North Warrandyte

North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by them, the suburb of North Warrandyte had an estimated population of around 3036 as of Feb 2026. This figure shows a rise of 9 people (0.3%) from the 2021 Census count of 3027 residents. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3006 residents based on their examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024, along with an additional validated new address since the Census date. This population results in a density ratio of 385 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. Overseas migration primarily drove recent population growth, contributing approximately 61.0% of overall population gains during these periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, they employ the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these demographic trends, the suburb is forecasted to experience significant population increase in its top quartile of Australian statistical areas. By 2041, based on aggregated SA2-level projections, North Warrandyte is expected to have an additional 747 persons, reflecting a total increase of 23.6% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in North Warrandyte is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Between financial years 2021 and 2025, North Warrandyte saw approximately 13 residential building approvals. In the current financial year 2026, one additional approval has been granted. This results in an average of around two new homes approved each year.

Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas. The average expected construction cost for new dwellings is $772,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In financial year 2026, there have been $2.9 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development activity.

New developments consist of 75% standalone homes and 25% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking space. This marks a shift from the existing housing pattern of 100% houses, potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1191 people, reflecting the quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate North Warrandyte will gain 717 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

North Warrandyte has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No changes can impact an area's performance more than modifications to local infrastructure, significant projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially affecting this area. Notable projects include Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centres Structure Plans, Maroondah Planning Scheme, Nillumbik Play Space Renewal Projects, and Level Crossing Removal - North Eastern Program Alliance (Hurstbridge corridor). The following list details those likely to be most pertinent.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees North Warrandyte performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

North Warrandyte has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 1.9% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.1%.

Compared to Greater Melbourne's unemployment rate of 4.8%, North Warrandyte's rate was 2.8% lower, with workforce participation at 75.3%. Home-based work accounted for 43.8% of jobs due to Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key employment sectors were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Notably, professional & technical services had a concentration 1.3 times the regional average.

Transport, postal & warehousing had limited presence at 2.1%, compared to the regional average of 5.2%. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 1.1% while labour force grew by 1.2%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment (0.1 percentage points). In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force expand by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Warrandyte's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of North Warrandyte has one of the highest income levels in Australia, according to the latest data from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in North Warrandyte is $58,629, and the average income stands at $95,368. These figures compare to those for Greater Melbourne, which are $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $63,466 (median) and $103,236 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family, and personal incomes in North Warrandyte all rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 94th percentiles. The data shows that the $4000+ earnings band captures 30.7% of the community (932 individuals), which differs from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 32.8%. A substantial number of higher earners reside in North Warrandyte, with 45.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In North Warrandyte, as per the latest Census findings, all dwellings were houses with none being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's dwelling composition of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Warrandyte stood at 38.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.1% and rented ones at 5.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in North Warrandyte was $526, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, North Warrandyte's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were above the national figure of $375.

North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.5% of all households, including 50.6% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.5%, with lone person households at 11.5% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

In North Warrandyte, the educational attainment is notably high among residents aged 15 and above, with 42.3% holding university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 33.4% in Victoria. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 25.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.5% and graduate diplomas at 6.2%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.6% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 12.5% and certificates at 17.1%. Educational participation is high, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.8% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Warrandyte has 27 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by two routes, offering a total of 848 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average being 342 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 94% of residents. On average, there are 2.1 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 43.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 121 trips per day across all routes, translating to roughly 31 weekly trips per stop.

North Warrandyte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Warrandyte's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 64% of North Warrandyte's total population (1,954 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions, affecting 7.6% and 7.5% of residents respectively. Notably, 73.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents in North Warrandyte exhibit low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 16.6% of residents aged 65 and over (503 people), which is higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors in North Warrandyte are particularly strong, broadly aligning with national rankings for the general population.

North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Warrandyte's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 84.2% born in Australia, 93.3% being citizens, and 93.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 32.5%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

The top ancestry groups were English (29.6%), Australian (25.7%), and Irish (10.3%). Notably, Dutch (2.4%) and French (1.0%) were overrepresented, while Hungarian was slightly higher at 0.4% compared to regional averages of 1.2%, 0.5%, and 0.3% respectively.

North Warrandyte's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in North Warrandyte is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 45-54 years has a strong representation at 17.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 age group is less prevalent at 6.5%. This concentration in the 45-54 age group is well above the national average of 12.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.9% to 14.7%, and the 65 to 74 cohort has grown from 8.6% to 10.0%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 7.9% to 6.5%, and the 55 to 64 group has dropped from 14.6% to 13.3%. Population forecasts for North Warrandyte in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 45 to 54 age group expected to grow by 31% (161 people), reaching a total of 678 from 516. In contrast, the 0 to 4 cohort shows minimal growth of just 9% (13 people).