Keysborough

Keysborough lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Keysborough is around 31,953, reflecting an increase of 1,935 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Keysborough by AreaSearch in June 2024 was 31,739, with an additional 316 validated new addresses contributing to the population growth. This results in a density ratio of 1,472 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Keysborough has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.7%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels.

Based on these aggregations, Keysborough is forecasted to increase by 7,930 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 24.1% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Keysborough when compared nationally

Keysborough has seen approximately 136 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, about 681 homes were approved, with an additional 12 in FY-26 so far. Each dwelling built over these years has led to an average of 2.6 new residents yearly.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $688,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. This financial year has seen $2.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Keysborough's residential character. Comparatively, Keysborough has experienced around 20.0% more development per person than Greater Melbourne over the past five years. However, building activity has slowed recently. The type of new housing being built is 34.0% detached houses and 66.0% medium to high-density housing, a shift from the current 90.0% houses in the area.

With approximately 698 people per dwelling approval, Keysborough shows signs of a mature market. Population forecasts suggest an increase of 7,688 residents by 2041. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, but increased competition among buyers can be expected as the population grows.

Keysborough has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 20 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Perry Road Construction and Widening - Stage 3 (commencing 16/7/2021), Keys Estate Keysborough, Keysborough Gardens Primary School Upgrade and Modernisation (completed 31/5/2021), and Keysborough Townhouses (expected completion 31/12/2022). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Keysborough maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Keysborough has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 3.8% as of June 2025, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.3%. As of June 2025, 17,115 residents were employed with an unemployment rate 0.8% lower than Greater Melbourne's. The leading employment industries are manufacturing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly strong, with an employment share 2.2 times the regional level.

Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 5.9%, compared to the regional average of 9.2%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work, as indicated by Census data on working population to local population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 4.4%, leading to an unemployment rise of 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, with unemployment rising 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keysborough's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2022 shows that income in Keysborough is below the national average. The median assessed income is $51,256 while the average income stands at $61,404. In comparison, Greater Melbourne's figures show a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% between financial years 2022 and 2025 (as of September), current estimates would be approximately $57,489 for median income and $68,871 for average income. According to Census 2021 data, household income ranks at the 64th percentile ($1,991 weekly) while personal income sits at the 34th percentile. Income brackets indicate that 36.0% of Keysborough's community (11,503 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 65th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Keysborough is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Keysborough's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 89.5% houses and 10.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keysborough was 32.7%, similar to Melbourne metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.1% and rented dwellings at 19.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Keysborough was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $1,800. Median weekly rent in Keysborough was $421, compared to Melbourne metro's $350. Nationally, Keysborough's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and median weekly rents were substantially higher at $421 compared to the national figure of $375.

Keysborough features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.7% of all households, including 48.8% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 13.0% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Keysborough exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Keysborough trail regional benchmarks, with 28.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational pathways account for 24.3% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 14.1%. Educational participation is high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.8% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

There are 12 schools serving 7,774 students, with an ICSEA score of 1061 indicating above-average socio-educational conditions. The educational mix includes 3 primary, 2 secondary, and 7 K-12 schools. Keysborough functions as an education hub with 24.3 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 15.4. Note: for schools with 'n/a' enrolments, please refer to parent campus data.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keysborough has 117 active public transport stops. These are served by buses only. There are 15 different routes operating, together providing 4,102 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as good, with residents typically living 224 meters away from the nearest stop. On average, there are 586 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keysborough's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Keysborough, with younger cohorts having a very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~16,340 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area's 47.5%.

This compares to Greater Melbourne's 47.5%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 6.3 and 5.4% of residents respectively. 77.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 75.1%. The area has 15.3% of residents aged 65 and over (4,888 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 17.4%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Keysborough is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Keysborough has a population where 55.6% were born overseas, and 63.5% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Keysborough, with 37.4% of people adhering to it. Buddhism is notably overrepresented in Keysborough, comprising 20.6% of the population compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 15.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (26.9%), Chinese (16.1%, higher than the regional average of 10.9%), and Vietnamese (9.8%). There are also notable differences in the representation of Sri Lankan (2.6% vs 1.8%), Serbian (0.9% vs 1.1%), and Indian (6.2% vs 6.2%) ethnic groups compared to regional averages.

Keysborough's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Keysborough's median age is 36 years, nearly matching Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keysborough has a higher percentage of residents aged 45-54 (13.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.4%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 4.3% to 5.4%, while the 0-4 cohort has decreased from 6.2% to 5.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Keysborough's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is expected to grow by 37%, adding 1,592 residents to reach a total of 5,842. Conversely, the 0-4 group is projected to decrease by 5 residents.