Clayton (North) - Notting Hill

Population growth drivers in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's population is around 14,299 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 4,470 people (45.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,829 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,143 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 174 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,734 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's 45.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas across the nation is forecast, with the area expected to expand by 6,148 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 41.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill when compared nationally

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has experienced around 32 dwellings receiving development approval per year, with 160 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 23 so far in FY-26. With an average of 15.1 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is substantially lagging demand, which generally means heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $338,000. Additionally, $13.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clayton (North) - Notting Hill records roughly half the building activity per person and ranks in the 31st percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. This activity is likewise lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 27.0% detached dwellings and 73.0% attached dwellings. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 548 people per dwelling approval, Clayton (North) - Notting Hill shows a developed market.

Population forecasts indicate Clayton (North) - Notting Hill will gain 5,992 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 33 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Monash Accommodation Student Housing Development, Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment, Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station, and Monash University Campus Development Projects, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Clayton (North) - Notting Hill performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features a highly educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.5%, and 5.1% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 8,724 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.3% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (66.4% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 25.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in education & training, health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food. The area shows particularly strong specialization in education & training, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 9.7%. With 2.3 workers for every resident, as at the Census, the area functions as an employment hub, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.1% while labour force increased by 5.2%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. This compares to Greater Melbourne, where employment grew by 2.4%, labour force expanded by 2.8%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Clayton (North) - Notting Hill SA2's median income among taxpayers is $34,621, with an average of $41,905. This is below the national average, and compares to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $37,477 (median) and $45,362 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill all fall between the 4th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the predominant cohort spans 29.1% of locals (4,161 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the metropolitan region where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 74.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 10th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 32.4% houses and 67.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill lagged that of Melbourne metro at 15.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (18.3%) or rented (66.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Melbourne metro average at $1,860, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $380, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 46.7% of all households, comprising 13.9% couples with children, 22.1% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 53.3%, with lone person households at 33.3% and group households comprising 19.9% of the total. The median household size of 2.2 people is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Clayton (North) - Notting Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 50.2% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 29.8% in the SA4 region and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (20.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational pathways account for 16.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (7.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 55.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 43.7% in tertiary education, 3.1% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 74 active transport stops operating within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 28 individual routes, collectively providing 8,846 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 206 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 66%, with 11% by train and 10% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 0.8 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. Some 25.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,263 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 119 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is found to be extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~6,548 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.2 and 5.4% of residents, respectively, while 81.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 5.3% of residents aged 65 and over (762 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 62.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 67.7% born overseas. The main religion in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is Christianity, which makes up 27.1% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Buddhism, which comprises 9.4% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill are Chinese, comprising 24.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 6.5%, Other, comprising 19.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 14.6%, and English, comprising 11.7% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 20.1%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is notably overrepresented at 2.5% of Clayton (North) - Notting Hill (vs 0.8% regionally), Indian at 8.8% (vs 4.2%) and Vietnamese at 2.8% (vs 1.9%).

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 22 years, Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's median age is significantly below the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and also substantially under Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (47.8%) but fewer 45 - 54 year-olds (3.3%). This 15 - 24 concentration is well above the national 12.5%. Since the 2021 Census, the median age has decreased by 3.9 years from 26 to 22, indicating a younger demographic shift. Key changes show the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 37.2% to 47.8% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 29.5% to 27.4% and the 35 to 44 group dropped from 9.3% to 7.4%. Demographic modeling suggests Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 69%, adding 2,688 residents to reach 6,605.