Edithvale - Aspendale

Population growth drivers in Edithvale - Aspendale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Edithvale - Aspendale's population is around 14,218 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 655 people (4.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,563 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,151 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 197 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,787 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Edithvale - Aspendale's 4.8% growth since the census positions it within 0.8 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.6%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to grow by 1,601 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 10.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Edithvale - Aspendale among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Edithvale - Aspendale has recorded around 101 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 508 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 41 approvals have been recorded. With an average of only 0.7 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts, while new homes are being built at an average value of $449,000—slightly above the regional average—suggesting a focus on quality developments. Additionally, $10.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

When measured against Greater Melbourne, Edithvale - Aspendale records somewhat elevated construction (36.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), balancing buyer choice with support for current property values. New building activity shows 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% townhouses or apartments. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 60.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 150 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Looking ahead, Edithvale - Aspendale is expected to grow by 1,534 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Edithvale - Aspendale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 7 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include The Strand Aspendale, Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale, Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan, and Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Edithvale - Aspendale shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Edithvale - Aspendale possesses a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of 4.2%, and relative employment stability over the past year. As of December 2025, 7,990 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.6% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is on par with Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Based on Census responses, a high 38.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing shows lower representation at 3.1% versus the regional average of 5.2%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.0% and the labour force decreased by 0.3%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Edithvale - Aspendale. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Edithvale - Aspendale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Edithvale - Aspendale SA2's income level is extremely high nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Edithvale - Aspendale SA2's median income among taxpayers is $63,947 and the average income stands at $80,931, which compares to figures for Greater Melbourne's of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $69,223 (median) and $87,608 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Edithvale - Aspendale, between the 79th and 80th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.8% of residents (4,379 people), mirroring regional levels where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Edithvale - Aspendale demonstrates considerable affluence with 34.5% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 13.9% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 81st percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Edithvale - Aspendale displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Edithvale - Aspendale, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 60.1% houses and 40.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Edithvale - Aspendale was well beyond that of Melbourne metro, at 36.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (42.3%) or rented (21.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Melbourne metro average at $2,200, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $440, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Edithvale - Aspendale's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Edithvale - Aspendale has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 73.9% of all households, comprising 36.9% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.1%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 2.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 people matches the Greater Melbourne average.

Edithvale - Aspendale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (35.9%) substantially below the SA4 region average of 46.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 24.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 31.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (19.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 52 active transport stops operating within Edithvale - Aspendale, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 7 individual routes, collectively providing 2,480 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 216 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 86%, with 8% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. A high 38.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 354 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Edithvale - Aspendale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Edithvale - Aspendale, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (8,459 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 8.1% and 7.5% of residents, respectively, while 72.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 17.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,543 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Edithvale - Aspendale records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Edithvale - Aspendale was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 80.0% of its population born in Australia, 91.2% being citizens, and 89.3% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Edithvale - Aspendale is Christianity, which makes up 47.2% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.3% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Edithvale - Aspendale are English, comprising 27.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian, comprising 25.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 18.4%, and Irish, comprising 10.4% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Russian is notably overrepresented at 0.7% of Edithvale - Aspendale (vs 0.4% regionally), Greek at 2.1% (vs 2.7%) and Polish at 0.9% (vs 0.8%).

Edithvale - Aspendale's population is slightly older than the national pattern

With a median age of 40, Edithvale - Aspendale is somewhat higher than the Greater Melbourne figure of 37 and similarly marginally higher than Australia's 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 55 - 64 cohort is notably over-represented (13.3% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (9.3%). In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 10.7% to 12.6% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 10.9% to 9.3% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 13.9% to 12.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Edithvale - Aspendale's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 65 to 74 age cohort is projected to see notable expansion, increasing by 410 people (32%) from 1,299 to 1,710. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 56% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.