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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Chelsea has an estimated 8,998 residents, up from 8,347 at the 2021 Census — a change of 651 people, or 7.8%. Growth has averaged 1.1% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 86.0% of that increase. That puts 3,434 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader regional ABS population updates with new residential addresses verified since the Census, the suburb of Chelsea reached an estimated 8,998 residents by Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 651 people (7.8%) compared to the 8,347 persons recorded in the 2021 Census. This adjustment stems from an Estimated Resident Population of 8,980 determined by AreaSearch following the ABS June 2025 ERP release, alongside 78 validated new addresses identified post-Census. With a population density of 3,434 persons per square kilometer, the suburb of Chelsea ranks in the top quartile among national locations evaluated by AreaSearch.
Furthermore, the suburb of Chelsea outpaced its wider SA3 region (6.8%) with its 7.8% post-2021 census gain, establishing it as a regional growth leader. This expansion was predominantly fueled by overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 86.0% of recent population additions. Projections for the suburb of Chelsea incorporate ABS and Geoscience Australia SA2 figures published in 2024 (using 2022 as a base), supplemented where necessary by 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA forecasts adjusted via weighted aggregation to SA2 boundaries. Age-cohort growth trends derived from these models are similarly applied across all locations from 2032 to 2041. Based on these demographic trajectories, the suburb of Chelsea is anticipated to achieve above-median expansion relative to Australian statistical areas, adding 1,455 persons by 2041 under aggregated SA2 projections—an overall rise of 16.0% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
242 new dwellings have been approved in Chelsea over the past five years, an average of 48 a year. That places the area in the 52nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 44 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 41% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 16, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
ABS residential building approval data examined by AreaSearch shows that Chelsea maintains an average approval rate of approximately 48 dwellings per year, totaling 242 residential approvals across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 16 recorded to date in FY-25. Over this same 5 financial years timeframe (between FY-21 and FY-25), the area added an average of 2.2 new residents annually per approved dwelling, signaling healthy underlying demand that underpins local property values. Construction figures indicate an average dwelling value of $733,000, underscoring a developer focus on high-end, premium residential projects.
Concurrently, commercial building approvals have reached $14.2 million in the current financial year, highlighting stable commercial development. On a per-capita basis, Chelsea records development volumes comparable to Greater Melbourne, sustaining market balance in step with neighboring districts despite a recent easing in overall building pace. Approvals for new residential construction comprise 41.0% standalone houses alongside 59.0% medium-to-high-density formats like townhouses and apartments. This orientation toward higher-density housing delivers more accessible price points catering to first-time buyers, downsizers, and property investors. A ratio of roughly 330 people per dwelling approval reflects a mature, established residential market. Long-term demographic models derived from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly assessment project that Chelsea will expand by 1,437 residents by 2041. While ongoing residential building activity is tracking reasonably well against these growth projections, purchasers could encounter heightened competition as the local population increases.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Chelsea
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 56 current infrastructure and development projects close to Chelsea, worth an estimated $11 billion. 15 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, major developments, and strategic urban plans exert a significant influence on neighborhood growth. AreaSearch has identified 2 prominent local projects with potential community impacts, among a broader program including The Dell by Stockland, Bonbeach Station Precinct Redevelopment & Level Crossing Removal, Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale, and Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
The Dell by Stockland
Large masterplanned residential community directly opposite Bonbeach Station featuring townhomes and apartments, with future retail and community amenities planned within the precinct.
Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment
The proposed modernization and expansion of the Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre aims to upgrade the existing Ritchies Supa IGA and approximately 17 specialty stores. The plan includes the potential development of a top floor of approximately 3700 square metres to accommodate additional retail or commercial space. Current efforts focus on leasing and tenant management as the project navigates the planning phase, following historical community debate regarding proximity to local gambling venues.
The Strand Aspendale
Luxury beachfront residential development featuring 18 exclusive apartments with direct beach access and premium coastal living amenities.
Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale
Proposed rezoning and redevelopment of the 43.5-hectare Rossdale Golf Course into a mixed-use residential community, which would fund the relocation of the financially non-viable golf club. The plan proposes approximately 30% public open space, new wetlands, and integrated walking/cycling paths, with around 700 to 1000 dwellings (mix of homes, townhouses, and low-scale apartments). The proposal is under review by the Victorian Government's Priority Projects Standing Advisory Committee.
Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan
A long-term strategic framework by the City of Kingston to manage land use, housing density, and infrastructure along the Aspendale foreshore. The plan focuses on revitalising the activity centre, improving pedestrian connectivity to the beach, and integrating with the concurrent Level Crossing Removal Project at Station Street. It aims to balance increased housing diversity with the preservation of coastal character.
