Croydon Hills - Warranwood

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population was 18,451 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 392 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,059. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,391 in June 2024 and an additional 73 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,944 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 2.2% growth since census is competitive with the SA4 region's 4.9%, demonstrating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 64.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate a median increase, with an expected expansion of 1,218 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 6.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Croydon Hills - Warranwood averaged approximately 31 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years (FY21 to FY25), 158 homes were approved, with an additional 20 approved in FY26 so far. The population has fallen during this period, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a well-balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $490,000, indicating that developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year, $1.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Croydon Hills - Warranwood has significantly less development activity (61.0% below regional average per person), which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This lower activity also reflects market maturity and possible development constraints when compared nationally. New building activity shows 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 97.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 649 people per dwelling approval, Croydon Hills - Warranwood reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects that Croydon Hills - Warranwood is expected to grow by 1,158 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Holloway Road Upgrade and Reconstruction Works, Hughes Park Pavilion Redevelopment, Revitalisation works at Jumping Creek, Warranwood, and Maroondah Planning Scheme. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Croydon Hills - Warranwood performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has a well-educated workforce with 10,681 residents employed as of September 2025. The unemployment rate is 2.1%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.1% over the past year. This rate is 2.5% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 34.4% of residents work from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Major employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Notably, construction has a high concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 3.0% compared to the regional average of 5.2%. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1%, labour force grew by 0.7%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Croydon Hills - Warranwood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Croydon Hills - Warranwood SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $58,727 and an average of $72,328. These figures exceed the national averages. Greater Melbourne's median was $57,688 with an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $63,572 (median) and $78,295 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes ranked at the 87th percentile with a weekly income of $2,377. The earnings profile indicates that 31.6% of locals (5,830 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region's 32.8%. High consumer spending is supported by 37.5% of households earning over $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Croydon Hills - Warranwood dwelling structure in the latest Census showed 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 37.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.9% and rented at 13.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.0% of all households, including 45.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

University qualification levels in Croydon Hills - Warranwood stand at 32.2%, slightly below Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, held by 21.6% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 20.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has 70 active public transport stops. These are served by 11 routes offering a total of 1,689 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 275 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. In this residential area, cars remain the primary mode of transport at 93%. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

Notably, 34.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census). Service frequency across all routes averages 241 trips daily, equating to around 24 weekly trips per stop.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis shows strong health performance in Croydon Hills - Warranwood based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Very low prevalence of common health conditions is seen across all age groups. Approximately 55% (~10,129 people) have private health cover, which is fairly high. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.9%) and mental health issues (7.7%). About 71.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. Around 17.9% (3,304 people) are aged 65 and over, higher than the 14.9% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors align with national rankings.

In terms of cultural diversity, Croydon Hills - Warranwood records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Croydon Hills-Warranwood showed cultural diversity with 19.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 49.1%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.8%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (8.0%). Dutch (2.6%) and Sri Lankan (0.6%) were notably overrepresented, while Italian was slightly underrepresented at 4.5%.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has a median age of 41 years, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. The 55-64 age group makes up 14.7% of the local population, compared to Greater Melbourne's average, indicating overrepresentation. Conversely, the 25-34 age group is underrepresented at 8.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the 65-74 age group grew from 9.4% to 10.6%, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.4% to 5.6%. However, the 25-34 age group decreased from 10.0% to 8.6%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 14.9% to 13.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling predicts significant changes in Croydon Hills - Warranwood's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 56%, adding 573 residents to reach 1,601. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 75% of the population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are anticipated for the 55-64 and 15-24 age groups.