Clarinda

Clarinda has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, Clarinda's population is estimated at around 7,751. This reflects an increase of 310 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,441. The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,595 following examination of the ABS ERP data release in June 2024, along with an additional 41 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,208 persons per square kilometer, above the national average according to AreaSearch assessments. Clarinda's growth rate of 4.2% since the census is within 2.6 percentage points of the SA3 area's 6.8%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 282 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 1.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Clarinda is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Clarinda has recorded around 17 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 87 homes have been approved, with another 13 approved so far in FY26. Despite a falling population during this period, new supply appears to be keeping up with demand, offering good choice to buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $720,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year alone, there have been $8.3 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Clarinda's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clarinda shows approximately 60% of the construction activity per person. Nationally, it places among the 32nd percentile of areas assessed, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This activity is also below average nationally, suggesting possible planning constraints or market maturity. New development in Clarinda consists of 50.0% detached dwellings and 50.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant departure from the current housing pattern of 88.0% houses.

This shift towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. At around 521 people per approval, Clarinda indicates a mature market. Future projections show Clarinda adding 113 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Clarinda has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly impacted by changes in local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified 19 such projects that could potentially affect this area. Notable among these are the Monash Medical Centre Redevelopment, Canterbury Gardens Estate, Kingston Heath Residential Estate, and Bluff Road Hampton East Housing Development. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Clarinda has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Clarinda has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 3.8%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Over the past year, ending June 2025, employment grew by an estimated 3.6%. As of that date, 3,752 residents are employed, and workforce participation stands at 54.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The dominant sectors are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly prominent with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented at 8.2% of Clarinda's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparisons of working population and resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.6%, labour force by 4.2%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.5 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, these figures were similar: employment grew by 3.5%, labour force expanded by 4.0%, with a matching 0.5-point unemployment increase. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (Sep-22) project national growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Clarinda's employment mix suggests local growth of 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Clarinda had a median income among taxpayers of $49,379 with the average level standing at $59,180. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $54,892 and $73,761 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $55,383 (median) and $66,376 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows individual incomes lag at the 17th percentile ($640 weekly), while household income performs better at the 40th percentile. Looking at income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 31.2% of residents (2,418 people). After housing, 85.0% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Clarinda is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Clarinda's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 87.8% houses and 12.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 72.1% houses and 28.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clarinda stood at 44.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.2% and rented ones at 23.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,800. Median weekly rent in Clarinda was $394, compared to Melbourne metro's $350. Nationally, Clarinda's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Clarinda has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.4% of all households, including 38.0% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.6%, with lone person households at 20.7% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.8.

The educational profile of Clarinda exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Clarinda trail Greater Melbourne's benchmarks; 31.4% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 37.0%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (16.0%).

Educational participation is high at 25.5%, including primary education (8.1%), secondary education (6.3%), and tertiary education (5.2%). St Andrew's School and Clarinda Primary School serve a total of 652 students, with the area demonstrating above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1072). Both schools focus exclusively on primary education; secondary options are available in surrounding areas. The school places per 100 residents ratio is 8.4, lower than the regional average of 15.4, suggesting some students may attend schools outside Clarinda.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Clarinda shows 33 active public transport stops operating. These are mixed bus services. They are served by 8 different routes, providing a total of 1,894 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 233 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 270 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 57 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clarinda is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Clarinda faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~3897 people), compared to 47.5% in Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis, impacting 8.4% of residents, and mental health issues, affecting 7.5%.

However, 68.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.1% in Greater Melbourne. As of June 2021, the area has 26.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2038 people), higher than the 17.4% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Clarinda is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Clarinda has a high level of linguistic diversity, with 57.9% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 54.0% of Clarinda's population resides there. Christianity is the predominant religion in Clarinda, comprising 58.6%.

Buddhism, however, is underrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up only 7.7%. In terms of ancestry, Other groups are less prevalent than regionally, at 20.9%, while Greek ancestry is more common at 13.1%. Australian ancestry stands at 11.3%. Notably, Russian (1.0%), Sri Lankan (1.4%), and Indian (8.5%) ethnicities show higher representation compared to regional averages.

Clarinda hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Clarinda is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years, and considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Clarinda has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (12.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.8%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 8.0% to 9.6% of Clarinda's population, while the 45 to 54 age group declined from 12.2% to 11.0%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Clarinda's age structure, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 36%, reaching 1,012 people from 744. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 79% of total population growth, reflecting Clarinda's aging demographic profile. Conversely, both the 0 to 4 and 55 to 64 age groups are projected to see reduced numbers.