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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Aspendale Gardens has an estimated 6,547 residents, up from 6,427 at the 2021 Census — a change of 120 people, or 1.9%. That puts 2,021 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Aspendale Gardens has an estimated population of approximately 6,547, according to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader ABS population updates with new addresses validated since the Census. When compared to the 6,427 residents recorded at the 2021 Census, this represents an addition of 120 people (1.9%). This demographic adjustment is based on AreaSearch's evaluation of the ABS Estimated Resident Population (ERP) release from June 2025 alongside 1 validated new address registered post-Census. Consequently, the suburb of Aspendale Gardens displays a population density of 2,020 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical benchmark seen across nationwide locations evaluated by AreaSearch.
In recent times, population expansion locally has been driven overwhelmingly by overseas migration, which made up around 87.0% of total demographic gains. In formulating demographic outlooks, AreaSearch employs the 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia projections using 2022 as a baseline for each SA2. For SA2 territories where this dataset is unavailable, calculations draw upon the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections, applying a weighted aggregation approach to translate LGA growth down to SA2 boundaries. Furthermore, age-cohort growth rates derived through these aggregations are projected across all territories spanning 2032 to 2041. Based on these projected demographic transitions, the suburb of Aspendale Gardens is forecast to achieve an above-median population growth rate relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Aggregated SA2 projections indicate an expected rise of 819 persons by 2041, representing an overall expansion of 12.5% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Over the previous five years, no new residential building approvals have been registered in Aspendale Gardens. Such an outcome highlights a fully established and mature community constrained by a lack of vacant land for residential building projects. For prospective purchasers, this absence of new housing additions helps underpin local property values, directing purchasing activity almost entirely toward the established housing market. Residential building output in Aspendale Gardens is markedly lower than the wider Greater Melbourne benchmark. While building activity has shown a slight uptick lately, this constrained pipeline of fresh housing generally strengthens values and buyer interest for existing properties.
Construction levels are similarly below the broader national trend, reflecting a mature residential environment with limited capacity for new building works.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Aspendale Gardens
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Aspendale Gardens, worth an estimated $15 million. A further 47 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $11.2 billion. 15 are already under construction and 16 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Major infrastructure developments and planning schemes play a decisive role in shaping community outcomes and local growth. AreaSearch has pinpointed 5 key projects positioned to influence the district. Prominent developments include Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment, The Strand Aspendale, Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale, and Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan, with specific project details outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment
The proposed modernization and expansion of the Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre aims to upgrade the existing Ritchies Supa IGA and approximately 17 specialty stores. The plan includes the potential development of a top floor of approximately 3700 square metres to accommodate additional retail or commercial space. Current efforts focus on leasing and tenant management as the project navigates the planning phase, following historical community debate regarding proximity to local gambling venues.
Mordi Aquatic Centre
The Mordi Aquatic Centre is an $87 million state-of-the-art facility featuring a 50m indoor multi-purpose lap pool, learn-to-swim pool, warm water exercise pool, and leisure pool with a splash park. It includes wellness amenities such as a spa, sauna, and steam room, alongside a gymnasium, fitness areas, and a cafe. Designed for sustainability, it targets a 6 Star Green Star rating with an all-electric design. Construction is currently on track for completion in late 2026, with roofing complete and internal fit-outs underway.
The Strand Aspendale
Luxury beachfront residential development featuring 18 exclusive apartments with direct beach access and premium coastal living amenities.
Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale
Proposed rezoning and redevelopment of the 43.5-hectare Rossdale Golf Course into a mixed-use residential community, which would fund the relocation of the financially non-viable golf club. The plan proposes approximately 30% public open space, new wetlands, and integrated walking/cycling paths, with around 700 to 1000 dwellings (mix of homes, townhouses, and low-scale apartments). The proposal is under review by the Victorian Government's Priority Projects Standing Advisory Committee.
Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan
A long-term strategic framework by the City of Kingston to manage land use, housing density, and infrastructure along the Aspendale foreshore. The plan focuses on revitalising the activity centre, improving pedestrian connectivity to the beach, and integrating with the concurrent Level Crossing Removal Project at Station Street. It aims to balance increased housing diversity with the preservation of coastal character.
Aspendale Life Saving Club Redevelopment
New two-storey lifesaving club comprising training rooms, kitchen, observation, first aid, patrol, member and public facilities. Includes rainwater tanks, LED lighting and water efficient fittings.
