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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Notting Hill has an estimated 4,763 residents, up from 2,895 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,868 people, or 64.5%. Growth has averaged 6.6% a year over five years, faster than 98% of areas nationally. Overseas migration accounts for 100.0% of that increase. That puts 2,996 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Estimates from AreaSearch, which combine ABS population releases for the region with post-Census address verification, suggest that 4,763 residents live in the suburb of Notting Hill as of May 2026. Comparing this to the 2,895 individuals recorded during the 2021 Census, the population has expanded by 1,868 people, representing a 64.5% rise. This update builds upon an AreaSearch figure of 4,731 that incorporated the ABS June 2025 ERP release, supplemented by 20 newly validated addresses. With 2,995 persons per square kilometer, the suburb is situated in the highest quartile nationally for population density.
This 64.5% rate of expansion since 2021 outperformed the Victorian benchmark of 9.3% and national levels, establishing the suburb as a primary growth corridor. This upward trend was almost exclusively fueled by arrivals from overseas, which acted as the solitary contributor to these demographic gains. Projections for each SA2 unit utilize ABS and Geoscience Australia models published in 2024 using a 2022 baseline. For areas where these figures are unavailable, projections are sourced from 2023 Victorian government LGA data and downscaled to SA2 levels using a weighted growth allocation method. Age-specific growth patterns derived from these profiles are extended from 2032 through to 2041. Future demographic modeling suggests the suburb of Notting Hill is positioned within the top quartile of national statistical zones for growth, with projections anticipating an additional 1,794 residents by 2041, which translates to a 37.0% cumulative rise over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
41 new dwellings have been approved in Notting Hill over the past five years, an average of 8 a year. That is 2.3 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 14, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An evaluation of ABS building statistics indicates that Notting Hill has averaged approximately 8 residential approvals annually, yielding a total of 41 dwellings over the last 5 financial years. Thus far during FY-26, 13 approvals have been registered. With an average of 31.7 new residents added per finished dwelling between FY-21 and FY-25, demand continues to outpace construction volumes, a dynamic that generally stimulates price appreciation and intensifies buyer competition. The average value for these newly approved builds is $508,000, indicating a focus by developers on higher-end residential properties. Additionally, commercial approvals of $530,000 were logged this financial year, underscoring the predominantly residential focus of the locality.
Compared against the wider Greater Melbourne area, development intensity in Notting Hill is notably subdued, tracking 57.0% below the regional per capita benchmark. This restricted pace of new builds tends to preserve demand and support valuations for existing housing stock. Construction rates also trail national benchmarks, reflecting a mature residential market and potential zoning or physical constraints. The mix of new housing approvals consists of 40.0% standalone houses and 60.0% medium-to-high density formats such as townhouses and units. This transition toward higher density offers more affordable entry points for first-time buyers, investors, and downsizers. The ratio of 654 people per approval further reinforces the suburb's status as a settled, established neighborhood. Long-term forecasts suggest Notting Hill will add 1,762 residents by 2041 based on the most recent quarterly projections from AreaSearch. Should current construction volumes persist, housing completions may fall short of demographic growth, potentially heightening competition among prospective buyers and driving upward pressure on prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Notting Hill
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Notting Hill, worth an estimated $32.3 billion. A further 107 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $84.2 billion. 30 are already under construction and 32 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure updates, major regional projects, and planning changes represent key influences on local property markets. AreaSearch has identified 7 major projects expected to affect the suburb. Key developments of relevance include the Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station, Monash University Clayton Campus Student Accommodation, Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment, and the Victorian Heart Hospital.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station
An underground twin-platform metro station being built around 20 metres beneath Monash University's Clayton campus, on land north of Normanby Road at the corner of Howleys Road in Notting Hill. The station is one of six on the 26km SRL East line connecting Cheltenham to Box Hill via Monash and Deakin universities. The precinct will include a southern entrance opening towards the university, a northern entrance with an integrated bus interchange off Howleys Road, taxi bays, accessible pick-up and drop-off areas, undercover bicycle parking, retail tenancies, and new pedestrian and cycling links.As of 2026 the worksite is established with site offices and parking in place, network support facilities are advancing, and diaphragm wall construction is underway ahead of station box excavation.
