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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Notting Hill has an estimated 4,764 residents, up from 2,895 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,869 people, or 64.6%. Growth has averaged 6.6% a year over five years, faster than 98% of areas nationally. Overseas migration accounts for 100.0% of that increase. That puts 2,996 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the population of the suburb of Notting Hill is approximated at 4,764, according to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader ABS demographic releases with validated post-Census address additions. This represents an expansion of 1,869 people (64.6%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 2,895 people. This estimate builds upon the ABS June 2025 ERP release establishing a resident population of 4,723, alongside 20 validated new addresses identified since the Census. Consequently, population density stands at 2,996 persons per square kilometer, positioning the suburb in the upper quartile across nationally evaluated locations.
Expanding by 64.6% since the 2021 census, the suburb of Notting Hill significantly outpaced both the state benchmark of 9.5% and the national figure, establishing itself as a regional growth frontrunner. Recent population expansion was overwhelmingly driven by overseas migration, serving as virtually the exclusive source of demographic gains. Projections for the suburb of Notting Hill utilise 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia models pegged to 2022 as the base year at the SA2 level. Where coverage requires, these are supplemented by 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA projections converted to SA2 scales via weighted growth aggregation, with age-specific rates applied across all areas between 2032 and 2041. Based on these aggregated SA2-level outlooks, the suburb of Notting Hill is projected to record substantial demographic expansion in the top quartile of nationally assessed locations, adding 1,764 persons to 2041 and representing an overall growth of 36.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
54 new dwellings have been approved in Notting Hill over the past five years, an average of 10 a year. That places the area in the 55th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 2 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 13, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch shows that approximately 10 new residential dwellings receive approval annually in Notting Hill, amounting to an estimated 54 homes approved across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 13 approved to date in FY-25. Over this same period between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 27.7 new residents per year have arrived per newly constructed dwelling, creating an environment where demand substantially outstrips new supply, putting upward pressure on property prices and intensifying buyer competition. Newly approved homes reflect an average construction value of $569,000, sitting moderately above regional averages and pointing to a standard of high-quality construction.
On the non-residential front, commercial approvals of $530,000 have been lodged this financial year, reflecting modest commercial construction activity. Per capita residential construction in Notting Hill remains subdued relative to Greater Melbourne, tracking 59.0% below regional average per person. Although construction volume has gained momentum recently, this ongoing scarcity of new additions tends to reinforce pricing and buyer interest across existing dwellings. Activity is likewise below national benchmarks, signalling an established market with potential urban planning constraints. Higher-density options dominate new construction, with townhouses or apartments comprising 70.0% of approvals compared to 30.0% standalone homes, offering accessible price points well-suited to first-home buyers, investors, and downsizers. A ratio of approximately 366 people per dwelling approval further highlights the mature nature of the local market. According to the latest quarterly estimates from AreaSearch, Notting Hill is forecast to add 1,723 residents through to 2041. Should current construction tempos persist, residential supply may struggle to keep pace with demographic inflows, which could heighten competition across the market and support future price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Notting Hill
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Notting Hill, worth an estimated $32.3 billion. A further 107 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $84.2 billion. 29 are already under construction and 34 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure investments, planning initiatives, and major works play a foundational role in shaping an area's trajectory. AreaSearch has highlighted a total of 7 projects with substantial relevance to the local environment. Notable undertakings include Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station, Monash University Clayton Campus Student Accommodation, Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment, and Victorian Heart Hospital, with key project particulars detailed below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station
An underground twin-platform metro station being built around 20 metres beneath Monash University's Clayton campus, on land north of Normanby Road at the corner of Howleys Road in Notting Hill. The station is one of six on the 26km SRL East line connecting Cheltenham to Box Hill via Monash and Deakin universities. The precinct will include a southern entrance opening towards the university, a northern entrance with an integrated bus interchange off Howleys Road, taxi bays, accessible pick-up and drop-off areas, undercover bicycle parking, retail tenancies, and new pedestrian and cycling links.As of 2026 the worksite is established with site offices and parking in place, network support facilities are advancing, and diaphragm wall construction is underway ahead of station box excavation.
New Clayton Campus Student Accommodation
New student accommodation being developed in the North East Precinct of the Clayton campus, alongside College Walk and north of Jock Marshall Reserve. Designed by Jackson Clements Burrows, the hybrid cross-laminated timber project features a 252-bed hall to enhance the on-campus living experience and expand capacity for Monash University students. Construction commenced in February 2026.
