Boronia

Population growth drivers in Boronia are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Boronia's population is 25,173 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,613 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 23,560. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 24,682 in June 2024 and an additional 349 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,235 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Boronia's growth rate of 6.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (4.0%) and the SA3 area, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 74.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 and made adjustments using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected for the area, with an expected expansion of 3,256 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 10.5% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Boronia when compared nationally

Boronia has recorded approximately 129 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 647 homes. As of FY-26, 51 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.3 people per year have moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand dynamics. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $276,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

In FY-26, commercial approvals have totalled $11.6 million, reflecting steady commercial investment activity in the area. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia has shown moderately higher new home approvals, with 19.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, preserving reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. The current building activity focuses on higher-density living, with 24.0% detached houses and 76.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the existing housing pattern of 71.0% houses. This transition reflects diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With approximately 237 people per approval, Boronia's population is forecasted to grow by 2,648 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate.

Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Boronia has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include 1-13 Erica Avenue Apartments, Boronia Station Upgrade & Plaza, Tormore Reserve Pavilion Upgrade, and 285-289 Dorset Road Development. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Boronia shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Boronia has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 5.5%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2% over the past year.

As of September 2025, there are 12,898 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.6%. This is 0.9% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%, but workforce participation is similar at 64.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Manufacturing shows particularly strong specialization, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have lower representation at 8.2% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited due to a predominantly residential area. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.2%, while labour force grew by 0.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising slightly by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years for Boronia, based on its current employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch reports median taxpayer income in Boronia SA2 was $53,499 and average income was $60,853 in financial year 2022. These figures are lower than the national averages of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively for Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $60,004 and average income is $68,253, based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. In the 2021 Census, Boronia's household, family, and personal incomes ranked modestly between the 41st and 48th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 35.4% of locals (8,911 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, consistent with broader regional trends at 32.8%. Severe housing affordability pressures are evident, with only 82.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 40th percentile. Boronia's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Boronia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Boronia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.3% houses and 28.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 83.4% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Boronia stood at 30.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.5% and rented ones at 28.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,869, below Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $376, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Boronia's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Boronia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.1 percent of all households, including 28.6 percent couples with children, 25.4 percent couples without children, and 12.7 percent single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.9 percent, with lone person households at 28.6 percent and group households comprising 3.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Boronia performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Boronia's educational qualifications trail Greater Melbourne's regional benchmarks. As of 2021, 27.6% of Boronia residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. This indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.1%).

Vocational credentials are prominent, with 35.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.1% and certificates for 23.7%. Educational participation is high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2021 census. This includes 8.7% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Boronia has 115 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 18 routes, together facilitating 4,547 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents on average located 218 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 649 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Boronia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Boronia faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~12,586 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues impact 9.8% of residents, while asthma affects 8.9%. A total of 65.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.4% across Greater Melbourne. As of June 2017, 18.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (4,679 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Boronia was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Boronia's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 28.4% born overseas and 21.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Boronia, comprising 40.0% of its population. Notably, Buddhism was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 3.7% versus 4.6%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.5%), Australian (24.3%), and Other (8.5%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Hungarian at 0.5% (vs regional 0.4%), Dutch at 2.1% (vs 1.8%), and Sri Lankan at 0.9% (vs 1.4%).

Boronia's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Boronia is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Boronia has a notably higher proportion of people aged 65-74 (9.3% locally) but fewer people aged 15-24 (10.2%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 15.1% to 16.1%, while the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 15.8% to 14.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Boronia. The 45 to 54 age group is expected to grow by 23% (739 people), reaching 3,967 from 3,227. Conversely, both the 35 to 44 and 0 to 4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.