Croydon Hills - Warranwood
Statistical Area - sa2

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population is approximately 18,448 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase from the 2021 Census population of 18,059 people, marking a growth of 389 individuals or 2.2%. The population estimate for June 2024 was 18,391, with an additional 73 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this increase. This results in a population density ratio of 1,943 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 2.2% since the census is within 1.8 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 4.0%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver for population growth in recent periods, contributing approximately 64.5% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041 based on these aggregations. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the national median, with the area expected to expand by 1,218 persons to 2041, recording a gain of 6.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has averaged approximately 31 new dwelling approvals annually over recent years. Between financial year 2021 (FY-21) and FY-25158 homes were approved, with an additional 18 approved so far in FY-26. Despite a declining population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, indicating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction value of new properties is $490,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment. This financial year has seen $1.1 million in commercial approvals, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Croydon Hills - Warranwood has significantly less development activity, 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Similarly, development activity is lower than the national average, possibly due to market maturity or development constraints. New building activity comprises 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

This marks a change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (97.0%), likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands. With around 649 people per dwelling approval, Croydon Hills - Warranwood reflects a highly mature market. Future projections indicate population growth by approximately 1,161 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Holloway Road Upgrade and Reconstruction Works, Hughes Park Pavilion Redevelopment, Jumping Creek Revitalisation works at Warranwood, and Maroondah Planning Scheme. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Croydon Hills - Warranwood performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has a well-educated workforce with a low unemployment rate of 2.0%. This rate is estimated to have grown by 1.1% in the past year.

As of June 2025, 10,754 residents are employed, which is below the Greater Melbourne average. The unemployment rate in Croydon Hills - Warranwood is 2.6% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is higher at 69.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.

Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. However, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 3.0% compared to the regional average of 5.2%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1%, labour force grew by 0.7%, and unemployment fell by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.5% and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Croydon Hills - Warranwood's current employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Croydon Hills - Warranwood's median income among taxpayers was $54,976 with an average of $69,564. This was above the national average and compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $61,661 (median) and $78,023 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 87th percentile ($2,377 weekly). The earnings profile shows that 31.6% of locals (5,829 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category. This aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Economic strength is evident through 37.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Croydon Hills - Warranwood was at 37.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.9% and rented ones at 13.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Weekly rent median was $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $385. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 84.0% of all households, including 45.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

University qualification levels in Croydon Hills - Warranwood are 32.2%, slightly below Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (20.2%).

Educational participation is high at 29.8%, comprising 9.8% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 5.4% in tertiary education. There are 8 schools educating approximately 3,763 students in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, with significant socio-educational advantages (ICSEA: 1100). The school mix includes 5 primary, 1 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools. School capacity is high at 20.4 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.5, indicating the area serves as an educational hub for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Croydon Hills-Warranwood has 70 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 12 different routes that together facilitate 2,310 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents located an average of 275 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 330 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 33 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Croydon Hills - Warranwood is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Croydon Hills-Warranwood shows better-than-average health results, with both younger and older residents experiencing low rates of common health issues.

Approximately 54% (~10,035 people) have private health cover, which is very high. The most prevalent conditions are asthma (7.9%) and mental health concerns (7.7%). A total of 71.1% reported no medical ailments, compared to 68.7% in Greater Melbourne. As of 2021, 17.9% (~3,304 people) are aged 65 or older, lower than the 19.0% in Greater Melbourne. Seniors' health outcomes align with those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Croydon Hills - Warranwood was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Croydon Hills-Warranwood has a cultural diversity above average, with 19.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Croydon Hills-Warranwood, comprising 49.1% of people there. However, Judaism is notably overrepresented, making up 0.1% compared to the same percentage across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups are English (27.8%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (8.0%). Dutch ethnicity is also overrepresented at 2.6%, Sri Lankan at 0.6%, and Italian at 4.5%.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's median age exceeds the national pattern

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has a median age of 41 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 55-64 age group is significantly over-represented in Croydon Hills - Warranwood at 14.7%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.6%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the 65 to 74 age group grew from 9.4% to 10.6% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 4.4% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group declined from 10.0% to 8.6%, and the 45 to 54 age group decreased from 14.9% to 13.6%. Demographic projections suggest significant changes in Croydon Hills - Warranwood's age profile by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort is projected to grow by 56%, adding 573 residents, reaching a total of 1,601 residents. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 75% of the population growth. However, declines are projected for the 55-64 and 15-24 age groups.