Clayton (North) - Notting Hill

Population growth drivers in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's population is approximately 14,272 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 4,443 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,829. The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 14,143 in June 2024 and an additional 169 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,728 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate of 45.2% since the 2021 census exceeds both national (8.9%) and state averages, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections indicate a significant increase in the top quartile of statistical areas nationally, with Clayton (North) - Notting Hill expected to expand by 6,148 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 42.2% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill when compared nationally

Clayton North - Notting Hill has seen approximately 32 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 160 homes were approved, with another 16 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 15.1 people have moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these five years.

This substantial lag between supply and demand has led to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost of new dwellings is around $338,000. In FY-26, approximately $13.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clayton North - Notting Hill has roughly half the building activity per person and ranks among the 31st percentile of areas assessed nationally. This limited development activity suggests possible constraints and supports demand for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 27% detached dwellings and 73% attached dwellings, focusing on higher-density living which creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 548 people per dwelling approval, Clayton North - Notting Hill demonstrates a developed market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain approximately 6,019 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Thirty-three infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Monash Accommodation Student Housing Development, Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment, Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station, and various Monash University Campus Development Projects. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Clayton (North) - Notting Hill performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Clayton North - Notting Hill has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.5%. As of September 2025, there are 8,641 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation is 56.3%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in education & training (with a share 1.8 times the regional level), health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food.

Construction shows lower representation at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. There are 2.3 workers for every resident, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 6.5%, labour force grew by 6.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 1.4%. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment rise to 5.0%. State-level data from 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Clayton North - Notting Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Clayton (North) - Notting Hill SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $32,520 and an average income of $40,507. These figures are below the national averages. Greater Melbourne's median income was $54,892 with an average of $73,761. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $36,474 (median) and $45,433 (average), based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.16%. The 2021 Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill falling between the 4th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 29.1% of locals (4,153 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to metropolitan regions where 32.8% fall into this category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 74.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 10th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill, as per the latest Census, consisted of 32.4% houses and 67.6% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Melbourne metro's structure which was 69.6% houses and 30.3% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill was 15.7%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged at 18.3% or rented at 66.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,860, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,383 and national average of $1,863. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure stood at $380, higher than Melbourne metro's $440 but lower than the national average of $375.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 46.7% of all households, including 13.9% couples with children, 22.1% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 53.3%, with lone person households at 33.3% and group households making up 19.9%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Clayton (North) - Notting Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Clayton (North) - Notting Hill, 50.2% of residents aged 15 years or above hold university qualifications, compared to the SA4 region's 29.8% and Australia's 30.4%. This high educational attainment is led by Bachelor degrees at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 20.0%, and graduate diplomas at 1.7%. Vocational pathways account for 16.6% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 7.6%. Educational participation is notably high, with 55.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 43.7% in tertiary education, 3.1% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 74 active stops operating within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 28 individual routes providing 12,303 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically located 206 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 1,757 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 166 weekly trips per individual stop.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill shows exceptional health outcomes with notable prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% (~6,493 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 54.4%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.2 and 5.4% of residents respectively. 81.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 75.3%. The area has 5.3% (759 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 17.5%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Clayton North, Notting Hill is one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia with 62.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 67.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Clayton North, Notting Hill, comprising 27.1% of people. Buddhism is notably overrepresented, making up 9.4% compared to 7.9% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups are Chinese (24.9%), Other (19.7%), and English (11.7%). Notably, Sri Lankan (2.5%) Indian (8.8%) and Vietnamese (2.8%) populations are higher than regional averages of 2.1%, 6.8% and 1.9% respectively.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Clayton North - Notting Hill has a median age of 22 years, which is significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clayton North - Notting Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (48.4%) but fewer residents aged 45-54 (3.3%). This concentration of young adults is notably higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the median age has decreased by 4 years from 26 to 22, indicating a shift towards a younger demographic. Key changes include an increase in the proportion of residents aged 15-24 from 37.2% to 48.4%, a decline in those aged 25-34 from 29.5% to 26.9%, and a decrease in those aged 35-44 from 9.3% to 7.3%. By the year 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Clayton North - Notting Hill's age profile will change significantly. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 72%, adding 2,760 residents and reaching a total of 6,605 residents in this age bracket.