Kilsyth South

Kilsyth South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The population of Kilsyth South is estimated at around 2,984 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 122 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,862 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,941 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 890 persons per square kilometer. Kilsyth South's growth rate of 4.3% since census positions it within 0.6 percentage points of the SA4 region (4.9%). Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest a median increase just below national averages, with the suburb expected to expand by 130 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 2.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kilsyth South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Kilsyth South averaged approximately 8 new dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 41 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved in FY-26 as of the present date. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $488,000, indicating a focus on the premium market by developers. This financial year has seen $9.4 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kilsyth South shows approximately 64% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 59th percentile of areas assessed nationally. However, recent periods have seen an increase in development activity, though it remains below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New development in Kilsyth South consists of 40.0% standalone homes and 60.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 98.0% houses). This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

At around 260 people per approval, Kilsyth South reflects a low density area. Future projections show Kilsyth South adding approximately 87 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Kilsyth South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Ten projects identified by AreaSearch are likely to impact the area significantly. These include Bayswater North Primary School Redevelopment and Upgrades, Kilsyth Connect Logistics Park, Bayswater Business Precinct Transformation Strategy, Wendys and Jasbe Petroleum Development.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kilsyth South has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kilsyth South has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 3.9% as of December 2015, with an estimated employment growth of 1.1% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. By December 2025, 1,785 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation was at 73.7%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Census responses indicated that 23.4% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing sectors. The area has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have limited presence, with only 5.2% of employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Despite local employment opportunities, many residents commute elsewhere for work, as indicated by the Census working population count against local population. Between December 2014 and December 2015, employment levels increased by 1.1%, labour force grew by 1.8%, resulting in a rise of unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne during the same period, employment grew by 2.4%, labour force expanded by 2.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kilsyth South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 30 June 2023 for financial year 2023, Kilsyth South had a median taxpayer income of $53,620 and an average income of $61,232. Nationally, the median was $57,688 and the average was $75,164. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $58,044 (median) and $66,284 (average), based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data shows household incomes ranked at the 84th percentile with a weekly income of $2,328, while personal incomes ranked at the 56th percentile. The dominant income bracket was $1,500 - $2,999, with 35.4% of residents (1,056 people). In Kilsyth South, 34.3% of households had high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, indicating strong consumer spending power. After housing costs, residents retained 88.7% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Kilsyth South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kilsyth South's dwellings, as recorded in the latest Census, were 97.5% houses and 2.5% other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilsyth South stood at 41.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 5.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,000, while the median weekly rent was $426, higher than Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kilsyth South's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Kilsyth South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.0% of all households, including 51.0% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.9% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kilsyth South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (27.6%). Educational participation is high at 27.2%, with 8.4% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilsyth South has 18 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 7 different routes that together facilitate 864 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 303 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, and cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 94%. On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 23.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 123 trips per day, equating to approximately 48 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kilsyth South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Kilsyth South shows better-than-average health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups have low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~1,524 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.6%) and asthma (8.7%). 67.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are generally typical. As of 14/03/2021, the area has 14.9% of residents aged 65 and over (444 people). Senior health outcomes are notably strong, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

Kilsyth South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilsyth South, as per the 2016 Census, had a population where 85.2% were born in Australia, 94.5% were citizens, and 91.9% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 44.4%. However, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.0%), English (30.0%), and Scottish (7.4%). Notably, Dutch (3.4%) and Hungarian (0.6%) were overrepresented, while Welsh was also notable at 0.8%.

Kilsyth South's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kilsyth South is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 17.4% of the population in Kilsyth South, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 age group makes up 9.2%. This concentration of the 55-64 cohort is notably higher than the national average of 11.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has grown from 3.5% to 5.6%, and the 65-74 cohort has increased from 7.5% to 8.7%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 17.8% to 15.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Kilsyth South. Notably, the 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 18%, reaching 559 people from 474. The combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 57% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55-64 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.