Aspendale Gardens

Aspendale Gardens is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Aspendale Gardens is around 6,584. This reflects a growth of 157 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,427. AreaSearch estimates this population based on analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and validation of new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,032 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Aspendale Gardens is expected to grow by 960 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 15.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Aspendale Gardens is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Aspendale Gardens has had minimal dwelling approvals in recent years. Between FY21-FY25, approximately 4 homes were approved, with none so far in FY26.

This limited new supply aligns with population decline, suggesting demand and supply have been balanced. Commercial approvals this year total $66,000, indicating the area's residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne and nationally, Aspendale Gardens has notably lower building activity, reflecting market maturity and potential development constraints. Recent periods have seen some increase in development activity, which may impact demand and pricing for existing dwellings.

Aspendale Gardens has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely to impact the area: Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale, The Strand Aspendale, and Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Aspendale Gardens exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Aspendale Gardens has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.3% as of June 2025, which is 1.3% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

Employment stability was maintained over the past year based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. Out of 3,833 residents, 66.7% are in work, compared to Greater Melbourne's workforce participation rate of 64.1%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. The area shows strong specialization in manufacturing with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented at 7.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 0.1%, labour force grew by 1.6%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Aspendale Gardens' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Aspendale Gardens' median income among taxpayers is $51,971. The average income is $69,329. Nationally, the median income is lower at $48,363 and the average is $72,019. In Greater Melbourne, the median income is $54,892 with an average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Aspendale Gardens would be approximately $58,291 (median) and $77,759 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks household income at the 78th percentile ($2,210 weekly), while personal income is at the 51st percentile. Income analysis reveals that 34.1% of residents (2,245 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, which is slightly higher than the surrounding region's 32.8%. Notably, 32.5% of Aspendale Gardens residents earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.6% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Aspendale Gardens is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Aspendale Gardens' dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.2% houses and 15.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 54.8% houses and 45.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Aspendale Gardens was at 41.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.2% and rented ones at 11.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Aspendale Gardens was $496, higher than Melbourne metro's $410. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Aspendale Gardens features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.1% of all households, including 48.7% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.9%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

Aspendale Gardens shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 28.8%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 32.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (20.0%).

Educational participation is high at 29.8%, including 9.3% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education. Aspendale Gardens Primary School serves the local area with an enrollment of 604 students as of a recent date. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with ICSEA score indicating above-average socio-educational conditions (1094). There is one school in the area, and secondary options are available in surrounding areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 9.2, below the regional average of 15.6. Some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 17 active stops operating within Aspendale Gardens, consisting of buses. These stops are served by 6 different routes, collectively providing 1503 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 235 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 214 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 88 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Aspendale Gardens is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Aspendale Gardens shows better-than-average health outcomes, with lower prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Around 54% (~3,570 people) have private health cover, compared to 58.2% in Greater Melbourne.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 7.1 and 7.0% respectively. About 72.3% report no medical ailments, compared to 70.4% in Greater Melbourne. Approximately 19.7% of residents are aged 65 or over (1,297 people). Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.

Aspendale Gardens was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Aspendale Gardens had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 32.4% of its population born overseas and 27.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Aspendale Gardens, accounting for 53.3% of its population. Judaism, however, showed an overrepresentation in Aspendale Gardens compared to Greater Melbourne, with 0.8% versus 1.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (21.9%), Australian (21.2%), and Other (11.4%). Notably, Sri Lankan, Polish, and Greek ethnicities had higher representations in Aspendale Gardens compared to regional averages: Sri Lankan at 1.3% versus 0.6%, Polish at 1.2% versus 1.0%, and Greek at 4.2% versus 3.3%.

Aspendale Gardens hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Aspendale Gardens is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and also exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 55-64 years are particularly prominent, making up 16.1% of the population, while those aged 25-34 years make up only 8.1%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of the population aged 55-64 has grown from 14.6% to 16.1%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 has declined from 16.3% to 14.1%. The proportion of those aged 5-14 years has also dropped, from 13.2% to 11.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Aspendale Gardens's age structure. The number of people aged 85 and above is projected to grow exceptionally, increasing by 342 people (158%) from 217 to 560. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 82% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the populations aged 0-4 years and 15-24 years are expected to decline.