Croydon Hills

Croydon Hills has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The population of the Croydon Hills statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 4,921 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 82 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,839. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 4,906 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,103 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 65% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of national areas, with the Croydon Hills (SA2) expected to expand by 317 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections. This reflects a gain of 6.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Croydon Hills is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Croydon Hills averaged approximately one new dwelling approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, an estimated six homes were approved, with one additional approval in FY26 to date. During this period, population has fallen, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a well-balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $556,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, $34,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Melbourne and nationally, Croydon Hills has significantly less development activity, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties due to scarcity of new homes.

This lower activity reflects market maturity and possible development constraints. By 2041, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Croydon Hills' population to grow by 325 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Croydon Hills has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely affecting the area: Maroondah Planning Scheme; Revitalisation works at Jumping Creek, Warranwood (189-191 Dorset Road Townhouses); Coolstore Road Level Crossing Removal & New Croydon Station.

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Employment conditions in Croydon Hills rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Croydon Hills has a well-educated workforce with an unemployment rate of 1.9% as of September 2025. This is below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

The area experienced employment growth of 1.4% over the past year. Workforce participation is high at 70.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 3.1% compared to the regional rate of 5.2%. The area's predominantly residential nature suggests limited local employment opportunities. In the 12 months prior, employment increased by 1.4% while labour force grew by 1.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. By contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.0% and a slight rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts from May-25 project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Croydon Hills' employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Croydon Hills had a median income among taxpayers of $54,313 and an average level of $68,725. These figures are slightly above national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $58,794 and average income is $74,395 as of September 2025. Census data shows household incomes rank at the 88th percentile with a weekly income of $2,437. Income distribution reveals that 32.4% (1,594 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band, similar to surrounding regions where 32.8% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 38.6% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, indicating robust consumer spending. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 88.3% of their income, demonstrating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Croydon Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Croydon Hills' dwellings were entirely houses at the latest Census, unlike Melbourne metro's 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Croydon Hills stood at 41.3%, with mortgaged properties at 48.7% and rented ones at 10.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,093, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Croydon Hills was $491, higher than Melbourne metro's $385. Nationally, Croydon Hills' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,093 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Croydon Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.7% of all households, including 47.7% couples with children, 27.0% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.3%, with lone person households at 12.3% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Croydon Hills places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Croydon Hills has a university degree holders' percentage of 32.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (22.2%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.3% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 19.6%. Current educational participation is high, with 29.2% enrolled in formal education: primary (9.2%), secondary (9.1%), and tertiary (5.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.2% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Croydon Hills shows that there are 17 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 4 individual routes providing service to the area. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 476.

The accessibility of transport in the region is rated as good, with residents on average located approximately 268 meters from their nearest transport stop. In terms of service frequency, there are an average of 68 trips per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Croydon Hills's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Croydon Hills.

Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 54% of the total population (~2657 people). The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.7% and 7.5% of residents respectively. Seventy-one point eight percent declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 68.7% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 17.7% of residents aged 65 and over (871 people), which is lower than the 19.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Croydon Hills records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Croydon Hills' cultural diversity aligns with the broader regional average. As of the last survey, 80.9% were Australian-born, 93.3% held citizenship, and 86.9% spoke English exclusively at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 51.1%.

Notably, Judaism's representation stood at 0.1%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, Australian (27.6%), English (27.5%), and Scottish (7.8%) were the top groups. Some ethnicities showed notable variations: Dutch residents comprised 2.5% in Croydon Hills compared to 2.1% regionally, Hungarians made up 0.4% versus 0.3%, and Sri Lankans constituted 0.5% each for both areas.

Croydon Hills's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Croydon Hills is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 shows strong representation at 15.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 7.7%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 9.8% to 11.0% of the population, and the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 4.4% to 5.6%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 15.5% to 14.2%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 9.0% to 7.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Croydon Hills, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 58% (159 people), reaching 435 from 275. Notably, the combined age groups of 65+ will account for 73% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55 to 64 and 15 to 24 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.