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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Ferny Creek has an estimated 1,527 residents. That puts 339 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on demographic assessments by AreaSearch using updated ABS figures and fresh addresses verified post-Census, the population of Ferny Creek is projected to be 1,527 in May 2026. This represents an addition of 3 residents (0.2%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented 1,524 individuals. The adjustment is calculated from the estimated resident count of 1,527, determined by AreaSearch via analysing the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) alongside 12 newly verified addresses registered since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 338 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density living and space for prospective construction.
Overseas migration was the primary driver of growth, accounting for approximately 64.0% of the total population increases during recent intervals. Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are applied by AreaSearch for SA2 areas. For SA2 regions lacking this data, projections are sourced from the 2023 Victorian Government Regional/LGA releases, scaled from LGA to SA2 using a weighted aggregation method. Age-bracketed growth rates from these models are also applied across all locations for the period 2032 to 2041. Future demographics point to growth in the lower quartile of Australian statistical territories, with projections indicating an expansion of 48 individuals by 2041, representing a total increase of 3.1% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of building approvals from the ABS, mapped from regional statistical datasets, show that Ferny Creek averages roughly 1 new home approval annually. This totals an estimated 8 dwelling approvals over the last 5 financial years (spanning FY-21 to FY-25), with an additional 5 approvals recorded during FY-26. Because the population has contracted recently, this supply has likely matched local demand, offering options for home buyers, while new properties average a construction cost of $859,000, indicating that developers are focusing on the higher-end market with premium builds. Ferny Creek exhibits very quiet building volumes when compared to Greater Melbourne, sitting 73.0% below the metropolitan per capita average.
This limited construction pace typically supports valuations and demand for existing houses, even with a recent uptick in building activity. Construction rates also sit below national benchmarks, pointing to a mature market and potential development constraints. Furthermore, all new approvals have consisted exclusively of detached houses, preserving the classic low-density suburban aesthetic dominated by spacious family residences. A ratio of 762 people per single dwelling approval highlights the quiet, slow-paced construction environment. Demographic projections indicate that Ferny Creek will add 48 residents by 2041, based on the most recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. Should current construction rates persist, the supply of new housing may fall short of population gains, which could intensify buyer competition and bolster property price appreciation.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Ferny Creek
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 29 current infrastructure and development projects close to Ferny Creek, worth an estimated $925 million. 7 are already under construction and 6 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects and planning changes can have a significant impact on property markets. AreaSearch has identified a single project expected to influence the area. Relevant projects include the Six Senses Resort And Spa At Burnham Beeches, the Angliss Hospital Expansion, the Mountain Highway Logistics Hub, and the Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, with specific details provided below.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Angliss Hospital Expansion
A $112 million major redevelopment featuring a new four-storey, all-electric tower. The expansion delivers a 32-bed inpatient unit, four state-of-the-art operating theatres, a new central sterile supply department, and expanded outpatient and allied health services. Major structural works were completed in July 2025, and the project is currently in the fit-out and final construction phase to increase surgical capacity for the Knox and Yarra Ranges communities.
Boronia Station Upgrade & Plaza
Upgrade of Boronia Station and creation of a new landscaped plaza connecting to Dorset Road. Scope includes widened concourse, entrance canopies, relocated ticket and PSO offices, upgraded platform shelters and waiting room, new pedestrian crossing, improved pick-up/drop-off on Lupton Way, accessibility upgrades, enhanced lighting and CCTV. A new pocket park near Boronia Junction Shopping Centre is also included. Early works commenced in 2025 with geotechnical investigations along Lupton Way. Major works scheduled for early 2026 with the upgraded station, plaza and pocket park to open by end of 2026.Delivered by an alliance of Acciona, WSP and Metro Trains Melbourne under the Level Crossing Removal Project.
Ferntree Gully Village Creative Placemaking Plan
Community-driven arts and cultural development project transforming public spaces in Ferntree Gully Village through murals, sculptures, lightbox galleries, and parklet upgrades to enhance safety, community connection, and local pride.
Kings Park Masterplan
Knox City Council's long-term master plan to upgrade Kings Park, a key sporting and recreation precinct. Stage 1 delivers a fully fenced dog park featuring two distinct off-leash zones, sealed path circuits, picnic seating, drinking fountains, and site drainage improvements. Future stages for parkland enhancement remain subject to council planning and annual capital works budgeting.
