Mordialloc

Population growth drivers in Mordialloc are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, Mordialloc's population was estimated at 9,970 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,084 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,886. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 9,840 residents in June 2025 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,260 persons per square kilometer, above national averages. Mordialloc's growth of 12.2% since the 2021 census exceeded its SA3 area (6.7%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, the suburb is projected to have above median population growth nationally, increasing by 1,183 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 10.6% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Mordialloc when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Mordialloc had approximately 64 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 322 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 72 approvals recorded. The population growth rate has averaged 1.7 people per dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand in the area. However, this rate has increased to 4.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential supply constraints. The average expected construction cost of new homes is $622,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This year alone, Mordialloc has registered $38.4 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mordialloc's construction activity is 29.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. New developments consist of 29.0% detached houses and 71.0% attached dwellings, promoting higher-density living and creating more affordable entry points for various buyers. The area has approximately 182 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mordialloc is projected to grow by 1,053 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Mordialloc has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Mordi Aquatic Centre, Mordialloc Activity Centre - Pride of the Bay Structure Plan and Village Masterplan, Moorabbin Airport Master Plan Redevelopment, Aspire Mordialloc. These are key projects likely to have a significant influence on the area's performance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Mordialloc has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Mordialloc has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.5% in AreaSearch's statistical area aggregation. As of December 2025, 5,377 residents were employed at a rate of 0.3% below Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation was 67.8%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Census responses showed 37.5% worked from home. Dominant sectors included health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Transport, postal & warehousing had lower representation at 2.8% versus the regional average of 5.2%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Mordialloc's labour force decreased by 0.2%, employment by 0.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasted with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 2.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mordialloc's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Mordialloc's median income among taxpayers is $63,006. The average income in the suburb is $84,051. Both figures are among the highest in Australia. In comparison, Greater Melbourne has a median income of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Mordialloc's median income are approximately $69,067 and the average is around $92,137 as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Mordialloc cluster around the 72nd percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 28.5% of residents (2,841 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, aligning with regional levels where this cohort represents 32.8%. Notably, 33.0% of Mordialloc residents exceed $3,000 weekly earnings. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income in the suburb. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 67th percentile nationally and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Mordialloc displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Mordialloc's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 39.8% houses and 60.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mordialloc was 28.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.3% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Mordialloc was $400, slightly above Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Mordialloc's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Mordialloc features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.2% of all households, including 33.5% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.8%, with lone person households at 30.5% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Mordialloc shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Mordialloc's residents aged 15 and above have a university degree qualification rate of 37.0%, compared to the SA4 region's 46.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 25.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.8% and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Vocational credentials are held by 30.3% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 12.9% and certificates at 17.4%. Educational participation is high, with 29.0% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mordialloc has 47 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are serviced by 17 individual routes, collectively providing 4,225 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent transport accessibility, typically located 190 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Mordialloc's primarily residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 85%, with 8% using the train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 37.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 603 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 89 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mordialloc is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Mordialloc shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 60% of Mordialloc's total population (5,979 people) has private health cover, compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 8.2 and 7.7% of residents respectively. 70.9% of Mordialloc residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better-than-average health outcomes. Mordialloc has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,704 people), higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mordialloc was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mordialloc's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 19.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 29.2% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Mordialloc, accounting for 49.0%. However, Judaism had an overrepresentation of 0.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.2%), Australian (20.6%), and Irish (9.9%). Notably, Russian (0.8%) and French (0.8%) were also overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively. Greek representation was higher at 3.7% than the regional average of 2.7%.

Mordialloc's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Mordialloc has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Mordialloc at 15.0%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 10.9% to 14.0% of the population. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 11.5%, and the 45-54 group has decreased from 16.1% to 15.0%. By 2041, Mordialloc's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to grow by 320 people (56%), from 568 to 889. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 60% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.