Clarinda - Oakleigh South

Clarinda - Oakleigh South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Clarinda-Oakleigh South's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 11,997. This figure represents an increase of 443 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 11,554. The estimated resident population in June 2024 was 11,752, with an additional 140 validated new addresses contributing to this growth. This results in a population density of 1,898 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove this population growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, they utilise VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest lower quartile growth, with the area expected to expand by 381 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 1.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Clarinda - Oakleigh South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Clarinda-Oakleigh South has received around 30 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 150 homes. Up to FY26, 22 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, benefiting buyers while new homes are constructed at an average cost of $443,000, higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $13.1 million, indicating moderate commercial development levels.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clarinda-Oakleigh South has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 31st percentile nationally, suggesting constrained buyer choice favouring existing homes. Recent construction comprises 58% standalone homes and 42% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a shift from the area's current 90% houses, indicating decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyle preferences. With around 543 people per dwelling approval, Clarinda-Oakleigh South is considered a developed market. By 2041, projections estimate an increase of 136 residents based on recent development patterns. Current housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Future projections show Clarinda - Oakleigh South adding 136 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Clarinda - Oakleigh South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 31 projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Monash Medical Centre Redevelopment, Canterbury Gardens Estate, Kingston Heath Residential Estate, and Talbot Village (Former Talbot Quarry). The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Clarinda - Oakleigh South exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Clarinda - Oakleigh South has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate in September 2025 was 3.4%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.0%. There are 5,910 residents employed, with a participation rate of 56.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing is particularly specialized, employing 1.4 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services employ only 8.4% of local workers, below the Greater Melbourne rate of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.0%, labour force by 4.5%, raising unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne had employment growth of 3.0% and a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Statewide, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to November 25, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%, and employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Clarinda - Oakleigh South's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, assuming no changes in population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Clarinda - Oakleigh South SA2 has an income below the national average. The median income is $50,537 while the average income stands at $60,568. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,682 (median) and $67,933 (average). From the 2021 Census, individual incomes at the 20th percentile are $655 weekly, while household income is at the 45th percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 30.8% of the community (3,695 individuals), consistent with broader trends across the area showing 32.8% in the same category. After housing costs, 85.8% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Clarinda - Oakleigh South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Clarinda - Oakleigh South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.3% houses and 9.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clarinda - Oakleigh South stood at 46.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (32.7%) or rented (21.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,010, above Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. Median weekly rent was $400, higher than Melbourne metro's $350. Nationally, Clarinda - Oakleigh South's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Clarinda - Oakleigh South features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.5% of all households, including 38.8% that are couples with children, 25.3% that are couples without children, and 12.1% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.5%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 2.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Clarinda - Oakleigh South exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Clarinda-Oakleigh South, 31.6% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 26.3% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 16.1%. Educational participation is high, with 25.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 8.2% in primary, 6.1% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.2% in primary education, 6.1% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Clarinda - Oakleigh South indicates that there are 56 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 12 individual routes providing service to the area. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 3,042.

The accessibility of public transport in this region is rated as good, with residents on average located approximately 216 meters from their nearest transport stop. The service frequency across all routes averages 434 trips per day, which equates to roughly 54 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clarinda - Oakleigh South is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Clarinda-Oakleigh South faces significant health challenges. Common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~5,998 people), compared to 47.5% across Greater Melbourne.

Nationally, the average is 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.1 and 6.9% of residents respectively. 69.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.1% across Greater Melbourne. As of 2021, 25.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,085 people), higher than the 17.4% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligned with the overall population's health profile.

Clarinda - Oakleigh South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Clarinda-Oakleigh South is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 56.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home as of the 2016 Census. Additionally, 52.1% of its residents were born overseas during this period. Christianity was found to be the main religion in Clarinda-Oakleigh South, making up 57.9% of people residing there.

However, Judaism was notably overrepresented at 1.7%, compared to 0.3% across Greater Melbourne during the same census year. In terms of ancestry, as recorded in the 2016 Census, the top three represented groups were 'Other', comprising 19.0% of Clarinda-Oakleigh South's population, which was lower than the regional average of 29.1%. Greek ancestry made up 13.1%, substantially higher than the regional average of 3.8%, and Australian ancestry comprised 11.7%. There were also notable differences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Russian at 1.0% (vs 0.4%), Sri Lankan at 1.3% (vs 1.8%), and Hungarian at 0.5% (vs 0.4%).

Clarinda - Oakleigh South hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Clarinda - Oakleigh South has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group makes up 12.7% of its population, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort comprises 11.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has increased from 7.9% to 9.3% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 12.2% to 11.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Clarinda - Oakleigh South's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 37%, reaching 1,528 people from the current 1,114. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, who are expected to comprise 78% of the population increase. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 55-64 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.