Rowville - North
Statistical Area - sa2

Rowville - North has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Rowville - North's population is around 7,913 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 8 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,905 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,898 in June 2024 and an additional 5 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,897 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 75.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to grow by 355 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, recording a gain of 4.2% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Rowville - North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Rowville - North has seen approximately nine new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 46 homes were approved, with an additional five approved so far in FY26. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has kept pace with demand, providing good choices for buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $454,000, which is moderately above regional levels, indicating a focus on quality construction. This financial year, commercial approvals totalling $802,000 have been registered, reflecting a predominantly residential focus in the area. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Rowville - North has significantly less development activity, with 75% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years.

When measured against national levels, this activity is lower, reflecting market maturity and suggesting possible development constraints. New building activity consists of 88% detached dwellings and 12% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 1516 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Population forecasts indicate Rowville - North will gain 336 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Rowville - North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two major projects that could impact this region: Scoresby Village Residential Estate, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, Six-Storey Aged-Care Facility, and Keyton Waterford Valley Lakes. The following details the most relevant projects among them.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Rowville - North demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Rowville - North has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.4% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 0.7%.

As of June 2025, 4,553 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is 68.6%, close to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Manufacturing shows high specialization, at 1.5 times the regional level, while professional & technical services are lower at 8.5% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Employment levels increased by 0.7% and labour force by 0.7% in Rowville - North during the year to June 2025, keeping unemployment stable. Greater Melbourne experienced higher growth: 3.5% employment increase and 4.0% labour force growth, with a rise of 0.5 percentage points in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rowville - North's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Rowville - North's median income among taxpayers was $55,430 with an average of $67,154. Nationally, the median was lower at $54,892 and the average was higher at $73,761. By September 2025, estimates suggest Rowville - North's median income would be approximately $62,170 and average $75,320, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022. Census 2021 data shows household incomes rank at the 83rd percentile with a weekly income of $2,285. Income analysis reveals that 31.3% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, mirroring the metropolitan region's 32.8%. A substantial proportion, 34.9%, earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing accounts for 14.1% of income. Residents rank within the 84th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Rowville - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Rowville - North, as per the latest Census evaluation, 88.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 11.3% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures of 83.4% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rowville - North stood at 34.1%, similar to Melbourne metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings comprised 52.6%, while rented dwellings made up 13.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,156, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Rowville - North was $450, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Rowville - North's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,156 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Rowville - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.9 percent of all households, including 49.0 percent couples with children, 24.4 percent couples without children, and 9.7 percent single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.1 percent, with lone person households at 14.8 percent and group households comprising 1.3 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Rowville - North shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Rowville - North trail regional benchmarks, 30.2% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne (as of the latest available data). This difference indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.3% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 31.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 13.0% and certificates for 18.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. Karoo Primary School serves Rowville - North, enrolling 425 students as of the latest count. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. As of the most recent data, the area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1088). Local school capacity is limited, with only 5.4 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 12.0, indicating many families may travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 27 active transport stops in Rowville - North, served by buses. There are 10 routes, offering 1,751 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is rated good, with residents typically 216 meters from the nearest stop.

Daily service averages 250 trips across all routes, equating to around 64 weekly trips per individual stop.

Rowville - North's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health performance in Rowville - North, with low prevalence of common conditions among both young and old age cohorts.

Approximately 53% (~4,225 people) have private health cover, which is relatively high. The most common conditions are asthma (7.9%) and arthritis (6.6%). Around 72.6% report no medical ailments, compared to 69.4% in Greater Melbourne. There are 17.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,420 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 19.5%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile, indicating above-average performance.

Rowville - North was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rowville-North has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 31.7% of its population born overseas and 28.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Rowville-North, comprising 49.3% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is equally represented in Rowville-North (4.6%) as it is across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (21.9%), English (21.6%), and Other (10.6%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Sri Lankan at 1.8% compared to the regional average of 1.4%, Hungarian at 0.6% versus 0.4%, and South African at 0.8% compared to 0.5%.

Rowville - North's median age exceeds the national pattern

Rowville - North's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Rowville - North has a notably higher proportion of the 55-64 age group (14.8% locally) and a lower proportion of the 25-34 age group (9.0%). As per the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 5.1% to 6.3%, while the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 13.6% to 14.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group declined from 16.8% to 14.5%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 13.6% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Rowville - North's age profile. The 75 to 84 cohort is projected to grow by 52%, adding 263 residents to reach 766. All growth will come from residents aged 65 and older. Conversely, population declines are anticipated for the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups.