Springvale South
Statistical Area - sa2

Springvale South is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Springvale South's population was approximately 13,254 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 633 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,621. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 13,139 in June 2024 and an additional 163 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,906 persons per square kilometer, placing Springvale South in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's 5% growth since the census is within 1.8 percentage points of its SA3 area (6.8%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.3% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises Victorian State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Springvale South is expected to increase its population by just below the median of national areas, with an anticipated growth of 648 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of approximately 4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Springvale South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Springvale South has averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 176 homes. As of FY2026 so far, 39 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $370,000.

There have also been $2.9 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South records about three-quarters the building activity per person and places among the 41st percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 45.0% standalone homes and 55.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition of 86.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. At around 459 people per approval, Springvale South indicates a mature market.

Looking ahead, Springvale South is expected to grow by 533 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Springvale South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Roselle Townhomes, Kennedy Community Centre - Hawthorn Football Club Training Facility, Princes Highway-Dandenong Road Safety Improvements, and Coomoora Springvale South. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Springvale South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Springvale South has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 5.6% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.2%.

As of June 2025, 6,368 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 1.0% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Springvale South lags at 56.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. The area shows high specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share three times the regional level, but lower representation in education & training at 4.1% versus the regional average of 9.2%.

Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force grew by 4.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% and a smaller increase in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Springvale South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.0%% over five years and 11.5% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Springvale South's median taxpayer income was $39,034 and average was $48,213 in financial year 2022. This is lower than the national average, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $43,781 and average $54,076, based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data shows individual incomes at the 8th percentile ($559 weekly) and household incomes at the 36th percentile. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 35.2% of Springvale South's community (4,665 individuals), similar to regional levels at 32.8%. After housing expenses, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Springvale South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Springvale South, as per the latest Census evaluation, 85.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 14.1% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. In comparison, Melbourne metropolitan area had 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Springvale South stood at 39.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.8% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,600, lower than Melbourne's average of $1,800. Median weekly rent in Springvale South was $355, compared to Melbourne's $350. Nationally, Springvale South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Springvale South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.1% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 19.6% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Springvale South faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 19.1%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.3% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 13.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education. Springvale South's five schools have a combined enrollment of 2,968 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 965) with balanced educational opportunities. There are four primary schools and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 22.4 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.5, indicating that the area serves as an educational center for the broader region. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 49 active transport stops in Springvale South, served by a mix of buses. These stops are covered by 10 individual routes, offering 1,941 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 192 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 277 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Springvale South's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Springvale South. Prevalence of common health conditions is very low across all age groups.

Private health cover rate is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,096 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 6.5% and 5.9% of residents respectively. A total of 76.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.1% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 18.2% of residents aged 65 and over (2,406 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Springvale South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Springvale South has a population where 62.2% were born overseas, with 75.4% speaking languages other than English at home. The dominant religion is Buddhism, practiced by 34.8%, compared to 15.2% in Greater Melbourne. The top ancestry groups are Other (29.6%), Vietnamese (20.5%), and Chinese (17.7%).

Vietnamese representation is higher than the regional average of 8.5%. Chinese representation is also higher, at 17.7% compared to the regional average of 10.9%. Some ethnic groups have notable differences: Sri Lankan (0.7% vs 1.8%), Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.4%), and Greek (2.3% vs 3.8%).

Springvale South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Springvale South is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Springvale South has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 13.7% to 14.8%, while the population aged 55-64 has decreased from 12.5% to 11.3%. By 2041, Springvale South's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 49%, reaching 1,191 people from 797. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 70% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 25-34 and 0-4 years.