Knoxfield - Scoresby
Statistical Area - sa2

Knoxfield - Scoresby lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of August 2025, Knoxfield - Scoresby's population is approximately 17,432. This figure represents a growth of 831 people, or about 5%, since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 16,601. The estimated resident population from ABS in June 2024 was 17,312, with an additional 205 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this increase. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 1,141 persons per square kilometer, which is generally comparable to averages observed across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Between the 2021 census and June 2025, Knoxfield - Scoresby's growth rate exceeded both its SA3 area (3.9%) and SA4 region, making it a notable growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth, contributing approximately 71.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, above median population growth is projected nationally, with Knoxfield - Scoresby expected to expand by approximately 3,050 persons to reach a total of around 20,482 by the year 2041, reflecting an overall increase of about 15.8% over these seventeen years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Knoxfield - Scoresby when compared nationally

Knoxfield - Scoresby has averaged approximately 104 new dwelling approvals per year. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, with 520 homes approved over the past five financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, and an additional five approved in FY-26 so far. On average, only 0.4 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these five financial years. This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $505,000. Additionally, $85.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Knoxfield - Scoresby shows moderately higher new home approvals, with 35.0% more approvals per person over the past five years, balancing buyer choice with support for current property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Recent construction comprises 46.0% standalone homes and 54.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This represents a notable change from the area's existing housing composition of 86.0% houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 229 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Looking ahead, Knoxfield - Scoresby is expected to grow by 2,760 residents through to 2041. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Knoxfield - Scoresby has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects that could affect this region. Notable initiatives include Mirvac Wantirna South (Boral Quarry Development), Waverley One Estate, Six-Storey Aged-Care Facility, and Arc Chappell Townhomes, with the following list highlighting those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market in Knoxfield - Scoresby demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Knoxfield - Scoresby has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 3.4%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.8%. As of June 2025, 9,315 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.2% below Greater Melbourne's and workforce participation similar to the regional average of 64.1%. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Manufacturing stands out with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.5% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. The area hosts more jobs than residents, attracting workers from nearby regions. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while labour force grew by 0.7%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5% and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points. Statewide in Victoria as of Sep-25, employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.5%, and employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts indicate national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Knoxfield - Scoresby's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Knoxfield - Scoresby had a median taxpayer income of $51,347 and an average of $61,955 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was lower than the national average, with Greater Melbourne having a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. By March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $56,538 (median) and $68,219 (average), based on a 10.11% growth in wages since the financial year 2022. The 2021 Census showed household income ranked at the 63rd percentile ($1,953 weekly) and personal income at the 47th percentile. In Knoxfield - Scoresby, 34.6% of residents (6,031 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, similar to regional levels where 32.8% occupied this bracket. High housing costs consumed 15.8% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 63rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Knoxfield - Scoresby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Knoxfield - Scoresby dwelling structure in 2016 showed 86.0% houses and 14.0% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 83.4% houses and 16.7% other dwellings. Home ownership was 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.7% and rented at 23.6%. Median monthly mortgage repayment in 2016 was $2,117, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $425, compared to Melbourne metro's $400. Nationally, Knoxfield - Scoresby's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,117 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $425 compared to the national figure of $375.

Knoxfield - Scoresby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 79.8% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 25.0% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Knoxfield - Scoresby exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 35.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and that of SA3 area at 30.7%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (17.7%).

Educational participation is high at 29.2%, including primary education (9.4%), secondary education (8.1%), and tertiary education (5.8%). Knoxfield-Scoresby's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 1,060 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1032) with balanced educational opportunities. The area has 4 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups, but school places per 100 residents at 6.1 are below the regional average of 12.0, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Knoxfield - Scoresby has 115 active public transport stops. These are served by 27 bus routes that together facilitate 3,677 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 180 meters.

Daily service frequency across all routes is 525 trips, translating to approximately 31 weekly trips per individual stop.

Knoxfield - Scoresby's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Knoxfield - Scoresby.

Both young and old age cohorts had low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover was relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~8,820 people). The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.6 and 6.4% of residents respectively. Seventy-three point three percent declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.4% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 17.4% of residents aged 65 and over (3,040 people), lower than the 19.5% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Knoxfield - Scoresby is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Knoxfield-Scoresby has high cultural diversity: 39.8% speak a language other than English at home, and 42.4% were born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 44.7%. Buddhism, at 7.1%, is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 4.6%.

Top ancestral groups are English (18.9%), Australian (18.1%), and Chinese (17.6%), exceeding regional averages for Chinese. Notable overrepresentations include Sri Lankan (2.3% vs regional 1.4%), Korean (0.8% vs 0.5%), and Indian (5.1% vs 3.3%).

Knoxfield - Scoresby's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Knoxfield - Scoresby is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. The 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented at 14.1% locally compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 5.4% to 6.3% of the population, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 12.4% to 11.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Knoxfield - Scoresby. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 31%, adding 752 people, reaching a total of 3,207 from the current 2,454. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.