Bondi Road, Bonbeach Level Crossing Removal
Completed Victorian Government Level Crossing Removal Project works at Bonbeach removed the Bondi Road level crossing by lowering the Frankston line into a rail trench and rebuilding the road at surface level. The project also delivered the new Bonbeach Station, improved walking and cycling connections, upgraded accessibility, bike facilities, lighting, landscaping, and station precinct improvements as part of the Edithvale, Chelsea and Bonbeach package.
Bonbeach Life Saving Club Redevelopment
Completed redevelopment of the Bonbeach Life Saving Club facility, replacing the ageing clubhouse with a new fit-for-purpose two-level building supporting patrol, first aid, training, storage, community and club functions. The facility includes public outdoor showers, accessible amenities, balconies, multipurpose spaces and sustainability features including rainwater tanks, solar panels, natural-light glazing, heat-pump water heating and water-efficient fittings.
Mordi Aquatic Centre
The Mordi Aquatic Centre is an $87 million state-of-the-art facility featuring a 50m indoor multi-purpose lap pool, learn-to-swim pool, warm water exercise pool, and leisure pool with a splash park. It includes wellness amenities such as a spa, sauna, and steam room, alongside a gymnasium, fitness areas, and a cafe. Designed for sustainability, it targets a 6 Star Green Star rating with an all-electric design. Construction is currently on track for completion in late 2026, with roofing complete and internal fit-outs underway.
4,690 residents of Chelsea are employed, from a labour force of 5,017. Unemployment sits at 6.5%, with participation at 66.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 7,195, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Chelsea's workforce demonstrates strong educational credentials and notable representation in professional services, alongside a local unemployment rate of 6.5% and a 1.2% annual increase in total employment based on AreaSearch statistical aggregations. By March 2026, employed residents numbered 4,690, while the local jobless rate stood 1.7% above the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 4.8%, and local labour participation trailed the broader metro average (66.7% versus 70.1%). Furthermore, Census records revealed that 35.8% of local workers performed their roles from home, a figure influenced by Covid-19 pandemic restrictions. Resident employment is concentrated primarily in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.
The community displays exceptional specialization in education & training, where local employment concentration reaches 1.4 times the regional benchmark. In contrast, accommodation & food accounts for a smaller share at 4.4%, lagging the wider regional proportion of 6.4%. A comparison between resident workers and local workplace positions indicates that this predominantly residential suburb offers relatively few jobs within its own borders. According to AreaSearch's synthesis of ABS and SALM metrics, the past 12-month period recorded a 1.2% rise in employment alongside a 0.1% increase in the total labour force, contributing to a 1.0 percentage points reduction in the unemployment rate. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Melbourne registered a 2.1% gain in employment and a 2.3% expansion in the labour pool, accompanied by a 0.2 percentage point uptick in unemployment. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia's Mar-26 national employment projections provide a framework for future local demand across five and ten-year horizons. Nationally, employment is projected to expand by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, with performance varying widely across industries. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to Chelsea's existing workforce profile indicates an anticipated local job growth of 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (noting this illustrative weighting extrapolation excludes local population variations).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Chelsea is $1,683 a week (about $88,000 a year), with median personal income at $951 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $62,863 a year against an average of $76,022. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxation statistics for financial year 2023 published by AreaSearch show that taxpayers in the suburb of Chelsea earned a median income of $62,863 and an average income of $76,022. These figures exceed nationwide benchmarks and outperform Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Factoring in cumulative Wage Price Index gains of 9.62% since financial year 2023, local income levels are estimated at roughly $68,910 (median) and $83,335 (average) as of March 2026. In the 2021 Census, individual weekly earnings ($951) placed the area in the 73rd percentile, whereas household income tracked in the 46th percentile.
