Lysterfield

Lysterfield is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Lysterfield's population is around 6,669 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 75 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,594 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,614 in June 2024 and an additional 45 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 360 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 77.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to increase by 344 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Lysterfield is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Lysterfield has recorded approximately 18 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 92 homes. As of FY-26, six approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, providing good choice for buyers. New homes are being built at an average value of $499,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $820,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lysterfield records around 60% of building activity per person and ranks among the 31st percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity shows 82.0% standalone homes and 18.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 100.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The estimated count of 535 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Lysterfield will gain 289 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Lysterfield has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to impact the area. Notable projects are Angliss Hospital Expansion, Kings Park Masterplan, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Dorset Road Extension. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Lysterfield places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Lysterfield has a well-educated workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 1.6% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0% over the past year. In this month, 4,121 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 3.0% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

The workforce participation rate was 75.9%, close to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 29.0% of residents worked from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment are construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 7.4%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0% while labour force grew by 0.9%, with unemployment remaining stable. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 4.0%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lysterfield's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Lysterfield SA2 has an exceptionally high national income level based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Lysterfield is $66,959, with an average income of $81,406. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median and average incomes of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Using Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates project the median income at approximately $72,483 and the average at $88,122 as of September 2025. According to Census figures from 2021, Lysterfield's household incomes rank at the 94th percentile with a weekly income of $2,756. Income distribution shows that 30.1% of residents (2,007 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, mirroring regional levels where 32.8% fall into this bracket. Lysterfield exhibits significant affluence with 46.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 88.8% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Lysterfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Lysterfield's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lysterfield stood at 38.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.3% and rented ones at 7.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Lysterfield was $435, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lysterfield's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,200 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lysterfield features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 88.6% of all households, including 55.3% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.4%, with lone person households at 10.7% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lysterfield exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Lysterfield trail regional benchmarks, with 28.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 20.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 32.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (21.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lysterfield has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes that together facilitate 749 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically residing 263 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuting is outward-bound, and cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 96%. On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling, surpassing the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 29% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 107 trips per day, equating to approximately 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lysterfield's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Lysterfield. AreaSearch's assessment indicates low prevalence of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (3,994 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.0 and 6.2% of residents respectively. Seventy-four point five percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 16.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,089 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Lysterfield was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lysterfield, surveyed in June 2016, showed above-average cultural diversity with 23.3% of its population born overseas and 18.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 55.0%, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne as of June 2016. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (25.4%), English (23.0%), and Other (9.3%).

Notably, Sri Lankan ancestry was overrepresented at 1.7%, Hungarian at 0.5%, and Italian at 6.7%.

Lysterfield's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Lysterfield's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lysterfield has a notably higher proportion of the 55-64 age group (17.0% locally compared to an average of 12.9%), while the 25-34 age group is under-represented (8.0% vs. 14.5%). The 55-64 concentration in Lysterfield is well above the national average of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group grew from 8.1% to 9.8%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.1% to 4.5%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 17.0% to 14.1%, and the 25 to 34 group decreased from 9.4% to 8.0%. Demographic modeling suggests that Lysterfield's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 75 to 84 cohort projected to grow by 75%, adding 226 residents to reach 530. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 83% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 15 to 24 age groups.