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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Noble Park has an estimated 34,588 residents, up from 32,257 at the 2021 Census — a change of 2,331 people, or 7.2%. 327 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 89.0% of that increase. That puts 4,036 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Noble Park has an estimated population of approximately 34,588, according to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader ABS demographic updates with post-Census address validations. This marks an expansion of 2,331 people (7.2%) compared to the 2021 Census count of 32,257 people. The estimate builds upon an ERP figure of 34,387 established from the ABS release of June 2025 alongside 327 validated new addresses identified following the Census. Consequently, population density stands at 4,035 persons per square kilometer, positioning the suburb in the top 10% of AreaSearch's national assessments and highlighting the strong demand for local land.
The suburb of Noble Park outperformed the wider SA3 area (7.0%) with its 7.2% rate of expansion since the 2021 census, establishing itself as an area growth benchmark. Recent population increases were largely fueled by overseas arrivals, accounting for roughly 89.0% of total demographic growth. Demographic projections for the suburb of Noble Park rely on SA2 forecasts published by the ABS and Geoscience Australia in 2024 using 2022 baseline figures. For locations lacking this coverage, 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA figures are incorporated via weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 geographic levels, with age-cohort growth rates subsequently applied to all localities between 2032 and 2041. Over the coming years, population gains are expected to track above the national median, adding 4,757 persons by 2041 under aggregated SA2-level modeling, which represents a total rise of 13.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
658 new dwellings have been approved in Noble Park over the past five years, an average of 131 a year. That places the area in the 60th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 4 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 129 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 29% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 97, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
ABS building approval statistics evaluated across statistical areas show that Noble Park registers approximately 131 approved residential dwellings per year, totaling an estimated 658 residential permits over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 97 granted during FY-25 to date. Because the suburb added an average of only 0.9 people per year for every dwelling constructed across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), residential additions are matching or outpacing demand, expanding housing availability and establishing headroom for future demographic expansion. Furthermore, newly constructed residences carry an average estimated construction cost of $417,000, aligning with regional building standards, while $36.6 million in commercial approvals during this financial year underscores ongoing commercial construction strength.
Per capita residential construction in Noble Park sits 10.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period relative to Greater Melbourne, sustaining buyer options while underpinning existing real estate valuations. Recent approvals consist of 29.0% detached houses and 71.0% medium and high-density housing, delivering entry-level affordability that suits downsizers, first-home purchasers, and investors. This pattern marks a distinct evolution from the existing built environment (currently 65.0% houses), underscoring shrinking supplies of broadacre land alongside growing appetite for diverse and budget-friendly dwellings. An approval rate of approximately one permit per 234 people underscores the area's ongoing urban transition. Projected demographic growth indicates Noble Park will gain 4,556 residents through to 2041 relative to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. While local residential building continues to match these projections, prospective purchasers could encounter tighter competition as the community expands.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Noble Park
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 12 current infrastructure and development projects inside Noble Park, worth an estimated $4.59 billion. A further 66 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $15.5 billion. 21 are already under construction and 23 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Community development and economic performance are heavily shaped by local capital works and strategic planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 18 key infrastructure projects influencing the surrounding area, with notable developments including Douglas Apartments, Noble Park Revitalisation, The Woodlands Keysborough, and Noble Park Station and Level Crossing Removal.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Douglas Apartments
A five-storey residential development in Noble Park comprising 97 social housing apartments and 6 ground floor retail tenancies. Delivered in partnership between Cedar Woods Properties, HousingFirst, and the Victorian and Commonwealth Governments, the project will provide 100 percent community housing. Designed by DKO Architecture and constructed by Balmain & Co, it is located adjacent to the Noble Park Railway Station.
Noble Park Revitalisation
$4 million investment from Victorian Government through Office of Suburban Development. Comprehensive suburb revitalisation including streetscape upgrades along Douglas Street and Ian Street, new all-abilities playground, improved pedestrian crossings, enhanced lighting and landscaping, community space improvements, new pocket parks, community centre upgrades, pedestrian improvements, youth employment programs, and trader support initiatives to enhance Noble Park's village character.
EastLink Freeway Noble Park Section
39km tollway connecting the Eastern and Mornington Peninsula Freeways, featuring innovative design with the railway line running in the freeway median through Noble Park. Operated by ConnectEast, owned by Horizon Roads consortium. The freeway serves approximately 250,000 vehicles daily and includes two 1.6km tunnels protecting the Mullum Mullum valley.
