Noble Park North

Noble Park North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Noble Park North's population was 7,456 as of the 2021 Census. By Feb 2026, it had increased to around 7,653, a rise of 197 people (2.6%). This growth is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 7,651 in June 2024 and 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 2,035 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.2% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For uncovered areas, it employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 139 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 1.8% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Noble Park North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Noble Park North has seen approximately 13 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 67 homes. As of FY26, there have been 4 approvals recorded. Despite population decline in the area, development activity has been adequate relative to other regions, which is positive for buyers. The average expected construction cost value for new homes is $366,000.

There have also been $825,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential development. When measured against Greater Melbourne, Noble Park North shows substantially reduced construction levels, with 53.0% fewer approvals per person than the regional average. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. The area's development activity is also under the national average, indicating its established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 80.0% standalone homes and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 497 people per dwelling approval, Noble Park North shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate that Noble Park North will gain 137 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Noble Park North has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects potentially impacting the region. Notable projects include Liege Avenue Childcare Centre, RACV Noble Park Redevelopment, Silverton Noble Park North, and Douglas Apartments. The following details projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Noble Park North has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Noble Park North's workforce is skilled with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominent. Unemployment in September 2025 was 6.0%, with an estimated employment growth of 4.4% over the past year. As of this date, 3,642 residents were employed while unemployment stood at 7.3%, 1.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was 60.9%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 18.8% of residents worked from home. Key industries included health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. Manufacturing employment share was 1.7 times the regional level.

Professional & technical employed just 6.0% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The worker-to-resident ratio was 0.6, indicating above-norm local employment opportunities. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 4.4%, labour force by 4.5%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Noble Park North's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Noble Park North SA2 had lower incomes than national averages. The median income was $47,627 and the average was $52,461. In contrast, Greater Melbourne had a median income of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $51,556 (median) and $56,789 (average). Census 2021 data shows individual incomes were at the 11th percentile ($597 weekly), while household incomes were at the 32nd percentile. Income distribution showed that 34.5% of residents earned between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,640 people). Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 84.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 33rd percentile.

Noble Park North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Noble Park North's dwellings, as per the latest Census report (2016), consisted of 89.8% houses and 10.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Noble Park North stood at 39.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.1% and rented ones at 26.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,759, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent was $351, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Noble Park North's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Noble Park North has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.3% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.7%, with lone person households at 21.6% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational attainment in Noble Park North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (16.5%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (17.8%). Educational participation is high, with 28.6% currently enrolled in formal education: 8.9% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Noble Park North has 45 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 1,266 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing 156 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most residents commute outwards, primarily using cars at a rate of 90%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 18.8% of residents work from home, which may be partly due to COVID-19 conditions.

The average service frequency across all routes is 180 trips per day, resulting in approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Noble Park North is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Noble Park North shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low in the area, with approximately 46% of the total population (~3,505 people) having it, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (8.0%) and asthma (7.0%), while 70.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are generally typical. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 21.1% (1,611 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.1%, but ranks lower nationally than the broader population.

Noble Park North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Noble Park North has one of the highest percentages of residents speaking a language other than English at home, with 57.8%. It also has a high proportion of overseas-born residents, at 53.6%. Christianity is the predominant religion in Noble Park North, accounting for 49.5% of its population.

Buddhism is significantly more prevalent here compared to Greater Melbourne, with 10.3% versus 4.2%. In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is the most represented group at 25.0%, which is higher than the regional average of 14.6%. English ancestry is lower than average at 12.0%, while Australian ancestry is also below average at 11.4%. Notably, Serbian (2.0% vs 0.4%), Sri Lankan (2.1% vs 0.8%), and Greek (6.4% vs 2.7%) ethnic groups are overrepresented in Noble Park North compared to regional averages.

Noble Park North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Noble Park North has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, Noble Park North has an over-representation of the 75-84 age cohort (8.0% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (12.8%). Between 2021 and present, the 85+ age group grew from 1.5% to 2.6% of the population, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 13.2% to 14.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 13.5% to 11.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Noble Park North's age profile. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 149 people (75%), from 199 to 349. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.