Kilsyth South

Kilsyth South has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS data and validated addresses, the population of Kilsyth South is estimated to be around 2,891 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 29 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,862. The current population estimate of 2,870, as calculated by AreaSearch using June 2025 ABS ERP data and additional validated addresses, supports this growth. This results in a population density of approximately 863 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kilsyth South's 1.0% growth since the census is within 2.8 percentage points of the SA4 region's 3.8%, indicating competitive growth trends. Overseas migration contributed around 67.0% of overall population gains in recent periods, driving primary growth for the suburb.

AreaSearch projections for Kilsyth South are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest a median national area increase, with Kilsyth South expected to grow by approximately 126 persons to reach around 3,017 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of about 3.6% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kilsyth South, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Kilsyth South averaged approximately 8 new dwelling approvals annually, with about 41 homes approved between FY21-FY25. In FY26 up to June, around 9 dwellings have been approved. The average construction cost value of these new homes is approximately $488,000.

Around $9.4 million in commercial development approvals were recorded by June FY26. Comparing with Greater Melbourne, Kilsyth South shows about 65% of the construction activity per person, ranking at around the 58th percentile nationally. However, recent periods have seen an increase in development activity. The area's established nature and potential planning limitations are suggested by its development activity being below the national average. New development consists of approximately 40.0% standalone homes and 60.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of about 98.0% houses. Kilsyth South reflects a low density area with around 265 people per approval.

Future projections estimate an increase of approximately 105 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Kilsyth South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Ten infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. These include the redevelopment and upgrades at Bayswater North Primary School, the Kilsyth Connect Logistics Park project, the Bayswater Business Precinct Transformation Strategy, and the Wendys and Jasbe Petroleum Development. The following list details those considered most relevant.

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Employment performance in Kilsyth South has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kilsyth South has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. The unemployment rate was 4.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.6%. As of December 2025, 1,745 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7%, which is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation is at 74.0%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 23.4% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. The area shows strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services have a limited presence at 5.2%, compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.6% and labour force increased by 1.3%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment grew by 2.4%, labour force expanded by 2.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kilsyth South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Kilsyth South had a median taxpayer income of $53,620 and an average income of $61,232. These figures are lower than national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 for Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% from financial year ending June 2023 to March 2026, estimated median income would be approximately $58,778 and average income $67,123 by that date. Census data from 2021 shows household incomes rank at the 84th percentile with a weekly income of $2,328, while personal incomes rank lower at the 56th percentile. Income brackets indicate that 35.4% of residents (1,023 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, consistent with broader metropolitan trends showing 32.8% in the same category. Economic strength is evident with 34.3% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.7% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kilsyth South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kilsyth South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.5% houses and 2.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kilsyth South stood at 41.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 5.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Kilsyth South was $426, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kilsyth South's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $426 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kilsyth South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.0% of all households, including 51.0% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.9% and group households comprising 0.9% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kilsyth South shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 18.8%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (27.6%). Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.4% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kilsyth South has 18 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that collectively facilitate 864 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these transport services is considered good, with residents on average being located 303 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 94% of residents. On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 23.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 123 trips per day, equating to approximately 48 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Kilsyth South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Kilsyth South shows better-than-average health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups have low prevalence of common health issues.

Private health cover is relatively low at around 51% (~1,476 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent conditions are mental health issues (9.6%) and asthma (8.7%), while 67.8% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are generally typical. The area has 14.6% of residents aged 65 and over (422 people). Senior health outcomes rank higher than the general population nationally.

Kilsyth South ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kilsyth South, as per the 2016 Census, had a cultural diversity below average. It recorded 85.2% of its population born in Australia, with 94.5% being citizens and 91.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 44.4%.

However, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%. Top ancestry groups were Australian (30.0%), English (30.0%), and Scottish (7.4%). Notably, Dutch (3.4%) Hungarian (0.6%), and Welsh (0.8%) ethnicities had higher representations than regional averages of 1.2%, 0.3%, and 0.4% respectively.

Kilsyth South's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kilsyth South is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 17.3% of the population in Kilsyth South, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.7%. This proportion of the 55-64 age group is considerably higher than the national average of 11.2%. According to the post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has grown from 3.5% to 5.3%, and the 65-74 cohort has increased from 7.5% to 8.7%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 17.8% to 15.9%. Population forecasts for Kilsyth South indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 19%, reaching 549 people from the current 459. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 53% of total population growth, reflecting Kilsyth South's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55-64 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.