Clayton (North) - Notting Hill

Population growth drivers in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's population was around 14,294 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 4,465 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,829. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,143 in June 2024 and an additional 169 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,733 persons per square kilometer, placing Clayton (North) - Notting Hill in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 45.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 9.7%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, a significant population increase is forecasted, with Clayton (North) - Notting Hill expected to expand by 6,148 persons, reflecting a gain of 42.0% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Clayton (North) - Notting Hill when compared nationally

Clayton North - Notting Hill has seen approximately 32 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 160 homes were approved, with another 19 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 15.1 people have moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these years.

This indicates that supply is significantly lagging demand, which typically results in increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $338,000. In FY-26, around $13.0 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clayton North - Notting Hill has roughly half the building activity per person and ranks in the 31st percentile nationally for areas assessed, offering more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. Recent construction consists of 27% detached dwellings and 73% attached dwellings, focusing on higher-density living which creates more affordable entry points and caters to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

With around 548 people moving in per dwelling approval, Clayton North - Notting Hill shows a developed market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain approximately 5,997 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 33 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Monash Accommodation Student Housing Development, Monash University Campus Centre Redevelopment, Suburban Rail Loop East - Monash Station, and Monash University Campus Development Projects. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Clayton (North) - Notting Hill performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Clayton North - Notting Hill has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.4% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.5%.

As of September 2025, 8,641 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, below Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation was 65.7%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. A moderate 25.1% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in education & training (strong specialization with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level), health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food.

Construction shows lower representation at 4.1% versus the regional average of 9.7%. The area functions as an employment hub with 2.3 workers per resident. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 6.5%, while labour force grew by 6.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.2%. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment rise to 5.0%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Clayton North - Notting Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Clayton (North) - Notting Hill SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $34,621 and an average of $41,905. Both figures are below the national averages. Greater Melbourne's median was $57,688 with an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $37,477 (median) and $45,362 (average). The 2021 Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill fall between the 4th and 18th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows 29.1% of locals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually. In metropolitan regions, this figure is 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 74.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 10th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill, as per the latest Census, consisted of 32.4% houses and 67.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill was at 15.7%, with the rest either mortgaged (18.3%) or rented (66.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,860, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000 but close to the Australian average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in the area was $380, higher than the national figure of $375 but slightly below Melbourne metro's $390.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 46.7% of all households, including 13.9% couples with children, 22.1% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 53.3%, with lone person households at 33.3% and group households comprising 19.9%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Clayton (North) - Notting Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's educational attainment exceeds broader standards, with 50.2% of residents aged 15+ possessing university qualifications, compared to 29.8% in the SA4 region and 30.4% nationwide. This notable advantage places the area favourably for knowledge-based prospects. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (20.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational paths account for 16.6% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 7.6%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 55.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 43.7% in tertiary, 3.1% in primary, and 2.3% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has 74 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 28 different routes, offering a total of 8,846 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 206 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 66% of residents. Train and bus usage stands at 11% and 10%, respectively.

Vehicle ownership is below the regional average, averaging 0.8 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 25.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 1,263 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 119 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Clayton North, Notting Hill faces notable health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but slightly more so among older cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (around 6,546 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 7.2% of residents and asthma impacting 5.4%. Around 81.0% of residents claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Only 5.3% of residents are aged 65 and over (around 760 people), which is lower than the 14.9% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Clayton North, Notting Hill is one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia with 62.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 67.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion here, comprising 27.1% of the population. However, Buddhism is significantly overrepresented with 9.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry, Chinese people make up 24.9% of Clayton North, Notting Hill's population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 6.5%. The 'Other' category comprises 19.7%, also significantly higher than the regional average of 14.6%. English ancestry makes up 11.7%, notably lower than the regional average of 20.1%. There are notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Sri Lankan at 2.5% (vs 0.8%), Indian at 8.8% (vs 4.2%), and Vietnamese at 2.8% (vs 1.9%).

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has a median age of 22 years, which is significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clayton (North) - Notting Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 at 48.4%, but fewer residents aged 45-54 at 3.3%. This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the previous census, the median age decreased by 4 years from 26 to 22, indicating a shift towards a younger demographic. The proportion of residents aged 15-24 increased from 37.2% to 48.4%, while those aged 25-34 decreased from 29.5% to 26.9% and those aged 35-44 dropped from 9.3% to 7.3%. By the year 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Clayton (North) - Notting Hill's age profile will change significantly. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 72%, adding 2,754 residents and reaching a total of 6,605 residents.