Notting Hill

Population growth drivers in Notting Hill are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Notting Hill statistical area (Lv2) is around 4,461 people. This reflects a growth of 1,566 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,895 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 4,424 following examination of ABS data released in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,805 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Notting Hill (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 54.1% between the 2021 Census and Nov 2025, exceeding both the national average of 9.7% and the state's growth rate. The primary driver of population growth in the area was overseas migration during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 and adjusts them using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Future population trends predict exceptional growth for the Notting Hill (SA2), placing it in the top 10 percent of national statistical areas. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by an additional 1,928 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 28.8% over the 17-year period from Nov 2025.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Notting Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Notting Hill had around 8 dwellings receiving development approval per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 42 homes. So far in FY-26, 8 approvals have been recorded. This results in approximately 11.4 people moving to the area for each dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating supply lagging demand. New properties are constructed at an average value of $508,000, demonstrating a focus on premium segment upmarket properties.

In FY-26, $530,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Notting Hill has significantly less development activity (52.0% below regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also lower than nationally, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 25.0% detached houses and 75.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers, marking a shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 45.0% houses). The location has approximately 605 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Looking ahead, Notting Hill is expected to grow by 1,283 residents through to 2041, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and supporting price increases if current development rates continue.

Looking ahead, Notting Hill is expected to grow by 1,283 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Notting Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified eight infrastructure projects that could significantly impact the local area. Key projects include the Monash University Campus Development Projects, Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station, Monash University Clayton Campus Student Accommodation, and Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

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Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Notting Hill had a lower than average national income level according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $45,967 and the average income stood at $57,257. These figures compared to Greater Melbourne's of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $49,759 (median) and $61,981 (average). Census data showed household, family and personal incomes all ranked modestly in Notting Hill, between the 30th and 39th percentiles. The data revealed that 34.7% of the population (1,547 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 32.8% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 80.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Notting Hill features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Notting Hill's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 45.0% houses and 54.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Melbourne metro had 69.6% houses and 30.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Notting Hill was at 21.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.6% and rented ones at 50.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,876, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,383. Median weekly rent stood at $371, compared to Melbourne metro's $440. Nationally, Notting Hill's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Notting Hill features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 59.1% of all households, including 22.0% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 40.9%, with lone person households at 29.8% and group households comprising 11.7%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Educational achievement in Notting Hill places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Notting Hill is notably high with 55.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to the SA4 region's 29.8% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 19.0% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 8.9%. Educational participation is high, with 39.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including tertiary education (22.2%), primary education (6.5%), and secondary education (4.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 39.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 22.2% in tertiary education, 6.5% in primary education, and 4.5% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Notting Hill has 16 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 12 different routes, offering a total of 2002 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 286 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 286 bus trips daily across all routes, which amounts to about 125 weekly trips per individual stop.

Notting Hill's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health outcomes data for Notting Hill shows low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 50% (~2,209 people) have private health cover, compared to 54.2% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (6.5%) and mental health issues (6.2%).

About 79.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 75.3% in Greater Melbourne. Notting Hill has 6.8% (303 people) aged 65 and over, lower than the 17.5% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

Notting Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Notting Hill, one of the most culturally diverse areas in the country, has 58.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 62.2% of Notting Hill's residents were found to have been born abroad. Christianity is the main religion in Notting Hill, comprising 29.9% of people.

Notably, Buddhism makes up 13.4% of the population, higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 7.9%. In terms of ancestry, Chinese comprise 22.1%, Other 20.8%, and English 13.1% of Notting Hill's population. Sri Lankan residents are notably overrepresented at 3.6%, compared to the regional average of 2.1%. Indian residents stand at 6.9%, slightly higher than the regional average of 6.8%. Vietnamese residents comprise 3.1%, higher than the regional average of 1.9%.

Notting Hill hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Notting Hill in 2021 was 26 years, which is notably lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and younger than the Australian median of 38. The 15-24 age cohort was over-represented at 34.5% locally compared to Greater Melbourne's average, while the 45-54 year-olds were under-represented at 7.3%. This concentration of young adults in Notting Hill is well above the national average of 12.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows a decrease in median age from 30 to 26, indicating a shift towards a younger demographic. Specifically, the 15-24 age group grew from 20.1% to 34.5%, while the 45-54 cohort declined from 8.9% to 7.3%. The population forecasts for Notting Hill in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow steadily, expanding by 602 people (49%) from 1,222 to 1,825.