Lysterfield

Lysterfield is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Lysterfield statistical area (Lv2) is around 6,765, reflecting a growth of 84 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents approximately 1.3% of the total population recorded in the 2021 Census, which was 6,681. AreaSearch, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), estimated a resident population of 6,710 for the area. This estimation took into account an additional 45 validated new addresses since the Census date. The current population density is approximately 214 persons per square kilometer.

Overseas migration contributed significantly to this growth, accounting for approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projects a population increase for the Lysterfield (SA2) area based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the projected population increase is expected to be just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. The Lysterfield (SA2) area is projected to grow by 353 persons over this period, reflecting a total gain of approximately 4.4%.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Lysterfield, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Lysterfield has experienced around 18 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated 92 homes. So far in the financial year 2026-27 (FY-26), six approvals have been recorded as of the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Despite population falling during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which could be positive for buyers.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $786,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, $820,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential nature.

New development consists of 86.0% detached dwellings and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Lysterfield's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population count of 535 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Lysterfield will gain 298 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lysterfield has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four major projects expected to impact this region: Angliss Hospital Expansion, Kings Park Masterplan, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Dorset Road Extension. These are detailed below for their potential relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Lysterfield performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Lysterfield has an educated workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% as of September 2025, with estimated employment growth of 1%.

The area's unemployment rate is below Greater Melbourne's at 3.0%, while workforce participation is higher at 72.7%. Key industries include construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Construction stands out with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 11.5% compared to the regional average of 14.2%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census data analysis. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1%, with labour force growth at 0.9%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.0%. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced higher employment and labour force growth rates, with a slight increase in unemployment rate. State-level data to November 25, 2025 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lysterfield's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Lysterfield had a median income among taxpayers of $62,578 and an average level of $77,361. These figures are higher than the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 is approximately $67,741, while the average would be around $83,743. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank at the 94th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,754. Distribution data indicates that 29.9% of Lysterfield residents (2,022 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band, similar to the broader area at 32.8%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 45.9% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of their income, reflecting substantial purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Lysterfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Lysterfield's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and others. Home ownership in Lysterfield stood at 38.4%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 53.9% and rented ones at 7.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, and the median weekly rent was recorded as $435. Compared nationally, Lysterfield's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lysterfield features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.2 people

Family households compose 88.9% of all households, including 55.3% couples with children, 24.5% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up 11.1%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people.

The educational profile of Lysterfield exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Lysterfield trail regional benchmarks, with 28.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (20.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lysterfield has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. Six different routes service these stops, together offering 749 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good, with residents generally located 263 meters from their nearest stop.

On average, there are 107 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lysterfield's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Lysterfield, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 57% (~3880 people) have private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.9% and 6.2% of residents respectively. 74.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Melbourne. Lysterfield has 15.4% (1041 people) aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, mirroring the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Lysterfield was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lysterfield had a cultural diversity above average, with 23.2% of its population born overseas and 19.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Lysterfield, comprising 55.0% of people. This compares to None% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, Australian was the top group representing 25.3%, followed by English at 23.0% and Other at 9.3%. Notably, Sri Lankan was overrepresented at 1.7%, Hungarian at 0.5%, and Italian at 6.7%, compared to None% regionally for these groups.

Lysterfield's median age exceeds the national pattern

Lysterfield's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly above Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lysterfield has a notably higher proportion of the 55-64 age group (17.3% locally vs. 12.9% in Greater Melbourne) and a lower proportion of the 25-34 age group (8.4% vs. 13.0%). The 55-64 age group is also higher than the national average of 11.2%. According to the 2021 Census, Lysterfield's population aged 65-74 has increased from 8.1% to 9.5%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 17.0% to 14.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Lysterfield's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 91%, adding 257 residents to reach 542. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 90% of the population growth, while declines are projected for the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups.