Springvale South

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Springvale South's population is around 13,148 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 527 people (4.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,621 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,139 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 161 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,883 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Springvale South's 4.2% growth since the census positions it within 2.7 percentage points of the SA3 area (6.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 88.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 648 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.9% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Springvale South has averaged around 35 new dwelling approvals per year, totalling 176 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 53 approvals have been recorded. With population declining over recent years, new supply has likely been keeping up with demand, offering good choice to buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $370,000. There have also been $2.9 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting the area's residential character.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person while it places among the 41st percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium and high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 86.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. At around 459 people per approval, Springvale South indicates a mature market.

Looking ahead, Springvale South is expected to grow by 639 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 9 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Spring Valley Reserve Master Plan, and Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South possesses a skilled workforce, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 6.0%, and 3.4% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,471 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.2% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation lags significantly (62.2% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a low 12.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. The area shows particularly strong specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 3.0 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 9.2%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.4% while labour force increased by 4.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Springvale South. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Springvale South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.0% over five years and 11.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Springvale South SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $41,958 and an average of $50,578 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is lower than average on a national basis, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $45,420 (median) and $54,751 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals individual incomes lag at the 7th percentile ($559 weekly), while household income performs better at the 36th percentile. The data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 35.2% of the community (4,628 individuals), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 32.8% in the same category. After housing, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Springvale South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 85.8% houses and 14.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Springvale South was well beyond that of Melbourne metro, at 39.3%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (32.8%) or rented (27.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Melbourne metro average at $1,600, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $355, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 79.1% of all households, comprising 40.2% couples with children, 19.6% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size of 3.2 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (19.1%) substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (8.6%) and certificates (13.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 49 active transport stops operating within Springvale South, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 10 individual routes, collectively providing 1,098 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 89%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 12.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 156 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Springvale South, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is found to be extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,034 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be asthma and diabetes, impacting 6.5 and 5.9% of residents, respectively, while 76.9% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over (2,452 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 62.2% of its population born overseas and 75.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Springvale South is Buddhism, which makes up 34.8% of the population. This compares to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Springvale South are Other, comprising 29.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, Vietnamese, comprising 20.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 1.9%, and Chinese, comprising 17.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 6.5%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is represented at 0.7% of Springvale South (vs 0.8% regionally), Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.3%) and Greek at 2.3% (vs 2.7%).

Springvale South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Springvale South is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher concentration of 65 - 74 residents (10.0%) but fewer 35 - 44 year-olds (12.6%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.1% to 6.5% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 13.7% to 14.8%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 12.5% to 11.4%. By 2041, Springvale South is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 40% (342 people), reaching 1,191 from 848. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 67% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 cohorts.