Clayton (North) - Notting Hill

Population growth drivers in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's population is approximately 14,299 as of February 2026. This represents an increase of 4,470 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 9,829. The growth was inferred from ABS estimates showing an estimated resident population of 14,143 in June 2024 and an additional 174 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,734 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate of 45.5% since the 2021 census exceeds both the national average (9.9%) and state averages, marking it as a significant growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to increase its population by 6,148 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 41.9% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill when compared nationally

Clayton North - Notting Hill saw approximately 32 dwellings granted development approval annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25160 homes were approved, with a further 19 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, 15.1 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these five years.

This significant demand outpaces supply, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost of new dwellings is $338,000. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $13.0 million, indicating steady investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clayton North - Notting Hill has roughly half the building activity per person, placing it in the 31st percentile nationally. This limited development activity reflects market maturity and potential constraints.

Recent construction comprises 27% detached dwellings and 73% attached dwellings, favouring higher-density living which is more affordable for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 548 people moving to the area per dwelling approval, Clayton North - Notting Hill exhibits a developed market. By 2041, the population is forecasted to grow by 5,992 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates persist, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 33 projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones are: Monash Accommodation Student Housing Development, Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment, Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station, and various Monash University Campus Development Projects. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Clayton (North) - Notting Hill performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Clayton North - Notting Hill has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.5%.

As of September 2025, 8,641 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.2% below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation in Clayton North - Notting Hill lags behind Greater Melbourne at 65.8%. According to Census responses, 25.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in education & training (strongly specialized), health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food sectors.

Construction shows lower representation compared to the regional average. The area functions as an employment hub with 2.3 workers per resident. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 6.5% while labour force grew by 6.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 1.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Clayton North - Notting Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill SA2, according to AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2023, is $34,621. The average income for this area during the same period was $41,905. Both figures are below the national averages. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had a median income of $57,688 and an average income of $75,164 in 2023. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Clayton (North) - Notting Hill as of September 2025 would be approximately $37,477 (median) and $45,362 (average). The 2021 Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill fall between the 4th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 29.1% of locals (4,161 people) predominantly earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, a pattern also seen in the metropolitan region where 32.8% fall into this income category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 74.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 10th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill, as per the latest Census, consisted of 32.4% houses and 67.6% other dwellings. In contrast, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill was at 15.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 18.3% and rented ones at 66.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,860, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $380, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 46.7% of all households, including 13.9% couples with children, 22.1% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 53.3%, with lone person households at 33.3% and group households making up 19.9%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Clayton (North) - Notting Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Specifically, 50.2% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to the SA4 region's 29.8% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (20.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways account for 16.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 7.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 55.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 43.7% in tertiary education, 3.1% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has 74 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 28 different routes, together facilitating 8,846 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 206 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 66% of residents, followed by trains at 11% and buses at 10%. On average, there are 0.8 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 25.1% of residents work from home, a figure potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 1,263 trips daily, translating to roughly 119 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Clayton North, Notting Hill faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (around 6,548 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 7.2% of residents and asthma impacting 5.4%. Around 81.0% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 5.3% of residents aged 65 and over (762 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Clayton North, Notting Hill is one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia. As per the 2016 Census, 62.9% of its population speaks a language other than English at home, with 67.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Clayton North, Notting Hill, making up 27.1% of the population.

Buddhism is notably overrepresented, comprising 9.4% compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%. In terms of ancestry, Chinese comprise 24.9%, substantially higher than the regional average of 6.5%. 'Other' ancestry makes up 19.7%, higher than the regional average of 14.6%. English ancestry is lower at 11.7% compared to the regional average of 20.1%. There are notable divergences in other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan (2.5% vs 0.8%), Indian (8.8% vs 4.2%), and Vietnamese (2.8% vs 1.9%).

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Clayton North-Notting Hill has a median age of 22 years, which is significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Clayton North-Notting Hill has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 (47.8%), compared to Greater Melbourne and the national average of 12.5%. However, it has fewer residents aged 45-54 (3.3%). Since the 2021 Census, the median age has decreased by 3.9 years from 26 to 22, indicating a shift towards a younger demographic. The percentage of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 37.2% to 47.8%, while those aged 25-34 have declined from 29.5% to 27.4%. Additionally, the percentage of residents aged 35-44 has dropped from 9.3% to 7.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Clayton North-Notting Hill's age profile. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 69%, adding 2,688 residents and reaching a total of 6,605 residents.