Croydon Hills - Warranwood

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population is around 18,451 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 392 people (2.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,059 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,391 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 73 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,944 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Croydon Hills - Warranwood's 2.2% growth since the census positions it within 2.7 percentage points of the SA4 region (4.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 64.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 1,218 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 6.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has averaged around 31 new dwelling approvals per year, with 158 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 20 so far in FY-26. Given population has fallen over the past period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $490,000, revealing that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Additionally, $1.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus.

When measured against Greater Melbourne, Croydon Hills - Warranwood has significantly less development activity (61.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New building activity shows 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 97.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 649 people per dwelling approval, Croydon Hills - Warranwood reflects a highly mature market.

Looking ahead, Croydon Hills - Warranwood is expected to grow by 1,158 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 14 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Holloway Road Upgrade and Reconstruction Works, Hughes Park Pavilion Redevelopment, revitalisation works at Jumping Creek, Warranwood, and the Maroondah Planning Scheme, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Croydon Hills - Warranwood performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Croydon Hills - Warranwood possesses a well-educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 2.3%, and 1.7% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 10,718 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.5% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Based on Census responses, a high 34.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in construction, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Meanwhile, transport, postal & warehousing has a limited presence with 3.0% employment compared to 5.2% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.7% and the labour force increased by 1.5%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne, where employment rose by 2.4%, the labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Croydon Hills - Warranwood. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Croydon Hills - Warranwood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Croydon Hills - Warranwood SA2's median income among taxpayers is $58,727, with an average of $72,328. This is above the national average, and compares to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $63,572 (median) and $78,295 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 87th percentile ($2,377 weekly). The earnings profile shows the predominant cohort spans 31.6% of locals (5,830 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 32.8%. Economic strength emerges through 37.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Croydon Hills - Warranwood, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Croydon Hills - Warranwood was well beyond that of Melbourne metro, at 37.6%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (48.9%) or rented (13.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Melbourne metro average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Croydon Hills - Warranwood's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 84.0% of all households, comprising 45.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

At 32.2%, university qualification levels in Croydon Hills - Warranwood sit marginally below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%, though the modest gap indicates reasonable educational competitiveness. Bachelor degrees lead at 21.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials: advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (20.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 70 active transport stops operating within Croydon Hills - Warranwood, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 11 individual routes, collectively providing 1,689 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 275 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 34.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 241 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Croydon Hills - Warranwood, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 55% of the total population (~10,129 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.9% and 7.7% of residents, respectively, while 71.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 18.8% of residents aged 65 and over (3,463 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Croydon Hills - Warranwood records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Croydon Hills - Warranwood was found to be above average in terms of cultural diversity, with 19.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Croydon Hills - Warranwood is Christianity, which makes up 49.1% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.1% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Croydon Hills - Warranwood are English, comprising 27.8% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 20.1%, Australian, comprising 26.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 18.4%, and Scottish, comprising 8.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 2.6% of Croydon Hills - Warranwood (vs 1.2% regionally), Sri Lankan at 0.6% (vs 0.8%) and Italian at 4.5% (vs 5.2%).

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population is slightly older than the national pattern

At 41 years, Croydon Hills - Warranwood's median age is significantly above the Greater Melbourne average of 37 as well as somewhat older than the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 55 - 64 cohort is notably over-represented (14.6% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (8.4%). Following the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 9.4% to 11.1% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 4.4% to 6.0%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 10.0% to 8.4% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 14.9% to 13.4%. Demographic modeling suggests Croydon Hills - Warranwood's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 46%, adding 503 residents to reach 1,601. Demographic aging continues as residents 65 and older represent 69% of anticipated growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 and 0 to 4 cohorts.