Warrandyte - Wonga Park

Warrandyte - Wonga Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Warrandyte-Wonga Park's population is approximately 10,265 as of November 2025. This represents a 153-person increase from the 2021 Census figure of 10,112 people, indicating a growth rate of 1.5%. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 10,244 in June 2024 and an additional 11 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 224 persons per square kilometer. Warrandyte-Wonga Park's growth rate since the census is comparable to its SA3 area, with both showing rates within 1.0 percentage points of each other (1.5% vs 2.5%). Overseas migration contributed approximately 83.3% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024, with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends suggest lower quartile growth for statistical areas nationwide. Warrandyte-Wonga Park is expected to grow by 140 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 1.1% over the 17-year period, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Warrandyte - Wonga Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Warrandyte - Wonga Park has seen approximately 14 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 71 homes. As of FY26, 8 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline in the area, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, which is positive for buyers. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $817,000, indicating a focus on premium properties by developers.

Additionally, $8.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Warrandyte - Wonga Park shows around 59% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 20th percentile nationally, implying limited buyer options but strong demand for established properties. Recent building activity consists solely of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes. The estimated population density is 803 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet development environment.

Population forecasts indicate an increase of 113 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Warrandyte - Wonga Park has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Warrandyte Bridge Upgrade, Jumping Creek Revitalisation works at Warranwood, Maroondah Planning Scheme, and Brushy Creek Recycled Water Project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Warrandyte - Wonga Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Warrandyte-Wonga Park has a highly educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% in September 2025, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.8%. As of September 2025, 5,892 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate of 66.3%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 2.3% compared to the regional 5.2%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison of working population vs resident population. In the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.8%, labour force by 1.0%, decreasing unemployment by 0.8 percentage points. Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0% with unemployment rising slightly. State-level data (Vic) from 25-Nov shows employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with unemployment at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warrandyte-Wonga Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Warrandyte - Wonga Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $57,725 and an average income of $98,861. Nationally, this places it in the top percentile, compared to Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Using Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,744 (median) and $110,882 (average). Census data indicates household incomes rank at the 94th percentile with a weekly income of $2,779. The earnings profile shows 32.6% of residents (3,346 people) earn over $4,000 per week, differing from Melbourne's dominant bracket of $1,500 - 2,999. A substantial proportion, 46.5%, earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 89.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 9th decile.

Warrandyte - Wonga Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Warrandyte-Wonga Park, as per the latest Census, 99.2% of dwellings were houses, with 0.9% being other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments, compared to Melbourne's metropolitan area which had 93.3% houses and 6.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrandyte-Wonga Park stood at 45.8%, similar to Melbourne metro, with the rest either mortgaged (47.4%) or rented (6.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, lower than Melbourne's average of $2,500. Weekly rent in Warrandyte-Wonga Park averaged $481, slightly higher than Melbourne's $459. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warrandyte - Wonga Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.4% of all households, including 48.6% couples with children, 29.1% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.6%, with lone person households at 12.8% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.9.

Warrandyte - Wonga Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Warrandyte - Wonga Park has a higher percentage of residents with university qualifications (34.5%) compared to the Australian average (30.4%). Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (18.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes secondary education (11.1%), primary education (8.8%), and tertiary education (5.8%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 80 active transport stops in Warrandyte - Wonga Park, served by a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 11 individual routes, facilitating 3580 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate; residents on average live 401 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 511 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 44 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Warrandyte - Wonga Park is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Warrandyte-Wonga Park shows superior health outcomes with both youth and elderly experiencing low incidence of common health issues. Approximately 71% of its total population of 7,288 have private health cover, surpassing Greater Melbourne's 65.7% and the national average of 55.3%. Arthritis and asthma are most prevalent, affecting 7.7% and 7.0% respectively.

71.3% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 72.0%. As of 2021, 21.6% of residents are aged 65 and above (2,218 people). Seniors' health outcomes excel even beyond the general population in various metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warrandyte - Wonga Park records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrandyte-Wonga Park had a cultural diversity profile roughly in line with the wider region's average. As of the 2016 Census, 80.7% of its population was born in Australia, with 92.5% being Australian citizens and 88.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 49.4% of people in Warrandyte-Wonga Park.

However, Judaism showed an overrepresentation, making up 0.1% compared to the region's average of 0.2%. The top three ancestry groups were English (29.1%), Australian (24.6%), and Scottish (8.5%). Notable divergences included Dutch (2.3%, vs regional 1.8%), Italian (5.2%, vs 6.2%), and Greek (2.4%, vs 3.0%) groups.

Warrandyte - Wonga Park hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Warrandyte - Wonga Park is 46 years, which is notably higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and also exceeds the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 55-64 age cohort is over-represented in Warrandyte-Wonga Park at 16.1%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 5.8%. Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 5.2% to 7.0%, and the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 15.7% to 17.5%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort has declined from 17.2% to 14.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Warrandyte-Wonga Park, with the 85+ age group projected to increase by 320 people (114%) from 281 to 602. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 96% of projected growth. Conversely, the 55-64 and 45-54 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.