Croydon Hills - Warranwood

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population was 18,448 as of Nov 2025, showing an increase of 389 people since the 2021 Census. The population in Jun 2024 was estimated at 18,391 by ABS, with 73 new addresses validated since the census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,943 persons per square kilometer. The area's 2.2% growth since the Census is close to the SA4 region's 4.0%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 64.5% of recent population gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, using weighted aggregation to adjust population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 1,218 persons, reflecting a total gain of 6.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Croydon Hills - Warranwood averaged approximately 31 new dwelling approvals annually over recent years. Between financial years FY21 and FY25158 homes were approved, with a further 19 approved in FY26 to date. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value for new properties is $490,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment. In FY26, commercial approvals totaled $1.1 million, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Croydon Hills - Warranwood has significantly less development activity, 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Similarly, development activity is lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood comprises 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

This shows a considerable shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 97.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 649 people per dwelling approval, Croydon Hills - Warranwood reflects a highly mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 1,161 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 43rdth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include Holloway Road Upgrade and Reconstruction Works, Hughes Park Pavilion Redevelopment, Jumping Creek revitalisation works at Warranwood, and Maroondah Planning Scheme. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Croydon Hills - Warranwood performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 2.1% and employment growth over the past year is estimated at 1.1%.

As of September 2025, 10,681 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is higher at 69.6% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction has a notably high concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence with 3.0% employment compared to 5.2% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1% and labour force increased by 0.7%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, the labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Croydon Hills - Warranwood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Croydon Hills - Warranwood SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $54,976 and an average of $69,564. This was above the national average. Greater Melbourne's median income was $54,892 with an average of $73,761 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,661 and $78,023 respectively. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes ranked at the 87th percentile with a weekly income of $2,377. The earnings profile showed that 31.6% of locals (5,829 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income category, similar to the surrounding region at 32.8%. High weekly earning households, exceeding $3,000, accounted for 37.5%, indicating strong consumer spending power. After housing costs, residents retained 87.3% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Melbourne metro's 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Croydon Hills - Warranwood was 37.6%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (48.9%) or rented (13.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $385. Nationally, Croydon Hills - Warranwood's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.0% of all households, including 45.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households making up 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

University qualification levels in Croydon Hills - Warranwood stood at 32.2% as of the latest data, slightly below Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 21.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Vocational credentials were held by 32.8% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 20.2%.

Educational participation was high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This included 9.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates that there are currently seventy active public transport stops operating within Croydon Hills - Warranwood. These stops offer a mix of bus services, with twelve individual routes collectively providing 2,310 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 275 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 330 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately thirty-three weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Croydon Hills - Warranwood is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Croydon Hills - Warranwood shows above-average health outcomes for both young and old age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 54% (~10,035 people) have private health cover, a high rate compared to other areas. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.9%) and mental health issues (7.7%). A total of 71.1% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 68.7%. The area has 17.9% (3,304 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Melbourne's 19.0%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Croydon Hills - Warranwood records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Croydon Hills-Warranwood exhibited above-average cultural diversity, with 19.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Croydon Hills-Warranwood, comprising 49.1%. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented, making up 0.1%, compared to the regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.8%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (8.0%). There were notable divergences in certain ethnic groups: Dutch at 2.6% (vs regional 2.1%), Sri Lankan at 0.6% (vs 0.5%), and Italian at 4.5% (vs 3.4%).

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Comparing with Greater Melbourne, the 55-64 age group is notably over-represented at 14.7% locally, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the 65-74 age group increased from 9.4% to 10.6%, and the 75-84 cohort rose from 4.4% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group decreased from 10.0% to 8.6%, and the 45-54 group fell from 14.9% to 13.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Croydon Hills - Warranwood's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 56%, adding 573 residents to reach 1,601. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 75% of the anticipated population growth. However, declines are projected for the 55-64 and 15-24 age groups.