Edithvale - Aspendale

Population growth drivers in Edithvale - Aspendale are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Edithvale - Aspendale's population was around 14,205 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 642 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,563. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,151 in June 2024 and an additional 201 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,785 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Edithvale - Aspendale's growth of 4.7% since the census is within 1.0 percentage points of its SA3 area (5.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and the latest annual ERP population numbers, Edithvale - Aspendale is expected to grow by 1,601 persons to reach a total of approximately 15,806 by 2041, reflecting an increase of 10.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Edithvale - Aspendale among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Edithvale-Aspendale has seen approximately 101 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 508 homes. In FY26, 28 approvals have been recorded so far. On average, 0.7 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that new supply meets or exceeds demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction cost value of new homes is $449,000, slightly above the regional average.

This year, $10.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing moderate levels of commercial development compared to Greater Melbourne. Edithvale-Aspendale records 36.0% higher construction activity per person than the regional average over the past five years. New building activity comprises 36.0% standalone homes and 64.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a significant change from the current housing mix of 60.0% houses. The area has approximately 150 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Edithvale-Aspendale is expected to grow by 1,547 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Edithvale - Aspendale has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include The Strand Aspendale, Rossdale Golf Course Redevelopment Aspendale, Aspendale Beachside Structure Plan, and Aspendale Gardens Shopping Centre Redevelopment. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Edithvale - Aspendale shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Edithvale-Aspendale has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.5% in September 2021, 0.2% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was 68.7%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries included health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training had notably high representation at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing showed lower representation at 3.1% compared to the regional average of 5.2%.

Between September 2020 and September 2021, Edithvale-Aspendale's labour force increased by 0.6%, while employment remained stable, leading to a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. Greater Melbourne, however, saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. In Victoria as of 25-Nov-22, employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%, and employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Edithvale-Aspendale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Edithvale-Aspendale SA2 had a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers was $60,557 and average income stood at $77,257, compared to Greater Melbourne's figures of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,921 (median) and $86,651 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Edithvale-Aspendale ranked highly nationally, between the 79th and 80th percentiles. Distribution data showed that 30.8% of residents (4,375 people) fell into the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, mirroring regional levels where 32.8% occupied this bracket. Edithvale-Aspendale demonstrated considerable affluence with 34.5% earning over $3,000 per week. Housing accounted for 13.9% of income, and strong earnings placed residents within the 81st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Edithvale - Aspendale displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Edithvale-Aspendale, as per the latest Census, 60.1% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 40.0% being semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to Melbourne metro's 54.8% houses and 45.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Edithvale-Aspendale stood at 36.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.3% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in the area was $440, compared to Melbourne metro's $410. Nationally, Edithvale-Aspendale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $440 compared to the national figure of $375.

Edithvale - Aspendale has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.9% of all households, including 36.9% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 26.1%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.4.

Edithvale - Aspendale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 35.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.5% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.3% and certificates at 19.2%. Educational participation is high, with 29.6% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Edithvale-Aspendale has 51 operational public transport stops offering a combination of train and bus services. These stops are served by six unique routes, facilitating a total of 3,023 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 215 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 431 trips per day, translating to approximately 59 weekly trips per individual stop.

Edithvale - Aspendale's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates robust performance across Edithvale-Aspendale, with both younger and older age groups exhibiting low prevalence rates for common health conditions.

Approximately 58% (~8,210 people) of the total population has private health cover, a figure that is notably high. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.1 and 7.5% of residents respectively. Conversely, 72.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 70.4% across Greater Melbourne. As of 2021, 17.4% (2,467 people) of the population is aged 65 and over, lower than the 19.3% reported in Greater Melbourne. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are commendable, largely mirroring those of the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Edithvale - Aspendale records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Edithvale-Aspendale, when compared to the broader area, showed similar levels of cultural diversity. As of 2016, approximately 80.0% of its residents were born in Australia, with 91.2% being citizens and 89.3% speaking English at home exclusively. Christianity was found to be the predominant religion, comprising 47.2% of the population in Edithvale-Aspendale.

However, there was a notable overrepresentation of Judaism, which constituted 0.3% of the population compared to 1.1% across Greater Melbourne. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (27.9%), Australian (25.6%), and Irish (10.4%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences in representation: Russian was overrepresented at 0.7%, Greek at 2.1%, and Polish at 0.9%.

Edithvale - Aspendale's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Edithvale - Aspendale has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. The 55-64 age cohort is notably over-represented in Edithvale-Aspendale at 13.0%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average. Conversely, the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 10.7% to 12.6% of the population. During this period, the 25-34 cohort declined from 10.9% to 9.5%, and the 5-14 age group decreased from 13.9% to 12.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Edithvale-Aspendale's age profile. The 65-74 age cohort is expected to expand by 442 people (35%), from 1,267 to 1,710. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 57% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.