Aspendale Gardens

Aspendale Gardens is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Aspendale Gardens statistical area (Lv2) is around 6,602. This figure represents an increase of 175 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,427. The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional validated new address since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,037 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 2.7% since the census is within 2.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.6%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Aspendale Gardens (SA2) is expected to grow by an above median rate, with a projected increase of 965 persons to 2041. This reflects a total increase of 15.2% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Aspendale Gardens is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Aspendale Gardens has recorded approximately one residential property approval per year over the past five financial years ending 30 June 2021. This totals an estimated eight homes.

As of 30 September 2021, zero approvals have been recorded in FY-26. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely met demand, providing good choice for buyers. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Aspendale Gardens has significantly less development activity. This constrained new construction typically supports demand and pricing for existing homes. Additionally, the area's development activity is below the national average, indicating its established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations.

Recent development has been exclusively detached houses, maintaining Aspendale Gardens' suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the current pattern implies (84.0% at Census), reflecting strong demand for family homes despite densification trends. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Aspendale Gardens is projected to gain 1,007 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Aspendale Gardens has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of five projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are the Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment at Aspendale, The Strand Aspendale, and the Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan. The following list provides details on those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Aspendale Gardens exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Aspendale Gardens has an educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.4%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 3778 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.3% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's at 66.7%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing is particularly specialized with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 7.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by working population versus resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Aspendale Gardens' labour force increased by 0.6% while employment decreased by 0.6%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0%. State-level data from November 25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7% compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aspendale Gardens' employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Aspendale Gardens' median income is $51,971 and average income is $69,329. This compares to Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. By September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $56,259 (median) and $75,049 (average), based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census ranks Aspendale Gardens' household income at the 78th percentile ($2,210 weekly) and personal income at the 51st percentile. Income analysis reveals that 34.1% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (2,251 individuals), similar to Melbourne's 32.8%. Notably, 32.5% of Aspendale Gardens residents earn above $3,000/week. After housing costs, residents retain 87.6% of income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Aspendale Gardens is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Aspendale Gardens' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.2% houses and 15.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). In contrast, Melbourne metro had 54.8% houses and 45.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aspendale Gardens was at 41.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.2% and rented ones at 11.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in Aspendale Gardens was $496, higher than Melbourne metro's $410 but lower than the national average of $375. Nationally, Aspendale Gardens' mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 compared to the Australian average of $1,863.

Aspendale Gardens features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.1% of all households, including 48.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.9%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

Aspendale Gardens shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 28.8%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.1% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 20.0%. Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.3% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 17 active stops in Aspendale Gardens, served by buses. Six routes operate here, offering 851 weekly passenger trips. Residents' access to transport is rated good, with an average distance of 235 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency stands at 121 daily trips across all routes, translating to about 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Aspendale Gardens is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Aspendale Gardens shows superior health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions in both younger and older age groups. Approximately 54% (~3,580 individuals) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 59.5%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.1%) and arthritis (7.0%). About 72.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 70.4% in Greater Melbourne. Around 19.7% (~1,300 individuals) are aged 65 and over. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Aspendale Gardens was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Aspendale Gardens, surveyed in June 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas. Overseas-born residents comprised 32.4%, with 27.4% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 53.3%.

Judaism, at 0.8%, was slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.1%. The top three ancestral groups were English (21.9%), Australian (21.2%), and Other (11.4%). Notably, Sri Lankan residents made up 1.3% (vs regional 0.6%), Polish 1.2% (vs 1.0%), and Greek 4.2% (vs 3.3%).

Aspendale Gardens hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Aspendale Gardens is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 years make up 16.1% of the population, a significant proportion compared to other age groups. Meanwhile, the 25-34 year-olds constitute only 8.1%, which is smaller than in Greater Melbourne. Between 2021 and present, the 55-64 age group has increased from 14.6% to 16.1%, while the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 16.3% to 14.1%. The 5-14 year-old group has also dropped from 13.2% to 11.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate that Aspendale Gardens' age structure will shift significantly. The 85+ age cohort is expected to grow exceptionally, increasing by 342 people (157%) from 217 to 560. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 83% of total population growth, reflecting Aspendale Gardens' aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 0-4 and 15-24 year-old cohorts are expected to experience population declines.