Keysborough Gardens Primary School Upgrade and Modernisation
The original upgrade and modernisation project has substantially completed, expanding the school by capacity for around 150 additional students with new learning spaces, Indigenous Friendship Garden, playground, sports facilities, canteen and car park upgrades. A further Stage 2 project is now under construction following 2026-27 State Budget funding of $8.064 million to deliver a new library, science and technology facilities and a synthetic turf oval, with completion forecast for Q1 2029.
Mordialloc Activity Centre - Pride of the Bay Structure Plan and Urban Design Framework
Council led long term renewal of the Mordialloc Major Activity Centre. The original 'Mordialloc Pride of the Bay' structure plan sets a vision for higher density mixed use development, upgraded streetscapes, and better pedestrian links. A recent Urban Design Framework (UDF) now informs current planning and design work alongside the Victorian Government's Mordialloc and Aspendale Level Crossing Removal Project (LXRP) scheduled for completion by 2026. This aims to deliver a rail over road design, new open spaces, and active recreation opportunities.
3,728 residents of Aspendale Gardens are employed, from a labour force of 3,871. Unemployment sits at 3.7%, with participation at 69.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,987, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
According to statistical area data aggregated by AreaSearch, Aspendale Gardens possesses a highly skilled resident workforce alongside notable concentration in manufacturing and industrial trades, maintaining a low jobless rate of 3.7%. Across the suburb as of March 2026, employed residents total 3,728, with local unemployment sitting 1.1% under the 4.8% recorded across Greater Melbourne, while the workforce participation rate closely aligns with the metropolitan mark of 70.1%. Census records also showed that 30.0% of local workers operated from home, though this figure was influenced by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions. Resident workers are primarily engaged across the health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing sectors.
The community exhibits a strong industry concentration in manufacturing, where its employment proportion reaches 1.4 times the wider metropolitan average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 7.6% of local jobs, trailing the regional share of 10.1%. A comparison between Census local workplace counts and resident numbers indicates that this predominantly residential suburb generates few employment opportunities within its own borders. Based on AreaSearch's compilation of ABS and SALM figures from wider statistical territories, the 12 months leading to March 2026 saw the local labor pool contract by 0.4% alongside a 0.9% reduction in employed workers, lifting the jobless rate by 0.5 percentage points. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Melbourne generated a 2.1% increase in employment and a 2.3% rise in labor force size, while its unemployment rate edged up 0.2 percentage points. Broader hiring prospects for Aspendale Gardens can be evaluated using national industry projections issued by Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26. These five- and ten-year nationwide models have been correlated with local industry representation to gauge future employment trajectories. Nationally, employment is anticipated to grow by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, though industry performance will vary widely. Applying these sectoral trajectories to the existing local workforce profile suggests that resident employment could rise by 6.2% across five years and 13.1% across ten years (this represents a baseline weighted projection for reference and excludes localized population estimates).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Aspendale Gardens is $2,210 a week (about $115,000 a year), with median personal income at $810 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $51,971 a year against an average of $69,329. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Data from the Australian Taxation Office for financial year 2023 at postcode level reveals that earnings across the suburb of Aspendale Gardens exceed the nationwide benchmark, with median earnings recorded at $51,971 and average earnings at $69,329. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded a median of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Factoring in an Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% following financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 reach approximately $56,971 for median income and $75,998 for average income. The 2021 Census placed household earnings in the 78th percentile ($2,210 weekly), while individual earnings sat in the 51st percentile.
Regarding income brackets, 34.1% of residents (2,232 individuals) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, closely tracking the wider region's 32.8%. High-income earners form a substantial segment, with 32.5% earning over $3,000 per week, reflecting robust financial capacity. After meeting housing commitments, households retain 87.6% of their income, supporting strong local spending power and positioning the area within the 8th decile for SEIFA economic advantage.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Aspendale Gardens had 2,150 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 84% detached houses and 13% apartments. 47% are owned with a mortgage, 11% rented and 42% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $496 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month. Rent absorbs 22.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, separate houses made up 84.2% of the dwelling stock in Aspendale Gardens, with the remaining 15.8% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other residential formats, compared to Melbourne metro where standalone houses represented 67.9% and alternate dwellings accounted for 32.1%. Outright home ownership reached 41.6%, substantially higher than the Melbourne metro level, while remaining properties were under a mortgage (47.2%) or tenanted (11.2%). The median monthly home loan repayment of $2,000 matched the Melbourne metro average of $2,000, whereas median weekly rent was $496 compared to $390 across the metropolitan area.
