Croydon Hills - Warranwood
Statistical Area - sa2

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population is 18,443 as of Aug 2025. This shows an increase of 384 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,059. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates of 18,391 in June 2024 and 71 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,943 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 2.1% since census is within 1.8 percentage points of the SA4 region (3.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 64.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting them using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of national areas, with the area expected to expand by 1,218 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, recording a gain of 6.3% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has averaged approximately 31 new dwelling approvals per year. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, with 158 homes approved over the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and six approvals so far in FY-26. Despite population decline in the area, development activity has been adequate relative to other regions, which is positive for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $556,000.

This financial year, there have been $1.1 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Croydon Hills - Warranwood has significantly less development activity, with 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. When measured against national averages, development activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 97.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 649 people per dwelling approval, Croydon Hills - Warranwood reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, projections indicate that Croydon Hills - Warranwood is expected to grow by 1,166 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Holloway Road Upgrade and Reconstruction Works, Hughes Park Pavilion Redevelopment, Jumping Creek Revitalisation works at Warranwood, and Maroondah Planning Scheme. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Croydon Hills - Warranwood performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has an educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. Unemployment stands at 2.0%, with employment growth estimated at 1.1% over the past year as of June 2025.

There are 10,754 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.6%. Workforce participation is high at 69.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Notably, construction has a high concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 3.0%, compared to the regional average of 5.2%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1% and labour force grew by 0.7%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.5%, labour force grow by 4.0%, and unemployment increase by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project a national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Croydon Hills - Warranwood's industry mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Croydon Hills - Warranwood's median income among taxpayers was $54,976 and the average was $69,564. This is above the national average. Greater Melbourne had a median of $54,892 and an average of $73,761 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Croydon Hills - Warranwood would be approximately $60,534 (median) and $76,597 (average) as of March 2025. The 2021 Census figures show household incomes rank exceptionally at the 87th percentile ($2,377 weekly). The earnings profile indicates that 31.6% of locals (5,827 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. This aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort represents 32.8%. Economic strength is evident through 37.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings. In contrast, Melbourne metro had 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Croydon Hills - Warranwood stood at 37.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.9% and rented ones at 13.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent in Croydon Hills - Warranwood was $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $385. Nationally, the area's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.0% of all households, including 45.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households making up 1.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

University qualification levels in Croydon Hills - Warranwood are at 32.2%, slightly below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 32.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 20.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.8% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 5.4% in tertiary education. There are 8 schools operating within Croydon Hills - Warranwood, educating approximately 3,763 students. The area has significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement (ICSEA: 1100). It includes 5 primary, 1 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs at 20.4 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.5, indicating Croydon Hills - Warranwood serves as an educational center for the broader region. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has 70 active public transport stops. These are served by buses on 12 different routes, providing a total of 2310 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 275 meters.

On average, there are 330 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 33 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Croydon Hills - Warranwood is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Croydon Hills-Warranwood shows superior health outcomes for both youth and elderly residents, with low prevalence of common conditions.

Private health cover is high at approximately 54% (~10,032 people). Asthma and mental health issues are most prevalent (7.9% and 7.7%). 71.1% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Melbourne's 68.7%. 17.9% are aged 65+, lower than Greater Melbourne's 19.0%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Croydon Hills - Warranwood was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Croydon Hills-Warranwood has a cultural diversity above average, with 19.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Croydon Hills-Warranwood, comprising 49.1%. Judaism, however, is notably overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 0.1% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups are English (27.8%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (8.0%). There are also notable divergences in the representation of Dutch (2.6% vs regional 2.1%), Sri Lankan (0.6% vs 0.5%), and Italian (4.5% vs 3.4%) ethnic groups.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's median age exceeds the national pattern

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 2021 Census shows that the 55-64 age group makes up 14.7% of the local population, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, indicating an over-representation of this cohort. Conversely, the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.6%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the 65-74 age group grew from 9.4% to 10.6%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.4% to 5.6%. However, the 25-34 age group declined from 10.0% to 8.6%, and the 45-54 age group decreased from 14.9% to 13.6%. Demographic projections suggest that by 2041, Croydon Hills - Warranwood's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 56%, adding 573 residents to reach a total of 1,601. This growth is part of an overall aging trend, with residents aged 65 and older representing 75% of the anticipated population increase. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 15-24 age groups.