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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Ferntree Gully has an estimated 28,311 residents, up from 27,398 at the 2021 Census — a change of 913 people, or 3.3%. 297 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 2,014 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Recent ABS population updates and quarterly verified address registrations compiled by AreaSearch indicate the suburb of Ferntree Gully has an estimated 28,311 residents in May 2026. This represents a 3.3% rise, or 913 people, from the 27,398 recorded during the 2021 Census. The calculation is based on a resident count of 28,273 determined from the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with an additional 297 validated new addresses registered since the census date. The resulting density stands at 2,013 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical ratio observed in national locations assessed by AreaSearch.
With this 3.3% increase since the 2021 census, growth in the suburb of Ferntree Gully outpaced the broader SA3 region's 3.1% rise, making it a local growth leader. Overseas migration was the primary driver of this expansion, accounting for approximately 61.0% of the net population gains during recent periods. Population projections rely on 2024 releases from the ABS and Geoscience Australia using 2022 as the base year for SA2 regions. For locations without these specific projections, VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections from 2023 were aggregated to SA2 levels using a weighted growth methodology. The resulting age group growth rates were projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. In the suburb of Ferntree Gully, future population expansion is projected to track slightly below the national median for statistical areas. Aggregated SA2 projections indicate an increase of 1,152 persons by 2041, representing a total population growth of 3.9% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
481 new dwellings have been approved in Ferntree Gully over the past five years, an average of 96 a year. That is 3.5 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 85 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 61% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 86, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An analysis of ABS building approvals indicates that property development in the suburb of Ferntree Gully averages approximately 96 approved dwellings annually, yielding a total of 481 approved homes over the preceding 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 79 approvals have been registered. Historical data between FY-21 and FY-25 shows an average of only 0.7 new residents per year for each built home, suggesting that new residential construction is matching or outrunning local demand, which provides buyers with a wide selection of choices and enables population growth to potentially exceed projections.
Approved dwellings carry an average construction value of $493,000, indicating that developers are focusing on the higher-end market segment. Additionally, commercial approvals have reached $46.1 million this financial year, showing active commercial investment. In comparison to Greater Melbourne, per-capita residential approvals in the suburb of Ferntree Gully run at roughly three-quarters the metropolitan rate, placing it in the 48th percentile nationally, which limits options for purchasers and helps support demand for established housing. This rate sits below the national average, reflecting the mature layout of the suburb and pointing to potential zoning constraints. Residential construction comprises 61.0% standalone houses and 39.0% medium-density townhouses or apartments, showing a growing mix of attached housing designed to suit varying budgets, from large family residences to compact options. This contrasts with the current housing profile where houses make up 88.0% of dwellings, illustrating a decline in vacant land and a response to shifting lifestyle and affordability needs. The ratio of 347 people for every approved dwelling indicates a low-density urban setting. Long-term projections indicate the suburb of Ferntree Gully is set to add 1,114 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations. Current construction rates suggest that the supply of new housing will comfortably meet local demand, creating favorable buyer conditions and potentially supporting growth above current forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Ferntree Gully
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 13 current infrastructure and development projects inside Ferntree Gully, worth an estimated $273 million. A further 75 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $23.7 billion. 17 are already under construction and 19 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning decisions, and new developments strongly influence market dynamics. There are 25 projects identified by AreaSearch that are expected to affect the area, with the Knoxfield Development Victoria Project, 13 Mountain Gate Drive Townhouses, Angliss Hospital Expansion, and Bluett Reserve Playground Upgrade being the most notable.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Ovata Knoxfield
Development Victoria project delivering approximately 400 homes across 2-4 bedroom townhouses and land lots in Knoxfield, branded as Ovata. Located on the former DELWP horticultural research facility site at the corner of Burwood Highway and Scoresby Road. Features a purpose-built wetlands system replacing a structurally unsound dam, green open spaces, walking and cycling links to Blind Creek Trail, and a mixed-use precinct along Burwood Highway for future retail and community services. Up to 10% affordable housing committed.Targeting Green Star Communities rating. Civil construction commenced June 2026, with the sales display suite expected to open July 2026, first home sales slated for late 2026, and construction of homes and wetlands continuing through 2027.
13 Mountain Gate Drive Townhouses
A residential development featuring three 2-bedroom townhouses, each spanning two storeys, designed for modern and spacious living. Located in Ferntree Gully within the City of Knox. The development application has been submitted with estimated completion in mid-2026.
