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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Aspendale has an estimated 7,549 residents, up from 7,285 at the 2021 Census — a change of 264 people, or 3.6%. That puts 2,491 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to ABS demographic data analysis and address records verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the population of Aspendale is estimated to be approximately 7,549 in May 2026. This indicates a growth of 264 residents (3.6%) from the 2021 Census, which documented 7,285 individuals. The figure is derived from an Estimated Resident Population of 7,520 calculated by AreaSearch using the ABS June 2025 data release, combined with an additional 87 validated new addresses post-Census. The area exhibits a density of 2,491 persons per square kilometer, placing it within the highest quartile of national spots assessed by AreaSearch.
Inbound international migration was the primary driver of growth, accounting for approximately 60.0% of the overall population increases in recent times. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are utilized by AreaSearch for each SA2 region. In cases where these projections are unavailable, VIC State Government models from 2023 are applied using a weighted aggregation method to scale population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age cohort from these calculations are extended to all locations for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Based on expected demographic shifts, the community is projected to experience growth slightly below the national median, increasing by 800 individuals by 2041 based on aggregated SA2 projections, which represents a total expansion of 10.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
253 new dwellings have been approved in Aspendale over the past five years, an average of 50 a year. That places the area in the 53rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 7 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 43 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 35% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 21, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An analysis of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch indicates that the suburb of Aspendale has recorded an average of approximately 50 new residential approvals annually, with 253 dwellings authorized over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 20 during the current FY-26. Given that only an average of 0.4 new residents per year have relocated for each new dwelling completed between FY-21 and FY-25, new builds are keeping pace with or exceeding local demand, expanding options for buyers and potentially supporting faster population growth than anticipated. The average value of these new builds is $598,000, indicating that developers are focusing on higher-end products.
Additionally, commercial approvals worth $2.3 million have been recorded this financial year, pointing to a strong residential bias. In comparison to the wider Greater Melbourne region, construction activity in the suburb of Aspendale is slightly higher, running at 27.0% above the regional average per capita over the 5 year period, which supports local property values while offering options to buyers. Newly approved housing projects consist of 35.0% detached dwellings and 65.0% attached dwellings. This emphasis on higher-density options offers budget-friendly entry points, appealing to downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This represents a clear shift from the existing dwelling profile, which currently features 69.0% houses, reflecting a scarcity of vacant land and adapting to changing preferences and affordability constraints. With approximately 154 individuals per residential approval, the suburb of Aspendale displays the traits of a low-density suburb. Long-term projections indicate that the suburb of Aspendale will add 771 residents by 2041, according to the latest quarterly estimate from AreaSearch. Judging by recent building trends, the supply of new housing is positioned to comfortably accommodate this growth, creating favorable conditions for purchasers and potentially allowing population numbers to expand beyond current models.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Aspendale
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Aspendale, worth an estimated $168 million. A further 44 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $11.2 billion. 15 are already under construction and 16 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and urban planning changes are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 8 projects that are expected to influence the local area. Principal developments include The Strand Aspendale, the Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale, the Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan, and the Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
The Strand Aspendale
Luxury beachfront residential development featuring 18 exclusive apartments with direct beach access and premium coastal living amenities.
Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan
A long-term strategic framework by the City of Kingston to manage land use, housing density, and infrastructure along the Aspendale foreshore. The plan focuses on revitalising the activity centre, improving pedestrian connectivity to the beach, and integrating with the concurrent Level Crossing Removal Project at Station Street. It aims to balance increased housing diversity with the preservation of coastal character.
Mordi Aquatic Centre
The Mordi Aquatic Centre is an $87 million state-of-the-art facility featuring a 50m indoor multi-purpose lap pool, learn-to-swim pool, warm water exercise pool, and leisure pool with a splash park. It includes wellness amenities such as a spa, sauna, and steam room, alongside a gymnasium, fitness areas, and a cafe. Designed for sustainability, it targets a 6 Star Green Star rating with an all-electric design. Construction is currently on track for completion in late 2026, with roofing complete and internal fit-outs underway.
Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment
The proposed modernization and expansion of the Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre aims to upgrade the existing Ritchies Supa IGA and approximately 17 specialty stores. The plan includes the potential development of a top floor of approximately 3700 square metres to accommodate additional retail or commercial space. Current efforts focus on leasing and tenant management as the project navigates the planning phase, following historical community debate regarding proximity to local gambling venues.
