Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of Noble Park North is estimated at around 7,634 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 198 people (2.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,436 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,632 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,035 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, making adjustments using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth is anticipated nationally, with Noble Park North expected to increase by 139 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 1.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North has seen approximately 13 residential properties granted approval annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY21-FY25, around 67 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved so far in FY26. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to the decrease.

Developers target the premium market segment with new dwellings valued at approximately $509,000 on average. This financial year, $825,000 worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne and nationally, Noble Park North has significantly reduced construction levels (53.0% below regional averages per person), typically reinforcing demand and pricing for existing properties due to constrained new construction. The area's maturity is reflected in this level, possibly due to planning constraints. New development consists of 83.0% standalone homes and 17.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Noble Park North's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes.

There are approximately 491 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area. Future projections suggest Noble Park North will add 137 residents by 2041 according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Noble Park North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones are Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.2% over the past year. There were 3,664 residents employed at this time, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation was lower at 61.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. According to Census responses, 18.9% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. The area had a significant specialization in manufacturing with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services had limited presence at 6.0%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. There was a ratio of 0.6 workers per resident, indicating local employment opportunities above the norm. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 4.2% while labour force grew by 4.5%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's median taxpayer income was $44,756 and average income was $49,569 in financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, with Melbourne's median being $57,688 and average $75,164. By September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $48,448 (median) and $53,658 (average), based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. In 2021 Census figures, individual incomes were at the 11th percentile ($596 weekly), while household income was at the 32nd percentile. Income analysis shows that 34.4% of residents (2,626 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.9% of income remaining after expenses, ranking at the 32nd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Noble Park North, as per the latest Census, 89.7% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 10.2% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This is in contrast to Melbourne's metropolitan area where 67.9% of dwellings are houses and 32.1% are other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North stood at 39.0%, with mortgaged properties at 34.4% and rented ones at 26.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,757, lower than the Melbourne metro average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Noble Park North was $351 compared to Melbourne's $390. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.0% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.0%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6 people.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 28.3% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (18.0%). Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.9% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noble Park North has 44 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 1,266 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 158 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, with cars being the dominant mode of transportation at 90%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area. According to the 2021 Census, 18.9% of residents work from home, which may be partly attributed to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Noble Park North's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Noble Park North's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a standard level of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 47% of the total population (around 3,552 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.0% and 7.0% of residents respectively. About 70.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are generally typical. The area has 21.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,626 people), which is higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. National rankings for health indicators are broadly in line with the general population.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has one of the most culturally diverse populations in Australia, with 57.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 53.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 49.5% of the population. Buddhism is notably overrepresented at 10.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is the largest group at 25.0%, higher than the regional average of 14.6%. English ancestry comprises 12.0%, lower than the regional average of 20.1%, and Australian ancestry is also lower at 11.3% compared to the regional average of 18.4%. There are significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, with Serbian at 2.0%, Sri Lankan at 2.1%, and Greek at 6.4%, all higher than their respective regional averages.

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North has an over-representation of the 75-84 age cohort (8.1% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age cohort (12.8%). Between 2021 and present, the population of those aged 35 to 44 grew from 13.2% to 14.3%, while the 85+ cohort increased from 1.5% to 2.6%. Conversely, the 45-54 age cohort declined from 13.5% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Noble Park North's age profile. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 77%, from 198 to 352 people. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.