Bluett Reserve Playground Upgrade
As part of the 2025-26 capital works program, Knox City Council is investing in the renewal of local playgrounds, including the one at Bluett Reserve in Ferntree Gully. The project aims to improve the recreational facilities for the local community.
Mountain Highway Logistics Hub
Staged development of a major industrial logistics estate on a 16.8 hectare site formerly occupied by GlaxoSmithKline for over 50 years, featuring four separate warehouses totalling up to 50,000 sqm. Stage 1 comprises a purpose-built national head office and distribution centre for CoolDrive Auto Parts, consolidating three Melbourne facilities into one site with automation systems, dedicated dangerous goods and refrigerant stores, and a workshop for the Blanchard Racing Team Supercars program. The development includes a new access road and signalised intersection to Mountain Highway, estate signage, and directional signage.Construction began in July 2025 following a sod-turning ceremony, with the CoolDrive facility targeted for completion around October 2026 and practical completion of Stage 1 expected by late 2026. Future stages will add smaller warehouses of approximately 10,000 sqm each. All warehouses will operate 24/7 once complete, with Stage 1 expected to accommodate up to 225 staff.
1-13 Erica Avenue Mixed-Use Development
Mixed-use development comprising 58 apartments across 5 storeys, with an ALDI supermarket and 2 retail shops at ground level with basement car parking. Designed by Select Architects and Peter Brown Architects, the project is located in the heart of the Boronia Activity Centre, directly opposite Boronia Junction Shopping Centre and approximately 50 metres from Boronia Train Station. A planning permit has been granted by Knox City Council, however construction has not commenced as rising building and land costs have stalled the project.
Ferntree Gully Community Housing
A 79-unit medium density development consisting of 41 one-bedroom units, 38 two-bedroom units, and 6 three-bedroom units, located on the site of the old Ferntree Gully Primary School. Part of the Nation Building and Economic Stimulus Project, jointly funded by Federal and State Governments. Residents are involved in a community vegetable garden and linked with local community activities through partnerships with Mountain District Learning Centre.
891 residents of Ferny Creek are employed, from a labour force of 915. Unemployment sits at 2.6%, with participation at 71.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,157, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Ferny Creek is characterised by a highly qualified workforce with substantial representation in professional services, an unemployment rate of only 2.6%, and an estimated job growth rate of 2.2% over the last year, compiled by AreaSearch from regional statistics. As of March 2026, there are 891 employed residents, while the unemployment rate is 2.1% lower than the 4.8% recorded across Greater Melbourne, and participation matches the metropolitan average of 70.2%. Census records indicate that a substantial 39.1% of working residents performed their duties from home, though this figure was likely influenced by COVID-19 restriction measures.
The primary sectors employing local residents are education & training, health care & social assistance, and construction. The community displays a notable concentration in education & training, which employs residents at 1.5 times the metropolitan average. On the other hand, transport, postal & warehousing represents just 2.5% of jobs, compared to the regional average of 5.2%. The area is heavily residential, offering few local employment opportunities as shown by the discrepancy between Census workers and residents. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data for the broader region reveals that the 12-month period experienced a 2.2% increase in employment alongside a 2.5% rise in the labour force, leading to a 0.2 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labor force expansion of 2.3%, and a rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia issued in May-25 offer additional perspectives on prospective local demand. These five and ten-year projections have been aligned with the local industry profile to estimate future trends. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary by industry sector. Applying these national sector forecasts to the local workforce composition suggests employment in Ferny Creek will rise by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, representing a basic weighted projection that does not factor in localized population adjustments.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Ferny Creek is $2,393 a week (about $124,000 a year), with median personal income at $875 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $53,490 a year against an average of $74,504. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Based on aggregated ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023, personal income levels in the suburb of Ferny Creek are exceptionally high by national standards. The median income for taxpayers in the suburb of Ferny Creek is $53,490, while the average income is $74,504, compared to Greater Melbourne figures of $57,688 and $75,164. Adjusted for a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 are approximately $58,636 (median) and $81,671 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes are in the 87th percentile, translating to $2,393 per week.