Regent Park Aspendale
Premium boutique residential development of 24 luxury townhouses completed in 2023, located directly opposite Aspendale train station. The project was completed by L.U. Simon Builders.
Aspendale Life Saving Club Redevelopment
New two-storey lifesaving club comprising training rooms, kitchen, observation, first aid, patrol, member and public facilities. Includes rainwater tanks, LED lighting and water efficient fittings.
Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale
Proposed rezoning and redevelopment of the 43.5-hectare Rossdale Golf Course into a mixed-use residential community, which would fund the relocation of the financially non-viable golf club. The plan proposes approximately 30% public open space, new wetlands, and integrated walking/cycling paths, with around 700 to 1000 dwellings (mix of homes, townhouses, and low-scale apartments). The proposal is under review by the Victorian Government's Priority Projects Standing Advisory Committee.
Mordialloc Activity Centre - Pride of the Bay Structure Plan and Urban Design Framework
Council led long term renewal of the Mordialloc Major Activity Centre. The original 'Mordialloc Pride of the Bay' structure plan sets a vision for higher density mixed use development, upgraded streetscapes, and better pedestrian links. A recent Urban Design Framework (UDF) now informs current planning and design work alongside the Victorian Government's Mordialloc and Aspendale Level Crossing Removal Project (LXRP) scheduled for completion by 2026. This aims to deliver a rail over road design, new open spaces, and active recreation opportunities.
4,086 residents of Aspendale are employed, from a labour force of 4,294. Unemployment sits at 4.8%, with participation at 70.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 6,113, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Aspendale possesses a highly educated workforce with a significant share of professionals, an unemployment rate of 4.8%, and a stable job market over the past year, according to AreaSearch statistical area data. As of March 2026, there are 4,086 working residents, matching the Greater Melbourne unemployment rate of 4.8%. The local participation rate also aligns with the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 70.2%. Census figures show that a high 39.6% of residents performed their jobs from home, though this data is subject to the influence of pandemic lockdowns.
The primary employment sectors for local workers are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The suburb has a notable concentration in education & training, employing residents at a rate 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, the retail trade sector is less prominent, employing 7.7% of the workforce compared to 9.8% across the broader region. The local area provides a limited number of jobs within its borders, as shown by comparing the count of Census workers against resident labor pools. According to SALM and ABS data analyzed by AreaSearch, the local labor force contracted by 1.0% and overall employment fell by 0.5% during the 12 months ending March 2026, leading to a 0.5 percentage point drop in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Greater Melbourne recorded a 2.1% rise in employment and a 2.3% expansion of its labor force, alongside a 0.2 percentage point increase in unemployment. Future local employment trends can be understood further using national forecasts from May-25 published by Jobs and Skills Australia. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential changes. Nationally, employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Applying these trends to the local industry mix suggests employment among residents could rise by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation that does not account for localized population growth projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Aspendale is $2,343 a week (about $122,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,023 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $60,616 a year against an average of $77,332. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Income levels in the suburb of Aspendale are among the highest in the country, based on ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median taxpayer income is $60,616 and the average income is $77,332, compared to $57,688 and $75,164 respectively in Greater Melbourne. Adjusted for a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, these figures are estimated to be approximately $66,447 for the median and $84,771 for the average as of March 2026. According to the Census, household, family, and individual incomes all rank in the 80th to 85th percentiles nationally.
The largest income bracket contains 30.7% of residents (2,317 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, which mirrors the 32.8% regional share in this bracket. High earners are well represented, with 36.9% earning more than $3,000 per week, indicating substantial local purchasing power. Housing costs consume 13.6% of income, placing local disposable incomes in the 86th percentile nationally, while the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 9th decile for income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Aspendale had 2,597 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 69% detached houses and 20% apartments. 43% are owned with a mortgage, 18% rented and 39% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $460 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,383 a month. Rent absorbs 19.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock in the suburb of Aspendale consisted of 69.2% detached houses and 30.8% semi-detached properties, townhouses, and apartments at the time of the last Census, compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings in Greater Melbourne. Home ownership rates are notably higher than the metropolitan average, with 39.1% of homes owned outright, while 43.4% are mortgaged and 17.5% are rented. The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,383 is well above the metropolitan average of $2,000. Similarly, the median weekly rent is $460, compared to $390 across Greater Melbourne.
