Croydon Hills - Warranwood

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 18,451. This figure represents a 392-person increase since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 18,059. The growth was inferred from an estimated resident population of 18,391 in June 2024 and 73 new addresses validated since the census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,944 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 2.2% growth since the census is within 2.7 percentage points of the SA4 region's 4.9%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 64.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to reach SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest a median-level increase, with an expected expansion of 1,218 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 6.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Croydon Hills - Warranwood averaged approximately 31 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25158 homes were approved, with an additional 20 approved so far in FY26. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has been adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost of new properties is $490,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY26, $1.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Croydon Hills - Warranwood has significantly less development activity, 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. When measured against national averages, development activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 97.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With approximately 649 people per dwelling approval, Croydon Hills - Warranwood reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Croydon Hills - Warranwood is expected to grow by 1,158 residents through to 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 14 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the Holloway Road Upgrade and Reconstruction Works, Hughes Park Pavilion Redevelopment, Revitalisation works at Jumping Creek, Warranwood, and the Maroondah Planning Scheme. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Croydon Hills - Warranwood performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has a well-educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.1% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.1% over the past year. This is lower than Greater Melbourne's unemployment rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 34.4% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 3.0%, compared to the regional average of 5.2%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1% and labour force grew by 0.7%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.0%, the labour force grew by 3.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Croydon Hills - Warranwood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Croydon Hills - Warranwood SA2's median income among taxpayers was $58,727, with an average of $72,328. This was above the national average and compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $63,572 (median) and $78,295 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes ranked at the 87th percentile ($2,377 weekly). The earnings profile showed that 31.6% of locals (5,830 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represented 32.8%. High consumer spending was supported by 37.5% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retained 87.3% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's dwelling structure in the latest Census showed 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 37.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.9% and rented ones at 13.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.0% of all households, including 45.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

University qualification levels in Croydon Hills - Warranwood are at 32.2%, slightly below Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, held by 21.6% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (20.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has 70 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 11 different routes that together facilitate 1,689 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 275 metres from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 34.4% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 241 trips per day, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per stop.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Croydon Hills - Warranwood.

AreaSearch's assessment indicates very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 55% of the total population (~10,129 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.9 and 7.7% of residents respectively. Seventy-one point one percent of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. Eighteen point eight percent of residents are aged 65 and over (3,463 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Croydon Hills - Warranwood records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Croydon Hills-Warranwood, surveyed in 2016, had a cultural diversity above average with 19.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 49.1%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (27.8%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (8.0%). Dutch (2.6%) and Sri Lankan (0.6%) were notably overrepresented while Italian was slightly underrepresented at 4.5% compared to regional averages.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has a median age of 41 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Comparing with Greater Melbourne, those aged 55-64 are notably over-represented at 14.6% locally, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 8.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 65-74 grew from 9.4% to 11.1%, and those aged 75-84 increased from 4.4% to 6.0%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group declined from 10.0% to 8.4%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 14.9% to 13.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Croydon Hills - Warranwood's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 46%, adding 503 residents to reach 1,601. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 69% of anticipated population growth, while those aged 55-64 and 0-4 are projected to decline in numbers.