Knoxfield - Scoresby

Population growth drivers in Knoxfield - Scoresby are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Knoxfield - Scoresby's population was around 18,096 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 1,495 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,601. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,142 in June 2024 and an additional 231 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 1,185 persons per square kilometer. Knoxfield - Scoresby's growth rate of 9.0% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (4.9%) and the SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends project an above median population growth, with the area expected to expand by 3,050 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 11.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Knoxfield - Scoresby when compared nationally

Knoxfield - Scoresby has averaged approximately 104 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 520 homes approved during this period and an additional 33 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 0.4 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built annually between FY21 and FY25, indicating that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction cost value of new homes in the area is around $304,000, which aligns with regional patterns.

This year alone, $85.5 million worth of commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Knoxfield - Scoresby has shown moderately higher new home approvals over the past five years, averaging 35.0% above the regional average per person. This balance between buyer choice and support for current property values is evident despite a slowdown in building activity in recent years. Recent construction trends indicate that 46.0% of approved dwellings are standalone homes, while 54.0% are townhouses or apartments. This shift towards higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and caters to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This change is notable given the existing housing stock comprises 86.0% houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting evolving lifestyles and demands for diverse, affordable housing options. The current population density in Knoxfield - Scoresby is approximately 229 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the location is expected to grow by 2,096 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Knoxfield - Scoresby has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

A total of 31 infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Scoresby Village Residential Estate, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, Knoxfield Residential Growth Corridor - Burwood Highway and Scoresby Road, and Six-Storey Aged-Care Facility. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Knoxfield - Scoresby demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Knoxfield - Scoresby has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 3.6% and there was an estimated employment growth of 1.2% in the past year. As of September 2025, 9,342 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.1% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

The workforce participation rate is 68.5%, slightly below Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 29.5% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Manufacturing stands out with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average.

Transport, postal & warehousing employs just 3.5% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. There are 1.1 workers for every resident, indicating that the area functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. In the 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 1.2% while labour force grew by 0.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Knoxfield - Scoresby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Knoxfield - Scoresby SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $54,378 and an average of $64,955 in financial year 2023. This was lower than the national average. Greater Melbourne's median income was $57,688 with an average of $75,164 during the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $58,864 (median) and $70,314 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Knoxfield - Scoresby clustered around the 54th percentile nationally. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 34.6% of residents (6,261 people), similar to regional levels at 32.8%. Housing costs consumed 15.8% of income, but disposable income was at the 62nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Knoxfield - Scoresby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Knoxfield - Scoresby, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.0% houses and 14.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Knoxfield - Scoresby stood at 33.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.7% and rented dwellings at 23.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,117, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $425, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Knoxfield - Scoresby's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Knoxfield - Scoresby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.8% of all households, including 42.1% couples with children, 25.0% couples without children, and 11.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.2%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Knoxfield - Scoresby exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 35.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA3 area's rate of 30.7%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 29.3% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas accounting for 11.6% and certificates for 17.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.4% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Knoxfield - Scoresby has 115 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 25 different routes, collectively facilitating 3,029 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 179 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 91%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average. Notably, 29.5% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions).

Daily service frequency averages 432 trips across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Knoxfield - Scoresby's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Knoxfield - Scoresby shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with younger cohorts having notably low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 51% (~9,265 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.6%) and mental health issues (6.4%), while 73.3% claim to be free of medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.4% (3,155 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 14.9%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Knoxfield - Scoresby is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Knoxfield-Scoresby has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 42.4% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Knoxfield-Scoresby, comprising 44.7% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 7.1% versus 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (18.9%), Australian (18.1%), and Chinese (17.6%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 6.5%. There are also notable differences in the representation of Sri Lankan (2.3% vs 0.8%), Indian (5.1% vs 4.2%), and Korean (0.8% vs 0.3%) groups compared to the Greater Melbourne region.

Knoxfield - Scoresby's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Knoxfield - Scoresby is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the 45-54 cohort is notably over-represented at 14.1% locally, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.4% to 6.3% of the population, and the 25-34 cohort has declined from 12.4% to 11.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Knoxfield - Scoresby. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 26%, adding 659 people, reaching 3,207 from 2,547. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are expected to have reduced numbers.