Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Springvale South's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 13,254. This figure represents a growth of 633 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,621. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates: an ERP of 13,139 in June 2024 and an additional 163 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a density ratio of 2,906 persons per square kilometer, placing Springvale South in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's growth rate since the census is 5.0%, which is within 1.8 percentage points of its SA3 area (6.8%). Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Springvale South is expected to experience population growth just below the national median by 2041. The latest annual ERP population numbers project an increase of 648 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of approximately 4.0% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Springvale South has averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 176 homes. As of FY2026 so far, 47 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $370,000.

In the current financial year, there have also been $2.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 45% standalone homes and 55% medium to high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the existing housing stock (currently 86% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. At around 459 people per approval, Springvale South indicates a mature market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Springvale South is expected to grow by approximately 533 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 44thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely influencing the region. Notable initiatives include Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 5.7% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.8%. As of September 2025, 6,425 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation lagged significantly at 56.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance.

Manufacturing shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share 3.0 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training has lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 9.2%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.8% while labour force increased by 5.0%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.1 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Springvale South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Springvale South SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $39,034 and an average of $48,213 in the financial year 2022. This was lower than national averages, with Greater Melbourne's median being $54,892 and average at $73,761. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $43,781 (median) and $54,076 (average), accounting for a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data showed individual incomes at the 7th percentile ($559 weekly) and household incomes at the 36th percentile. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captured 35.2% of the community (4,665 individuals), similar to broader regional trends with 32.8% in the same category. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remained for other expenditures.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Springvale South, as per the latest Census, 85.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 14.1% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differs from Melbourne's metropolitan area, where 72.1% of dwellings are houses, and 28.0% are other types. Home ownership in Springvale South stood at 39.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.8% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,600, lower than Melbourne's metro average of $1,800. The median weekly rent figure was $355, compared to Melbourne's metro average of $350. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.1% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 19.6% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households making up 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than Greater Melbourne's average of 2.8.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 19.1%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 13.7%. Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 49 active stops operating in Springvale South, offering mixed bus services. These stops are served by 10 routes, facilitating 1,941 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 192 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 277 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale South's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Springvale South. Prevalence of common health conditions is very low across all age groups.

The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6096 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, impacting 6.5 and 5.9% of residents respectively. A total of 76.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.1% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 18.2% of residents aged 65 and over (2406 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South's population is predominantly diverse, with 62.2% born overseas and 75.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Buddhism is the major religion in Springvale South, accounting for 34.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.2%. The top three ancestry groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%), and Chinese (17.7%).

Notably, Sri Lankan (0.7%) and Greek (2.3%) groups are overrepresented in Springvale South compared to regional averages of 1.8% and 3.8%, respectively.

Springvale South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Springvale South is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 13.7% to 14.8%, while the proportion of those aged 55-64 has decreased from 12.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, Springvale South's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 49%, reaching 1,191 people from 797. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 70% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts.