Warrandyte

Warrandyte has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and address validations, the population of Warrandyte is estimated to be approximately 5,657 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 116 individuals (2.1%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 5,541 people in the suburb. AreaSearch arrived at this estimate by examining the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025) and validating addresses since the Census date. The current population density is calculated as 324 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration accounted for roughly 83.0% of overall population gains in recent periods, driving growth in Warrandyte's population.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting them using weighted aggregation methods to reach SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections indicate lower quartile growth in national statistical areas. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Warrandyte's population is expected to increase by 31 persons by the year 2041, reflecting a total increase of 0.6% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Warrandyte is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Warrandyte has received around 7 dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 38 homes. As of FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average value of $1,427,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment.

This year has seen $4.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus. All new construction consists of standalone homes, preserving Warrandyte's traditional low density character with family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated 695 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. AreaSearch projects Warrandyte will add 31 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand favourably for buyers while potentially enabling growth exceeding forecasts.

Warrandyte has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

AreaSearch has identified one major project that may impact the area: Warrandyte Bridge Upgrade, Maroondah Planning Scheme, Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centres Structure Plans, Queen Elizabeth II Hospital (Maroondah Hospital Redevelopment).

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Warrandyte performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Warrandyte has an educated workforce with professional services being well-represented. The unemployment rate was 2.0% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.4%. By December 2025, 3,239 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.8%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Melbourne's at 69.9%. Notably, 39.5% of Warrandyte residents worked from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. Construction employment levels were high at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing was under-represented with only 2.6% of Warrandyte's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Local employment opportunities appeared limited based on Census data. Between December 2024 and 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, labour force grew by 1.8%, leading to a 0.6 percentage point drop in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate potential future demand within Warrandyte. National employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between sectors. Applying these projections to Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Warrandyte has a median taxpayer income of $57,787 and an average income of $98,967 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is notably higher than the national averages, with Greater Melbourne's median income being $57,688 and average income being $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $63,346 (median) and $108,488 (average). Census data from 2021 shows that Warrandyte's household incomes rank at the 94th percentile with a weekly income of $2,742. The data indicates that 32.1% of Warrandyte residents earn more than $4,000 per week (1,815 individuals), differing from the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 32.8%. Economic strength is evident with 45.4% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting high consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 90.1% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warrandyte's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.8% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrandyte stood at 46.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.1% and rented ones at 7.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Warrandyte was $492, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Warrandyte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 85.4% of all households, including 48.6% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 14.6%, with lone person households at 13.8% and group households at 0.9%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Warrandyte shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 38.5% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and Victoria's rate of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 25.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.5%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 12.5% and certificates account for 16.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in secondary education, 8.7% in primary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warrandyte has 48 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by five different routes that together facilitate 1,782 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 394 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most Warrandyte residents commute outward, with cars being the dominant mode of transport at 93%. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling in Warrandyte, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 39.5% of Warrandyte residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 254 trips per day, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warrandyte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Warrandyte's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 66% of the total population (3,721 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.4% and 7.2% respectively. Notably, 71.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Health outcomes for the under-65 population are better than average. Warrandyte has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.3%, with 1,204 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors align closely with national rankings.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warrandyte records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrandyte's cultural diversity is above average, with 20.7% of its population born overseas and 13.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity dominates Warrandyte's religious landscape, making up 48.4%. Islam, however, is overrepresented in Warrandyte compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 1.1% versus 5.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (27.4%), Australian (23.8%), and Scottish (8.4%). Notably, Dutch (2.2%) and Italian (6.0%) are overrepresented in Warrandyte compared to regional averages of 1.2% and 5.2%, respectively. Greek representation is also higher than the regional average at 3.0%.

Warrandyte hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Warrandyte's median age is 44, surpassing Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 15-24 age group comprises 19.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 6.1%. This 15-24 concentration is notably above the national average of 12.7%. Post-2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group rose from 16.0% to 19.2%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 5.1% to 7.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 group decreased from 18.0% to 14.7%, and the 5 to 14 age group fell from 13.0% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Warrandyte's age profile. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 32%, reaching 544 from 412. Those aged 65 and above will comprise 90% of projected population growth. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 55 to 64 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.