Upwey - Tecoma

Upwey - Tecoma has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Upwey-Tecoma's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was approximately 9,854 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 77 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 9,777. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,862 in June 2024 and an additional 10 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a population density of 1,108 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages observed across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Upwey-Tecoma's growth rate of 0.8% since the census places it within 2.5 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.3%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 56.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future trends indicate an overall population decline in Upwey-Tecoma over this period, with a projected reduction of 256 persons by 2041. However, growth is anticipated within specific age cohorts, notably the 75-84 age group, which is projected to increase by 347 people.

The level of residential development activity in Upwey - Tecoma is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Upwey - Tecoma has averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling 52 homes. As of May 2026, 5 approvals have been recorded in this financial year. The area's population decline has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $379,000.

In the current financial year, commercial development approvals amounting to $697,000 have been recorded, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Upwey - Tecoma has significantly less development activity, 73.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, this level is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 1403 people per dwelling approval, Upwey - Tecoma reflects a highly mature market. Given the expected stable or declining population, Upwey - Tecoma should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Upwey - Tecoma has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region: Angliss Hospital Expansion, Six Senses Resort And Spa At Burnham Beeches, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, and Fairpark Reserve are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Upwey - Tecoma demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Upwey-Teachamca has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%, with estimated employment growth of 1.1% over the past year as of September 2025.

There are 5,739 residents employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.8% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is high at 70.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Major employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

However, finance & insurance employs only 2.5% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 4.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1%, labour force grew by 0.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% with a rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Victorian employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Upwey-Teachamca's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2022 indicates that median income in Upwey - Tecoma SA2 is $54,381 and average income stands at $68,804. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's median income of $54,892 and average income of $73,761 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 12.16% from July 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income in Upwey - Tecoma is approximately $60,994 and average income is $77,171 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Upwey - Tecoma cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 36.0% of locals (3,547 people) with incomes between $1,500 and $2,999. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile nationally.

Upwey - Tecoma is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Upwey - Tecoma's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.8% houses and 2.2% other dwellings. This compares to Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upwey - Tecoma was 34.6%, similar to Melbourne metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings comprised 54.5% and rented ones made up 11.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. Median weekly rent was $375, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Upwey - Tecoma's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 than the Australian average of $1,863. Rents were comparable to the national figure of $375.

Upwey - Tecoma features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 78.8% of all households, including 39.4% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 19.3% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which matches the average for Greater Melbourne.

Upwey - Tecoma shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 32.9% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas account for 13.2% while certificates make up 23.5%.

Educational participation is high at 28.6%, including primary education at 9.6%, secondary education at 7.9%, and tertiary education at 4.7%.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 55 active transport stops operating within Upwey-Tecoma. These include a mix of train and bus services. Nine individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 2,133 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 267 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 304 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Upwey - Tecoma's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data for Upwey-Tecoma shows a relatively low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 54% (~5,291 people) of residents have private health cover, which is fairly high compared to other areas. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (affecting 9.8% of residents) and asthma (9.0%). A total of 68.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 66.9%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.1% (1,687 people) compared to Greater Melbourne's 19.4%. Health outcomes among seniors in Upwey-Tecoma are above average and generally align with the overall population's health profile.

Upwey - Tecoma ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Upwey-Tecoma, as per the census conducted on 28 August 2016, showed lower cultural diversity with 82.5% of its population born in Australia, 92.3% being citizens, and 93.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 31.4% of Upwey-Tecoma's population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% in Greater Melbourne.

Ancestry-wise, the top groups were English (31.0%), Australian (25.9%), and Irish (10.1%). Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Dutch (2.9% vs regional 3.2%), Hungarian (0.5% vs 0.3%), and Polish (1.0% vs 0.7%).

Upwey - Tecoma's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Upwey-Tecoma has a median age of 41 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Upwey-Tecoma has an over-representation of the 55-64 age cohort (13.9% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (9.2%). Following the census on 2021-08-11, the 75 to 84 age group increased from 3.4% to 5.2%, while the 25 to 34 cohort decreased from 11.2% to 9.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Upwey-Tecoma's age profile. The 75 to 84 cohort is projected to grow by 60%, adding 303 residents to reach 812. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 99% of the population growth, with declines projected for the 65 to 74 and 25 to 34 age groups.