Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Noble Park North's population is around 7,653 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 197 people (2.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,456 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,651 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,035 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 72.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated, with the area expected to grow by 139 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 1.8% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North has seen around 13 new homes approved each year, totalling 67 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 4 approvals have been recorded. As the area has experienced population decline, development activity has been adequate in relative terms, which is a positive for buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $366,000. There have also been $825,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

When measured against Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North shows substantially reduced construction (53.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. This activity is similarly below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% town 자체적으로 ownhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 497 people per dwelling approval, Noble Park North shows a developed market.

Population forecasts indicate Noble Park North will gain 137 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Noble Park North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 7 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North features a skilled workforce, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 6.0%, and 4.1% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 3,674 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.3% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation lags significantly (61.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 18.8% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. The area has a particular employment specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical services employ just 6.0% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The ratio of 0.6 workers for each resident, as at the Census, indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.1% while the labour force increased by 4.5%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Noble Park North. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Noble Park North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Noble Park North SA2 is lower than average on a national basis, with the median assessed at $47,627 while the average income stands at $52,461. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $51,556 (median) and $56,789 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows individual incomes lag at the 11th percentile ($597 weekly), while household income performs better at the 32nd percentile. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.5% of residents (2,640 people), aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 33rd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Noble Park North, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Noble Park North was higher than that of Melbourne metro, at 39.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (34.1%) or rented (26.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Melbourne metro average at $1,759, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $351, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 75.3% of all households, comprising 35.9% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.7%, with lone person households at 21.6% and group households comprising 3.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (24.2%) substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (17.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 45 active transport stops operating within Noble Park North, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 14 individual routes, collectively providing 1,266 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 156 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 90%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. Some 18.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Noble Park North is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Noble Park North demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~3,505 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.0% and 7.0% of residents, respectively, while 70.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 21.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,611 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 57.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 53.6% born overseas. The main religion in Noble Park North is Christianity, which makes up 49.5% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Buddhism, which comprises 10.3% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Noble Park North are Other, comprising 25.0% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, English, comprising 12.0% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 20.1%, and Australian, comprising 11.4% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 18.4%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Serbian is notably overrepresented at 2.0% of Noble Park North (vs 0.4% regionally), Sri Lankan at 2.1% (vs 0.8%) and Greek at 6.4% (vs 2.7%).

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

With a median age of 40, Noble Park North is somewhat higher than the Greater Melbourne figure of 37 and similarly marginally higher than Australia's 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 75 - 84 cohort is notably over-represented (8.0% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (12.8%). In the period since 2021, the 85+ age group has grown from 1.5% to 2.6% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 13.2% to 14.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.5% to 11.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Noble Park North's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 149 people (75%) from 199 to 349. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.