Kilsyth South

Kilsyth South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The population of Kilsyth South is estimated at around 2,984 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 2,862 people, representing a growth of 122 individuals (4.3%). The latest estimate by AreaSearch uses resident population data from June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date, totaling 2,941 residents. This results in a density ratio of approximately 890 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kilsyth South's growth rate since the census is 4.3%, positioning it within 0.6 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 4.9%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 67% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted to SA2 levels for areas not covered by the ABS data. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the national median, with Kilsyth South expected to expand by 125 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 0.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kilsyth South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Kilsyth South shows an average of approximately 8 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 43 homes were approved, with 1 more approved so far in FY-26. The population has been declining recently, suggesting that new supply has kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $488,000, indicating a focus on the premium market and high-end developments. This financial year, $9.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting balanced commercial development activity compared to Greater Melbourne. Kilsyth South shows approximately 68% of the construction activity per person nationally, placing it among the 62nd percentile of areas assessed, though development activity has picked up recently. This is under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 40.0% standalone homes and 60.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 98.0% houses). This trend suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Kilsyth South reflects a low density area with around 238 people per approval. Future projections show the area adding 16 residents by 2041, with current development rates expected to comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Kilsyth South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Ten projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include the redevelopment and upgrades at Bayswater North Primary School, the Kilsyth Connect Logistics Park project, the Bayswater Business Precinct Transformation Strategy, and the Wendys and Jasbe Petroleum Development. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kilsyth South exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Kilsyth South has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being notably prominent. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8%. As of September 2025, 1,786 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 23.4% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level, while professional & technical has limited presence at 5.2% compared to the regional 10.1%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.8%, labour force increased by 1.3%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment grew by 3.0%, labour force expanded by 3.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kilsyth South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Kilsyth South had a median income among taxpayers of $53,620 with an average level of $61,232. This is lower than the national average and compares to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,044 (median) and $66,284 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank at the 84th percentile with $2,328 weekly, though personal income ranks lower at the 56th percentile. Income brackets indicate that 35.4% of residents (1,056 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 32.8% in the same category. Economic strength is evident through 34.3% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.7% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kilsyth South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Kilsyth South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.5% houses and 2.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasted with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilsyth South stood at 41.3%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (53.3%) or rented (5.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Kilsyth South was $426, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kilsyth South's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kilsyth South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.0% of all households, including 51.0% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.9% and group households at 0.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kilsyth South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 27.6%. Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.4% in secondary, 8.1% in primary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilsyth South has 18 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 864 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 303 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most Kilsyth South residents commute outwards, primarily using cars at a rate of 94%. On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling, surpassing the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 23.4% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, an average of 123 trips is made daily, equating to roughly 48 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kilsyth South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Kilsyth South shows above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (around 1,524 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.6%) and asthma (8.7%). Around 67.8% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has approximately 15.0% of residents aged 65 and over (447 people). Health outcomes among seniors rank higher than the general population nationally.

Kilsyth South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilsyth South, surveyed in 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 85.2% born in Australia and 94.5% being citizens. English was spoken exclusively at home by 91.9%. Christianity dominated religiously, comprising 44.4%, while Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

Ancestry wise, Australian (30.0%) and English (30.0%) groups were significantly higher than regional averages of 18.4% and 20.1% respectively. Scottish ancestry stood at 7.4%. Dutch (3.4%), Hungarian (0.6%), and Welsh (0.8%) ethnicities showed notable overrepresentation compared to their respective regional averages of 1.2%, 0.3%, and 0.4%.

Kilsyth South's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kilsyth South is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 17.6% of the population, compared to Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.2%. This concentration of the 55-64 age group is well above the national average of 11.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.5% to 5.7%, and the 65 to 74 cohort has increased from 7.5% to 8.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 17.8% to 16.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Kilsyth South. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 43%, adding 72 people, reaching a total of 243 from the previous 170. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 62% of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 55 to 64 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.