Lysterfield

Lysterfield is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Lysterfield's population is around 6,679 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 85 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,594 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,614 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 45 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 361 persons per square kilometer. Lysterfield's 1.3% growth since census positions it within 2.7 percentage points of the SA4 region (4.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 77.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is expected, with the area expected to grow by 344 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.2% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Lysterfield is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Lysterfield has averaged approximately 18 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 92 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved so far in FY26. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has been adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value of new properties is $499,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, commercial approvals totaling $820,000 have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lysterfield has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 31st percentile nationally, offering more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. This activity is lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and potential development constraints. New building activity consists of 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

This represents a shift from the current housing stock, which is entirely houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options. The estimated population per dwelling approval in Lysterfield is 535 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 279 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Lysterfield has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 39thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four major projects that could affect this region. Notable projects are the Angliss Hospital Expansion, Kings Park Masterplan, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Dorset Road Extension. The following details these projects, focusing on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Lysterfield rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Lysterfield has an educated workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate is 1.6% and it experienced 1.0% employment growth over the year ending September 2025.

As of that date, 4,121 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.0%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Workforce participation is high at 72.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The leading employment industries are construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Construction is particularly strong, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 7.4% compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.0% while labour force grew by 0.9%, keeping unemployment broadly stable. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%. State-wide in Victoria, employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to November 25, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lysterfield's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows Lysterfield SA2 has high incomes nationally. The median income is $62,690 and the average is $77,451. This compares to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $70,313 and average income $86,869, based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data ranks Lysterfield's household incomes at the 94th percentile ($2,756 weekly). Income brackets show 30.1% of locals (2,010 people) earn $1,500 - 2,999 per week, similar to broader area trends at 32.8%. A substantial proportion, 46.0%, earns above $3,000 weekly, indicating strong economic capacity. After housing costs, residents retain 88.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Lysterfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated dwelling structures in Lysterfield with 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 83.4% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lysterfield was recorded at 38.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.3% and rented ones at 7.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,200, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Lysterfield was $435, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Lysterfield's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lysterfield features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 88.6% of all households, including 55.3% couples with children, 24.3% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.4%, with lone person households at 10.7% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Lysterfield exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Lysterfield trail regional benchmarks, with 28.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. Bachelor degrees lead at 20.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 32.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (21.0%). Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.5% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lysterfield has 25 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 757 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Lysterfield is deemed good, with residents on average located 263 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 108 daily trips, which equates to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lysterfield's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Lysterfield, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 59% of the total population (3,927 people), compared to 51.8% across Greater Melbourne.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 7.0 and 6.2% of residents respectively, while 74.5% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.4% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 15.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,017 people), which is lower than the 19.5% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Lysterfield was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lysterfield had a cultural diversity level above average, with 23.3% of its population born overseas and 18.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Lysterfield, accounting for 55.0% of the population, compared to 45.2% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (25.4%), English (23.0%), and Other (9.3%).

Notably, Sri Lankan, Hungarian, and Italian ethnicities had higher representations in Lysterfield than regionally: Sri Lankan at 1.7% vs 1.4%, Hungarian at 0.5% vs 0.4%, and Italian at 6.7% vs 3.7%.

Lysterfield's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Lysterfield's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and slightly above Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lysterfield has a notably higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (17.3% vs. 12.9%) and a lower proportion of those aged 25-34 (8.4% vs. 10.4%). The national average for the 55-64 age group is 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, Lysterfield's population aged 65-74 increased from 8.1% to 9.5%, while those aged 75-84 rose from 3.1% to 4.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 decreased from 17.0% to 14.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Lysterfield's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 93%, adding 254 residents to reach 530. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to represent 90% of the population growth. However, declines are anticipated for those aged 0-4 and 5-14 years.