Mount Evelyn
Statistical Area - sa2

Mount Evelyn is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Mount Evelyn's population is approximately 10,076 as of Aug 2025. This represents a growth of 277 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 9,799. The increase is estimated from ABS data showing an EPP of 10,032 in June 2024 and 35 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a population density of 593 persons per square kilometer. Mount Evelyn's growth rate of 2.8% since the 2021 Census is close to the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.3%. Natural growth contributed approximately 65.3% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation for areas not covered by ABS data. By 2041, Mount Evelyn is expected to grow by 264 persons based on current trends, representing a total growth of 2.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mount Evelyn, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Evelyn has seen approximately 13 new homes approved annually. Development approval data, provided by the ABS on a financial year basis, totals 69 approvals from FY-21 to FY-25 and includes 3 recorded so far in FY-26. The population has fallen during this period, suggesting new supply has kept pace with demand, offering good choice for buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $407,000, below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options.

There have been $7.9 million in commercial approvals this financial year, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mount Evelyn shows significantly reduced construction (65.0% below the regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, recent construction activity has increased, although it remains below the national average, suggesting potential planning limitations. New development consists of 55.0% detached dwellings and 45.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift from the area's current housing composition (98.0% houses), reflecting decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 662 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Mount Evelyn is expected to grow by 220 residents by 2041.

With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Mount Evelyn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Mount Evelyn Water Treatment Plant, Fernhill Road - Drainage Improvements in Mount Evelyn, Hereford Road Childcare Centre and Development Site, and York Road Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market in Mount Evelyn shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Mount Evelyn has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being notably prominent. Its unemployment rate was 2.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.6%.

As of June 2025, 5,560 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.7% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is higher at 69.9%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The leading employment industries among residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction stands out with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have a limited presence at 5.7% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 0.6%, while labour force grew by 0.7%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment grew by 3.5% and labour force expanded by 4.0%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point increase in unemployment. Providing broader context, state-level data from Sep-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.5%, and employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 offer insights into potential future demand within Mount Evelyn. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Mount Evelyn's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Mount Evelyn's median income among taxpayers was $53,162 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $63,339 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median and average incomes of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% from financial year 2022 to March 2025, current estimates would be approximately $58,537 for median income and $69,743 for average income. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Mount Evelyn cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 38.9% of Mount Evelyn's population (3,919 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring metropolitan regions where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Housing accounts for 14.7% of income in Mount Evelyn. The area's residents rank within the 71st percentile for disposable income and its SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mount Evelyn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Mount Evelyn's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.9% houses and 2.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 93.8% houses and 6.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mount Evelyn stood at 32.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.6% and rented ones at 9.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $1,950. Weekly rent median in Mount Evelyn was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $380. Nationally, Mount Evelyn's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $375.

Mount Evelyn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.1 percent of all households, including 42.3 percent couples with children, 26.9 percent couples without children, and 9.9 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.9 percent, with lone person households at 18.1 percent and group households comprising 2.0 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.7.

Mount Evelyn performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate stands at 20.6%, significantly lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 14.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 42.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 12.8% and certificates for 29.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education. Mount Evelyn has a robust network of 6 schools educating approximately 1,449 students. The educational mix comprises 3 primary schools, 2 secondary schools, and 1 K-12 school. Mount Evelyn demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1018) with balanced educational opportunities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mount Evelyn has 41 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by 11 different routes that together provide 2,081 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 408 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 297 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mount Evelyn's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Mount Evelyn's health metrics are close to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~5,158 people), which is slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 9.2% and 9.1% of residents respectively. 67.8% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.9% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 16.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,689 people), which is lower than the 19.4% in Greater Melbourne. This is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Mount Evelyn is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Evelyn, as per the 2016 Census, had a cultural diversity below average with 87.1% of its population born in Australia. It also had a high percentage of citizens, 94.3%, and English speakers at home, 95.7%. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 39.6% of Mount Evelyn's population.

The 'Other' category comprised only 0.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.7%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (31.4%), Australian (29.9%), and Scottish (8.0%). Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 4.3% compared to the regional average of 3.2%, Maltese at 0.5% versus 0.4%, and Sri Lankan at 0.3%.

Mount Evelyn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Mount Evelyn is close to Greater Melbourne's average at 37 years and is equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Mount Evelyn has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 years (13.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 years (11.2%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 4.6% to 6.0%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25 to 34 decreased from 13.3% to 11.2%. By 2041, Mount Evelyn's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 36%, reaching 819 people from 600. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 82% of the population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for residents aged 15-24 and 35-44 years.