North Warrandyte

North Warrandyte has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

North Warrandyte's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 3,036 people. This reflects an increase of 9 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,027 people. The current resident population estimate of 3,006 by AreaSearch, based on latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date, indicates a density ratio of 385 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the North Warrandyte statistical area (Lv2) is forecasted to increase by 728 persons, reflecting a total increase of 22.4% over the 17 years based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

The level of residential development activity in North Warrandyte is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, North Warrandyte has seen around 2 new homes approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 13 homes were approved, with 1 more approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $772,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, there have been $2.9 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus. New developments consist of 75.0% standalone homes and 25.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking space.

This marks a change from existing housing patterns, which are currently 100.0% houses, potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1191 people, reflecting the quiet development environment in North Warrandyte. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain 681 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

North Warrandyte has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No factors impact an area's performance more than changes to local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects set to affect this region. Key initiatives include Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centres Structure Plans, Maroondah Planning Scheme, Nillumbik Play Space Renewal Projects, and Level Crossing Removal - North Eastern Program Alliance (Hurstbridge corridor). The following list details those most pertinent.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees North Warrandyte performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

North Warrandyte has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of September 2025.

Employment stability over the past year is relative. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and construction. Professional & technical employment is particularly notable at 1.3 times the regional average. Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence with 2.1% employment compared to 5.2% regionally.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.4%, labour force remained stable at 0.0%, resulting in a unemployment fall of 0.4 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment grew by 3.0% while unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points over the same period. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Warrandyte's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, assuming population projections remain constant for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of North Warrandyte has one of the highest income levels in Australia according to the latest Australian Taxation Office data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in North Warrandyte is $58,629, while the average income stands at $95,368. These figures compare to those of Greater Melbourne, which are $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $63,466 (median) and $103,236 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in North Warrandyte all rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 94th percentiles. The data shows that 30.7% of the community (932 individuals) earns $4,000 or more per week, which differs from regional levels where earnings predominantly fall within the $1,500 to $2,999 category at 32.8%. A significant portion of residents, 45.9%, exceeds $3,000 weekly in income, suggesting strong purchasing power within the community. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 87.7% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

North Warrandyte is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

North Warrandyte's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses with no other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. Home ownership in North Warrandyte stood at 38.5%, with 56.1% of dwellings mortgaged and 5.4% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, while the median weekly rent figure was $526. Compared nationally, North Warrandyte's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Warrandyte features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.0 people

Family households constitute 86.5% of all households, including 50.6% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.5%, with lone person households at 11.5% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 3.0 people.

North Warrandyte demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

In North Warrandyte, the educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 42.3% have university qualifications, surpassing Australia's 30.4% and Victoria's 33.4%. The area has a strong focus on higher education, with bachelor degrees being the most prevalent at 25.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.5% and graduate diplomas at 6.2%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.6% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (17.1%).

Educational participation is high in the area, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 10.0% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 27 active transport stops operating within North Warrandyte. These stops serve a mix of bus routes. There are 2 individual routes providing 848 weekly passenger trips in total.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 342 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 121 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 31 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Warrandyte's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Warrandyte shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 64% of its total population (1,954 people) has private health cover, which is higher than the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.6% and 7.5% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 73.9%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Melbourne. Among the area's population, 16.0% (485 people) are aged 65 and over. Seniors' health outcomes align broadly with those of the general population.

North Warrandyte ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Warrandyte's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 84.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.3% being citizens, and 93.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in North Warrandyte, comprising 32.5% of its population. Judaism, however, is overrepresented, making up 0.2% compared to None% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups are English (29.6%), Australian (25.7%), and Irish (10.3%). Notably, Dutch (2.4%), French (1.0%), and Hungarian (0.4%) ethnicities are overrepresented in North Warrandyte compared to None% regionally.

North Warrandyte's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in North Warrandyte is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national median age of 38 years. The age group of 45-54 years has a strong representation in North Warrandyte at 17.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 6.8%. This concentration of the 45-54 age group is well above the national average of 12.1%. According to post-2021 Census data, the population aged 65 to 74 years has grown from 8.6% to 9.8%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 12.9% to 14.1%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has declined from 14.6% to 13.4%, and the 25 to 34 age group has dropped from 7.9% to 6.8%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in North Warrandyte. The 45 to 54 age group is expected to grow by 30%, adding 157 people, reaching a total of 680 from the current figure of 522. In contrast, the 35 to 44 age cohort shows minimal growth of just 2%, with an increase of only 6 people.