Bluett Reserve Playground Upgrade
As part of the 2025-26 capital works program, Knox City Council is investing in the renewal of local playgrounds, including the one at Bluett Reserve in Ferntree Gully. The project aims to improve the recreational facilities for the local community.
Burwood Highway-McMahons Road Intersection Upgrade
Upgraded intersection at Burwood Highway, McMahons Road and Clyde Street in Ferntree Gully completed in 2024. Includes extra lanes in each direction on Burwood Highway, new traffic lights with dedicated pedestrian crossings, more street lights, dedicated right turn lanes, shared left turn and through lanes, and a dedicated left turn lane into Clyde Street with improved business access. Improves safety, reduces crashes, and enhances traffic flow.
Ferntree Gully Village Creative Placemaking Plan
Community-driven arts and cultural development project transforming public spaces in Ferntree Gully Village through murals, sculptures, lightbox galleries, and parklet upgrades to enhance safety, community connection, and local pride.
Boronia Station Upgrade & Plaza
Upgrade of Boronia Station and creation of a new landscaped plaza connecting to Dorset Road. Scope includes widened concourse, entrance canopies, relocated ticket and PSO offices, upgraded platform shelters and waiting room, new pedestrian crossing, improved pick-up/drop-off on Lupton Way, accessibility upgrades, enhanced lighting and CCTV. A new pocket park near Boronia Junction Shopping Centre is also included. Early works commenced in 2025 with geotechnical investigations along Lupton Way. Major works scheduled for early 2026 with the upgraded station, plaza and pocket park to open by end of 2026.Delivered by an alliance of Acciona, WSP and Metro Trains Melbourne under the Level Crossing Removal Project.
Ferntree Gully Community Housing
A 79-unit medium density development consisting of 41 one-bedroom units, 38 two-bedroom units, and 6 three-bedroom units, located on the site of the old Ferntree Gully Primary School. Part of the Nation Building and Economic Stimulus Project, jointly funded by Federal and State Governments. Residents are involved in a community vegetable garden and linked with local community activities through partnerships with Mountain District Learning Centre.
Angliss Hospital Expansion
A $112 million major redevelopment featuring a new four-storey, all-electric tower. The expansion delivers a 32-bed inpatient unit, four state-of-the-art operating theatres, a new central sterile supply department, and expanded outpatient and allied health services. Major structural works were completed in July 2025, and the project is currently in the fit-out and final construction phase to increase surgical capacity for the Knox and Yarra Ranges communities.
15,187 residents of Ferntree Gully are employed, from a labour force of 16,062. Unemployment sits at 5.4%, with participation at 67.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 24,157, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce contains a high proportion of skilled workers, with the construction sector particularly well represented. The unemployment rate stands at 5.4%, and employment grew by an estimated 1.9% over the past year. In March 2026, there were 15,187 employed residents. The unemployment rate is 0.7% higher than the Greater Melbourne rate of 4.8%, while participation in the labor force is slightly lower, at 67.9% compared to 70.2% across Greater Melbourne. Census data shows that 26.0% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure was likely influenced by COVID-19 pandemic restrictions.
The largest sectors of employment for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The workforce shows a distinct specialization in construction, employing workers at a rate 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented, employing 7.6% of the local workforce compared to 10.1% across Greater Melbourne. The imbalance between the Census working population and resident population suggests that local employment opportunities are limited in this predominantly residential area. Analysis of SALM and ABS data shows that over the 12-month period, both employment and the overall labor force grew by 1.9%, keeping the unemployment level stable. This differed from Greater Melbourne, where employment expanded by 2.1%, the labor force increased by 2.3%, and the unemployment rate rose by 0.2 percentage points. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 provide a benchmark for future demand. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Applying these national industry trends to the local employment structure suggests employment for residents could rise by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, assuming a direct weighted extrapolation without adjusting for localized population shifts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Ferntree Gully is $1,770 a week (about $92,000 a year), with median personal income at $791 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,508 a year against an average of $64,832. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode data from the ATO for financial year 2023 shows a median taxpayer income of $52,508 and an average of $64,832 in the area. These figures sit below national benchmarks, contrasting with a median of $57,688 and an average of $75,164 across Greater Melbourne. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, March 2026 estimates are approximately $57,559 for the median and $71,069 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes placed between the 47th and 51st percentiles. The dominant weekly income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, containing 35.0% of residents (9,908 people), which is similar to the metropolitan average of 32.8%.
