Boronia

Population growth drivers in Boronia are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Boronia's population was around 25,173 as of November 2025. This showed an increase of 1,613 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,560. The change was inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 24,682 in June 2024 and an additional 349 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 2,235 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Boronia's growth rate of 6.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (4.0%) and the SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 74.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is projected to expand by 3,256 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 10.5% in total over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Boronia when compared nationally

Boronia has recorded approximately 129 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 647 homes. As of FY-26, 42 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.3 people moved to the area for each dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand dynamics. The average construction value of new properties is $464,000, aligning with regional trends.

In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $11.6 million, reflecting steady investment activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia has a moderately higher new home approval rate, at 19.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. New building activity comprises 24.0% detached houses and 76.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current housing pattern of 71.0% houses. With approximately 237 people per approval, Boronia reflects a transitioning market.

By 2041, population forecasts indicate an increase of 2,648 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Current construction levels suggest adequate housing supply to meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Boronia has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 35 projects that could impact the area, with key ones being the 1-13 Erica Avenue Apartments project, the Boronia Station Upgrade & Plaza project, and the Tormore Reserve Pavilion Upgrade project. The development at 285-289 Dorset Road is also notable. A list of projects likely to be most relevant follows.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Boronia shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Boronia has a skilled workforce with prominent manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 5.1%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2% over the past year.

As of June 2025, 12,863 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.4% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Boronia is similar to Greater Melbourne's at 64.1%. The area's employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing stands out with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 8.2% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 1.2%, labour force grew by 0.7%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.5% and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data from Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Boronia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Boronia SA2 had a median income of $53,499 and an average income of $60,853 among taxpayers. These figures were below the national average and compared to $54,892 and $73,761 in Greater Melbourne respectively. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 12.16%, median income is estimated at approximately $60,004 and average income at $68,253. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Boronia ranked modestly, between the 41st and 48th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The predominant income cohort was 35.4% of locals (8,911 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999 annually, similar to the broader regional trend of 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 82.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 40th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Boronia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Boronia's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.3% houses and 28.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Melbourne metro's 79.4% houses and 20.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Boronia stood at 30.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.5% and rented ones at 28.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,869, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Boronia was $376, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Boronia's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,869 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were also higher at $376 compared to the national figure of $375.

Boronia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.1% of all households, consisting of 28.6% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.9%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households making up 3.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Boronia performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Boronia's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's regional benchmarks, with 27.6% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the regional average of 37.0%. This indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement in Boronia. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 35.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (23.7%).

Educational participation is notably high in Boronia, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.7% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Boronia has 115 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. There are 18 individual routes operating in total, facilitating 4,547 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents on average being located 218 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages at 649 trips per day, which equates to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Boronia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Boronia faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~12,586 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues impact 9.8% of residents, while asthma affects 8.9%. A total of 65.3% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.4% across Greater Melbourne. As of June 2017, 18.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (4,679 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Boronia was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Boronia's population showed high cultural diversity, with 28.4% born overseas and 21.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 40.0%. Buddhism, however, was more prevalent in Boronia at 3.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (26.5%), Australian (24.3%), and Other (8.5%). Some ethnic groups had notable disparities: Hungarian (Boronia 0.5% vs regional 0.4%), Dutch (Boronia 2.1% vs regional 1.8%), and Sri Lankan (Boronia 0.9% vs regional 1.4%).

Boronia's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Boronia is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia has a notably higher proportion of the 65-74 age cohort (9.3% locally) and a lower proportion of 15-24 year-olds (10.2%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group has increased from 15.1% to 16.1% of Boronia's population, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 15.8% to 14.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Boronia. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 23%, adding 739 people, reaching a total of 3,967 from the current 3,227. Conversely, both the 35-44 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.