Noble Park North
Statistical Area - sa2

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's population was 7,456 as of August 2021. By June 2024, it had increased to an estimated 7,651, reflecting a growth of 243 people (3.3%) since the 2021 Census. This increase is attributed to overseas migration contributing approximately 72.2% of overall population gains and 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 2,047 persons per square kilometer as of June 2024. AreaSearch projects Noble Park North's population to grow by 139 persons by 2041, a gain of 1.2% over the 17 years based on latest population numbers and adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North has seen approximately 13 new home approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 67 homes. In FY2026 so far, there has been one approval recorded. The area has experienced population decline but development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, which is positive for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $509,000.

There have also been commercial approvals totalling $825,000 in FY2026, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Melbourne. Noble Park North shows substantially reduced construction compared to the regional average per person (53.0% below). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. The area's construction activity is also under the national average, suggesting its established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining Noble Park North's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 497 people per dwelling approval, the area shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate Noble Park North will gain 91 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Noble Park North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and The Woodlands Keysborough. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.1% as of an unspecified past year.

Employment growth over the previous year was estimated at 4.2%. As of June 2025, there were 3,676 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 7.5%, which is 2.9 percentage points higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Noble Park North was 54.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction.

Manufacturing employs a significantly higher proportion of local workers compared to the regional level, with an employment share of 1.7 times the norm. Conversely, professional & technical services employ only 6.0% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The ratio of 0.6 workers per resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above average. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while the labour force grew by 4.4%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a corresponding increase in unemployment of 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Noble Park North has lower incomes compared to national averages. The median income is $44,832 and the average is $49,653. In contrast, Greater Melbourne has a median income of $54,892 and an average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $50,284 (median) and $55,691 (average). Census 2021 income data indicates individual incomes are at the 11th percentile ($597 weekly), while household incomes are at the 33rd percentile. The income distribution shows that 34.5% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 (2,656 people). This aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort represents 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 33rd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noble Park North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North stood at 39.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.1% and rented ones at 26.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,759, lower than Melbourne metro's $1,800. The median weekly rent was $351, similar to Melbourne metro's $350. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,759 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $351 compared to the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.3 percent of all households, including 35.9 percent couples with children, 23.3 percent couples without children, and 13.5 percent single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.7 percent, with lone person households at 21.6 percent and group households comprising 3.2 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges with university qualification rates at 24.2%, substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 5.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 17.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.9% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education. Noble Park North's 4 schools have a combined enrollment reaching 1,995 students while the area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1018) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes 1 primary, 2 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. The area functions as an education hub with 25.9 school places per 100 residents – significantly above the regional average of 15.5 – attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noble Park North has 45 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 2010 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents on average being located 156 metres from the nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 287 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Noble Park North's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Noble Park North's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level.

The rate of private health cover is extremely low, approximately 46% of the total population (~3,549 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.0 and 7.0% of residents respectively. 70.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.1% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 20.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,592 people), which is higher than the 17.4% in Greater Melbourne. This is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has one of the highest cultural diversities in Australia, with 57.8% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 53.6% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Noble Park North, comprising 49.5% of the population. Buddhism, however, is significantly more prevalent in Noble Park North compared to Greater Melbourne, with 10.3% versus 15.2%.

The top three ancestry groups based on parental country of birth are Other (25.0%), English (12.0%), and Australian (11.4%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Sri Lankan is overrepresented at 2.1% compared to the regional average of 1.8%, Serbian at 2.0% versus 1.1%, and Greek at 6.4% compared to 3.8%.

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Noble Park North at 10.5%, while the 25-34 age cohort is under-represented at 13.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 13.2% to 14.3% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort has declined from 13.5% to 11.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Noble Park North's age profile will change significantly. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 156 people (an 81% increase) from 192 to 349. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 65% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.