Noble Park North
Statistical Area - sa2

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 7,699. This figure represents an increase of 243 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,456. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 7,651 residents in June 2024 and 18 new addresses validated after the census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,047 persons per square kilometer, higher than national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.2% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For uncovered areas, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are utilized, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas until 2041. Future demographic trends suggest lower quartile growth nationwide. Noble Park North is expected to grow by 139 persons by 2041, a 1.2% increase over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North has seen approximately ten new homes approved annually. Development approval data from the ABS covers five financial years from FY20 to FY25, totalling 53 approvals, with none recorded so far in FY26. Population decline during this period indicates that new supply likely met demand, providing good options for buyers, with an average dwelling value of $509,000. This year has seen $825,000 in commercial development approvals, suggesting a primarily residential focus.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North shows significantly reduced construction activity (54.0% below the regional average per person), supporting stronger demand and values for established properties. The area's activity is also below the national average, indicating its established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Noble Park North's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suitable for buyers seeking space. With around 497 people per dwelling approval, the area shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate an increase of 91 residents by 2041.

Current construction levels should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth beyond current projections.

Noble Park North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified seven projects that may impact the region. Notable projects are Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, The Woodlands Keysborough, and Douglas Apartments. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 6.1% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%. As of June 2025, 3,676 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.4% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation was significantly lower at 54.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction.

Manufacturing had a particularly high share of employment at 1.7 times the regional level. Professional & technical services employed only 6.0% of local workers, lower than Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The ratio of 0.6 workers per resident indicated higher-than-average local employment opportunities as of the Census. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force grew by 4.4%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, with unemployment rising by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 showed Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 projected national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's median assessed income in financial year 2022 was $44,832. The average income stood at $49,653 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, estimated median income as of March 2025 is approximately $49,365, with the average being around $54,673. According to Census 2021 data, individual incomes in Noble Park North were at the 11th percentile ($597 weekly), while household incomes were at the 33rd percentile. Income distribution showed that 34.5% of residents (2,656 people) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represented 32.8%. Housing affordability was severe, with only 84.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 33rd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noble Park North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North stood at 39.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.1% and rented ones at 26.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,759, below Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. The median weekly rent was $351, similar to Melbourne metro's figure of $350. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.3% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.7%, with lone person households at 21.6% and group households making up 3.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, substantially lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 17.8%. Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 8.9% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

The area has four schools with a combined enrollment of 1,995 students, offering balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1018). It functions as an education hub with 25.9 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 15.5, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis conducted in Noble Park North indicates 45 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops facilitate a mix of bus services, with 14 individual routes providing a combined total of 2,010 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to public transport is rated excellent, with residents typically situated 156 meters from their nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 287 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Noble Park North's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Noble Park North's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level.

The rate of private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 46% of the total population (3,549 people). This compares to a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.0% and 7.0% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 70.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.1% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 20.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,592 people), which is higher than the 17.4% in Greater Melbourne. This aligns broadly with the general population's health profile.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has one of the highest levels of cultural diversity in Australia, with 57.8% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 53.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Noble Park North, comprising 49.5% of the population. Buddhism, however, is more prevalent in Noble Park North compared to Greater Melbourne, with 10.3% vs 15.2%.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Other (25.0%), English (12.0%), and Australian (11.4%). Some ethnic groups have notable differences in representation: Sri Lankan at 2.1% compared to 1.8%, Serbian at 2.0% vs 1.1%, and Greek at 6.4% vs 3.8%.

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is somewhat higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented in Noble Park North at 10.5%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 13.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 13.2% to 14.3% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.5% to 11.5%. Demographic modeling suggests that Noble Park North's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 156 people (an increase of 81%) from 192 to 349. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 65% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.