Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's population is 7,606 as of May 2026. This shows an increase of 150 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,456. The growth is inferred from ABS' June 2025 estimated resident population of 7,593 and 17 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 2,022 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.2% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For uncovered areas, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends suggest lower quartile growth nationwide; Noble Park North is expected to grow by 136 persons by 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 1.6% over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North has seen approximately 13 new home approvals annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals to 67 homes approved during this period. As of July 2021, 11 approvals have been recorded in the current financial year, FY-26. Despite experiencing population decline, Noble Park North's development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, which is positive for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value for new homes in the area is $366,000. In terms of commercial development, there have been $825,000 in approvals during FY-26, indicating minimal activity compared to residential development. When comparing Noble Park North's construction levels with Greater Melbourne, it shows a 53.0% reduction per person, suggesting limited new supply which generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. This activity is also below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining Noble Park North's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With approximately 497 people per dwelling approval, Noble Park North shows a developed market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, population forecasts indicate that Noble Park North will gain around 123 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Noble Park North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 37thth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones are Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments. The following details projects deemed most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.1%.

As of that date, 3,674 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation in Noble Park North was 61.6%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 18.8% of residents worked from home, with Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. Key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction.

Noble Park North had a particular specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Professional & technical services employed only 6.0% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The ratio of 0.6 workers per resident indicated above-average local employment opportunities as of the Census date. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.1%, while labour force increased by 4.5%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a similar increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that Noble Park North SA2 has lower income than the national average. The median income is $47,627 and the average income is $52,461. In contrast, Greater Melbourne has a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimates as of March 2026 would be approximately $52,209 (median) and $57,508 (average). Census 2021 income data shows individual incomes are at the 11th percentile ($597 weekly), while household incomes are at the 32nd percentile. Distribution data shows that 34.5% of residents (2,624 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Noble Park North SA2, with only 84.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 33rd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noble Park North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North stood at 39.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.1% and rented ones at 26.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,759, lower than the Melbourne metro average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Noble Park North was $351, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.3% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.7%, with lone person households at 21.6% and group households making up 3.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (17.8%). Educational participation is high at 28.6%, comprising primary education (8.9%), secondary education (7.6%), and tertiary education (5.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noble Park North has 45 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 1,266 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically residing just 156 metres from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 90% of residents. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.8% of residents work from home, which may be partially attributed to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 180 trips daily, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Noble Park North is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Noble Park North shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low in the area, with approximately 46% (~3,483 people) having it, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.0% and 7.0% of residents respectively. 70.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. The area has 20.8% (1,583 people) of residents aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%, but ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has one of the highest levels of cultural diversity in the country, with 57.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 53.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Noble Park North, comprising 49.5% of the population. However, Buddhism is significantly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's average, making up 10.3% of Noble Park North's population.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is the largest group at 25.0%, substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%. English ancestry comprises 12.0%, notably lower than the regional average of 20.1%. Australian ancestry also has a lower representation at 11.4% compared to the regional average of 18.4%. There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, with Serbian at 2.0% (vs regional 0.4%), Sri Lankan at 2.1% (vs regional 0.8%), and Greek at 6.4% (vs regional 2.7%).

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North has an over-representation of the 75-84 age cohort (7.9% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (13.3%). Between 2021 and present, the population aged 35 to 44 grew from 13.2% to 14.3%, while those aged 45 to 54 declined from 13.5% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Noble Park North's age profile. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 75%, increasing from 187 to 328 people. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will contribute to 63% of total population growth. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are projected to decrease in population size.