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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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North Warrandyte has an estimated 3,000 residents, down from 3,027 at the 2021 Census. That puts 381 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of broader regional ABS demographic updates alongside 2 validated new addresses recorded since the Census date, the suburb of North Warrandyte has an estimated resident count of around 3,000 as of Aug 2026. This represents a reduction of 27 people (0.9%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 3,027 people. The figures stem from an estimated resident population of 2,993 established after reviewing the ABS ERP release from June 2025 together with the new address records. Based on this population, the suburb of North Warrandyte records a density of 381 persons per square kilometer, offering generous personal space and scope for future expansion.
Overseas migration served as the core growth engine in recent times, accounting for roughly 61.0% of total demographic additions. Projections for each SA2 district rely on 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia data anchored to 2022 baseline figures, with unlisted localities incorporating 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA figures adjusted through weighted aggregation up to the SA2 level. Between 2032 to 2041, these aggregated age-group trajectories are uniformly applied across all territories. Looking ahead, the suburb of North Warrandyte is placed within the highest national quartile for demographic expansion, with aggregated SA2 modeling pointing to an increase of 733 persons to 2041, which equates to a cumulative gain of 24.2% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Dwelling approval data from the ABS compiled by AreaSearch indicates that North Warrandyte has seen an average of roughly 2 residential permits issued annually, amounting to around 12 homes across the preceding 5 financial years. Throughout FY-25 to date, no approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 1.8 people arrived locally for every home constructed over those 5 financial years, suggesting an equilibrium between supply and demand that fosters steady market conditions; however, this ratio has tightened to 11 people per dwelling over the prior 2 financial years, highlighting growing buyer demand and emerging supply constraints.
Meanwhile, commercial construction permits reached $2.9 million in the current financial year, underlining the neighborhood's overwhelmingly domestic profile. Residential building activity has consisted exclusively of separate houses, maintaining the neighborhood's low-density character and appealing to purchasers seeking room through standalone properties. Furthermore, the local ratio of 2992 people per residential approval underscores a calm and subdued development landscape. According to the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch, North Warrandyte is projected to add 726 residents through to 2041. If residential construction continues at its current rate, new housing additions may fall behind population gains, potentially heightening competition among buyers and bolstering property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around North Warrandyte
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 24 current infrastructure and development projects close to North Warrandyte, worth an estimated $676 million. 7 are already under construction and 7 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans sports & recreation, transport & logistics and residential development. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, planning programs, and major civil works play a vital role in shaping community progress. In North Warrandyte, no major projects have been pinpointed by AreaSearch as having a direct local footprint. Surrounding regional initiatives of relevance include the Level Crossing Removal - North Eastern Program Alliance (Hurstbridge corridor), Maroondah Planning Scheme, Nillumbik Play Space Renewal Projects, and the Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centres Structure Plans.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Warrandyte Bridge Upgrade
Bridge widening project expanding from two to three lanes with new cycling and pedestrian paths. Includes intersection upgrades and traffic lights to improve safety and reduce congestion.
Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centres Structure Plans
A planning framework that translates the 2020 Eltham and Diamond Creek Major Activity Centre Structure Plans into the Nillumbik Planning Scheme via Amendments C143nill and C144nill. The amendments rezone the Eltham Industrial 3 land into Schedule 1 of the Activity Centre Zone, update local activity centre policy, refine the Significant Landscape Overlay for the Eltham Town Centre and apply tailored built form, height and design controls to the Diamond Creek centre. After formal exhibition in mid-2024, Council deferred panel referral to consider new State Government housing targets and Plan for Victoria reforms.In September 2025 Council's Planning and Consultation Committee reviewed submissions and resolved several refinements to gateway, landscape, colour palette and residential setback provisions. The amendments are progressing toward an Independent Planning Panel and ultimate Ministerial approval, and aim to manage growth in both centres through to 2030 while preserving local character, supporting 3 to 5 storey heights and improving public spaces.
Revitalisation works at Jumping Creek, Warranwood
Revitalisation works are planned for Jumping Creek. The section of Jumping Creek from Berrywood Walk to Kelly Court has been identified for improvement works including various access upgrades, water quality and revegetation works along the length of the reserve. Initial investigative works are underway, involving weed management and access clearing for a Cultural Heritage Management Plan. Concept designs for proposed works are anticipated to be available for community consultation following these investigations.
Eltham Urban Congestion Fund Project
Traffic and transport upgrades across the Eltham Activity Centre to improve pedestrian safety, bus access and local traffic flow. Works include raised pedestrian crossings, kerb and footpath improvements, signal changes and Eltham Central Oval parking and drainage upgrades. Stages on Bible St and Eltham Central Oval are complete; Main Rd, Arthur St and St Laurence Lane works are underway with bus terminal works scheduled to finish by December 2025.