New Clayton Campus Student Accommodation
New student accommodation being developed in the North East Precinct of the Clayton campus, alongside College Walk and north of Jock Marshall Reserve. Designed by Jackson Clements Burrows, the hybrid cross-laminated timber project features a 252-bed hall to enhance the on-campus living experience and expand capacity for Monash University students. Construction commenced in February 2026.
HomeCo. Brandon Park Redevelopment
A multi-stage transformation of the Brandon Park sub-regional shopping centre into a modern daily-needs retail and community hub. Stage One commenced June 2025 with relocation of Chemist Warehouse, new travelator connections and reconfigured specialty tenancies. Stage Two involves improved mall linkages between Coles and ALDI with upgraded entries and new specialty stores. Stage Three delivers a new full-line Woolworths and rooftop retail and dining precinct. The approved mixed-use component (TPA/52240) adds a 7-storey building including medical centre, retail, office space and 103 serviced apartments within the northern portion of the site on Brandon Park Drive.
Brandon Park Shopping Centre Redevelopment
Approved mixed-use redevelopment of the Brandon Park Shopping Centre. The project includes partial demolition and the construction of a 7-storey building featuring a medical centre, retail spaces, offices, and serviced apartments, alongside a 9-storey residential apartment building with 149 apartments.
Larkins Hall - Monash University Clayton Campus Student Accommodation
A new seven-storey, 252-bed student accommodation hall in the North East Precinct of Monash University's Clayton campus, alongside College Walk and north of Jock Marshall Reserve. The building has been named Larkins Hall in honour of former Vice-Chancellor Emeritus Professor Richard Larkins AC. The sustainable, all-electric development spans approximately 7,900 square metres and features single-occupancy ensuite rooms with floor-by-floor communal kitchens, winter gardens, study zones and lounges, a wellness hub, sports court, bike arrival station, laundry, music and gaming rooms, parcel lockers, and mobility-accessible units.Construction commenced on 3 February 2026, with completion targeted for mid-2027. The development is a key initiative under Monash's Student Accommodation Strategy to address growing demand for high-quality residential capacity.
Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment
Major redevelopment of Monash University's Clayton campus centre as part of the broader campus master plan. The project includes new student facilities, multi-disciplinary learning spaces, community amenities, and dining facilities to support over 50,000 students. The broader campus developments also include new residential halls (1000+ beds) and research facilities.
Collegium Avenue Townhouses
Development of 37 townhouses with 2 to 4 bedrooms on the former Brandon Park Secondary College site. Project features 33 two-storey and 4 three-storey buildings arranged in two rows, with southern row set back 15m from Academy Avenue. All dwellings accessed via new crossover and shared driveway from Brandon Park Drive with 70 car spaces provided. Council approved the amended Development Plan on 23 June 2025.
Monash Medical Centre Tower Expansion Project
A $535 million major redevelopment delivering a new seven-storey clinical services tower constructed above the existing emergency department. Main works commenced in early 2026, featuring a state-of-the-art operating theatre complex, an intensive care unit, and expanded maternity services.
Median household income in Notting Hill is $1,574 a week (about $82,000 a year), with median personal income at $711 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $45,967 a year against an average of $57,257. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Tax data from the ATO compiled by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year indicates that taxpayer earnings in the suburb of Notting Hill sit below the national benchmark. Taxpayers in the suburb recorded a median income of $45,967 and an average of $57,257, compared to the Greater Melbourne figures of $57,688 and $75,164. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index expansion of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates as of March 2026 are approximately $50,389 for the median and $62,765 for the average. Census records show household, family, and individual incomes place the suburb modestly in the 30th to 39th percentiles nationally.
