Keysborough based on chronic disease and mortality data, with youth demographics exhibiting notably minimal rates of common conditions. Private health insurance participation stands at approximately 51% of the population (~16,357 people), trailing Greater Melbourne's benchmark of 56.7%. Asthma and diabetes represent the most frequent long-term diagnoses, noted in 6.3 and 5.4% of residents respectively, whereas 77.5% of the population reported no chronic conditions whatsoever, outperforming the Greater Melbourne figure of 72.6%. Individuals aged 65 and over comprise 15.5% of the community (4,961 people), showing favorable health measures that nonetheless rank lower against national senior comparisons.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
55.6% of Keysborough residents were born overseas and 63.5% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 95% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Chinese (16.1%) and Vietnamese (9.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Keysborough ranks among the nation's most multicultural communities, with 55.6% of residents born abroad and 63.5% speaking non-English languages in their households. Christianity is the most widespread religious affiliation at 37.4% of the population. Notably, Buddhism represents 20.6% of residents, markedly exceeding the 4.2% Greater Melbourne benchmark. Evaluating parental country of birth reveals the three most prominent ancestry backgrounds in Keysborough as Other at 26.9% (compared to 14.6% regionally), Chinese at 16.1% (compared to 6.5% regionally), and Vietnamese at 9.8% (compared to 1.9% regionally). Further pronounced ethnic representations include Indian at 6.2% (vs 4.2%), Sri Lankan at 2.6% (vs 0.8%), and Serbian at 0.9% (vs 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Keysborough is 36. 27.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Keysborough aligns tightly with Greater Melbourne, remaining within 3.0 percentage points across each major demographic bracket. The median age is estimated at 36, identical to the 2021 Census and 1 year below the metropolitan baseline of 37 at the same Census. The most noticeable post-Census shift occurred among residents aged 0 - 24, sliding from 32.5% to an estimated 31.2%. The retiree bracket of 65+ is projected to see the greatest net expansion by 2041, increasing by 2,994 (60%) to reach 7,956.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Keysborough
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 3 months ago all 11 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 323 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (30,018 at the 2021 Census → 32,010 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21339). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.