Upwey - Tecoma

Upwey - Tecoma has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Upwey - Tecoma's population is around 9,880 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 103 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,777 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,862 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,111 persons per square kilometer. Upwey - Tecoma's growth rate of 1.1% since census positions it within 2.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 56.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projections indicate a decline in overall population by 256 persons by 2041. However, growth is anticipated among specific age cohorts, led by the 75 to 84 age group projected to increase by 347 people.

The level of residential development activity in Upwey - Tecoma is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Upwey-Tecoma averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 52 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 5 recorded approvals. The area has experienced population decline, with housing supply adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market and good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $379,000.

This financial year, $697,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Upwey-Tecoma has significantly less development activity, 73.0% below the regional average per person. The limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. This level is also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 1403 people per dwelling approval, Upwey-Tecoma reflects a highly mature market. Given the expected stable or declining population, Upwey-Tecoma should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Upwey - Tecoma has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely impacting this region. Key projects are Angliss Hospital Expansion, Six Senses Resort And Spa At Burnham Beeches, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, and Fairpark Reserve. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Upwey - Tecoma demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Upwey-Tecoma has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.1%.

As of September 2025, 5,739 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8% and workforce participation at 73.2%. Notably, 33.3% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area specializes in education & training, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, but finance & insurance employs only 2.5% of local workers compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.9%.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1%, labour force grew by 0.8%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and a rise in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Upwey-Tecoma's employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 shows median income in Upwey - Tecoma SA2 at $58,557 and average income at $71,506. This compares to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Assuming an 8.25% increase based on the Wage Price Index growth since June 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $63,388 and average income $77,405. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Upwey - Tecoma cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. The dominant income bracket is $1,500 - $2,999, with 36.0% of locals (3,556 people) falling into this category. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of their income. Upwey - Tecoma's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Upwey - Tecoma is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Upwey-Tecoma's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 97.8% houses and 2.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upwey-Tecoma stood at 34.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.5% and rented ones at 11.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $375, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Upwey-Tecoma's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were comparable at $375.

Upwey - Tecoma features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.8% of all households, including 39.4% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 19.3% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Upwey - Tecoma shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 32.9% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA3 area average of 23.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.4% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas account for 13.2% and certificates for 23.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The Upwey-Tecoma area has 54 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by ten different routes that collectively facilitate 2,317 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport options is deemed good, with residents typically situated 267 meters from the nearest stop. In this predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 89% of residents, while trains are used by 6%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion (33.3%) of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 331 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Upwey - Tecoma is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Upwey-Tecoma demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 55% (~5,424 people) of the total population has private health cover. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.8%) and asthma (9.0%). Around 68.4% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. The area has 18.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,774 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Upwey - Tecoma ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Upwey-Tecoma, when assessed for cultural diversity, showed a below-average score with 82.5% of its residents born in Australia, 92.3% being citizens, and 93.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 31.4% of Upwey-Tecoma's population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 1.0%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (31.0%), Australian (25.9%), and Irish (10.1%). These percentages were substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 20.1%, 18.4%, and 7.6%. Additionally, certain ethnic groups showed notable deviations from the regional norm: Dutch at 2.9% compared to 1.2%, Hungarian at 0.5% versus 0.3%, and Polish at 1.0% against 0.8%.

Upwey - Tecoma's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Upwey-Tecoma's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Upwey-Tecoma has an over-representation of the 55-64 cohort at 13.6% locally, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.9%. Post-2021 Census, the 75-84 age group grew from 3.4% to 5.8%, the 25-34 cohort declined from 11.2% to 8.9%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 14.6% to 13.6%. By 2041, Upwey-Tecoma's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 43%, adding 242 residents to reach 812. All population growth will be among residents aged 65 and older. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 25-34 age groups.