Mordialloc

Population growth drivers in Mordialloc are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Mordialloc's population is estimated at around 9,627, reflecting an increase of 741 people since the 2021 Census. This growth equates to an 8.3% rise from the previous population figure of 8,886. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 9,570 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of 195 new addresses since the Census date. Mordialloc's population density stands at 2,183 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 8.3% growth rate surpassed the SA3 area's 5.6%, marking it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.0% of Mordialloc's population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Mordialloc is expected to increase its population by 1,216 persons to 2041, reflecting a total growth of 9.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mordialloc recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Mordialloc has experienced around 56 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 283 homes. So far in FY-26, 63 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 0.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed has been observed. This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of new properties is $622,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $38.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mordialloc records somewhat elevated construction levels, balancing buyer choice with support for current property values. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods.

New development consists of 26% detached houses and 74% attached dwellings, focusing on higher-density living which creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The location has approximately 275 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. Looking ahead, Mordialloc is expected to grow by 883 residents through to 2041 according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Mordialloc has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Five infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. These include Mordi Aquatic Centre, Mordialloc Activity Centre - Pride of the Bay Structure Plan and Village Masterplan, Moorabbin Airport Master Plan Redevelopment, and Aspire Mordialloc. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Mordialloc has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Mordialloc has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 4.7%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 5369 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate aligns with Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation is also similar to Greater Melbourne's figure of 71.0%. Census responses indicate that 37.5% of Mordialloc residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing shows lower representation at 2.8%, compared to the regional average of 5.2%. Many Mordialloc residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data comparing working population to local population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Mordialloc's labour force increased by 0.6% while employment decreased by 0.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 1.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.0%, the labour force grew by 3.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Mordialloc's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023 indicates Mordialloc's median income among taxpayers is $63,006, with an average of $84,051. This places Mordialloc among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates for Mordialloc would be approximately $68,204 (median) and $90,985 (average) as of September 2025. From the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Mordialloc cluster around the 72nd percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 28.5% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (2,743 people), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Notably, 33.0% of Mordialloc residents exceed $3,000 weekly earnings, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, yet strong earnings still place disposable income at the 67th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Mordialloc displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Mordialloc, as per the latest Census evaluation, 39.8% of dwellings were houses while 60.1% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Melbourne metropolitan area had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mordialloc stood at 28.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.3% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Mordialloc was $400, compared to $390 in Melbourne metro. Nationally, Mordialloc's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Mordialloc features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.2% of all households, including 33.5% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.8%, with lone person households at 30.5% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Mordialloc shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Mordialloc's educational qualifications trail regional benchmarks; 37.0% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees compared to the SA4 region's 46.0%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 25.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 30.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (17.4%).

Educational participation is high; 29.0% of residents are currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.5% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mordialloc has 47 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 17 different routes that collectively facilitate 4,225 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 190 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most Mordialloc residents commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 85% of residents, while 8% use trains. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 37.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 603 trips per day, equating to approximately 89 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mordialloc is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Mordialloc shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among its general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 60% of Mordialloc's total population (5773 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Mordialloc, affecting 8.2% and 7.7% of residents respectively. 70.9% of Mordialloc residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population has better health outcomes than average. Mordialloc has 17.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1665 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mordialloc was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mordialloc's population, as of 2016, showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas with 19.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 29.2% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Mordialloc, accounting for 49.0% of its population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 0.7% versus 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.2%), Australian (20.6%), and Irish (9.9%). Other ethnic groups with notable representation include Russian at 0.8%, French at 0.8%, and Greek at 3.7%, all higher than the regional averages of 0.4%, 0.5%, and 2.7% respectively.

Mordialloc's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Mordialloc has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. The 45-54 age group is notably over-represented in Mordialloc at 15.0%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 10.9% to 13.9%, and the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.7% to 5.8%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.1% to 11.7%, and the 25-34 age group has dropped from 11.8% to 10.7%. By 2041, Mordialloc's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to grow by 316 people (57%), from 558 to 875. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 63% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.