The Woodlands Keysborough
Premium development of 42 exclusive double-storey, 3 and 4 bedroom homes by Aultun Group in partnership with Carlisle Homes. Former Keysborough Park Primary School site converted to residential development. Homes back onto peaceful parkside sanctuary with prices ranging from $949,000 to $1,465,000. Master-planned residential community featuring townhouses with sustainable design principles and community facilities.
Noble Park Station and Level Crossing Removal
Elevated rail and new premium Noble Park station completed as part of Caulfield to Dandenong Level Crossing Removal Project. Removed three level crossings at Corrigan, Heatherton and Chandler roads, creating 22.5 hectares of new parkland and open space.
Noble Park Aquatic Centre Redevelopment
Complete redevelopment of the aquatic centre featuring Melbournes largest water slide, modern pool facilities, upgraded change rooms, accessibility improvements and enhanced family amenities.
Ross Reserve Sports Facility Upgrade
Comprehensive upgrade of Ross Reserve including new sports pavilion, synthetic soccer pitch, athletics track resurfacing to World Athletics Class 2 standard, improved lighting, and enhanced facilities for multiple sporting codes such as soccer, athletics, and football.
Roselle Townhomes
Roselle is a boutique residential community of 60 architect-designed two-storey townhomes by SOHO Living in Springvale South. The development offers 2, 3 and 4 bedroom homes with contemporary open-plan layouts, landscaped streetscapes and premium finishes. Construction is underway with homes actively selling and completion targeted for late 2026.
17,334 residents of Noble Park are employed, from a labour force of 18,648. Unemployment sits at 7.0%, with participation at 63.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 27,358, about 79% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Noble Park features an established industrial and manufacturing workforce, with local unemployment recorded at 7.0% and annual employment expanding by an estimated 3.8% based on aggregated statistical area metrics. By March 2026, employed residents reached 17,334, while the local jobless rate sat 2.3% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and the local labour participation rate of 63.9% lagged the metropolitan benchmark of 70.1%. Additionally, Census data indicated that 14.5% of working residents carried out their duties from home, a metric subject to the effects of Covid-19 restrictions. The primary employment sectors for local residents comprise manufacturing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
Industrial manufacturing represents a substantial local concentration, employing residents at 2.3 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 5.7% of workers compared to the broader regional benchmark of 10.1%. Given the relationship between resident workers and local employment positions at the Census, this largely residential district provides comparatively few jobs within its own boundaries. Analysis of ABS and SALM records across statistical areas reveals that over the 12-month period, local employment expanded by 3.8% while the labour pool expanded by 4.3%, leading to an increase of 0.5 percentage points in the jobless rate. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising 0.2 percentage points. Longer-term hiring expectations are detailed in national labour market projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26. Across Australia, workforce size is projected to climb 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying notably across individual industries. Mapping these sector projections onto the resident employment profile indicates local job numbers could rise by 5.7% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation rather than a localized population forecast.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Noble Park is $1,382 a week (about $72,000 a year), with median personal income at $628 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $45,205 a year against an average of $50,103. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxation statistics aggregated at postcode level for financial year 2023 indicate a median taxpayer income of $45,205 and an average of $50,103 in the suburb of Noble Park. These figures trail the national standard and compare against $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average) throughout Greater Melbourne. Incorporating Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023 lifts estimated earnings to $49,554 (median) and $54,923 (average) as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household levels in the 2021 Census, local earnings sit between the 15th and 27th percentiles across the country.
