Warrandyte

Warrandyte has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Nov 2025, Warrandyte's population is estimated at around 5,574, reflecting an increase of 33 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Warrandyte by AreaSearch in Jun 2024 was 5,561, with an additional 3 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density of approximately 320 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration accounted for about 83% of overall population gains recently. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, with 2022 as the base year, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 for areas not covered by ABS data.

By 2041, Warrandyte's population is projected to decline by 2 persons overall, but specific age cohorts like the 75-84 group are expected to grow, with an increase of 190 people anticipated in this cohort alone.

The level of residential development activity in Warrandyte is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Warrandyte has recorded approximately 7 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years from FY18 to FY23. This totals an estimated 36 homes. As of FY26, 3 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, benefiting buyers as new homes are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $1,427,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY26, $4.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development activity. Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, preserving Warrandyte's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 856 people. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate forecasts a population gain of 9 residents by 2041 in Warrandyte. Current construction levels should meet housing demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Warrandyte has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one project likely affecting the region: Warrandyte Bridge Upgrade, Maroondah Planning Scheme, Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centres Structure Plans, Queen Elizabeth II Hospital (Maroondah Hospital Redevelopment). The following details those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Warrandyte rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Warrandyte has a highly educated workforce with professional services being well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.4%.

As of June 2025, 3,133 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.9%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation was 66.2%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. Construction stood out with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, transport, postal & warehousing was under-represented, with only 2.6% of Warrandyte's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.4%, labour force grew by 0.4%, and unemployment fell by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5%, labour force expand by 4.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Warrandyte had a median taxpayer income of $57,787 and an average income of $98,967. These figures place Warrandyte in the top percentile nationally, compared to Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $64,814 (median) and $111,001 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Warrandyte's median household income ranks at the 94th percentile, equivalent to $2,742 weekly. The income bracket of $4,000+ dominates with 32.1% of residents, contrasting with Melbourne's leading bracket of $1,500 - $2,999 at 32.8%. Notably, 45.4% of Warrandyte residents earn more than $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 90.1% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Warrandyte, as per the latest Census evaluation, 98.8% of dwellings were houses while 1.2% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures which showed 0% houses and 0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrandyte stood at 46%, with mortgaged properties making up another 46.1% and rented dwellings comprising the remaining 7.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while median weekly rent was recorded as $492, compared to Melbourne metro's figures of $0 for both. Nationally, Warrandyte's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.0 people

Family households account for 85.4% of all households, including 48.6% that are couples with children, 26.8% that are couples without children, and 9.4% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.6%, with lone person households at 13.8% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3 people.

Warrandyte shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate stands at 38.5% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and Victoria's (VIC) average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 25.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 9.0% and graduate diplomas at 4.5%. Vocational credentials are held by 28.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 16.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.6% in secondary education, 8.7% in primary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. Warrandyte's three schools have a combined enrollment of 657 students as of the latest data. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1095. Education provision is balanced, with two primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 48 active transport stops operating within Warrandyte, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by five individual routes, collectively providing 3074 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 394 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 439 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 64 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Warrandyte is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Warrandyte shows superior health outcomes for both younger and older age groups. Common health conditions have a low prevalence here.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 66% of the total population (3,666 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.4 and 7.2% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 71.4%, report no medical ailments, a figure notably higher than Greater Melbourne's 0%. Warrandyte has 20.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,164 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warrandyte was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrandyte has cultural diversity above average, with 20.7% born overseas and 13.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, at 48.4%. Islam's representation in Warrandyte is 1.1%, higher than Greater Melbourne's None%.

Top ancestry groups are English (27.4%), Australian (23.8%), and Scottish (8.4%). Dutch (2.2%) is notably overrepresented compared to regional levels, as are Italian (6.0%) and Greek (3.0%).

Warrandyte hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Warrandyte is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Warrandyte has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (15.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (5.3%). According to the 2021 Census, the age group 75 to 84 increased from 5.1% to 7.1%, while the 15 to 24 cohort grew from 16.0% to 17.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 18.0% to 15.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Warrandyte's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 40%, reaching 554 people from the current 395. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 95% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 55 to 64 and 45 to 54 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.