Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the estimated population for Noble Park North is around 7,680. This figure reflects an increase of 244 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,436. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,632 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,048 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, the suburb is expected to increase by 139 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total gain of 1.2% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North has recorded approximately 13 residential properties granted approval annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 67 homes have been approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional three approved so far in FY-26. The population has fallen during this period, but development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which is positive for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $509,000. This financial year, there have been $825,000 in commercial approvals registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North has significantly less development activity, 53.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. The area's development activity is also lower than the national level, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New development consists of 83.0% detached houses and 17.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Noble Park North's suburban nature with a focus on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. There are approximately 490 people per dwelling approval in the location, reflecting an established area. Future projections show Noble Park North adding 91 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Noble Park North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that could impact the region. Notable projects include Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Noble Park North shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 6.0% as of the past year, based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

Employment growth over this period is estimated at 4.1%. As of June 2025, there are 3,666 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 5.0%, which is 1.4% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Noble Park North lags behind Greater Melbourne at 54.8% compared to the regional average of 64.1%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction.

Manufacturing is particularly strong with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level. Professional & technical services have a limited presence with 6.0% employment compared to the regional rate of 10.1%. As at the Census, there are 0.6 workers for each resident, indicating above-normal local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 4.1%, while labour force grew by 4.4%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, and an unemployment increase of 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that national employment could expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix indicates potential local employment growth of 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's median income among taxpayers was $44,756 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $49,569 during the same period. These figures are lower than Greater Melbourne's median and average incomes of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated median income for Noble Park North as of September 2025 is approximately $50,198, with an average income of around $55,597. Census data shows individual incomes were at the 11th percentile ($596 weekly), while household incomes performed better at the 32nd percentile. Income distribution reveals that 34.4% of individuals in Noble Park North earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,641 individuals). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noble Park North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North stood at 39.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.4% and rented ones at 26.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,757, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent figure was $351, similar to Melbourne metro's $350. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.0% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.0%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 28.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (18.0%). Educational participation is high at 28.8%, comprising primary education (8.9%), secondary education (7.7%), and tertiary education (5.5%).

Noble Park North has four schools with a combined enrollment of 1,995 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1018). The educational mix includes one primary, two secondary, and one K-12 school. The area functions as an education hub with 26.0 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 15.4. This attracts students from surrounding communities. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noble Park North has 44 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus routes. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 2010 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents situated an average of 158 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are approximately 287 daily trips and 45 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Noble Park North are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Noble Park North shows below-average health outcomes, with common conditions slightly more prevalent across both younger and older age groups compared to average. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 47% of the total population (~3573 people), significantly lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.0%) and asthma (7.0%), with 70.0% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 75.1% in Greater Melbourne. Residents aged 65 and over constitute 20.7% of the population (1589 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 17.4%.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has one of the highest levels of cultural diversity in Australia, with 57.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 53.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Noble Park North, accounting for 49.5% of the population. However, Buddhism is significantly more prevalent in Noble Park North compared to Greater Melbourne, with 10.4% versus 15.2%.

The top three ancestry groups in Noble Park North are Other at 25.0%, English at 12.0%, and Australian at 11.3%. Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Serbian is overrepresented at 2.0% compared to the regional average of 1.1%, Sri Lankan is also overrepresented at 2.1% versus 1.8%, and Greek is notably higher at 6.4% compared to the regional average of 3.8%.

Noble Park North's median age exceeds the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37, and marginally higher than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Noble Park North at 10.5%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 13.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 13.2% to 14.3% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.5% to 11.5%. Demographic modeling suggests that Noble Park North's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 155 people (an 81% increase) from 192 to 347. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 65% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.