Mullum Creek Eco Development
A 20-hectare sustainable house-and-land estate in Donvale with 56 large lots, strict design guidelines and ESD requirements. Nearly half the site is reserved as open space and restored creek corridor, with wetlands, paths and public landscapes delivered to protect the Mullum Mullum Creek environment.
Alistair Knox Park Changing Places Facility
A $915,000 project to build new public toilets including Nillumbik's first Changing Places accessible toilet and change room in Alistair Knox Park, Eltham. The facility includes height-adjustable adult-sized change table, electronic hoist, accessible toilet, shower, plus two additional accessible toilets and four standard cubicles. Funded by Victorian Government and Council.
Andrew Pocket Park Development
A $1.5 million development of Andrew Pocket Park featuring new playground equipment, BBQ facilities, picnic tables, pathways, indigenous plantings, and improved parking. The project will create a modern community recreational space with nature-based play elements and accessible facilities for families in Eltham.
Eltham High School Upgrade and Modernisation
Upgrade and modernisation of the school's science facilities to provide improved teaching and learning spaces. The project received $8.94 million in the 2023-24 State Budget and reached forecast completion in Q2 2026.
1,791 residents of North Warrandyte are employed, from a labour force of 1,826. Unemployment sits at 2.0%, with participation at 76.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,217, about 74% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local talent pool in North Warrandyte is highly qualified, showing significant concentration in professional services, a minimal jobless rate of 2.0%, and a 2.4% rise in workforce numbers over the past twelve months as aggregated by AreaSearch. In March 2026, 1,791 residents were employed, while local unemployment sat 2.8% lower than the 4.8% recorded across Greater Melbourne, accompanied by an elevated participation rate of 76.0% against 70.1% regionally. Census records also revealed that 43.8% of workers performed their duties from home, though this figure was likely shaped by Covid-19 restrictions.
Resident employment is primarily anchored by health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and construction. Representation is especially pronounced in professional & technical fields, exceeding regional benchmarks by 1.3 times. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing comprises merely 2.1% of local workers, lagging the 5.2% share seen across Greater Melbourne. Comparing the resident tally against the local daytime worker count highlights that this largely suburban locality offers relatively few jobs within its own borders. Data sourced from SALM and ABS statistical aggregations shows that in the year to March 2026, North Warrandyte registered a 2.4% gain in employment and a 2.6% expansion in its labour pool, resulting in a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Over the same timeframe, Greater Melbourne recorded a 2.1% increase in employment, a 2.3% rise in the labour force, and a 0.2 percentage point uptick in the jobless rate. Looking forward, national employment modeling from Jobs and Skills Australia dated Mar-26 provides context on future occupational demand. While nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, shifting sector trajectories applied to the local workforce composition indicate an anticipated local employment growth of 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years (representing a weighted baseline model without specific local demographic adjustments).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in North Warrandyte is $2,766 a week (about $144,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,028 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $58,629 a year against an average of $95,368. The average runs 63% above the median, a wider spread than most areas and a sign of a concentrated group of high earners. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, personal earnings in North Warrandyte rank among the highest in the country. Middle-tier taxpayers earn a median income of $58,629, while the mean income reaches $95,368, outpacing Greater Melbourne's corresponding benchmarks of $57,688 and $75,164. Factoring in Wage Price Index movement of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current models suggest adjusted figures of roughly $64,269 (median) and $104,542 (average) as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household levels, Census metrics place local earnings within the 81st to 94th national percentiles.
The single largest income group comprises 30.7% of residents (921 people) earning $4000+ weekly, contrasting with the wider metropolitan pattern where 32.8% fall in the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket. Weekly earnings surpass $3,000 for 45.9% of the population, underscoring substantial financial resources. Furthermore, households retain 87.7% of their income once housing expenses are met, placing the area in the 9th decile on the SEIFA income scale.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
North Warrandyte had 973 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 100% detached houses and 0% apartments. 56% are owned with a mortgage, 5% rented and 39% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $526 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,400 a month, a total housing cost higher than 78% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 19.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing stock consisted entirely of 100.0% separate houses, with no other dwellings recorded across semi-detached, apartment, or alternative categories, compared to Melbourne metro where standalone houses represent 67.9% and other dwellings account for 32.1%. Outright home ownership stood at 38.5%, substantially higher than the metropolitan norm, with mortgaged properties comprising 56.1% and rental accommodations making up 5.4%. Typical monthly mortgage repayments were elevated at $2,400 relative to the metropolitan standard of $2,000, while median weekly rent was $526 against $390 across Melbourne metro.
