Mount Evelyn

Mount Evelyn is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Mount Evelyn's population is around 10,074 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 275 people (2.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,799 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,032 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 35 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 592 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Mount Evelyn's 2.8% growth since the census positions it within 1.2 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.0%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 65.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilizing the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated, with the area expected to grow by 264 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 2.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mount Evelyn, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Evelyn has seen around 13 new homes approved each year, totalling 69 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 3 approvals have been recorded. As the area has experienced population decline, development activity has been adequate in relative terms, which is a positive for buyers, while new homes are being built at an average construction value of $405,000. There have also been $7.9 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating a limited commercial development focus.

When measured against Greater Melbourne, Mount Evelyn shows substantially reduced construction (65.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. This level is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. Recent construction comprises 55.0% detached houses and 45.0% medium and high-density housing, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 98.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated count of 662 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low-activity development environment.

Future projections show Mount Evelyn adding 222 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Mount Evelyn has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 7 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Mount Evelyn Water Treatment Plant, Hereford Road Childcare Centre and Development Site, York Road Upgrade, and Mount Evelyn Recreation Reserve Master Plan, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Mount Evelyn exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Mount Evelyn possesses a skilled workforce, with the construction sector a particular standout in terms of representation, an unemployment rate of only 3.6%, and 0.9% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,574 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.1% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Based on Census responses, a moderate 24.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area shows particularly strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 5.7% employment compared to 10.1% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.9% while the labour force increased by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Mount Evelyn. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Mount Evelyn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Mount Evelyn SA2's income level is in line with national averages according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Mount Evelyn SA2's median income among taxpayers is $56,718 and the average income stands at $67,417, compared to Greater Melbourne's figures of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $61,397 (median) and $72,979 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Mount Evelyn cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 38.9% of the community (3,918 individuals), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 32.8% in the same category. Housing accounts for 14.7% of income, while strong earnings rank residents within the 70th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mount Evelyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Mount Evelyn, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 97.9% houses and 2.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Mount Evelyn was higher than that of Melbourne metro, at 32.9%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (57.6%) or rented (9.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was in line with the Melbourne metro average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Mount Evelyn's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are lower than the national figure of $375.

Mount Evelyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 80.1% of all households, comprising 42.3% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.9%, with lone person households at 18.1% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Mount Evelyn performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (20.6%) substantially below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (29.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 41 active transport stops operating within Mount Evelyn, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 10 individual routes, collectively providing 1,865 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 408 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, and the car remains the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 24.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 266 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 45 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mount Evelyn is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Mount Evelyn demonstrates above-average health outcomes, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover just leads the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the total population (~5,298 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 9.2% and 9.1% of residents, respectively, while 67.8% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 17.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,735 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Mount Evelyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Evelyn was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 87.1% of its population born in Australia, 94.3% being citizens, and 95.7% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Mount Evelyn is Christianity, which makes up 39.6% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 0.5% of the population, compared to 2.3% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Mount Evelyn are English, comprising 31.4% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian, comprising 29.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 18.4%, and Scottish, comprising 8.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 4.3% of Mount Evelyn (vs 1.2% regionally), Sri Lankan at 0.3% (vs 0.8%) and Maltese at 0.5% (vs 1.1%).

Mount Evelyn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Mount Evelyn is close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Mount Evelyn has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (14.1%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (10.7%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.6% to 6.2% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 13.5% to 14.7%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 13.3% to 10.7%. By 2041, Mount Evelyn is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 30% (190 people), reaching 819 from 628. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 79% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 5 to 14 and 25 to 34 cohorts.