Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's population is approximately 7,699 as of November 2025. Between the 2021 Census and this period, there has been an increase of 243 people, representing a growth rate of 3.3%. This rise is inferred from ABS estimates: the resident population was 7,456 in 2021, then grew to approximately 7,651 by June 2024, with an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. The resulting population density is around 2,047 persons per square kilometer, higher than average national levels assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration accounted for roughly 72.2% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted via weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends suggest lower quartile growth for statistical areas nationwide. By 2041, Noble Park North is projected to grow by approximately 139 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of around 1.2% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North has seen around 13 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years, totalling 67 homes. So far in FY2026, 3 approvals have been recorded. The area's population decline has resulted in adequate development activity relative to other areas, which is positive for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $366,000.

There have also been $825,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. When measured against Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North shows substantially reduced construction levels, with 53.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. The area's construction activity is also under the national average, suggesting its established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining Noble Park North's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 497 people per dwelling approval, the area shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate Noble Park North will gain 91 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Noble Park North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to impact the region. Notable projects include Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate in the area was 6.0% as of September 2025, compared to Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.4%. As of September 2025, 3,642 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 7.3%, which is 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation in Noble Park North lagged behind Greater Melbourne's rate, at 54.8%. Key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction.

Manufacturing had an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical services employed only 6.0% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The ratio of 0.6 workers per resident indicated a higher-than-average level of local employment opportunities at the time of the Census. Over the year to September 2025, employment in Noble Park North increased by 4.4%, while labour force increased by 4.5%. Unemployment remained essentially unchanged during this period. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, and an unemployment rate increase of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov showed that Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs. The state's unemployment rate was 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Victoria's employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, covering five and ten-year periods starting May-25, projected overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years. These projections were based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and did not take into account localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Noble Park North SA2 had a median income of $44,832 and an average income of $49,653. This is lower than the national averages of $54,892 (median) and $73,761 (average). In Greater Melbourne, the median income was $54,892 and the average was $73,761. Based on a 12.16% increase in wages since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $50,284 (median) and $55,691 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, individual incomes were at the 11th percentile ($597 weekly), while household incomes performed better at the 32nd percentile. The income distribution shows that 34.5% of residents earned between $1,500 and $2,999 (2,656 people), similar to the surrounding region where this group also represented 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 84.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 33rd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Noble Park North, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 27 August 2016, comprised 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North was at 39.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (34.1%) or rented (26.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,759, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $351. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, as reported on 14 April 2021, while rents are less than the national figure of $375, also reported on that date.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.3% of all households, consisting of 35.9% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.7%, with lone person households making up 21.6% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (17.8%). Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 8.9% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noble Park North has 45 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 2010 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located 156 meters from their nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 287 trips per day, resulting in approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Noble Park North's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Noble Park North's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen at a fairly standard level across both young and old age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 46% of the total population (~3,549 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.0 and 7.0% of residents respectively. 70.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.1% across Greater Melbourne. 20.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,592 people), which is higher than the 17.4% in Greater Melbourne. This aligns with the general population's health profile.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has a population where 57.8% speak a language other than English at home, with 53.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Noble Park North, accounting for 49.5% of its population. Buddhism, however, is more prevalent here compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 10.3% versus 15.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.0%), English (12.0%), and Australian (11.4%). Notably, Serbian (2.0%) and Sri Lankan (2.1%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Noble Park North compared to regional averages of 1.1% and 1.8%, respectively. Greek ethnicity is also notably higher at 6.4%.

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North has a notably higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (10.5% locally) but fewer individuals aged 25-34 (13.1%). Between 2021 and the present, the age group of 35 to 44 years has increased from 13.2% to 14.3%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 13.5% to 11.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Noble Park North's age profile. The number of residents aged 85 and above is expected to grow by 156 people (an increase of 81%), reaching a total of 349 individuals. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 65% of the population growth in the area, reflecting its aging demographic trend. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.