Nationally, local mortgage commitments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents exceed the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Aspendale counted 2,597 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 42% are couples with children, more than in 83% of areas nationally, against 24% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 77.0%, consisting of couples with children at 41.8%, couples without children at 23.7%, and single parent households at 10.5%. Non-family households account for 23.0% of the total, with single person households representing 21.2% and group shared arrangements at 1.9%. The median household size is 2.7 individuals, which is slightly larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
36.7% of adults in Aspendale hold a university qualification, including 24.6% with a bachelor degree and 8.0% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 82% of areas nationally. A further 18.5% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 2,487 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,075 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The proportion of residents with tertiary qualifications is lower than regional benchmarks, with 36.7% of those aged 15 and over holding a university degree, compared to 46.0% across the wider SA4 region. This indicates potential scope for future educational attainment. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 24.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 8.0% and graduate diplomas at 4.1%. Vocational and technical qualifications are common, with 30.2% of residents aged 15 and over possessing qualifications such as advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (18.5%). A significant proportion of the population is engaged in study, with 30.8% of residents enrolled in an educational institution.
This includes 11.1% attending primary schools, 9.1% in secondary education, and 5.2% enrolled in tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Aspendale reaches 20 stops on 3 routes, timetabled for about 1,700 services a week. The typical home sits about 270 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
An analysis of public transport reveals 20 operational transit stops in the suburb of Aspendale, consisting of bus services. These stops serve 3 distinct routes, which accommodate a total of 1,659 passenger trips weekly. Accessibility is good, with residents living an average of 271 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential nature of the suburb, most workers commute out of the area; private vehicles are the primary mode of travel for 86% of commuters, while 8% use trains. Households own an average of 1.5 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan average.
A high proportion of residents, 39.6%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related travel restrictions. Services run at an average frequency of 237 trips daily across all routes, which translates to approximately 82 trips per week for each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.9% of residents in Aspendale report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 86% of areas nationally. 3.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health outcomes in the suburb of Aspendale are excellent, according to AreaSearch assessments of mortality and chronic illness rates, which show a low incidence of common health issues across all demographics. Additionally, private health insurance coverage is high, representing approximately 57% of the population (~4,329 people). Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent health issues, affecting 7.9% and 6.5% of residents respectively. Conversely, 72.9% of the population reported no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The working-age cohort shows strong health indicators with a low incidence of chronic illness.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 17.9% of the population (1,351 people), which is higher than the Greater Melbourne proportion of 15.0%. Seniors in the area display positive health outcomes, with national rankings aligning closely with those of the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Aspendale is largely Australian-born, at 80.3% of residents, with 10.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.6%) and Australian (25.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Aspendale reflects regional averages for cultural diversity, with 80.3% of residents born in Australia, 92.1% holding citizenship, and 89.5% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, accounting for 49.7% of the population. The most distinct relative difference is in Judaism, which is practiced by 0.3% of residents, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Regarding parental birthplace, the three most common ancestries are English at 27.6% (compared to a regional average of 20.1%), Australian at 25.9% (compared to 18.4% regionally), and Irish at 10.7%. There are also differences in other groups: Russian ancestry is represented at 0.8% (compared to 0.4% regionally), Hungarian at 0.4% (compared to 0.3%), and French at 0.6% (compared to 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Aspendale is 40. 21.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in the suburb of Aspendale is 40, which is higher than the metropolitan average of 37 and the national average of 38. The 45 - 54 age group is over-represented at 15.1% of the population, while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented at 8.0%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 11.5% to 13.3%, while the 5 to 14 group has decreased from 15.1% to 13.9%. Projections to 2041 suggest the age profile will shift, with the 65 to 74 cohort expected to grow by 217 people (31%) from 709 to 927.
The combined cohorts aged 65 and over are projected to account for 56% of total population growth, pointing to an aging profile. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age cohorts are expected to decrease in size.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Aspendale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 87 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (7,285 at the 2021 Census → 7,549 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20079). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.