Endeavour Hills

Endeavour Hills has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on ABS population updates, as of Nov 2025 the Endeavour Hills statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 24,878. This reflects a growth of 423 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 24,455. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 24,759 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024), and an additional 107 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,622 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting employing weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth is anticipated with the Endeavour Hills (SA2) expected to expand by 325 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 0.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Endeavour Hills, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data in Endeavour Hills, shows around 45 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 227 homes. So far in FY-26, 15 approvals have been recorded. With population declining recently, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $510,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year, $46.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Endeavour Hills shows substantially reduced construction, 70.0% below regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. This level is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

Recent construction comprises 77.0% detached dwellings and 23.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. At around 1028 people per approval, Endeavour Hills shows a mature, established area. Population forecasts indicate Endeavour Hills will gain 204 residents through to 2041, based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Endeavour Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Endeavour Hills Community Precinct, Hallam Secondary College Upgrade, Dorset Road Extension, and Endeavour Hills Specialist School. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Endeavour Hills recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Endeavour Hills has a skilled workforce with strong manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 5.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 4.0% over the past year (AreaSearch).

As of September 2025, there are 12,696 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 59.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing has a notable concentration with levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services employ only 6.9% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Over the past year, employment increased by 4.0%, while labour force grew by 4.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points (AreaSearch). In comparison, Greater Melbourne had employment growth of 3.0% and an unemployment rate increase of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from VIC up to 25-Nov shows employment grew by 1.13%, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National forecasts suggest overall employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (Jobs and Skills Australia, May-25). Applying these projections to Endeavour Hills' employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 30 June 2023 for financial year 2023, Endeavour Hills had a median income among taxpayers of $48,071 and an average income of $56,567. This is below the national average of $57,688 and Greater Melbourne's average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated median income for September 2025 would be approximately $52,037 and average income $61,234. Census data shows household income ranks at the 49th percentile with weekly earnings of $1,740, while personal income is at the 24th percentile. Income analysis indicates that 35.4% of residents (8,806 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket, similar to the regional pattern where 32.8% occupy this range. After housing expenses, 85.3% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Endeavour Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Endeavour Hills' dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.6% houses and 12.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 88.1% houses and 11.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Endeavour Hills stood at 37.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.1% and rented ones at 19.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,848, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $1,900. The median weekly rent was recorded as $375, slightly higher than Melbourne metro's figure of $370. Nationally, Endeavour Hills' mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were comparable at $375.

Endeavour Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 81.8% of all households, including 42.9% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.2%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households making up 2.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Melbourne average.

Endeavour Hills performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 26.2%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 17.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are common, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (19.2%). Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.1% in primary, 8.0% in secondary, and 5.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Endeavour Hills shows there are currently 128 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 10 individual routes providing service. Together, these routes facilitate 1,772 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 181 meters from the nearest transport stop. On a daily basis, there are an average of 253 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Endeavour Hills's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Endeavour Hills residents have relatively positive health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 49% (~12,254 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 52.9%. Nationally, the average is 55.7%.

The most prevalent conditions are asthma (7.1%) and arthritis (7.0%), while 71.3% report no medical ailments. This compares to 72.0% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 20.3% of residents aged 65 and over (5,050 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.7%. Senior health outcomes are above average, mirroring the general population's profile.

Endeavour Hills is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Endeavour Hills, as of the 2016 Census, had a population where 54.1% spoke languages other than English at home. 51.5% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion at 51.1%.

Islam's representation stood at 13.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 11.4%. Ancestry-wise, 'Other' was highest at 27.1%, above the regional average of 22.0%. Australian ancestry accounted for 12.6% and English for 12.5%, lower than the regional averages of 18.1% each. Sri Lankan (3.0%), Serbian (2.4%), and Hungarian (1.0%) ancestries were notably higher compared to their respective regional averages of 2.3%, 1.4%, and 0.7%.

Endeavour Hills's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Endeavour Hills is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the cohort aged 65-74 is notably over-represented in Endeavour Hills at 12.3%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 12.8%. According to post-2021 Census data, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 4.4% to 6.1%, and the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 11.1% to 12.3%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has declined from 14.1% to 12.5%. Population forecasts for Endeavour Hills in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 74%, reaching 2,640 people from the current 1,517. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 89% of this anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 15 to 24 age groups are expected to experience population declines.