The largest earnings bracket covers 31.7% of residents (2,852 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional proportion of 32.8%. With only 82.4% of earnings uncommitted after housing expenses, affordability strains are pronounced, ranking in the 45th percentile, while the community's SEIFA income score places it in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Chelsea had 3,606 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 35% detached houses and 42% apartments. 38% are owned with a mortgage, 33% rented and 30% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $375 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,008 a month. Rent absorbs 22.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data reveals that Chelsea's housing stock consists of 34.7% separate houses and 65.3% other dwellings including apartments and semi-detached properties, contrasting with Melbourne metro where houses make up 67.9% and other dwellings account for 32.1%. Outright home ownership stands at 29.8%, matching Melbourne metro, while 37.7% of homes are held with a mortgage and 32.5% are rented. The median monthly mortgage commitment of $2,008 sits slightly above the Melbourne metro median of $2,000, whereas the median weekly rent of $375 is below the metropolitan figure of $390. Compared against national benchmarks, Chelsea's mortgage costs exceed the Australian median of $1,863, while rental payments align with the national rate of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Chelsea counted 3,606 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,887 today, averaging 2.2 people each. 25% are couples with children, against 24% couples without children. 36% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 61.0% of local households, comprising 25.1% couples with children, 24.0% couples without children, and 11.0% single-parent arrangements. Non-family living situations account for the remaining 39.0%, driven by single-person households at 36.0% and shared group residences at 3.0%. The local median household size stands at 2.2 people, lower than the Greater Melbourne standard of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
33.7% of adults in Chelsea hold a university qualification, including 22.9% with a bachelor degree and 7.0% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 82% of areas nationally. A further 21.3% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 679 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,085 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in the locality trails broader regional benchmarks, with 33.7% holding university degrees compared to 46.0% across the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees represent the largest proportion of higher education at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.0% and graduate diplomas at 3.8%. Concurrently, vocational and technical pathways are prominent, with 33.5% of people aged 15+ holding trade credentials, divided between advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (21.3%). Formal study engages 24.9% of the local population. Breaking down this student cohort, 8.5% attend primary school, 5.7% are enrolled in secondary education, and 3.9% undertake tertiary programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Chelsea reaches 34 stops on 9 routes, timetabled for about 4,800 services a week. The typical home sits about 200 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Chelsea includes 34 operational transit stops offering local bus services across 9 distinct routes, delivering 4,750 scheduled passenger trips each week. Transit proximity is rated as excellent, with typical walking distances to the nearest stop averaging 196 meters. Commuting patterns reflect the area's residential character, with outward travel dominated by private vehicles at 86%, while 7% travel by train. Household motor vehicle availability averages 1.0 per dwelling, trailing the wider metropolitan level. In addition, 35.8% of workers worked from home according to 2021 Census data, reflecting pandemic-era conditions.
Public transport operations provide an average frequency of 678 daily trips across all servicing routes, translating to roughly 139 weekly trip services for each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.0% of residents in Chelsea report no long-term health condition. 7.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch based on chronic conditions and mortality statistics indicate notable health considerations locally, with medical conditions occurring regularly across the community and reaching greater prevalence among older age brackets, while private health insurance uptake remains extensive at approximately 57% of residents (~5,114 people). Asthma and mental health conditions are the most frequently recorded chronic ailments, impacting 8.5% and 9.2% of residents respectively, while 66.0% reported no long-term medical conditions compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health metrics among working-age individuals align with typical standards. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 20.5% of the community (1,844 people), outnumbering the 15.1% share in Greater Melbourne, with senior health outcomes exhibiting some specific challenges despite sitting below broader national difficulty rates.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
25.4% of Chelsea residents were born overseas and 15.4% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.7%) and Australian (22.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural background indicators place Chelsea above average in diversity, with 25.4% of residents born abroad and 15.4% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity forms the largest religious affiliation at 45.6% of the population. Notably, Judaism is represented by 0.6% of residents, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Looking at parental heritage, English ancestry ranks highest in Chelsea at 27.7% of the populace (exceeding the regional level of 20.1%), followed by Australian ancestry at 22.5% and Irish ancestry at 9.7%. Distinct variations also appear across other cultural backgrounds, with Russian heritage comprising 1.0% locally (versus 0.4% regionally), French accounting for 0.8% (versus 0.5%), and Hungarian representing 0.4% (versus 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Chelsea is 41. 21.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Chelsea trends older than Greater Melbourne. As of August 2026, AreaSearch estimates indicate that 20.5% of the population belongs to senior and retiree brackets (65+), compared to 15.1% across Greater Melbourne, while children and young adults (0 - 24) account for 25.7% relative to the metropolitan proportion of 30.5%. The estimated median age remains at 41, matching the 2021 Census level and sitting 4 years above the Greater Melbourne median of 37 recorded in that Census. Meanwhile, residents aged 25 - 44 have decreased from 30.1% at the Census to an estimated 29.0%.
Looking toward 2041, the most substantial demographic expansion will occur among senior age groups, projected to rise by 888 residents (48%) to reach 2,733.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Chelsea
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 78 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (8,347 at the 2021 Census → 8,998 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20537). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.