Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Noble Park North's population is estimated at around 7,634 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 198 people (2.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,436 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,632, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,035 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of national areas is anticipated, with the suburb expected to increase by 139 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 1.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North recorded approximately 13 residential properties approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. From FY-21 to FY-25, around 67 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved in FY-26 so far. Despite a falling population, development activity has been adequate relative to the past period, indicating a positive outlook for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $509,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, $825,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, predominantly focused on residential development. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North has significantly reduced construction activity (53.0% below regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This level is also below national average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 83.0% standalone homes and 17.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Noble Park North's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The location has approximately 490 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area. Future projections estimate Noble Park North will add 137 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Noble Park North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 7 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects are Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently featured. The unemployment rate in the area was 6.0% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.4% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of that date, 3,632 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 1.3% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation in Noble Park North was 60.9%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Based on Census responses, 18.9% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries among Noble Park North residents were health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. The area had a particular specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services had limited presence, with only 6.0% of employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The ratio of 0.6 workers per resident indicated a higher-than-average level of local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment in Noble Park North increased by 4.4%, while labour force grew by 4.5%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Noble Park North. These projections indicate that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Noble Park North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years. However, it is important to note that this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Noble Park North had a median taxpayer income of $44,756 and an average income of $49,569 in financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Greater Melbourne having a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164 during the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $48,448 (median) and $53,658 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023. In 2021 Census figures, individual incomes were at the 11th percentile ($596 weekly), while household income was at the 32nd percentile. Income analysis showed that 34.4% of residents (2,626 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels where this cohort represented 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 83.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noble Park North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North stood at 39.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.4% and rented ones at 26.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,757, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $351, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.0% of all households, consisting of 35.9% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.0%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 28.3% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 18.0%. Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.9% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noble Park North has 44 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 1,266 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 158 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area, with cars being the dominant mode of transport at 90%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 18.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Noble Park North's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Noble Park North's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are at a fairly standard level, seen across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 47% of the total population (3,552 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.0 and 7.0% of residents respectively. 70.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 21.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,610 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has one of the highest percentages of residents speaking a language other than English at home, with 57.8%. Additionally, 53.6% of its population was born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Noble Park North, making up 49.5% of the population.

However, Buddhism is significantly more prevalent here compared to Greater Melbourne's average, comprising 10.4% versus 4.2%. In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is the largest group at 25.0%, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%. English ancestry makes up 12.0%, notably lower than the regional average of 20.1%. Australian ancestry also has a lower representation at 11.3% compared to the regional average of 18.4%. There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, with Serbian at 2.0% (versus 0.4% regionally), Sri Lankan at 2.1% (versus 0.8%), and Greek at 6.4% (versus 2.7%).

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 75-84 age group is notably over-represented in Noble Park North at 8.0%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 12.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 85+ age group has grown from 1.5% to 2.6% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 13.5% to 11.7%. Demographic modeling suggests that Noble Park North's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly, increasing by 148 people (75%) from 198 to 347. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.