Warranwood

Warranwood is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

By May 2026, Warranwood's population is estimated at approximately 4,959, reflecting a growth of 139 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,820. This increase represents a 2.9% change from the census figure. AreaSearch, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and validation of new addresses, estimates Warranwood's resident population to be around 4,946. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 1,653 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warranwood's 2.9% growth since the census is comparable to the SA4 region's 3.8%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed around 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the suburb.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics suggest a growth of approximately 272 persons by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of around 5.2% in total over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Warranwood, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Warranwood has received approximately 14 dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 74 homes have been approved, with a further 7 approved in FY26 so far. Despite population decline in the area, development activity has been relatively adequate.

The average value of new homes being built is $556,000, indicating a focus on premium properties by developers. This year, Warranwood has recorded $789,000 in commercial development approvals, reflecting its residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Warranwood shows approximately 69% of the construction activity per person. Nationally, it ranks around the 35th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options but strengthening demand for established properties. This activity is also below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations.

New development in Warranwood consists of 75% detached houses and 25% attached dwellings, maintaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 98% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Warranwood has approximately 468 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the location is forecasted to gain 259 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Warranwood has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely affecting the region: Maroondah Planning Scheme, Revitalisation works at Jumping Creek, Warranwood, Ringwood North Liveable Neighbourhoods Project, and 170-172 Warrandyte Road Retail Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Warranwood performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Warranwood has an educated workforce with key services sectors well-represented. The unemployment rate was 2.2% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.7%. As of December 2025, 2,917 residents were employed at a 2.5% lower unemployment rate than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation was 73.6%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Notably, 38.7% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area specializes in education & training with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.9%, below Greater Melbourne's 5.2%.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 1.7% and labour force by 1.4%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warranwood's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Warranwood's median income among taxpayers was $57,444 and average income stood at $72,687 in financial year 2023. These figures were above Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. By March 2026, estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $62,970 and average income $79,679, based on a 9.62% growth in wages since financial year 2023. Census data shows household incomes ranked at the 95th percentile ($2,852 weekly). In Warranwood, 30.1% of individuals had incomes above $4,000 per week, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket was highest at 32.8%. The suburb has a substantial proportion of high earners (47.5% above $3,000/week), indicating strong economic capacity. After housing costs, residents retained 89.4% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. Warranwood's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Warranwood is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warranwood's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.4% houses and 1.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warranwood was 38.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.6% and rented ones at 9.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Warranwood was $423, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Warranwood's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Warranwood were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warranwood features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.9% of all households, including 52.7% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.1%, with lone person households at 10.8% and group households comprising 0.8%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Warranwood places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Warranwood residents aged 15+ with university qualifications (34.3%) exceed the Australian average (30.4%). Bachelor degrees are most common (22.7%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 31.6% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (19.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 32.6% currently enrolled in formal education: secondary (11.0%), primary (10.2%), and tertiary (6.3%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warranwood has 24 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two routes that together facilitate 509 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 310 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outwards, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 94%. On average, there are 2.1 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 38.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 72 trips daily, translating to approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warranwood's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Warranwood's health outcomes data shows excellent results, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 56% (~2,754 people) of Warranwood's total population has private health cover, which is found to be very high. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.2 and 7.5% of residents respectively. Notably, 72.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population in Warranwood demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 16.6% (823 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warranwood records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warranwood's cultural diversity was found to be roughly comparable to the wider region's average, with 82.0% of its population born in Australia, 93.2% being citizens, and 89.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warranwood, comprising 52.0% of people. However, Judaism was overrepresented, making up 0.1% compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.0%), Australian (26.1%), and Scottish (8.2%), all substantially higher than the regional averages of 20.1%, 18.4%, respectively. Notably, Dutch (3.0%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.2%. Similarly, Macedonian (0.6%) and Sri Lankan (0.6%) groups were also overrepresented in Warranwood relative to their regional percentages of 0.7% and 0.8%, respectively.

Warranwood's median age exceeds the national pattern

Warranwood's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and somewhat older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Warranwood has a notably over-represented cohort of 55-64 year-olds (15.2%) and an under-represented cohort of 25-34 year-olds (6.7%). According to the 2021 Census, the 65-74 age group grew from 8.5% to 10.2%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 3.7% to 5.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 17.1% to 15.3%, and the 25-34 group dropped from 8.0% to 6.7%. Demographic modeling suggests that Warranwood's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 16%, adding 119 residents to reach 878. Residents aged 65 and older represent 65% of the anticipated growth, while population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 0-4 cohorts.