Income distribution shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the most common, accounting for 29.9% of households (456 people), similar to the Greater Melbourne average of 32.8%. High affluence is evident, with 37.9% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, which assists high-end retail and local services. Residents retain 87.1% of their earnings after housing costs, showing strong disposable income, and the area ranks in the 9th decile on the SEIFA index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Ferny Creek had 531 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 100% detached houses and 0% apartments. 57% are owned with a mortgage, 6% rented and 37% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 16.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock in Ferny Creek at the time of the latest Census consisted of 100.0% detached houses and no other dwelling types, such as townhouses or apartments, compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings across metropolitan Melbourne. Homeownership rates in Ferny Creek were high, with 37.2% of residents owning their homes outright, while 57.0% held a mortgage and 5.8% rented. The median monthly mortgage payment was $2,167, exceeding the Melbourne average of $2,000, while the median weekly rent was $400, compared to $390 metro-wide. Nationally, mortgage repayments in Ferny Creek are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent levels exceed the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Ferny Creek counted 531 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 42% are couples with children, more than in 82% of areas nationally, against 31% couples without children. 19% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 79.5%, consisting of couples with children at 41.5%, couples without children at 31.3%, and single-parent households at 6.0%. Non-family households represent the remaining 20.5%, comprising single-person households at 19.3% and group households at 0.9%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is slightly larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
42.0% of adults in Ferny Creek hold a university qualification, including 25.9% with a bachelor degree and 10.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 94% of areas nationally. A further 18.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 163 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,104 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic credentials in Ferny Creek are significantly higher than regional and national averages, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding a tertiary degree, compared to 23.8% in the SA3 area and 30.4% nationally. This educational profile positions the workforce well for knowledge-intensive roles. Bachelor degrees are the most common credential at 25.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.5% and graduate diplomas at 5.6%. Technical and vocational credentials are also common, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications such as advanced diplomas (13.1%) and certificates (18.1%). Engagement in education is high, with 27.7% of the population enrolled in study.
This includes 9.7% attending primary schools, 8.3% in secondary schools, and 5.1% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Ferny Creek reaches 10 stops on 7 routes, timetabled for about 890 services a week. The typical home sits about 450 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in Ferny Creek feature 10 active bus stops. These stops are served by 7 distinct routes, which generate a total of 885 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is moderate, with residents living an average of 447 meters from their nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, and most workers commute outside the area, with private vehicles being the primary mode of travel for 94% of commuters. Households average 2.0 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan average. A high proportion of residents, 39.1%, reported working from home in the 2021 Census, which may reflect the influence of pandemic restrictions.
Bus routes in the area run an average of 126 trips per day, which translates to approximately 88 weekly trips per bus stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.4% of residents in Ferny Creek report no long-term health condition. 4.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators show positive outcomes in Ferny Creek, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality and chronic disease data, with low rates of common health conditions observed across both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance coverage is high at approximately 56% of the population, representing about 858 people. Mental health conditions and asthma are the most common diagnoses, affecting 8.7% and 8.2% of the population respectively, while 67.4% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health profiles for working-age residents are typical.
The population features 21.4% of residents aged 65 and over (326 people), exceeding the Greater Melbourne average of 15.0%. Health outcomes for seniors are strong, outperforming national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Ferny Creek is largely Australian-born, at 81.5% of residents, with 6.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (29.7%) and Australian (26.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Ferny Creek is lower than the metropolitan average, with 81.5% of the population born in Australia, 90.5% holding citizenship, and 93.6% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the most common religion, representing 31.6% of residents. The most notable religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.6% of the population compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Looking at parental birthplaces, the most common ancestries in Ferny Creek are English at 29.7% of the population, which is higher than the metropolitan average of 20.1%, Australian at 26.4%, compared to the regional average of 18.4%, and Irish at 9.4%.
Other ethnic groups showing higher representation than the wider region include Hungarian at 0.7% of the population (compared to 0.3% regionally), Dutch at 2.9% (compared to 1.2%), and Polish at 1.1% (compared to 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Ferny Creek is 45, older than 80% of areas nationally. 18.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 45 years in Ferny Creek is higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, the suburb has a higher proportion of residents aged 55 - 64 (15.3%) and a lower proportion aged 25 - 34 (5.8%). Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 5.0% to 7.7%, while the 25 to 34 demographic has decreased from 7.4% to 5.8%. Projections to 2041 indicate shifts in the age profile, led by the 85+ cohort, which is expected to grow by 193% (50 people), rising from 25 to 76.
Collectively, cohorts aged 65+ will account for 78% of overall growth, while the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 groups are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Ferny Creek
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 12 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,524 at the 2021 Census → 1,527 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20918). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.