Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Noble Park North statistical area (Lv2) is around 7,634. This figure reflects an increase of 198 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,436. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,632 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,035 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of national areas is anticipated for the Noble Park North (SA2). It is expected to increase by 139 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 1.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Noble Park North recorded around 13 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 67 homes were approved, with an additional 4 so far in FY-26. Despite a fall in population during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $509,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, $825,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North shows substantially reduced construction activity, at 53.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. The area's level of new construction is also below national average, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints.

New development consists of 83.0% standalone homes and 17.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 490 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area. Future projections estimate Noble Park North adding 137 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Noble Park North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to impact the region. Notable ones are Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments. The following details projects likely to have the most relevance:.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.4% over the past year.

There are 3,632 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 54.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. Manufacturing has a particularly high share of employment, at 1.7 times the regional level, while professional & technical services have a limited presence with only 6.0% employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

The area had a ratio of 0.6 workers per resident as at the Census, indicating local employment opportunities above the norm. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.4%, while labour force increased by 4.5%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a slight rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows that Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's median taxpayer income in financial year 2023 was $44,756, with an average of $49,569. This is lower than the national average, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $48,448 and an average of $53,658, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023. In 2021 Census figures, individual incomes were at the 11th percentile ($596 weekly), while household income was at the 32nd percentile. Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.4% of residents (2,626 people), aligning with regional levels where this cohort represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noble Park North's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North was at 39.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.4% and rented ones at 26.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,757, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. Median weekly rent in Noble Park North was $351, similar to Melbourne metro's figure of $350. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.0% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.0%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 28.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (18.0%). Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 8.9% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 44 active stops operating in Noble Park North, serving a mix of buses. These are covered by 14 routes, offering 1,266 weekly passenger trips combined. Accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically 158 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 180 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 28 weekly trips per stop.

Health outcomes in Noble Park North are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Noble Park North shows lower-than-average health outcomes, with common conditions more prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 47%, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis (8%) and asthma (7%). While 70% report no medical ailments, this is lower than Greater Melbourne's 75.1%. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 20.7%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 17.4%.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North, one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, has a population where 57.8% speak languages other than English at home and 53.6% were born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Noble Park North, with 49.5%. Buddhism is notably higher here compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 10.4% versus 15.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.0%), English (12.0%), and Australian (11.3%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Serbian at 2.0% in Noble Park North compared to 1.1% regionally, Sri Lankan at 2.1% versus 1.8%, and Greek at 6.4% against 3.8%.

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is somewhat higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented in Noble Park North at 10.5%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 13.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 13.2% to 14.3% of the population, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.5% to 11.5%. Demographic modeling suggests that Noble Park North's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 156 people (82%) from 190 to 347. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 63% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.