Across Australia, typical mortgage repayments sit lower at $1,863, and national rents average significantly less at $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Aspendale Gardens counted 2,150 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 49% are couples with children, more than in 94% of areas nationally, against 24% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 83.1% of all local households, with couple families with children representing 48.7%, childless couples accounting for 24.2%, and single parent households making up 9.1%. The remaining 16.9% consists of non-family living arrangements, primarily lone person residences at 16.5% and group shared households at 0.7%. Typical household occupancy is 2.9 people, exceeding the 2.6 person average recorded across Greater Melbourne.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
28.8% of adults in Aspendale Gardens hold a university qualification, including 20.3% with a bachelor degree and 6.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 80% of areas nationally. A further 20.0% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 604 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,094 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education qualifications present a local development priority, with tertiary degree attainment sitting at 28.8%, markedly lower than the wider SA4 regional benchmark of 46.0%. Bachelor degrees account for the largest proportion at 20.3%, alongside postgraduate qualifications at 6.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Conversely, vocational and trade training is well represented, with 32.1% of the population aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (20.0%). A substantial 29.8% of the local population is actively engaged in formal study. This student cohort comprises 9.3% attending primary school, 9.3% in secondary education, and 5.2% engaged in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Aspendale Gardens reaches 17 stops on 6 routes, timetabled for about 2,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 240 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity in Aspendale Gardens comprises 17 active bus stops across 6 separate routes, providing a combined 2,303 weekly passenger trips. Overall transport access is strong, with typical walking distances of 235 meters to the closest stop. Given its residential orientation, most workers commute outside the area, with private motor vehicles being the primary choice for 91% of trips. Household car ownership stands at 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding regional norms, while 30.0% of workers reported working from home during the 2021 Census amidst COVID-19 settings. Public transport routes deliver an average service volume of 329 daily trips, which translates to roughly 135 weekly trips per stop across the network.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.3% of residents in Aspendale Gardens report no long-term health condition. 5.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 54.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across Aspendale Gardens demonstrate solid outcomes based on mortality statistics and chronic disease tracking from AreaSearch, which identify lower condition rates across the broader community and near-average levels among vulnerable older age brackets. Private healthcare coverage is substantial, held by approximately 54% of residents (~3,550 people), standing slightly below the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 56.7%. Asthma and arthritis represent the most prevalent diagnosed conditions, affecting 7.1 and 7.0% of the population respectively, while 72.3% of residents reported no long-term illnesses, mirroring the 72.6% rate across Greater Melbourne. The working-age population remains especially healthy, recording minimal chronic ailments.
Residents aged 65 and over total 1,302 people, or 19.9% of the suburb, above the metropolitan proportion of 15.1%. While health measures among local seniors remain above average, their national standing is slightly lower than that of the younger community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
32.4% of Aspendale Gardens residents were born overseas and 27.4% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (21.9%) and Australian (21.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is pronounced in Aspendale Gardens relative to many surrounding suburbs, with 32.4% of residents born abroad and 27.4% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the predominant religious faith, representing 53.3% of the community. Judaism forms a distinctive local presence at 0.8% of residents, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Ancestry records detailing parental country of birth show the most common backgrounds to be English at 21.9%, Australian at 21.2%, and Other heritage at 11.4%. Several specific communities show above-average concentration compared to metropolitan averages, including Polish ancestry at 1.2% (vs 0.8%), Sri Lankan background at 1.3% (vs 0.8%), and Greek heritage at 4.2% (vs 2.7%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Aspendale Gardens is 43. 24.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Aspendale Gardens leans noticeably toward mature age brackets. Updates as of August 2026 indicate that 29.8% of the community falls into the 45 - 64 age bracket of middle-aged individuals and early retirees, compared to 22.3% across Greater Melbourne, while young to middle-aged adults (25 - 44) comprise 20.0% locally against 32.1% regionally. Median age remains steady at an estimated 43 years, unchanged from the 2021 Census, sitting 6 years older than the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and higher than the national median of 38 at that same Census.
The most noticeable demographic shift post-Census is the expansion of the retiree and senior group (65+), rising from 17.2% to an estimated 19.9%. Looking forward to 2041, seniors and retirees will see the largest growth, adding 806 residents (62%) to reach a total of 2,109, whereas numbers for young to middle-aged adults as well as children and young adults are forecast to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Aspendale Gardens
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,427 at the 2021 Census → 6,547 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20080). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.