HomeCo. Brandon Park Redevelopment
A multi-stage transformation of the Brandon Park sub-regional shopping centre into a modern daily-needs retail and community hub. Stage One commenced June 2025 with relocation of Chemist Warehouse, new travelator connections and reconfigured specialty tenancies. Stage Two involves improved mall linkages between Coles and ALDI with upgraded entries and new specialty stores. Stage Three delivers a new full-line Woolworths and rooftop retail and dining precinct. The approved mixed-use component (TPA/52240) adds a 7-storey building including medical centre, retail, office space and 103 serviced apartments within the northern portion of the site on Brandon Park Drive.
Brandon Park Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Approved mixed-use redevelopment of the Brandon Park Shopping Centre. The project includes partial demolition and the construction of a 7-storey building featuring a medical centre, retail spaces, offices, and serviced apartments, alongside a 9-storey residential apartment building with 149 apartments.
Larkins Hall - Monash University Clayton Campus Student Accommodation
A new seven-storey, 252-bed student accommodation hall in the North East Precinct of Monash University's Clayton campus, alongside College Walk and north of Jock Marshall Reserve. The building has been named Larkins Hall in honour of former Vice-Chancellor Emeritus Professor Richard Larkins AC. The sustainable, all-electric development spans approximately 7,900 square metres and features single-occupancy ensuite rooms with floor-by-floor communal kitchens, winter gardens, study zones and lounges, a wellness hub, sports court, bike arrival station, laundry, music and gaming rooms, parcel lockers, and mobility-accessible units.Construction commenced on 3 February 2026, with completion targeted for mid-2027. The development is a key initiative under Monash's Student Accommodation Strategy to address growing demand for high-quality residential capacity.
Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment
Major redevelopment of Monash University's Clayton campus centre as part of the broader campus master plan. The project includes new student facilities, multi-disciplinary learning spaces, community amenities, and dining facilities to support over 50,000 students. The broader campus developments also include new residential halls (1000+ beds) and research facilities.
Collegium Avenue Townhouses
Development of 37 townhouses with 2 to 4 bedrooms on the former Brandon Park Secondary College site. Project features 33 two-storey and 4 three-storey buildings arranged in two rows, with southern row set back 15m from Academy Avenue. All dwellings accessed via new crossover and shared driveway from Brandon Park Drive with 70 car spaces provided. Council approved the amended Development Plan on 23 June 2025.
Monash Medical Centre Tower Expansion Project
A $535 million major redevelopment delivering a new seven-storey clinical services tower constructed above the existing emergency department. Main works commenced in early 2026, featuring a state-of-the-art operating theatre complex, an intensive care unit, and expanded maternity services.
Median household income in Notting Hill is $1,574 a week (about $82,000 a year), with median personal income at $711 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $45,967 a year against an average of $57,257. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to AreaSearch ATO postcode statistics for financial year 2023, personal income levels in Notting Hill trail national figures, showing an assessed median of $45,967 and an average of $57,257. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded a median income of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Factoring in Wage Price Index expansion of 9.62% since financial year 2023, updated figures as of March 2026 are estimated at roughly $50,389 (median) and $62,765 (average). Across personal, family, and household measures in Census data, local earnings sit in modest tiers between the 30th and 39th percentiles.
The primary earnings bracket encompasses 34.7% of locals (1,653 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the wider regional proportion of 32.8% in that bracket. Affordability pressures are notable, as residents retain 80.4% of income, ranking at the 36th percentile, while the SEIFA income metric sits in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Notting Hill had 1,021 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 45% detached houses and 45% apartments. 28% are owned with a mortgage, 51% rented and 22% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $371 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,876 a month. Rent absorbs 23.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the latest Census, the local housing mix in Notting Hill comprised 45.0% houses alongside 54.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), differing from Melbourne metro where 67.9% were houses and 32.1% were other dwellings. Outright home ownership stood at 21.5%, lower than across Melbourne metro, while 27.6% of properties were mortgaged and 50.9% were rented. Typical housing costs included a median monthly mortgage repayment of $1,876 and a median weekly rent of $371, compared with Melbourne metro figures of $2,000 and $390 respectively. Relative to broader national figures, local mortgage repayments sit above the Australian benchmark of $1,863, whereas rental costs remain below the nationwide level of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Notting Hill counted 1,021 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,680 today, averaging 2.3 people each. 22% are couples with children, fewer than in 81% of areas nationally, against 25% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 0.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family arrangements represent the majority of local living structures at 59.1%, made up of 25.3% couples without children, 22.0% couples with children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family dwellings comprise the remaining 40.9%, split between lone person households at 29.8% and group households at 11.7%. The typical household size stands at 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
55.4% of adults in Notting Hill hold a university qualification, including 30.9% with a bachelor degree and 22.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 93% of areas nationally. A further 8.9% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Educational qualifications among Notting Hill residents outpace broader benchmarks substantially, as 55.4% of those aged 15+ hold tertiary degrees, compared to 29.8% across the SA4 region and 30.4% nationwide. This high concentration of qualifications provides a strong foundation for knowledge-intensive sectors. By specific qualification, Bachelor degrees lead at 30.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 22.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational education accounts for 19.0% of qualifications among residents aged 15+, divided between advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (8.9%). Formal study participation is exceptionally high, with 39.8% of the local population actively engaged in learning.
