Upwey - Tecoma

Upwey - Tecoma has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Upwey-Tecoma's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 9,883, showing a 1.1% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 9,777 people. This growth is inferred from ABS data: an estimated resident population of 9,867 in June 2025 and 19 new addresses since the Census date. The population density is around 1,111 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Upwey-Tecoma's growth rate, at 1.1%, is within 2.4 percentage points of its SA3 area (3.5%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.5% of overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate a decline overall, with Upwey-Tecoma's population expected to decrease by 234 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are projected to grow, notably the 75-84 age group, which is anticipated to increase by 291 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Upwey - Tecoma is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Upwey-Tecoma has averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 52 homes. As of FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $379,000.

In this financial year, commercial development approvals totalled $697,000, indicating a primarily residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Upwey-Tecoma has significantly less development activity, with 73.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Nationally, this level is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% medium to high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 1403 people per dwelling approval, Upwey-Tecoma reflects a highly mature market. Given expected population stability or decline, Upwey-Tecoma should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Upwey - Tecoma has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. A single project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting this area. Key projects include Angliss Hospital Expansion, Six Senses Resort And Spa At Burnham Beeches, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, and Fairpark Reserve. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Upwey - Tecoma demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Upwey - Tecoma has an educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.1% as of December 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.5%.

As of December 2025, 5755 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 73.5%, similar to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. A significant portion, 33.3%, of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, education & training employs 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, finance & insurance employs only 2.5% of local workers compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.5%, and labour force grew by 1.5%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable at around 1.7%. By comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising to 5.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Upwey - Tecoma's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Upwey - Tecoma SA2 has an above-average income. The median is $58,557 and the average is $71,506. In Greater Melbourne, the median is $57,688 and the average is $75,164. By March 2026, estimated incomes are approximately $64,190 (median) and $78,385 (average), based on a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Upwey - Tecoma are at the 71st percentile nationally. The predominant income cohort is 36.0% of locals (3,557 people) earning $1,500 to $2,999 per week. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of their income. Upwey - Tecoma's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Upwey - Tecoma is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Upwey-Tecoma's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.8% houses and 2.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upwey-Tecoma stood at 34.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.5% and rented ones at 11.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent was $375, similar to Melbourne metro's figure of $390. Nationally, Upwey-Tecoma's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were comparable at $375.

Upwey - Tecoma features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.8 percent of all households, including 39.4 percent couples with children, 27.1 percent couples without children, and 11.7 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.2 percent, with lone person households at 19.3 percent and group households comprising 2.0 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Upwey - Tecoma shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates of 32.9% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 23.8%. This reflects the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (23.5%). Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.6%), secondary education (7.9%), and tertiary education (4.7%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Upwey-Tecoma has 54 active public transport stops, all buses. These are served by 10 routes offering 2,317 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good accessibility, with an average distance of 267 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Cars dominate at 89%, with trains used by 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above regional norms.

In 2021 Census data (possibly influenced by COVID-19), 33.3% of residents worked from home. Service frequency averaged 331 trips daily across all routes, or about 42 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Upwey - Tecoma is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Upwey-Tecoma shows better-than-average health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Both younger and older age groups have low prevalence of common health issues. Approximately 55% (~5,425 people) have private health cover, which is relatively high. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.8%) and asthma (9.0%). About 68.4% claim to be free from medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes for working-age residents are generally typical. As of 15/03/2021, the area has 17.4% (1,721 people) aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Senior health outcomes are above average and align with national rankings for the general population.

Upwey - Tecoma ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Upwey-Tecoma showed lower cultural diversity, with 82.5% born in Australia, 92.3% being citizens, and 93.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 31.4%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (31.0%), Australian (25.9%), and Irish (10.1%). Dutch (2.9%) and Hungarian (0.5%) were notably overrepresented, while Polish (1.0%) showed a slight increase compared to regional averages.

Upwey - Tecoma's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Upwey-Tecoma's median age is 41 years, higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Locally, the 55-64 age group comprises 13.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.1%. Post-2021 Census, the 75-84 age group grew from 3.4% to 5.5%, and the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.4% to 12.5%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 11.2% to 9.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Upwey-Tecoma's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 43%, adding 233 residents to reach 775. All growth will come from residents aged 65 and older. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 65-74 cohorts.