Keysborough - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Keysborough - South lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Keysborough - South's population is 16,918 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 1,825 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,093. The increase is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 16,874 in June 2024 and an additional 253 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 714 persons per square kilometer. Keysborough - South's growth rate of 12.1% since the 2021 census exceeds both the SA3 area average (6.8%) and the national average, indicating it as a high-growth region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 58.1% to this population increase, with other factors such as natural growth and interstate migration also playing positive roles.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting them using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these trends, Keysborough - South is forecasted to experience significant population growth in the top quartile of national areas, with an expected increase of 5,848 persons by 2041 and a total increase of 34.3% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Keysborough - South when compared nationally

Keysborough - South has granted approximately 130 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 651 homes. As of FY26, four approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.9 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating high demand outpacing supply. The average construction cost of new homes is $287,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options.

In FY26, $1.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Keysborough - South records 136.0% more new home approvals per capita. Currently, 73.0% of new building activity involves townhouses or apartments, a significant shift from the current housing mix of 89.0% houses. This change reflects reduced development site availability and shifting lifestyle demands. The area's estimated population density is 1676 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, Keysborough - South is projected to grow by 5,804 residents.

Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Keysborough - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Perry Road Construction and Widening - Stage 3, Keysborough South Residential Precinct, Keysborough Community Hub, and Aspire Keysborough. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Keysborough - South positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Keysborough - South has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 2.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.7%. As of June 2025, 9,844 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2% and workforce participation at 71.7%. Key industries include manufacturing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Manufacturing employment is particularly high, at 1.9 times the regional average.

Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 6.6% compared to the regional average of 9.2%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.7%, labour force grew by 4.4%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.7 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% with unemployment rising by 0.5 percentage points over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keysborough - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Keysborough - South's median income among taxpayers was $50,828 in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $60,884 during the same period. For Greater Melbourne, the median and average incomes were $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. By September 2025, estimated current incomes would be approximately $57,009 (median) and $68,287 (average), considering a 12.16% growth in wages since financial year 2022. Based on the 2021 Census, Keysborough - South's household incomes ranked at the 91st percentile ($2,493 weekly). Income distribution shows that 37.3% of residents (6,310 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to regional levels where 32.8% fall into this bracket. Notably, 38.0% of Keysborough - South's residents earn over $3,000 weekly, indicating significant affluence that supports premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 17.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 88th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Keysborough - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Keysborough - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.2% houses and 10.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keysborough - South was at 20.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.5% and rented ones at 16.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,478, higher than Melbourne metro's $1,800. Median weekly rent in Keysborough - South was $520, compared to Melbourne metro's $350. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375.

Keysborough - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.2% of all households, composed of 59.7% couples with children, 18.3% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.8%, with lone person households at 7.8% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, which exceeds the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Keysborough - South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Keysborough - South is high, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 26.7% in the SA3 area and 29.8% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 25.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 9.6% and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational pathways account for 22.4% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 11.3%. Educational participation is notable, with 33.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 7.1% pursuing tertiary education. There are nine schools operating within Keysborough - South, educating approximately 7,580 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1084. The educational mix includes one primary school and eight K-12 schools. The area functions as an education hub with 45.0 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 15.5, attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Keysborough - South indicates 44 operational transport stops. These are served by buses via 10 distinct routes, facilitating a total of 2,472 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 254 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 353 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 56 weekly trips per individual stop.

Keysborough - South's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Keysborough - South demonstrates excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Approximately 50% (~8,459 people) have private health cover, lower than Greater Melbourne's 47.5%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

Asthma and diabetes are most prevalent, affecting 6.0% and 4.2%, respectively. Around 82.2% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 75.1%. The area has 9.2% (1,553 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 17.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Keysborough - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Keysborough-South is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 55.2% of its population born overseas and 65.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Keysborough-South as of the latest census data is Christianity, comprising 35.3% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented in Keysborough-South compared to Greater Melbourne, with 18.2% versus 15.2%.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups in Keysborough-South are Other at 26.5%, Chinese at 19.4% (substantially higher than the regional average of 10.9%), and Australian at 8.7%. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is overrepresented at 3.2% compared to the regional average of 1.8%, Vietnamese is marginally higher at 8.4% versus 8.5%, and Indian is slightly above the regional average at 8.2% versus 6.2%.

Keysborough - South hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Keysborough - South's median age was 35 years in an unspecified period, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's 37 and the national average of 38. The 5-14 age group made up 14.8%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage. The 25-34 cohort stood at 13.7%. Between 2021 and an unspecified later period, the 65 to 74 age group increased from 5.1% to 6.0%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 cohort decreased from 7.3% to 5.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant changes in Keysborough - South demographics. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to rise by 1,303 people (52%) from 2,497 to 3,801. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort is expected to grow by a modest 7% (63 people).