Kilsyth South

Kilsyth South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Kilsyth South statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,986 people. This figure reflects an increase of 124 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,862 people in the same area. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,941 following their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with validation of eight new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio for Kilsyth South stands at approximately 891 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across areas assessed by AreaSearch. The area's population growth rate of 4.3% since the Census positions it within 0.6 percentage points of the SA4 region (4.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains in Kilsyth South during recent periods, driving primary population growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Kilsyth South (SA2) is expected to expand by 133 persons to reach a population of approximately 3,119 by the year 2041. This anticipated increase reflects an overall growth rate of 0.3% over the 17-year period from 2025 to 2041.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kilsyth South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Kilsyth South has received around 8 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 43 homes were approved, with one more approved in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, benefiting buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $488,000, targeting the premium segment. This financial year, $9.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kilsyth South records about 68% of building activity per person and ranks among the 62nd percentile nationally, suggesting established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 40.0% standalone homes and 60.0% townhouses or apartments, providing accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 98.0% houses. Kilsyth South reflects low density with around 238 people per approval.

Future projections estimate an addition of 8 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Kilsyth South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 10 projects likely affecting this region. Notable projects include Bayswater North Primary School Redevelopment and Upgrades, Kilsyth Connect Logistics Park, Bayswater Business Precinct Transformation Strategy, and Wendys and Jasbe Petroleum Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Kilsyth South exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Kilsyth South has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. The unemployment rate in the area was 3.5% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.9% over the past year.

This is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1794 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.1% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Kilsyth South stood at 73.1%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment among residents is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

The area shows strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have limited presence at 5.2% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. While local employment opportunities exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.9%, labour force grew by 1.3%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points in Kilsyth South. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, employment growth was 0.14%, and the unemployment rate stood at 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kilsyth South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's compilation of recent postcode-level ATO data for financial year 2023, Kilsyth South's median taxpayer income was $53,620, with an average of $61,232. These figures are lower than the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 in Greater Melbourne respectively. Considering a 8.25% increase based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $58,044 (median) and $66,284 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household incomes rank at the 84th percentile ($2,328 weekly), while personal incomes rank lower at the 56th percentile. The dominant income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, with 35.4% of residents (1,057 people). This aligns with broader metropolitan trends, where 32.8% fall into the same category. Economic strength is evident with 34.3% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting robust consumer spending. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 88.7% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kilsyth South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kilsyth South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.5% houses and 2.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilsyth South stood at 41.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 5.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Kilsyth South was $426, higher than Melbourne metro's $385. Nationally, Kilsyth South's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Kilsyth South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 87.0% of all households, including 51.0% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.9% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which exceeds the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kilsyth South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 13.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 11.6% and certificates make up 27.6%. Educational participation is high at 27.2%, including 8.4% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilsyth South has 18 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes, together offering 864 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 303 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 123 trips per day across all routes, translating to about 48 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kilsyth South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Kilsyth South shows superior health outcomes for both young and elderly populations, with low prevalence of common conditions. Approximately 51% (~1,525 people) have private health cover, lower than Greater Melbourne's 55.0%.

Mental health issues affect 9.6%, asthma impacts 8.7%, while 67.8% report no medical ailments, compared to 68.7% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 14.1% (421 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 19.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, surpassing general population metrics.

Kilsyth South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilsyth South, as per the census conducted on Tuesday 9 June 2009, showed low cultural diversity with 85.2% of its population born in Australia and 94.5% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 91.9%. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 44.4%.

Judaism, however, was slightly overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, Australians topped the list at 30.0% (higher than the regional average of 24.2%), followed by English at 30.0% and Scottish at 7.4%. Notably, Dutch ethnicity was overrepresented at 3.4%, compared to the regional average of 2.1%, while Hungarian was at 0.6% (regional: 0.3%) and Welsh at 0.8% (regional: 0.5%).

Kilsyth South's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kilsyth South is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 17.9% of the population, compared to Greater Melbourne's figure, indicating a strong representation in this age bracket. This percentage is considerably higher than the national average of 11.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.5% to 5.1%, while the 35 to 44 cohort has risen from 10.3% to 11.4%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 17.8% to 16.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Kilsyth South. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 56%, reaching 238 people from the current 152, reflecting an aging population trend. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 68% of total population growth. In contrast, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.