While housing costs account for 15.7% of income, strong earnings keep disposable income at the 52nd percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Ferntree Gully had 10,280 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 88% detached houses and 2% apartments. 44% are owned with a mortgage, 22% rented and 35% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $386 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,918 a month. Rent absorbs 21.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data reveals that houses account for 88.0% of the dwelling stock in the area, while semi-detached properties, apartments, and other housing formats make up 11.9%. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne, where houses represent 67.9% and alternative dwellings comprise 32.1%. Home ownership stands at 34.5%, which is higher than the metropolitan average, with mortgaged properties making up 43.8% and rental properties accounting for 21.7%. The median monthly mortgage payment is $1,918, below the Melbourne metro average of $2,000, while the median weekly rent is $386, compared to the metropolitan average of $390.
Locally, mortgage repayments exceed the national average of $1,863, and weekly rents are higher than the Australian figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Ferntree Gully counted 10,280 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 34% are couples with children, against 25% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 73.3% of households in the area, consisting of couples with children at 34.3%, couples without children at 25.0%, and single parents at 13.0%. Non-family households represent the remaining 26.7%, consisting of single-person households at 23.9% and group households at 2.7%. The median household occupancy is 2.6 people, matching the metropolitan average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
26.0% of adults in Ferntree Gully hold a university qualification, including 17.6% with a bachelor degree and 5.7% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 23.9% hold a vocational qualification. 10 schools serve the area, with 3,241 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,033 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The local population has university qualification rates of 26.0%, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. Among these qualifications, bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 5.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational education is highly represented, with 36.1% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, including 12.2% with advanced diplomas and 23.9% with certificates. Enrolment in formal education is high, with 27.2% of residents currently studying. This student population includes 8.9% in primary school, 7.2% in secondary school, and 4.7% in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Ferntree Gully reaches 137 stops on 19 routes, timetabled for about 4,200 services a week. The typical home sits about 260 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services include 137 active bus stops. These stops accommodate 19 different bus routes, providing a total of 4,172 passenger journeys each week. Local access is good, with residents living an average of 262 meters from a stop. Most workers commute out of the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 90%. Household car ownership averages 1.5 vehicles, which is above the regional standard. A total of 26.0% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, which was likely affected by pandemic restrictions. Bus routes average 596 daily trips, which translates to roughly 30 weekly departures for each individual stop.
The map highlights the 100 closest stops relative to the center of the area.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.7% of residents in Ferntree Gully report no long-term health condition. 6.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics indicate lower outcomes, based on mortality and chronic disease data showing health issues present across younger and older age brackets. Private health insurance is held by approximately 52% of the population (~14,857 people), which is slightly above the average SA2 region but below the Greater Melbourne average of 56.7%. Mental health conditions and asthma are the most common medical diagnoses, affecting 9.1 and 8.5% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.7% of the population reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Residents of working age exhibit higher rates of chronic illness than the national average.
Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 19.4% of the population (5,492 people), compared to 15.0% in Greater Melbourne, with senior health rankings generally mirroring national trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
26.1% of Ferntree Gully residents were born overseas and 19.3% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (26.4%) and Australian (25.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The local population displays higher cultural diversity than most markets, with 26.1% of residents born outside Australia and 19.3% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, adhered to by 42.8% of the population. Buddhism shows the most distinct local overrepresentation at 3.0% of the population, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne. The top parental ancestries are English at 26.4% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian at 25.1%, which is higher than the regional average of 18.4%, and Other at 8.0%, which is lower than the regional average of 14.6%.
Notable ethnic cohorts include Sri Lankan ancestry at 1.0% (compared to 0.8% across the region), Dutch ancestry at 2.1% (compared to 1.2%), and Hungarian ancestry at 0.4% (compared to 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Ferntree Gully is 40. 23.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 40 is higher than the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and the national median of 38. The 55 - 64 age group is over-represented at 12.3% of the population, while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented at 11.6%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 5.7% to 7.0%, while the 25 to 34 group has decreased from 13.3% to 11.6%. Projections for 2041 indicate that the 85+ cohort will grow by 597 people (81%) from 736 to 1,334. The combined 65+ demographics are projected to account for 66% of total growth, while the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 groups are projected to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Ferntree Gully
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 13 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 297 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (27,398 at the 2021 Census → 28,311 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20917). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.