This encompasses 22.2% enrolled in tertiary education, 6.5% attending primary education, and 4.5% undertaking secondary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Notting Hill reaches 16 stops on 12 routes, timetabled for about 3,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 290 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity in Notting Hill includes 16 active stops dedicated to bus services. Across these stops, 12 distinct routes operate to deliver 3,484 weekly passenger trips. Proximity to transit is favourable, with residents situated an average of 286 meters from their closest transport stop. Due to the area's predominantly residential character, travel is largely outbound, led by car commuting at 77%, with 7% by train and 6% by bus. Private vehicle ownership sits below regional standards at an average of 1.0 per dwelling. Working from home was recorded by 30.9% of residents at the 2021 Census, which may reflect the influence of COVID-19 conditions.
Transit service across all combined routes delivers an average of 497 trips per day, translating to roughly 217 weekly trips per stop across the network.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
79.2% of residents in Notting Hill report no long-term health condition. 2.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators in Notting Hill reflect favourable outcomes based on AreaSearch evaluations of mortality metrics and chronic ailment rates, with low incidence of common health issues evident across both younger and older demographics. Meanwhile, private health insurance coverage is held by approximately 50% of the total population (~2,359 people), below the Greater Melbourne rate of 56.7% and the national proportion of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health issues represent the primary reported health conditions locally, affecting 6.5 and 6.2% of residents respectively, while 79.2% of locals reported being completely free of medical conditions, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne.
Chronic condition prevalence is notably low among working-age cohorts. Senior residents aged 65 and over make up 4.7% of the local population (223 people), below the 15.1% share seen across Greater Melbourne. Health measures among older residents remain above average, aligning closely with general population benchmarks nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
62.2% of Notting Hill residents were born overseas and 58.9% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 96% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Chinese (22.1%) and English (13.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Demonstrating high levels of multicultural diversity, Notting Hill records 62.2% of its population born overseas and 58.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity stands as the primary religious affiliation, representing 29.9% of residents. In addition, Buddhism shows a notable local concentration at 13.4% of the population, well above the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%. Examining parental country of birth, the leading ancestral backgrounds in Notting Hill are Chinese at 22.1% (compared to 6.5% regionally), Other at 20.8% (against 14.6% regionally), and English at 13.1% (lower than the regional benchmark of 20.1%).
Furthermore, other distinct community representations include Sri Lankan backgrounds at 3.6% (compared to 0.8% regionally), Indian at 6.9% (vs 4.2%), and Vietnamese at 3.1% (vs 1.9%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Notting Hill is 25, younger than 96% of areas nationally. That is 5 years younger than at the 2021 Census. 64.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographics in the suburb of Notting Hill skew heavily towards pre-family age groups. AreaSearch August 2026 figures show that children and young adults (0 - 24) constitute 47.0% of the community, compared to 30.5% in Greater Melbourne, while middle aged and young retiree cohorts (45 - 64) represent 10.3%, contrasting with 22.3% regionally. The median age is estimated at 25 as at August 2026, dropping from 30 at the 2021 Census, and sits 12 years below the Greater Melbourne figure of 37 at the same Census, with the national median being 38 at that time.
The demographic shift since the Census is most pronounced among young residents, where the 0 to 24 category rose from 32.5% to an estimated 47.0%. Within this group, the 5 to 14 bracket decreased from 8.4% to an estimated 6.0%, while the 15 to 24 cohort expanded from 20.1% to 37.9%, reflecting the aging of resident cohorts rather than new arrivals. Looking towards 2041, young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) will see the largest absolute addition, growing by 952 residents (53%) to 2,758, while retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) are projected to experience the fastest rate of expansion, increasing by 63% to 364.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Notting Hill
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 20 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,895 at the 2021 Census → 4,764 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21974). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.