Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Springvale South's population was around 13,148 as of February 2026. This reflected an increase of 527 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,621. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,139 in June 2024 and an additional 161 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 2,883 persons per square kilometer, placing Springvale South in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's population growth rate of 4.2% since the census was within 2.7 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 6.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 88.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected for Springvale South, with an anticipated increase of 648 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 4.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Springvale South has averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 176 homes. As of FY26 so far, 47 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $370,000.

There have also been $2.9 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level reflects the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium to high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a shift from the existing housing stock, which is currently 86.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. At around 459 people per approval, Springvale South indicates a mature market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Springvale South is expected to grow by 639 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled labour force with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 5.7% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.8%.

As of September 2025, 6,425 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Springvale South was 61.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, only 12.1% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance.

Manufacturing shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share three times the regional level. Conversely, education & training has lower representation at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 9.2%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.8% while labour force grew by 5.0%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Springvale South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Springvale South SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $41,958 and an average income of $50,578 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was lower than national averages, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $45,420 (median) and $54,751 (average). Census data shows individual incomes at the 7th percentile were $559 weekly, while household incomes were at the 36th percentile. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captured 35.2% of the community, with 4,628 individuals in this category. This is consistent with broader trends across regional levels, which showed 32.8% in the same category. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remained for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Springvale South, as per the latest Census, 85.8% of dwellings were houses, with 14.1% being other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This contrasts with Melbourne's metropolitan area, where 67.9% of dwellings are houses and 32.1% are other types. Home ownership in Springvale South stood at 39.3%, compared to mortgaged dwellings at 32.8% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Melbourne's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Springvale South was $355, compared to Melbourne's $390. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 79.1% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 19.6% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 19.1%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 13.7%. Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Springvale South has 49 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that collectively facilitate 1,098 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 89%, while train usage stands at 6%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

Only 12.1% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census; this figure may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions). Service frequency averages 156 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Springvale South's health outcomes data shows exceptional results, with AreaSearch's assessment indicating very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The area has an asthma prevalence of 6.5% and diabetes at 5.9%, while 76.9% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments. This compares to Greater Melbourne's figures of 72.6%.

Private health cover is held by approximately 46% of Springvale South's population (~6,034 people), which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.6% (2,452 people) compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Springvale South are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South has a population where 62.2% were born overseas, with 75.4% speaking languages other than English at home. Buddhism is the predominant religion in Springvale South, comprising 34.8%, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%), and Chinese (17.7%), all significantly higher than their respective regional averages of 14.6%, 1.9%, and 6.5%.

Notably, Sri Lankan, Hungarian, and Greek ethnicities have varying degrees of representation compared to the regional average.

Springvale South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Springvale South is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 75-84 grew from 5.1% to 6.5%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 13.7% to 14.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 55-64 declined from 12.5% to 11.4%. By 2041, Springvale South is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The population aged 75-84 is expected to grow by 40%, reaching 1,191 people from the current figure of 848. This growth will contribute significantly to the overall demographic shift, with those aged 65 and above comprising 67% of projected population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for residents aged 25-34 and those under age 5 (0-4 cohort).