North Warrandyte

North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of North Warrandyte is estimated at 3,036 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a growth from the 2021 Census figure of 3,027 people, an increase of 9 individuals (0.3%). The resident population estimate of 3,006 by AreaSearch, based on latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date, indicates this growth. This results in a density ratio of 385 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.0% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is forecasted to increase its population by 736 persons, reflecting a total increase of 22.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in North Warrandyte is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows North Warrandyte has had approximately 2 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY-21 to FY-25, around 13 homes were approved, with 1 more in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

New dwellings are estimated at an average construction cost of $772,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. This financial year has seen $2.9 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development emphasis. Development consists of 75% standalone homes and 25% townhouses or apartments, maintaining North Warrandyte's traditional low density character.

This marks a shift from existing housing patterns, which were previously 100% houses. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1191 people, reflecting the area's quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate North Warrandyte will gain 684 residents by 2041. If current construction levels continue, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

North Warrandyte has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No factors influence an area's performance more than changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centres Structure Plans, Maroondah Planning Scheme, Nillumbik Play Space Renewal Projects, and Level Crossing Removal - North Eastern Program Alliance (Hurstbridge corridor). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees North Warrandyte performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

North Warrandyte has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate is 1.7% as of September 2025. This rate is 3.0% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Workforce participation stands at 74.6%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. According to Census responses, 43.8% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. Key industries of employment are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. The area has a notably high concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence, with only 2.1% employment compared to the regional average of 5.2%. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 0.5%, while labour force grew by 0.1%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of North Warrandyte has one of the highest income levels in Australia, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in North Warrandyte is $58,629, with an average income of $95,368. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median and average incomes of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $63,466 (median) and $103,236 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in North Warrandyte rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 94th percentiles. The $4000+ earnings band captures 30.7% of the community, with a total of 932 individuals, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 32.8%. Higher earners form a substantial portion, with 45.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly, suggesting strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

North Warrandyte's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were entirely houses (100.0%) with no other dwelling types present (0.0%), contrasting Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Warrandyte stood at 38.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.1% and rented ones at 5.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in North Warrandyte was $526, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, North Warrandyte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,400 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $526.

North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.5% of all households, including 50.6% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.5%, with lone person households at 11.5% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Warrandyte's residents aged 15+ have a notably high educational attainment. 42.3% hold university qualifications, exceeding Australia's (30.4%) and Victoria's (33.4%) averages. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 25.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.5%) and graduate diplomas (6.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.6% of residents holding them; advanced diplomas account for 12.5% and certificates for 17.1%.

Educational participation is high, at 32.9%, including 10.8% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Warrandyte has 27 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by two routes, offering a total of 848 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically living 342 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 94% of residents. On average, there are 2.1 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 43.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 121 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 31 weekly trips per stop.

North Warrandyte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows exceptional results for North Warrandyte, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 64% of the total population (1,954 people) have private health cover, compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne and 55.7% nationally.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.6 and 7.5% of residents respectively. A total of 73.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 16.6% of residents aged 65 and over (503 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Warrandyte showed lower cultural diversity, with 84.2% born in Australia, 93.3% being citizens, and 93.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 32.5%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (29.6%), Australian (25.7%), and Irish (10.3%). Notable divergences included Dutch (2.4% vs regional 1.2%), French (1.0% vs 0.5%), and Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.3%).

North Warrandyte's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in North Warrandyte is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and also older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 45-54 age group comprises 17.1% of the population in North Warrandyte, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort makes up only 6.5%. This concentration of the 45-54 age group is notably higher than the national average of 12.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.9% to 14.7%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 4.1% to 5.5%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 7.9% to 6.5%, and the 55 to 64 group has fallen from 14.6% to 13.2%. Population forecasts for North Warrandyte in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 45 to 54 age group is projected to grow by 31% (161 people), reaching 681 from 519. In contrast, the 0 to 4 cohort shows minimal growth of just 8% (12 people).