Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Springvale South's population was 12,621 as of May 2021. By May 2026, it had increased to around 13,274, a rise of 653 people (5.2%) since the 2021 Census. This growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,274 in June 2025 and an additional 160 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 2,911 persons per square kilometer, placing Springvale South in the upper quartile nationally. Its growth rate of 5.2% since census is within 1.8 percentage points of its SA3 area's 7.0%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration drove this growth, contributing approximately 88.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Springvale South is expected to increase by just below the median national rate to 2041, with a population of 13,853 reflecting a total increase of 628 persons (4.7%) over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Springvale South averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 176 homes. As of FY26, 63 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $370,000.

This financial year, there have also been $2.9 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person, placing it among the 41st percentile nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 86.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. At around 459 people per approval, Springvale South indicates a mature market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 628 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Ten projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the local area significantly. Key projects include Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate was 6.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.4%. As of December 2025, 6,471 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 1.2% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation lagged at 61.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Only 12.1% of residents worked from home based on Census responses. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance, with a strong specialization in manufacturing (3.0 times the regional level). Conversely, education & training has lower representation at 4.1%, compared to the regional average of 9.2%.

Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 3.4% while labour force grew by 4.7%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate that Springvale South's employment should increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Springvale South SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $41,958 and an average of $50,578 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% from financial year 2023 to March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $45,994 (median) and $55,444 (average). Census data shows individual incomes at the 7th percentile ($559 weekly), while household income is at the 36th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 35.2% of the community (4,672 individuals), consistent with broader regional trends showing 32.8% in the same category. After housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Springvale South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.8% houses and 14.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Springvale South was at 39.3%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (32.8%) or rented (27.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,600, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $355, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 79.1% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 19.6% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.9%, consisting of lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 19.1%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 13.7%. Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis shows 49 active public transport stops in Springvale South, offering mixed bus services. These stops are covered by 10 routes, collectively serving 1,098 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest stop. In this predominantly residential area, most commute outward; cars remain dominant at 89%, while trains account for 6%. Average vehicle ownership is 1.6 per dwelling, above regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 12.1% of residents work from home, potentially reflecting COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 156 trips daily across all routes, approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Springvale South's health outcomes data shows excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 46% (~6,092 people) have private health cover, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%, and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and diabetes are the most common medical conditions in Springvale South, affecting 6.5 and 5.9% of residents respectively. Notably, 76.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.1% (2,399 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South has a population where 62.2% were born overseas, with 75.4% speaking languages other than English at home. Buddhism is the predominant religion in Springvale South, comprising 34.8%, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%), and Chinese (17.7%), all significantly higher than regional averages of 14.6%, 1.9%, and 6.5% respectively.

Notably, Sri Lankan, Hungarian, and Greek ethnicities are overrepresented in Springvale South compared to regional figures: Sri Lankan at 0.7% vs 0.8%, Hungarian at 0.4% vs 0.3%, and Greek at 2.3% vs 2.7%.

Springvale South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Springvale South is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (15.1%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.9%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 13.7% to 15.1%, while the proportion of those aged 55-64 has decreased from 12.5% to 11.4%. By 2041, Springvale South's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 41%, reaching 1,139 people from 809. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 66% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 25-34 and 0-4 years.