Earnings distributions show 34.7% of local taxpayers (representing 1,652 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring the wider metropolitan pattern where 32.8% of taxpayers fall into the same bracket. Affordability pressures are highly pronounced, with residents retaining only 80.4% of their income, which ranks in the 36th percentile, while the SEIFA index for income places the area in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Notting Hill had 1,021 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 45% detached houses and 45% apartments. 28% are owned with a mortgage, 51% rented and 22% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $371 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,876 a month. Rent absorbs 23.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 27.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data shows that housing typologies in Notting Hill consist of 45.0% standalone houses and 54.9% semi-detached dwellings, apartments, or other structures, contrasting with the Greater Melbourne profile of 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings. Homeownership rates of 21.5% trail the metropolitan average, with the remaining tenure split between mortgaged properties (27.6%) and rented homes (50.9%). The median mortgage payment of $1,876 per month and median rent of $371 per week compare to metropolitan benchmarks of $2,000 and $390 respectively. Nationally, local mortgage commitments exceed the Australian median of $1,863, whereas rental costs remain below the countrywide average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Notting Hill counted 1,021 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,680 today, averaging 2.3 people each. 22% are couples with children, fewer than in 81% of areas nationally, against 25% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 0.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 59.1% of all households in the area, consisting of 22.0% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 8.0% single-parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 40.9%, with single-person households representing 29.8% and group households making up 11.7% of the total. The median household occupancy stands at 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
55.4% of adults in Notting Hill hold a university qualification, including 30.9% with a bachelor degree and 22.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 93% of areas nationally. A further 8.9% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Academic qualifications in Notting Hill are exceptionally high, with 55.4% of residents aged 15 and over holding a university degree, compared to 29.8% across the SA4 region and 30.4% nationwide. This concentration of tertiary education positions the local workforce well for employment in knowledge-based industries. Undergraduate degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 30.9%, followed by postgraduate study at 22.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational education accounts for 19.0% of qualifications among residents aged 15 and over, split between advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 8.9%. Participation in study is high, with 39.8% of the local population enrolled in education.
This comprises 22.2% attending tertiary institutions, 6.5% in primary school, and 4.5% enrolled in secondary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Notting Hill reaches 16 stops on 12 routes, timetabled for about 2,000 services a week. The typical home sits about 290 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport infrastructure within Notting Hill includes 16 bus stops. These stops accommodate 12 distinct routes, which combine to offer 2,002 scheduled weekly services. Transport connectivity is high, with residents living an average of 286 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the suburb's residential character, most working residents commute to external employment hubs. Private vehicles remain the primary transit choice at 77%, with 7% of workers commuting by train and 6% by bus. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.0 car per household, which is lower than the regional average. A high proportion of residents, 30.9%, worked from home at the time of the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related working arrangements.
Transit services average 286 daily runs across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 125 weekly departures from each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
79.2% of residents in Notting Hill report no long-term health condition. 2.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health profiles in Notting Hill are favorable, with AreaSearch metrics showing low mortality rates and a low prevalence of chronic illness across all age groups. Private health insurance coverage is held by approximately 50% of the population, representing about 2,359 individuals. This is lower than the Greater Melbourne rate of 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent health issues in the suburb, affecting 6.5% and 6.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 79.2% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, exceeding the Greater Melbourne average of 72.6%.
The local workforce displays strong health profiles with low rates of long-term illness. Residents aged 65 and over make up 5.2% of the population, equivalent to 247 individuals, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 15.0%. Older residents experience positive health outcomes, with international and national health rankings aligning with the broader population trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
62.2% of Notting Hill residents were born overseas and 58.9% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 96% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Chinese (22.1%) and English (13.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Culturally diverse demographics characterize Notting Hill, with 58.9% of residents speaking a non-English language at home and 62.2% born outside of Australia. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 29.9% of the population. There is a distinct concentration of Buddhist residents, who account for 13.4% of the population, which is higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%. Ancestry profiles show the three largest groups in Notting Hill are Chinese at 22.1% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 6.5%, Other at 20.8%, which is higher than the regional average of 14.6%, and English at 13.1%, which is lower than the regional average of 20.1%.
Ethnic diversity is also reflected in the representation of other communities, including Sri Lankan ancestry at 3.6% compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Indian ancestry at 6.9% compared to the regional average of 4.2%, and Vietnamese ancestry at 3.1% compared to the regional average of 1.9%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Notting Hill is 26, younger than 96% of areas nationally. That is 4 years younger than at the 2021 Census. 62.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of residents in Notting Hill is 26 years, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and the national average of 38. Young adults aged 15 to 24 are highly represented, making up 37.0% of the local population compared to 12.7% nationally, while the 45 to 54 age bracket is lower at 5.9%. Since the 2021 Census, the median age has decreased by 4.2 years from 30 to 26. This shift is driven by the 15 to 24 cohort rising from 20.1% to 37.0%, while the 45 to 54 group decreased from 8.9% to 5.9% and the 35 to 44 cohort declined from 14.6% to 12.2%.
Demographic projections for 2041 indicate that the 25 to 34 age group will grow by 740 individuals, representing a 61% increase from 1,224 to 1,965.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Notting Hill
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 20 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,895 at the 2021 Census → 4,763 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21974). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.