Warrandyte

Warrandyte has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The population of Warrandyte is estimated at approximately 5,717 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 176 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 5,541. AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population in June 2024 was 5,576, with an additional three validated new addresses contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 328 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 83% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024, with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments made through weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the suburb's population is expected to decrease by two persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 184 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Warrandyte is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis, ABS building approval data for Warrandyte shows around 7 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25. This totals an estimated 38 homes. As of FY26, 5 approvals have been recorded so far. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $1,427,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, $4.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development focus.

Recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, preserving Warrandyte's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 696 people, reflecting the area's quiet, low activity development environment. Population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers in the future.

Warrandyte has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting the region: Warrandyte Bridge Upgrade, Maroondah Planning Scheme, Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centres Structure Plans, Queen Elizabeth II Hospital (Maroondah Hospital Redevelopment) are key projects, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Warrandyte ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Warrandyte has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.0% as of December 2025, showing an estimated employment growth of 1.9% over the past year (AreaSearch). In December 2025, 3,167 residents were employed at a local unemployment rate of 2.7%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation was 68.4%, slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Notably, 39.5% of residents worked from home (Census). Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. Construction stands out with levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 2.6%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.2%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 1.9% and labour force by 1.4%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points (AreaSearch). In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force expand by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Warrandyte had a median income among taxpayers of $57,787 and an average income of $98,967. These figures place Warrandyte in the top percentile nationally. In comparison, Greater Melbourne had median and average incomes of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Warrandyte's median income would be approximately $62,554 as of September 2025, with the average estimated at $107,132. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes in Warrandyte rank at the 94th percentile ($2,742 weekly). The income bracket of $4000+ dominates with 32.1% of residents (1,835 people), contrasting with the regional average where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.8%. A substantial presence of higher earners is indicated by 45.4% exceeding $3,000 weekly in income. After housing costs, residents retain 90.1% of their income on average, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warrandyte's dwellings, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 98.8% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrandyte stood at 46.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.1% and rented ones at 7.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, surpassing Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Warrandyte was $492, higher than Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Warrandyte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.4% of all households, including 48.6% that are couples with children, 26.8% that are couples without children, and 9.4% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.6%, with lone person households at 13.8% and group households comprising 0.9% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Warrandyte shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 38.5%, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and Victoria's rate of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 25.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 9.0% and graduate diplomas at 4.5%. Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 28.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 16.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in secondary education, 8.7% in primary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warrandyte has 48 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by five different routes that together facilitate 1,782 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transports is deemed good, with residents on average living just 394 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Warrandyte's primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport, used by 93% of residents. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling in Warrandyte, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 39.5% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, an average of 254 trips are made daily, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warrandyte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Warrandyte's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 66% of the total population (3,760 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.4% and 7.2% of residents respectively. 71.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Under-65 population health outcomes are better than average. Warrandyte has 22.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,263 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Senior health outcomes align with national rankings and the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warrandyte records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrandyte's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 20.7% born overseas and 13.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Warrandyte, comprising 48.4%. Islam, however, is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 1.1% versus 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry, English (27.4%) and Australian (23.8%) are significantly higher than regional averages of 20.1% and 18.4%, respectively. Scottish ancestry is also notable at 8.4%. Dutch (2.2%), Italian (6.0%), and Greek (3.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional figures of 1.2%, 5.2%, and 2.7% respectively.

Warrandyte hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Warrandyte is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Warrandyte has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (15.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (5.3%). According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group increased from 5.1% to 7.7%, and the 15-24 age group grew from 16.0% to 18.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group declined from 18.0% to 14.9%, and the 5-14 age group decreased from 13.0% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Warrandyte's age structure. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 97% (116 people), reaching 237 from 120. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 94% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 45-54 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.