Lysterfield

Lysterfield is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Lysterfield's population is estimated at around 6774 people, reflecting a 1.4% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6681 people. This change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 6709 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 45 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population equates to a density ratio of 214 persons per square kilometer. Lysterfield's growth since census, at 1.4%, is within 2.6 percentage points of its SA4 region's growth rate of 4%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 adjusted employing weighted aggregation method for areas not covered by ABS data.

Considering these projections, Lysterfield is expected to grow by 353 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 4.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Lysterfield, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Lysterfield has experienced around 18 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 92 homes. So far in FY-26, which began on July 1st, 2025 and will end on June 30th, 2026, three approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has remained adequate relative to the decreasing population, potentially benefiting buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes being built is $786,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Additionally, commercial approvals valued at $820,000 have been registered this financial year, reflecting the area's residential nature.

New development consists of 86% detached dwellings and 14% medium and high-density housing, preserving Lysterfield's low density character while still offering some variety in housing types to attract space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 535 people, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Lysterfield is forecasted to gain 289 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Lysterfield has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may impact this region. Notable projects are Angliss Hospital Expansion, Kings Park Masterplan, Knoxfield Industrial Estate Redevelopment, and Dorset Road Extension. The following details projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Lysterfield performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Lysterfield has a highly educated workforce. The construction sector is particularly prominent with an unemployment rate of 1.5% and estimated employment growth of 0.9% over the past year.

As of June 2025, 4,163 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.1% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation in Lysterfield stands at 72.7%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries for employment among residents include construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 11.5% compared to the regional average of 14.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 0.9%, labour force grew by 0.8%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.5% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with an increase in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Lysterfield. These projections estimate that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Lysterfield's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2022, Lysterfield had a median income among taxpayers of $62,578 with the average level standing at $77,361. This is among the highest in Australia and compares to levels of $54,892 and $73,761 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% from financial year ended June 2022 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $70,187 (median) and $86,768 (average). Census data for 2021 shows household incomes rank exceptionally at the 94th percentile with a weekly income of $2,754. Distribution data shows that 29.9% of the community (2,025 individuals) falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band, aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Economic strength is evident through 45.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Lysterfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Lysterfield's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Melbourne metro had 0%. Home ownership in Lysterfield stood at 38.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.9% and rented ones at 7.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, aligning with the Melbourne metro average. The median weekly rent figure was $435, while Melbourne metro had none recorded. Nationally, Lysterfield's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Lysterfield features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.2 people

Family households account for 88.9% of all households, including 55.3% couples with children, 24.5% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.1%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 3.2 people.

The educational profile of Lysterfield exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Lysterfield's residents aged 15+ have a university degree attainment rate of 28.1%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.8% of residents, with advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 20.9%. Current educational participation is high at 30.5%, including primary (9.5%), secondary (9.4%), and tertiary education (6.3%).

Lysterfield Primary School serves the local area, enrolling 510 students as of a specific date, with above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1061). The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lysterfield has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 757 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is considered good, with residents on average located 263 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 108 trips per day, which equates to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Lysterfield's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results throughout Lysterfield, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

The rate of private health cover is very high, at approximately 57% of the total population (around 3,885 people). Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.9 and 6.2% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 74.4%, report being completely free of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Melbourne. As of 2021, 15.4% of Lysterfield's residents are aged 65 and over (around 1,043 people). Health outcomes among seniors align broadly with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Lysterfield was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lysterfield, surveyed in 2016, had above average cultural diversity with 23.2% born overseas and 19.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 55.0%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (25.3%), English (23.0%), and Other (9.3%).

Notably, Sri Lankan (1.7%) Hungarian (0.5%) and Italian (6.7%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of None%.

Lysterfield hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Lysterfield's median age is 41 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and slightly above Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Lysterfield has a notably higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (17.3% vs 11.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.4%). Post the 2021 Census, the 65-74 age group grew from 8.1% to 9.5%, while the 45-54 cohort decreased from 17.0% to 14.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Lysterfield's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 91%, adding 257 residents to reach 542. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to contribute 90% of the population growth. Conversely, declines are anticipated for the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups.