Mordialloc

Population growth drivers in Mordialloc are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, as of Nov 2025, Mordialloc's estimated population is around 9,627. This reflects an increase of 741 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,886. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 9,570 residents following examination of ABS's ERP data release (June 2024), and an additional 145 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,183 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Mordialloc's growth of 8.3% since the 2021 census exceeded its SA3 area's growth of 5.6%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate an above median growth for statistical areas nationwide. Mordialloc is expected to increase by 1,201 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 8.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mordialloc recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Mordialloc has experienced around 56 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 283 homes. So far in FY-26, 63 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed is 0.6. New properties are constructed at an average value of $622,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $38.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mordialloc records somewhat elevated construction levels (15.0% above regional average per person over the five-year period), balancing buyer choice with support for current property values.

However, recent periods show a moderation in development activity. New development consists of 26.0% detached houses and 74.0% attached dwellings, focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points and suit downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. The location has approximately 275 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Mordialloc is expected to grow by 860 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Mordialloc has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Mordi Aquatic Centre, Mordialloc Activity Centre - Pride of the Bay Structure Plan and Village Masterplan, Moorabbin Airport Master Plan Redevelopment, and Aspire Mordialloc.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Mordialloc has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Mordialloc has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 4.6%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 5362 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate aligned with Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Workforce participation stands at 68.6%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The dominant employment sectors among Mordialloc residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

However, transport, postal & warehousing shows lower representation at 2.8% compared to the regional average of 5.2%. Many Mordialloc residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Mordialloc's labour force increased by 0.6%, while employment decreased by 0.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and the labour force increase by 3.3%, with unemployment rising by only 0.3 percentage points. As of 25-Nov-25, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. This compares to the national rate of 4.3%, with Victoria's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mordialloc's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Mordialloc's median income among taxpayers is $63,006, with an average of $84,051. This is among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% suggest Mordialloc's median income could be approximately $68,204 and the average $90,985. The 2021 Census indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Mordialloc cluster around the 72nd percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows 28.5% of residents (2,743 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket, aligning with regional levels where this cohort represents 32.8%. Notably, 33.0% of Mordialloc residents earn more than $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 67th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Mordialloc displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Mordialloc, as per the latest Census data, 39.8% of dwellings were houses while 60.1% were other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This is different from Melbourne's metropolitan area where 54.8% were houses and 45.2% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Mordialloc stood at 28.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.3% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, aligning with Melbourne's metro average but higher than the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Mordialloc was $400, slightly above the national figure of $375 and close to Melbourne's metro average of $410.

Mordialloc features high concentrations of lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 67.2% of all households, including 33.5% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.8%, with lone person households at 30.5% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

Mordialloc shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Mordialloc's educational qualifications lag behind regional benchmarks, with 37.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 46.0% in the SA4 region. This disparity indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 25.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.8%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 30.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (17.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mordialloc has 47 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 17 different routes, serving a total of 4,225 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated excellent, with residents on average being 190 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 603 trips daily across all routes, which equates to around 89 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mordialloc's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Mordialloc's health data shows positive outcomes for its residents.

The prevalence of common health conditions is relatively low among the general population but higher than the national average among older and at-risk cohorts. Approximately 60% of Mordialloc's total population (5,773 people) has private health cover. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 8.2% and 7.7% of residents respectively. 70.9% of Mordialloc residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.4% across Greater Melbourne. As of June 2021, 16.7% of Mordialloc's residents are aged 65 and over (1,607 people), which is lower than the 19.3% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mordialloc was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mordialloc, as of the latest data from 2016, had a higher proportion of residents speaking languages other than English at home, with 19.3%, compared to most local markets. Additionally, 29.2% of Mordialloc's population was born overseas. Christianity was the dominant religion in Mordialloc, with 49.0%.

However, Judaism had a higher representation in Mordialloc at 0.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.1%. In terms of ancestry, English (26.2%), Australian (20.6%), and Irish (9.9%) were the top three groups represented. Notably, Russian, French, and Greek ethnicities had higher representations in Mordialloc than regionally: Russian at 0.8% vs 1.0%, French at 0.8% vs 0.6%, and Greek at 3.7% vs 3.3%.

Mordialloc's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Mordialloc has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Mordialloc at 15.4%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average. Conversely, the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 10.9% to 13.5% of Mordialloc's population, while the 5-14 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Mordialloc's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 351 people (68%), from 519 to 871. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 65% of total population growth, reflecting Mordialloc's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.