In terms of earnings brackets, 33.1% of residents (11,448 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring the broader metropolitan distribution of 32.8%. With only 81.3% of income remaining after housing costs, local affordability is constrained, placing the area at the 23rd percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Noble Park had 11,073 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 65% detached houses and 19% apartments. 31% are owned with a mortgage, 42% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $341 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,647 a month. Rent absorbs 24.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing stock comprised 65.1% houses and 34.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with the wider metropolitan profile of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings across Melbourne metro. Outright home ownership stood at 27.9%, slightly below metropolitan levels, while 30.5% of homes were being purchased with a mortgage and 41.7% were occupied by tenants. Typical housing expenses remained comparatively affordable: median monthly mortgage repayments were $1,647 compared to $2,000 in Melbourne metro and $1,863 nationally, while median weekly rent was $341 versus $390 in Melbourne metro and $375 across Australia.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Noble Park counted 11,073 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 11,873 today, averaging 2.7 people each. 31% are couples with children, against 21% couples without children. 26% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of local households at 68.2%, comprising couples with children (30.9%), couples without children (21.2%), and single parent families (14.0%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 31.8%, led by lone person households at 26.4% and group households at 5.3%. The typical household contains 2.7 people, exceeding the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
26.2% of adults in Noble Park hold a university qualification, including 17.3% with a bachelor degree and 7.3% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 15.5% hold a vocational qualification. 7 schools serve the area, with 2,993 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 961 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment presents a clear developmental priority, as the proportion of residents holding higher education degrees (26.2%) sits considerably beneath Greater Melbourne's benchmark of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees account for 17.3% of residents, postgraduate qualifications make up 7.3%, and graduate diplomas represent 1.6%. In contrast, vocational and technical training is well represented, with 26.3% of individuals aged 15+ holding practical trade credentials, divided between advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (15.5%). A substantial 29.7% of local inhabitants are currently engaged in formal learning programs. This overall cohort includes 7.8% attending primary school, 6.5% enrolled in secondary school, and 6.3% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Noble Park reaches 87 stops on 17 routes, timetabled for about 6,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 240 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure comprises 87 active transport stops across Noble Park, providing bus connectivity via 17 distinct routes that deliver 6,376 weekly passenger trips. Network coverage is accessible, placing residents an average of 240 meters from their closest transit stop. Given the suburb's residential profile, commuting outward is standard: private vehicles account for 82% of journeys to work, while 11% rely on rail transport. Households maintain an average vehicle ownership rate of 1.2 per dwelling, and 14.5% of workers reported working from home during the 2021 Census under potential pandemic restrictions.
Public transport operations generate an average of 910 daily trips across all active services, delivering approximately 73 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
75.3% of residents in Noble Park report no long-term health condition. 7.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across the community generally align with broader Australian standards, showing low incidence of typical chronic ailments across the wider population, though elevated rates emerge within older, vulnerable age groups. Private medical insurance adoption is notably limited, with approximately 47% of the total population (~16,166 people) maintaining private cover, compared against 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and 55.7% nationally. Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent reported illnesses, affecting 6.1 and 5.8% of residents, respectively, while 75.3% reported no chronic medical conditions whatsoever, exceeding the 72.6% benchmark for Greater Melbourne.
Working-age cohorts maintain strong health profiles with minimal chronic disease, whereas the senior cohort (15.9% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 5,499 people) experiences greater health challenges, ranking somewhat below broader national standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
63.9% of Noble Park residents were born overseas and 68.8% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 97% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Vietnamese (11.5%) and English (10.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is exceptionally pronounced in the locality, where 63.9% of inhabitants were born overseas and 68.8% speak a primary language other than English at home. Christianity forms the most widespread religious affiliation at 34.7% of the populace. Notably, Buddhism exhibits a substantial presence at 19.7%, far exceeding Greater Melbourne's share of 4.2%. Parental heritage records indicate the primary ancestries are Other at 33.8% (contrasting with 14.6% regionally), Vietnamese at 11.5% (against 1.9% regionally), and English at 10.4% (below the metropolitan level of 20.1%). Furthermore, distinct local concentrations include Sri Lankan residents at 1.9% (compared to 0.8% across the region), Serbian at 0.9% (versus 0.4%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (versus 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Noble Park is 35, younger than 76% of areas nationally. 33.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The local population skews younger than the metropolitan standard, with persons aged 25 - 44 representing 35.7% of residents as at August 2026 (compared to 32.1% regionally) and children and young adults aged 0 - 24 making up 28.1% (compared to 30.5% across Greater Melbourne). The estimated median age stands at 35 as at August 2026, remaining identical to the 2021 Census figure and sitting 2 years below the Greater Melbourne median of 37 from that same period. The most visible demographic shift since the Census occurred in the 25 - 44 bracket, rising from 34.5% to 35.7%.
Long-term growth will be led by senior cohorts (65+), which are projected to increase by 2,608 (47%) to reach 8,107 individuals by 2041.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Noble Park
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 12 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 327 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (32,257 at the 2021 Census → 34,588 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21952). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.