Olinda (Vic.)

Olinda is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Olinda (Vic.) statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,760. This reflects a decrease since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,773 people. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in Jun 2024, indicating a resident population of 1,750. This results in a density ratio of approximately 83 persons per square kilometer. The population growth in the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing around 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth for national statistical areas, with the Olinda (Vic.) (SA2) expected to grow by 35 persons to reach a total of around 1,795 by 2041. This reflects an increase of approximately 1.3% over the 17-year period from 2024 to 2041.

The level of residential development activity in Olinda is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Olinda has seen only one residential development approval in the past five years. This minimal development indicates a mature area where new housing opportunities are rare. While this can support property values through limited supply, it also suggests a stable, settled market with less turnover compared to Greater Melbourne and nationally.

Recent periods have seen some pickup in development activity, though it remains lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

Olinda has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the area: Mount Dandenong Tourist Road Landslide Repair Works, Six Senses Resort And Spa At Burnham Beeches, Dandenong Ranges Environmental Protection Program, and Sherbrooke Children's Centre Services.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Olinda ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Olinda has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.2% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment stability has been relatively consistent over the past year. Of Olinda's 926 residents in work, many are employed in health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. Notably, employment levels in education & training are at 1.3 times the regional average, while finance & insurance employs only 1.9% of local workers, below Greater Melbourne's 4.9%. Employment opportunities may be limited locally as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.1%, while labour force decreased by 0.4%, causing a drop in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% and unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points during the same period. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Olinda's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Olinda's median income among taxpayers is $52,512. The average income in the suburb is $73,141. Both figures are above national averages. In Greater Melbourne, the median income is $57,688 and the average is $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Olinda's median income would be approximately $56,844 by September 2025, with an average of around $79,175. According to Census 2021 income data, incomes in Olinda cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. The $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket dominates, with 30.0% of residents (528 people) falling into this category, similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 32.8%. Economic strength is evident in Olinda, with 30.7% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. After housing expenses, 86.2% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Olinda is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Olinda's dwelling structures, according to the latest Census, consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Olinda was at 38.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.9% and rented dwellings at 12.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $1,950. Median weekly rent in Olinda was $398, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Olinda's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Olinda has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.5% of all households, including 33.1% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.5%, with lone person households at 23.0% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Olinda shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Olinda's residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate at 38.4%, surpassing the SA3 area's 23.8% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 34.9% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (15.2%) and certificates (19.7%). Educational participation is high, with 28.4% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.2% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 5.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.2% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Olinda has 18 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by eight distinct routes that together facilitate 562 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is moderate, with residents on average located 420 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 80 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 31 weekly trips per individual stop.

Olinda's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Olinda's health data shows that residents have a relatively positive health status with common conditions seen across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 56% (~980 people) of Olinda's population has private health cover, higher than Greater Melbourne's 53.1%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.3%) and mental health issues (9.0%). About 68.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 66.9% in Greater Melbourne. Olinda has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.7% (399 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 19.4%. Health outcomes among Olinda's seniors are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Olinda ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Olinda, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, showed a lower than average cultural diversity level. It had 80.5% of its population born in Australia, with 88.9% being citizens and 92.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Olinda, comprising 31.3%.

However, Judaism showed an overrepresentation in Olinda at 0.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.1%. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.0%), Australian (25.7%), and Scottish (9.6%). Notable differences existed for French (Olinda: 1.3% vs regionally: 0.5%), Russian (0.5% vs 0.2%), and Polish (0.9% vs 0.7%) populations.

Olinda hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Olinda is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Olinda has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (6.2%). This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the percentage of Olinda's population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 4.5% to 6.3%, while the 15 to 24 age group increased from 9.4% to 11.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 8.7% to 6.2%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Olinda's age structure. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 221%, reaching 79 people from its current figure of 24. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 80% of total population growth, reflecting Olinda's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.