On a national scale, mortgage commitments exceed the Australian benchmark of $1,863, and local rental figures sit well above the nationwide average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
North Warrandyte counted 973 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.0 people each. 51% are couples with children, more than in 95% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 12% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local domestic arrangements at 86.5%, led by couples with children at 50.6%, couples without children at 25.7%, and single parent households at 9.5%. Non-family living situations represent the remaining 13.5%, consisting of single-person dwellings at 11.5% and group residences at 2.2%. The typical household size stands at 3.0 people, exceeding the 2.6 person average recorded across Greater Melbourne.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
42.3% of adults in North Warrandyte hold a university qualification, including 25.6% with a bachelor degree and 10.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 100% of areas nationally. A further 17.1% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Tertiary credentials are disproportionately common in North Warrandyte, with 42.3% of individuals aged 15+ possessing higher education degrees, outperforming both the 33.4% Victorian and 30.4% Australian standards. The largest credential share belongs to Bachelor degrees at 25.6%, alongside postgraduate degrees at 10.5% and graduate diplomas at 6.2%. Furthermore, technical and trade qualifications are widely held, with 29.6% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational certifications, divided between certificates at 17.1% and advanced diplomas at 12.5%. A substantial 32.9% of the local population is enrolled in an educational course. Primary schooling accounts for 10.8% of locals, secondary education represents 10.0%, and 7.0% are actively enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in North Warrandyte reaches 27 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 1,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 340 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.1 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure within North Warrandyte includes 27 active bus stops. These locations are connected by 2 specific routes that provide a total of 1,056 trips each week. Transit proximity is convenient, with residents generally residing 342 meters from their closest boarding point. Given the residential orientation, most journeys are outbound, with private vehicles accounting for 94% of travel. Motor vehicle ownership is elevated at an average of 2.1 per dwelling, while 43.8% of the workforce indicated working from home during the 2021 Census (under potential pandemic influences). Transit services maintain an operational schedule of roughly 150 departures each day across the network, translating to around 39 departures per week at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
73.9% of residents in North Warrandyte report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 92% of areas nationally. 2.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 64.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Mortality rates and condition prevalence assessed by AreaSearch highlight positive health metrics in North Warrandyte, with minimal incidences of standard ailments across cohorts. Private health insurance participation is especially pronounced, covering roughly 64% of the population (1,931 people), compared to 56.7% throughout Greater Melbourne and a national benchmark of 55.7%. The primary medical diagnoses recorded locally are asthma and mental health conditions, affecting 7.6 and 7.5% of the community respectively, while 73.9% of inhabitants reported no diagnosed ailments, higher than the 72.6% benchmark across Greater Melbourne. Working-age cohorts display strong general health, while seniors aged 65 and over constitute 16.8% of the populace (504 people), exceeding Greater Melbourne's 15.1% share and recording health profiles aligned with national senior benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
North Warrandyte is largely Australian-born, at 84.2% of residents, with 6.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (29.6%) and Australian (25.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics in North Warrandyte sit below typical regional levels, with Australian-born individuals making up 84.2% of the populace, 93.3% holding citizenship, and 93.4% speaking only English at home. Christianity represents the primary religious affiliation at 32.5% of residents. In relative terms, Judaism shows a distinctive presence at 0.2% of the population, against 1.0% across Greater Melbourne. Regarding parental ancestry, English heritage leads the community at 29.6% (compared to 20.1% regionally), Australian heritage follows at 25.7% (against 18.4% across the region), and Irish heritage accounts for 10.3%. Other distinct cultural backgrounds include Dutch ancestry representing 2.4% (versus 1.2% regionally), French at 1.0% (versus 0.5%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (versus 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of North Warrandyte is 42. 21.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The suburb of North Warrandyte functions primarily as a mature residential locality. As of August 2026 updates, residents aged 45 - 64 make up 30.2% of the population, compared to 22.3% across Greater Melbourne, whereas individuals aged 25 - 44 account for 18.6% locally against 32.1% across the metropolitan area. The local median age remains at 42, matching the 2021 Census benchmark and standing 5 years higher than Greater Melbourne's median of 37 recorded in that same census. Retirees and senior citizens aged 65+ have expanded from 13.4% at the Census to an estimated 16.8%, and this cohort is anticipated to drive future growth, adding 256 residents (51%) to reach 760 by 2041.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for North Warrandyte
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 2 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,027 at the 2021 Census → 3,000 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21969). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.