Croydon Hills - Warranwood

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population was 18,506 as of May 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 447 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,059. The growth is inferred from ABS' June 2025 estimate of 18,457 and 79 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,950 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Croydon Hills - Warranwood's growth rate of 2.5% since the census is close to the SA4 region's rate of 3.8%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 69.3% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of national areas, with a projected expansion of 1,232 persons by 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 6.4% over 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Croydon Hills - Warranwood averaged approximately 31 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years 2021 (FY-21) and 2025 (FY-25), 158 homes were approved, with an additional 22 approved in FY-26 so far. Despite a decline in population, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction value of new properties is $490,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment. This financial year saw $1.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Croydon Hills - Warranwood has significantly less development activity, 61.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. The area's new building activity consists of 73.0% detached dwellings and 27.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 97.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 649 people per dwelling approval, Croydon Hills - Warranwood reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects the area to grow by 1,183 residents through to 2041. Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects that could impact this area. Notable ones include Holloway Road Upgrade and Reconstruction Works, Hughes Park Pavilion Redevelopment, revitalisation works at Jumping Creek and Warranwood, and the Maroondah Planning Scheme. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Croydon Hills - Warranwood performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.3%, with a 1.7% employment growth over the past year (as of December 2025). The area's unemployment rate stands at 2.5%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation is 72.4%, close to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Notably, 34.4% of residents work from home (Census data, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts). Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 3.0% compared to the regional average of 5.2%. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.7%, labour force grew by 1.5%, leading to a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts (May-25) project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Croydon Hills - Warranwood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Croydon Hills - Warranwood SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $58,727 and an average of $72,328. This is higher than the national average. Greater Melbourne's median was $57,688 with an average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $64,377 (median) and $79,286 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes ranked at the 87th percentile ($2,377 weekly). The earnings profile showed that 31.6% of locals (5,847 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region's 32.8%. High earning households, exceeding $3,000 weekly, comprised 37.5%, indicating strong consumer spending power. After housing costs, residents retained 87.3% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 8th decile.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Croydon Hills - Warranwood, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Croydon Hills - Warranwood stood at 37.6%, with the rest either mortgaged (48.9%) or rented (13.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $431, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Croydon Hills - Warranwood's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $431.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.0% of all households, including 45.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 11.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

University qualification levels in Croydon Hills - Warranwood are at 32.2%, slightly below the Greater Melbourne average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 20.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.8% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Croydon Hills - Warranwood has 70 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 11 different routes that together facilitate 1,689 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living 275 metres from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound, and cars remain the primary mode of transport for 93% of residents. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 34.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 241 trips per day, equating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Croydon Hills - Warranwood.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover was found to be fairly high at approximately 55% of the total population (~10,159 people). The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.9 and 7.7% of residents respectively. Seventy-one point one percent of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. Eighteen point six percent of residents are aged 65 and over (3,442 people), which is higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Croydon Hills - Warranwood records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Croydon Hills-Warranwood demonstrated above-average cultural diversity, with 19.8% of its population born overseas and 12.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 49.1%. Judaism was notably overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (27.8%), Australian (26.2%), and Scottish (8.0%). Dutch (2.6%) was overrepresented compared to regional average (1.2%), while Sri Lankan (0.6%) and Italian (4.5%) showed notable divergences from their respective regional averages of 0.8% and 5.2%.

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Croydon Hills - Warranwood's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 55-64 age group is notably over-represented at 14.6%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the 65-74 age group increased from 9.4% to 11.0%, and the 75-84 cohort grew from 4.4% to 5.8%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group decreased from 14.9% to 13.4%, and the 25-34 age group dropped from 10.0% to 8.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Croydon Hills - Warranwood's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 46%, adding 495 residents to reach 1,574. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 69% of the population growth. However, population declines are anticipated for the 55-64 and 15-24 age groups.