Kilsyth South

Kilsyth South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The population of Kilsyth South, as estimated by AreaSearch based on ABS updates and new addresses validated since the 2021 Census, is around 3,192 as of November 2025. This represents an increase of 330 people (11.5%) from the previous population count of 2,862 in 2021. The estimated resident population used for this calculation was 3,106, derived by AreaSearch after examining ABS's latest ERP data release from June 2024 and considering an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of approximately 952 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kilsyth South's population growth since the 2021 Census has been significant, at 11.5%, surpassing both the SA4 region (4.0%) and the SA3 area. This growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Kilsyth South's future population trends are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Kilsyth South is expected to experience a population increase just below the national median by 2041. The suburb is projected to expand by an additional 136 persons over the next 17 years, reflecting a decline of 6.1% in total population growth rate during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kilsyth South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Between FY-21 and FY-25, Kilsyth South had an average of 9 new dwelling approvals per year, with a total of 48 homes approved during this period. In FY-26, 4 more dwellings have been approved so far. The average construction cost value for these new homes is $488,000.

This financial year has seen $2.0 million in commercial development approvals, indicating limited commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kilsyth South has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 63rd percentile nationally for building activity. Recent construction comprises 50% standalone homes and 50% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 98% houses. There are approximately 228 people per dwelling approval in Kilsyth South, suggesting room for growth despite expectations of stable or declining population.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Kilsyth South should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Kilsyth South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that may impact this region. Notable ones include Bayswater North Primary School Redevelopment and Upgrades, Kilsyth Connect Logistics Park, Bayswater Business Precinct Transformation Strategy, and Wendys and Jasbe Petroleum Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Kilsyth South shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Kilsyth South has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 3.2% as of an unspecified past year, with estimated employment growth of 0.6%.

As of June 2025, 1,790 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.4% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Kilsyth South is high at 73.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction employment levels are particularly high, at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services employ only 5.2% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work, indicating available local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending in an unspecified date, employment increased by 0.6%, labour force grew by 1.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.5%, labour force growth of 4.0%, and an increase in unemployment of 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in Sep-22, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kilsyth South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data shows Kilsyth South had a median taxpayer income of $53,620 and an average income of $61,232 in financial year 2022. Nationally, the figures were $54,892 and $73,761 respectively for Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, estimates suggest median and average incomes will be approximately $60,140 and $68,678 respectively, based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 84th percentile ($2,328 weekly), while personal incomes rank at the 56th percentile. The largest income bracket comprises 35.4% of residents earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,129 residents). Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 34.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 88.7% of their income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kilsyth South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kilsyth South's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.5% houses and 2.5% other dwellings. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilsyth South was at 41.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 5.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Kilsyth South was $426, compared to Melbourne metro's $385. Nationally, Kilsyth South's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher at $426 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kilsyth South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.0% of all households, including 51.0% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.9% and group households comprising 0.9% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kilsyth South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 27.6%. Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 8.4% in secondary, 8.1% in primary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, necessitating families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilsyth South has 18 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 953 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically located 303 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 136 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kilsyth South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Kilsyth South exhibits above-average health outcomes for both young and elderly populations, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 51% (~1630 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 54.1%.

Mental health issues affect 9.6%, asthma impacts 8.7%, while 67.8% report no medical ailments, compared to 68.7% in Greater Melbourne. The area has 14.0% (446 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 19.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Kilsyth South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilsyth South, as per the 2016 Census, showed low cultural diversity with 85.2% of its population born in Australia and 94.5% being citizens. English was spoken at home by 91.9%. Christianity was the predominant religion at 44.4%.

Judaism, however, was slightly overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, Australian (30.0%) and English (30.0%) were the top groups, significantly higher than the regional averages of 24.2% and 18.9% respectively. Scottish ancestry was at 7.4%. Notable overrepresentations included Dutch at 3.4%, Hungarian at 0.6%, and Welsh at 0.8%.

Kilsyth South hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Kilsyth South is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group makes up 17.9% of the population in Kilsyth South, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort represents only 9.5%. This concentration of the 55-64 age group is well above the national average of 11.2%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.5% to 5.0% of the population in Kilsyth South. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 10.3% to 11.4%, but the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 17.8% to 16.2%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Kilsyth South. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 50%, reaching 239 people from its current figure of 159. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 78% of the total population growth in the area, reflecting Kilsyth South's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.