Lysterfield

Lysterfield is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Lysterfield is estimated at around 6,765, reflecting an increase of 84 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6,681. This increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 6,710 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 45 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 214 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future population trends, the suburb is expected to expand by 353 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Lysterfield, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Lysterfield had around 18 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated 92 homes. As of April 2026, six approvals have been recorded. During this period, population has fallen, suggesting new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $786,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, commercial approvals totalled $820,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus.

New building activity shows 86.0% detached dwellings and 14.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 535 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Looking ahead, Lysterfield is expected to grow by 298 residents through to 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lysterfield has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. Four projects identified by AreaSearch may impact the region: Angliss Hospital Expansion, Kings Park Masterplan, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Dorset Road Extension. Details of most relevant projects follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Lysterfield rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Lysterfield has an educated workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% as of September 2025, with estimated employment growth of 1%. This is lower than Greater Melbourne's unemployment rate of 4.7%, but its workforce participation is similar at 75.9%.

Around 29% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. Major industries for local employment include construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. The area has a strong specialization in construction with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance employs only 11.5% of workers compared to Greater Melbourne's 14.2%.

Employment opportunities may be limited locally as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0% while labour force grew by 0.9%, keeping the unemployment rate stable at 3.0%. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a slight increase in unemployment to 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lysterfield's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Lysterfield had a median income among taxpayers of $62,578 and an average of $77,361. These figures are notably higher than national averages. In comparison, Greater Melbourne's median income was $57,688 with an average of $75,164 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.25% since June 30, 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $67,741 (median) and $83,743 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Lysterfield's household incomes ranked at the 94th percentile with a weekly income of $2,754. Income analysis showed that the largest segment comprised 29.9% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (2,022 residents), which aligns with regional levels where this cohort also represents 32.8%. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 45.9%, indicated strong economic capacity throughout Lysterfield. After accounting for housing costs, residents retained 88.9% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Lysterfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Lysterfield's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lysterfield stood at 38.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.9% and rented ones at 7.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in the area was $435, higher than Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Lysterfield's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lysterfield features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 88.9% of all households, including 55.3% couples with children, 24.5% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.1%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Lysterfield exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Lysterfield trail Greater Melbourne's benchmarks, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the regional average of 37.0%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common, held by 20.6% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas held by 11.9% and certificates by 20.9%.

Educational participation is notably high in Lysterfield, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lysterfield has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes that together facilitate 749 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 263 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outward, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 96%. On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 29% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 107 trips per day, equating to about 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lysterfield's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Lysterfield, as per AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, indicating very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

The rate of private health cover is found to be very high at approximately 57% of the total population (around 3,880 people). The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.9 and 6.2% of residents respectively, while 74.4% report being completely free from medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,109 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Lysterfield was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lysterfield had a higher than average cultural diversity, with 23.2% of its population born overseas and 19.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Lysterfield, accounting for 55.0% of people, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (25.3%), English (23.0%), and Other (9.3%).

Notably, Sri Lankan (1.7%) was overrepresented in Lysterfield compared to the regional average of 0.8%, as were Hungarian (0.5% vs 0.3%) and Italian (6.7% vs 5.2%).

Lysterfield's median age exceeds the national pattern

Lysterfield's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lysterfield has a notably higher percentage of the 55-64 age cohort at 17.0%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.0%. This concentration of the 55-64 cohort is well above the national average of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 8.1% to 9.8%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 3.2% to 4.6%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 17.0% to 14.1%, and the 25 to 34 age group has dropped from 9.4% to 8.0%. Demographic modeling suggests that Lysterfield's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort is projected to grow by 74%, adding 229 residents to reach 541. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 82% of the population growth, while the 0 to 4 and 15 to 24 age groups are projected to decline in population.