Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The population of Noble Park North was estimated at 7,587 as of May 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses. This figure represents an increase of 151 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,436. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 7,574 residents following their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,023 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the suburb.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projected demographic shifts, the suburb is anticipated to experience lower quartile growth compared to national averages. By 2041, Noble Park North's population is expected to increase by 135 persons, reflecting a total gain of 1.6% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Noble Park North recorded around 13 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 67 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved in FY-26 so far. Despite a falling population, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $509,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment. This financial year, Noble Park North recorded $825,000 in commercial development approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North shows substantially reduced construction activity, at 53.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. The area's new development consists of 83.0% standalone homes and 17.0% attached dwellings, maintaining its traditional suburban character focused on family homes.

As of now, there are approximately 490 people per dwelling approval in Noble Park North, reflecting an established area. Future projections estimate the location will add 122 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Noble Park North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to impact this region. Notable projects include Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 6.0% as of an unspecified date, with estimated employment growth of 4.2% over the past year based on AreaSearch data aggregation. As of December 2025, there are 3,664 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 7.1%, which is 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation in Noble Park North is lower at 61.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 18.9% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. The area has a notable specialization in manufacturing with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have limited presence at 6.0%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. There is a ratio of 0.6 workers per resident, indicating local employment opportunities above the norm. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 4.2% while labour force increased by 4.5%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a similar unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Noble Park North had a median taxpayer income of $44,756 and an average income of $49,569 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Melbourne's median income being $57,688 and average income at $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $49,062 (median) and $54,338 (average). In the 2021 Census, individual incomes were at the 11th percentile ($596 weekly), while household income was at the 32nd percentile. Income analysis shows that 34.4% of residents (2,609 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Noble Park North, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North stood at 39.0%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (34.4%) or rented (26.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,757, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $351, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.0% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.0%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 28.3% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 18.0%. Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.9% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noble Park North has 44 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 1,266 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 158 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward, with cars being the dominant mode of transportation at 90%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 18.9% of residents work from home, which may be partly due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per stop.

Noble Park North's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Noble Park North's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area exhibits a standard level of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 47% (around 3,530 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.0%) and asthma (7.0%), while 70.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are generally typical. As of 21-03-2022, the area has 21.1% of residents aged 65 and over (around 1,600 people), which is higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. National rankings for health outcomes among this age group are broadly in line with the general population.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has a population where 57.8% speak languages other than English at home, with 53.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 49.5%. Buddhism is notably higher at 10.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is highest at 25.0%, above the regional average of 14.6%. English ancestry is lower at 12.0% (regional avg: 20.1%), and Australian ancestry is also lower at 11.3% (regional avg: 18.4%). Serbian, Sri Lankan, and Greek ethnicities are notably overrepresented in Noble Park North compared to regional averages.

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, those aged 75-84 are notably over-represented in Noble Park North at 8.0%, while individuals aged 25-34 are under-represented at 13.4%. Between January 2021 and present, the population of those aged 35 to 44 has increased from 13.2% to 14.4%. Conversely, the percentage of those aged 45 to 54 has decreased from 13.5% to 12.0%. By 2041, Noble Park North's age profile is projected to change significantly. The number of individuals aged 85 and above is expected to grow by 73%, from 189 to 329 people. Notably, the combined population of those aged 65 and above will account for 65% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the populations of those aged 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 are expected to decline.